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Ayr United v Dunfermline Athletic : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Mar, 15:00 BST, Somerset Park, Ayr

Dunfermline Athletic pay Championship competitors Ayr United a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Neil Lennon leads his men into an away clash with Scott Brown & co. at the Somerset Park. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
40%
--
Draw
26%
--
Dunfermline
33%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Ayr United 1-0
10%
--
Dunfermline 1-0
9%
--
Ayr United 2-1
9%
--
Dunfermline 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Ayr United 2-0
7%
--
Dunfermline 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Ayr United 3-1
4%
--
Ayr United 3-0
3%
--
Dunfermline 3-1
3%
--
Ayr United 3-2
2%
--
Dunfermline 3-0
2%
--
Dunfermline 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
--
BTTS - No
48%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
60%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Ayr United win to nil
22%
--
Dunfermline win to nil
18%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 8 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 31 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Ayr United have played 12 games at home winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Dunfermline are in 7th position in the Championship on 29 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 6. Dunfermline have conceded 22 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Dunfermline
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone252650 
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
Feb 28
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 18
w
 
0-1F
2
Partick251047 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
Feb 24
Apr 11
3
Arbroath25440 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
-
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-5F
May 1
l
 
4-2A
4
Ayr United24333 
-
-
-
-
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3A
Mar 7
5
Raith Rovers26230 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 27
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
6
Greenock 26-630 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
l
 
2-0A
7
Dunfermline24129 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
w
 
2-3F
-
-
-
-
8
Queen's Park24-1027 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Feb 28
Apr 25
9
Airdrieonians26-1423 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
l
 
0-2A
Mar 28
10
Ross County25-1623 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
-
Mar 21
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United0 - 0Ross County
Ayr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
Ayr United0 - 0Partick
Ayr United1 - 1Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United2 - 1Greenock
Ayr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 1Ross County
Ayr United1 - 1Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United2 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United1 - 1Falkirk
Ayr United3 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 1Hamilton
Ayr United4 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 2Livingston
Ayr United2 - 1Partick
Ayr United3 - 0Raith Rovers
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAyr United0 - 0Ross County
HAyr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United3 - 3Ross County
HAyr United0 - 1Dunfermline
AAyr United0 - 0Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United2 - 1Greenock
AAyr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
AAyr United0 - 0St. Johnstone
HAyr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Ross County
Dunfermline 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arbroath4 - 2Dunfermline
Greenock 2 - 0Dunfermline
St. Johnstone0 - 1Dunfermline
Raith Rovers1 - 2Dunfermline
Queen's Park1 - 1Dunfermline
Partick1 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ross County3 - 2Dunfermline
Airdrieonians0 - 4Dunfermline
St. Johnstone2 - 1Dunfermline
Arbroath0 - 5Dunfermline
Raith Rovers2 - 0Dunfermline
Greenock 0 - 0Dunfermline
Greenock 2 - 0Dunfermline
Queen's Park0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United3 - 0Dunfermline
Raith Rovers2 - 0Dunfermline
Falkirk1 - 0Dunfermline
Hamilton1 - 0Dunfermline
Livingston0 - 0Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADunfermline2 - 4Arbroath
ADunfermline0 - 2Greenock
HDunfermline0 - 2Airdrieonians
ADunfermline1 - 0St. Johnstone
ADunfermline2 - 1Raith Rovers
HDunfermline2 - 3Ayr United
ADunfermline1 - 1Queen's Park
HDunfermline1 - 2Arbroath
ADunfermline0 - 1Partick
HDunfermline1 - 0Greenock
HDunfermline2 - 2St. Johnstone
ADunfermline1 - 0Ayr United
ADunfermline2 - 3Ross County
ADunfermline4 - 0Airdrieonians
HDunfermline2 - 0Raith Rovers
HDunfermline0 - 0Queen's Park
HDunfermline0 - 2Partick
HDunfermline0 - 1Ayr United
ADunfermline1 - 2St. Johnstone
ADunfermline5 - 0Arbroath
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ayr United since 2016
Ayr United
Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
18
14
Games: Scored
8 / 14
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
6 / 14
AYR
4
D
6
DUN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United3 - 0
Ayr United1 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Ayr United3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Dunfermline
0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United4 - 1
0 - 2Dunfermline
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Dunfermline since 2016
Dunfermline
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
14
15
Games: Scored
7 / 15
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
8 / 15
AYR
7
D
4
DUN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dunfermline
2 - 3Ayr United
0 - 1Ayr United
0 - 2Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Dunfermline2 - 0
0 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline2 - 1
Dunfermline3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline3 - 2
0 - 1Ayr United
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Ayr United 4th Dunfermline 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Dunfermline will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Ayr United’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Dunfermline have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Dunfermline
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
8%
better
AYR
DUN
view stats
Games scored18
16
Failed to score6
8
Scored first14
12
Goals scored30
31
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
4%
better
AYR
DUN
view stats
Games conceded17
15
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first6
10
Goals conceded27
30
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+4%

Ayr United v Dunfermline Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24747
S McMannM McKenzieM RusM Rus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McMann DEF2411
6
-
M McKenzie FWD2471
2
-
K Holt DEF212
3
-
M Rus MID2014
6
1
E Walker FWD1943
3
1
S Bannigan MID18
5
-
B Dempsey MID182
2
-
J Murphy FWD1851
4
-
L King DEF171
4
-
J. Bonnar MID171
2
-
A Dowds FWD1731
1
-
D Mitchell GLK16
-
L Dick DEF16
3
-
N McAllister DEF1611
5
-
D Watret DEF152
1
1
K. Ure MID131
2
-
G Oakley FWD11
2
-
L. Russell GLK7
-
S Want DEF5
2
-
G. Finney DEF3
1
-
B Summers MID3
-
M. Thompson GLK2
-
Dunfermline Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2310510
J MullenA. TodM ToddC Gilmour 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mullen DEF2314
6
1
A. Tod FWD23101
2
-
R Fraser DEF2214
2
-
C Gilmour  MID222
10
-
M Todd MID2015
-
A Amade MID17
1
-
S. Kearney DEF161
2
-
T Oakley-Boothe MID16
2
-
C Kane FWD162
2
-
N. Abdulai DEF15
1
-
K Ritchie-Hosler MID15
-
C Hamilton MID14
6
1
B Terrell GLK13
1
-
R Macleod FWD132
3
-
J Caceres FWD132
1
1
E Otoo DEF11
1
-
K Bray MID111
-
J. Cooper MID1011
-
J. Tod DEF91
2
-
K Benedictus DEF9
2
-
M. Munn GLK8
-
Z Rudden FWD822
3
-
D Mehmet GLK5
1
-
K Ngwenya DEF52
1
O Thomas FWD4
-
C Morrison FWD4
1
-
F Turley DEF2
1
-