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Ayr United v Partick Thistle : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Somerset Park, Ayr

Mark Wilson pays counterpart Gary Naysmith a visit on Friday evening in the Championship, as their Partick Thistle and Ayr United sides face each other at the Somerset Park. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Ayr United's next match is v Greenock at 15:00 on Saturday 24th October
Partick Thistle's next match is v Dunfermline at 19:45 on Tuesday 20th October
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Ayr United and Partick was on Friday 16th October 2026
Scottish Championship
October 16th 2026
Ayr United 0
1 Partick
 
45' O. Smyth
 
AYR
PTH
Shots On
2
2
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
5
5
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
8
20
Yellow/red cards
2/0
6/0
 
Ayr UnitedPartick
 
H. Stone
L. Dick (T. Hatton 46')
K. Holt
L. McBeth
R. Lyon (J. Murphy 72')
B. Summers
O. Stirton (J. Landers 65')
D. Watret
E. Walker (K. Shanks 76')
S. McMann
O. Whyte (M. Rus 65')
L. Budinauckas
P. Reading
L. Ashcroft
B. Dempsey
football iconO. Smyth
(E. Ingram 76') S. Drozd
(A. Fitzpatrick 62') E. Henderson
C. Loughrey
B. McPherson
(T. Letsosa 69') B. Stanway
(A. Samuel 76') T. Watt

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Ayr United and Partick combined during the standard 90 minutes. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we're suggest there's a 80% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
26%
31/10
9%
-
Draw
27%
27/10
9%
-
Partick
47%
4/6
7%
-
Partick 1-0
13%
15/2
13%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
13/2
7%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
12/1
18%
-
Partick 2-0
9%
8/1
6%
-
Ayr United 1-0
9%
14/1
25%
-
Partick 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Ayr United 2-1
6%
14/1-
Ayr United 2-0
4%
22/1
10%
-
Partick 3-0
4%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
Partick 3-1
4%
12/1
13%
-
Partick 3-2
2%
22/1
12%
-
Ayr United 3-1
2%
33/1-
Partick 4-0
2%
25/1
10%
-
Partick 4-1
1%
25/1
10%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
7/10
11%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
11/10
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
42%
6/4-
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/7
3%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
12/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
8/11
4%
-
BTTS - No
54%
1/1
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
13/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
12/5
15%
-
Home/draw
53%
1/1
9%
-
Away/draw
74%
1/6
3%
-
Home/away
73%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/5
7%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
10/3
24%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
13/8
19%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
4/9
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/2
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/6
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
7/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/16
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/25
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/1
18%
-
Home DNB
45%
12/5
5%
-
Away DNB
66%
3/10
2%
-
Ayr United win to nil
15%
8/1
29%
-
Partick win to nil
29%
9/4
8%
-
Ayr United / Ayr United
12%
6/1
8%
-
Ayr United / Partick
4%
20/1
9%
-
Ayr United / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Ayr United
9%
17/2
6%
-
Draw / Partick
18%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
18%
-
Partick / Ayr United
2%
40/1-
Partick / Partick
32%
8/5
5%
-
Partick / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Ayr United have conceded 10 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 3 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ayr United have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Partick lay in 3rd place on 18 points in the Championship league table having played 9 matches. Partick are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 5 clean sheets out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 10 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Partick have conceded 2 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Partick have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Partick
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Stenhousemuir9822 
l
 
0-1A
Dec 5
Feb 20
Apr 24
Oct 24
l
 
1-0A
Mar 20
Jan 2
2
Partick10821 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 6
Dec 19
-
-
-
-
3
Raith Rovers10920 
Nov 14
l
 
2-0A
Apr 3
Jan 23
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 21
Feb 13
Mar 27
4
Livingston10313 
Dec 12
w
 
1-2F
Apr 30
Feb 27
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
Jan 9
Apr 17
5
Dunfermline8213 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 10
Jan 30
Dec 5
Oct 20
Apr 24
Feb 20
6
Inverness10113 
l
 
1-3A
Nov 20
Feb 13
Apr 17
Nov 14
d
 
1-1F
Apr 3
Jan 30
7
Ayr United11-212 
-
-
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Dec 19
Mar 6
8
Arbroath10-811 
w
 
2-0F
Nov 7
Jan 9
Mar 27
w
 
3-0F
Dec 11
Feb 27
Apr 30
9
Queen's Park10-107 
Oct 31
w
 
0-2F
Mar 20
Jan 2
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 7
Dec 26
Mar 13
10
Greenock 10-114 
d
 
1-1F
Oct 24
Dec 23
Mar 13
Oct 31
w
 
0-1F
Apr 10
Jan 23
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United1 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United0 - 1Stenhousemuir
Ayr United1 - 3Inverness
Ayr United1 - 1Greenock
Ayr United2 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1St. Johnstone
Ayr United1 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 3Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 1Partick
Ayr United0 - 1Greenock
Ayr United1 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 0Ross County
Ayr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
Ayr United0 - 0Partick
Ayr United1 - 1Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United2 - 1Greenock
Ayr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAyr United1 - 1Dunfermline
AAyr United2 - 1Livingston
HAyr United0 - 1Stenhousemuir
AAyr United2 - 0Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 3Inverness
AAyr United0 - 1Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United0 - 2Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 1Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 0Arbroath
HAyr United0 - 1St. Johnstone
AAyr United1 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 2Ross County
HAyr United1 - 0Arbroath
HAyr United0 - 3Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Partick
AAyr United0 - 3Raith Rovers
HAyr United0 - 1Greenock
AAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 2Queen's Park
Partick 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Livingston1 - 2Partick
Stenhousemuir1 - 0Partick
Inverness1 - 1Partick
Greenock 0 - 1Partick
Arbroath0 - 0Partick
Airdrieonians2 - 2Partick
Ayr United1 - 1Partick
Raith Rovers0 - 2Partick
Greenock 1 - 2Partick
Dunfermline2 - 2Partick
St. Johnstone2 - 2Partick
Ross County2 - 0Partick
Queen's Park2 - 2Partick
Arbroath2 - 1Partick
Ayr United0 - 0Partick
Airdrieonians1 - 1Partick
Raith Rovers2 - 0Partick
Greenock 1 - 1Partick
Queen's Park0 - 1Partick
Dunfermline0 - 2Partick
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
10
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APartick2 - 1Livingston
HPartick3 - 0Arbroath
HPartick0 - 0Raith Rovers
APartick0 - 1Stenhousemuir
HPartick1 - 0Ayr United
HPartick0 - 0Queen's Park
APartick1 - 1Inverness
HPartick2 - 0Livingston
APartick1 - 0Greenock
HPartick1 - 1Queen's Park
APartick0 - 0Arbroath
APartick2 - 2Airdrieonians
HPartick2 - 0Dunfermline
APartick1 - 1Ayr United
HPartick3 - 1Ross County
APartick2 - 0Raith Rovers
HPartick0 - 0St. Johnstone
APartick2 - 1Greenock
HPartick0 - 0Arbroath
APartick2 - 2Dunfermline
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ayr United since 2018
Ayr United
Partick
Goals: Scored
21
20
Games: Scored
8 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
5 / 13
AYR
6
D
3
PTH
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ayr United2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Ayr United4 - 3
0 - 4Partick
0 - 1Partick
Ayr United4 - 2
Ayr United3 - 1
0 - 4Partick
Ayr United4 - 1
0 - 1Partick
Ayr United2 - 0
League games at Partick since 2018
Partick
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
23
14
Games: Scored
13 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
2 / 15
AYR
3
D
4
PTH
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Partick
Partick1 - 0
Partick2 - 1
Partick2 - 1
Partick2 - 0
Partick1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Partick3 - 2
Partick1 - 0
Partick4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Ayr United
1 - 2Ayr United
0 - 1Ayr United
Goal Statistics

Partick Thistle's defensive record is very strong, M. Wilson's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Championship outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Ayr United makes sense in this context.

Ayr United 7th Partick 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Ayr United scoring 1 goal or less
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Partick will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Ayr United have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
Partick have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Partick
1
1.4
Attack rating
1%
better
AYR
PTH
view stats
Games scored7
6
Failed to score3
3
Scored first4
6
Goals scored10
10
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game6
10
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
11
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
AYR
PTH
60%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
3
Clean sheets2
6
Conceded first6
1
Goals conceded11
3
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
14
Conversion rate against13%
7%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+60%

Ayr United v Partick Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11214
H StoneL. McBethS McMannL. McBeth
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Stone GLK10
-
L. McBeth DEF102
4
-
K Holt DEF81
2
-
L Dick DEF8
-
S McMann DEF101
3
-
D Watret MID101
1
-
R Lyon MID10
1
-
O. Whyte MID71
1
-
B Summers MID91
1
-
E Walker FWD4
-
O. Stirton FWD1021
-
Subs
L. Russell GLK
-
L King DEF61
1
N McAllister MID7
2
-
J Murphy MID71
-
M Rus MID2
-
J. Landers FWD51
-
K Shanks FWD3
2
-
T. Hatton FWD7
-
Partick Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10233
C. LoughreyS. DrozdS. DrozdO Smyth
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Budinauckas GLK3
-
B. McPherson DEF91
2
-
L Ashcroft DEF4
1
-
C. Loughrey DEF9
1
-
P Reading DEF91
1
-
B Dempsey MID8
-
O Smyth MID81
3
-
S. Drozd MID923
3
-
B Stanway MID92
-
E Henderson FWD6
-
T Watt FWD91
1
-
Subs
L MacFarlane GLK6
-
E Ingram DEF5
-
D O'Reilly DEF5
3
-
C. Logan DEF2
-
G Mackay-Steven  MID5
1
-
R Crawford MID71
1
-
A Fitzpatrick MID91
2
-
T. Letsosa MID81
2
-
A Samuel  FWD9
-