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Ayr United v Arbroath FC : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Somerset Park, Ayr

Colin Hamilton pays counterpart Scott Brown a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Championship, as their Arbroath FC and Ayr United teams face each other at the Somerset Park. We have predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every major market, so there's nowhere better to prepare Championship clash.

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Ayr United's next match is v Airdrieonians at 15:00 on Saturday 22nd November
Arbroath FC's next match is v Raith Rovers at 15:00 on Saturday 22nd November
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Ayr United and Arbroath was on Saturday 15th November 2025
Scottish Championship
November 15th 2025
Ayr United 1
1 Arbroath
 
K. Holt 87'11' F. Marshall
 
AYR
ARB
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
1
3
Corners
3
3
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
19
12
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
Ayr UnitedArbroath
 
D. Mitchell
N. McAllister
L. Dick
K. Holtfootball icon
S. Bannigan (B. Dempsey 56')
J. Bonnar (A. Dowds 67')
M. Rus
J. Murphy
E. Walker
M. McKenzie
S. McMann
A. Mcadams
B. Kabongolo
J. Wilkie
T. O'Brien
R. Flynn
(C. Hamilton 90') R. Dow
C. Watson
J. MacIntyre
football iconF. Marshall
(A. Pettifer 86') H. Cochrane
(G. Reilly 60') A. Mebude

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Ayr United and Arbroath combined during a standard 90 mins. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ayr United are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
52%
1.55
10%
6.00
2%
Draw
25%
3.60
9%
1.14
Arbroath
23%
5.25
21%
12.00
Ayr United 1-0
12%
6.505.50
Draw 1-1
12%
7.50
7%
1.15
Ayr United 2-0
10%
7.00
13%
6.50
7%
Ayr United 2-1
9%
9.006.50
Draw 0-0
8%
10.00
11%
7.00
6%
Arbroath 1-0
8%
13.00
8%
1.36
Arbroath 2-1
6%
19.00
12%
13.00
Ayr United 3-0
5%
11.00
15%
11.00
Ayr United 3-1
5%
15.0034.00
Draw 2-2
5%
19.00
12%
46.00
15%
Arbroath 2-0
4%
29.00
26%
9.00
Ayr United 3-2
2%
29.00126.00
Ayr United 4-0
2%
21.00
28%
19.00
Ayr United 4-1
2%
26.00
24%
126.00
Arbroath 3-1
2%
41.0081.00
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
1.95
5%
4.60
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.85
6%
1.15
3%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.50
4%
1.53
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.88
10%
3.10
No 1st Goal
5%
9.50
6%
7.00
6%
BTTS - Yes
49%
2.00
5%
3.80
3%
BTTS - No
51%
1.73
4%
1.22
1%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3.75
13%
6.50
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.50
10%
1.15
5%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
11.00
16%
13.00
6%
Home/draw
77%
1.11
3%
1.02
Away/draw
48%
2.20
15%
1.09
2%
Home/away
75%
1.22
2%
4.80
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.30
2%
2.88
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.40
5%
1.35
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.40
3%
23.00
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.30
1%
1.00
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6.00
14%
67.00
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.11
3%
1.00
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10.00
5%
1.02
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.031.00
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.05
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8.50
6%
7.00
Home DNB
69%
1.22
6%
1.22
Away DNB
41%
4.00
18%
3.90
3%
Ayr United win to nil
30%
2.50
9%
-
Arbroath win to nil
13%
9.00
13%
-
Ayr United / Ayr United
33%
2.38
13%
71.00
Ayr United / Arbroath
2%
41.001.02
Ayr United / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
126.00
15%
Draw / Ayr United
19%
4.33
4%
17.00
3%
Draw / Arbroath
8%
11.00
16%
34.00
Draw / Draw
15%
5.5021.00
Arbroath / Ayr United
4%
23.00
12%
4.60
Arbroath / Arbroath
10%
9.00
20%
1.91
Arbroath / Draw
5%
19.00
12%
3.20
Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Ayr United have conceded 4 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ayr United have played 6 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Arbroath lay in 3rd place on 21 points in the Championship league table having played 14 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 15 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arbroath have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Arbroath have played 7 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Arbroath
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone151934 
Dec 12
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
Feb 28
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
Apr 4
Jan 3
2
Partick14828 
Dec 6
Oct 21
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
Dec 13
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
Feb 28
3
Arbroath15-122 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
Feb 14
-
-
-
-
4
Ayr United15320 
-
-
-
-
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 14
Apr 11
5
Dunfermline14719 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
Dec 20
l
 
0-5A
Dec 6
Feb 21
May 1
6
Greenock 15-118 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
Dec 27
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
Jan 24
Mar 28
7
Raith Rovers15-418 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
Jan 31
Mar 28
Nov 22
l
 
3-0A
Apr 18
Jan 10
8
Queen's Park15-1113 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 3
Mar 14
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
Mar 21
Jan 31
9
Ross County15-912 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
Feb 21
Apr 18
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
Mar 7
Dec 20
10
Airdrieonians15-1111 
w
 
4-2F
Nov 22
Jan 10
Apr 25
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Dec 27
Mar 14
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
Arbroath 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
54
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Ayr United have not lost to Arbroath in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Ayr United since 2019
Ayr United
Arbroath
Goals: Scored
13
6
Games: Scored
6 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
2 / 8
AYR
3
D
4
ARB
1
League games at Arbroath since 2019
Arbroath
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
7 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
3 / 10
AYR
2
D
3
ARB
5
Goal Statistics
Ayr United 5th Arbroath 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Ayr United will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Arbroath scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Ayr United’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-36
Arbroath have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Arbroath
1.6
1
Attack rating
AYR
ARB
1%
better
view stats
Games scored9
9
Failed to score4
5
Scored first7
6
Goals scored17
19
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
29%
better
AYR
ARB
view stats
Games conceded9
12
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first4
8
Goals conceded13
20
Avg. goals conceded1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+29%

Ayr United v Arbroath Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14435
D MitchellE WalkerM RusN McAllister
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitchell GLK14
-
L Dick DEF
-
K Holt DEF111
1
-
S McMann DEF1411
2
-
N McAllister DEF1111
5
-
J. Bonnar MID101
1
-
S Bannigan MID9
2
-
M Rus MID1313
3
-
J Murphy MID1131
4
-
E Walker MID1341
3
1
M McKenzie MID1441
1
-
Subs
L. Russell GLK
-
S Want DEF2
1
-
B Dempsey MID81
-
D Thomas MID
-
A Dowds FWD9
-
G Oakley FWD8
1
-
Arbroath Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14644
A McAdamsF MarshallR DowH Cochrane
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A McAdams GLK14
-
C Watson DEF
-
B. Kabongolo DEF5
-
T O'Brien DEF13
3
-
J Wilkie DEF1411
1
-
H Cochrane MID141
4
-
R Flynn MID13
2
-
R Dow MID1314
1
-
F Marshall MID1461
4
-
J. MacIntyre MID1011
-
D Mebude FWD3
1
-
Subs
C Hamilton DEF
-
V. Enem DEF1
-
A Pettifer MID8
1
-
D Gold MID51
-
G Reilly FWD921
-
N Todorov FWD143
2
-