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Ayr United v Partick Thistle : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 15:00 BST, Somerset Park, Ayr

Mark Wilson takes his Partick Thistle team to the Somerset Park in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, with Scott Brown's Ayr United their rivals. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Ayr United and Partick have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ayr United are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
40%
27/207/5
Draw
27%
9/421/10
Partick
34%
7/417/10
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Ayr United 1-0
10%
13/26/1
Partick 1-0
9%
15/213/2
Ayr United 2-1
9%
9/115/2
Draw 0-0
8%
8/17/1
Partick 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Ayr United 2-0
7%
10/19/1
Partick 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Ayr United 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Ayr United 3-0
3%
22/118/1
Partick 3-1
3%
22/116/1
Partick 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Ayr United 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Partick 3-2
2%
33/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
43/401/1
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
8/114/6
Home 1st Goal
49%
10/1119/20
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/1011/10
No 1st Goal
5%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
5/65/6
BTTS - No
48%
5/610/11
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/410/3
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/19/2
Home/draw
66%
4/112/5
Away/draw
60%
1/21/2
Home/away
73%
1/41/3
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
9/419/10
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/412/5
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
19/211/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/200
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/251/20
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/113/2
Home DNB
58%
8/113/4
Away DNB
52%
1/119/20
Ayr United win to nil
22%
3/1-
Partick win to nil
18%
7/2-
Ayr United / Ayr United
21%
11/43/1
Ayr United / Partick
3%
33/122/1
Ayr United / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Ayr United
14%
5/19/2
Draw / Partick
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/17/2
Partick / Ayr United
3%
28/120/1
Partick / Partick
18%
7/217/5
Partick / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Ayr United are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won zero. Ayr United have conceded 2 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Ayr United have played 7 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Partick lay in 2nd place on 34 points in the Championship league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 24 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Partick have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Partick have played 7 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Partick
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone161834 
Dec 12
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
Feb 28
w
 
2-1F
l
 
5-1F
Mar 21
Jan 31
2
Partick161034 
Dec 6
Oct 21
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
-
-
-
-
3
Ayr United16423 
-
-
-
-
Oct 21
Dec 6
w
 
2-1A
Apr 4
4
Arbroath16-123 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
Feb 14
d
 
1-1F
Dec 13
Feb 28
Apr 25
5
Dunfermline16722 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
Dec 20
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 11
Feb 14
6
Raith Rovers16-419 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
Jan 31
Mar 28
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-0A
Dec 20
Mar 7
7
Greenock 16-218 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
Dec 27
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Jan 3
Mar 14
8
Queen's Park15-1113 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 3
Mar 14
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 1
Dec 27
9
Ross County15-912 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
Feb 21
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
Mar 28
Jan 9
10
Airdrieonians16-1211 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-1F
Jan 10
Apr 25
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
Apr 18
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Partick have won 3 consecutive league games
5
Partick have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Ayr United 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United1 - 1Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United2 - 1Greenock
Ayr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 1Ross County
Ayr United1 - 1Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United2 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United1 - 1Falkirk
Ayr United3 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 1Hamilton
Ayr United4 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 2Livingston
Ayr United2 - 1Partick
Ayr United3 - 0Raith Rovers
Ayr United0 - 0Greenock
Ayr United5 - 2Falkirk
Ayr United1 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United3 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United1 - 2Livingston
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United3 - 3Ross County
HAyr United0 - 1Dunfermline
AAyr United0 - 0Queen's Park
HAyr United2 - 1Greenock
AAyr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
AAyr United0 - 0St. Johnstone
HAyr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Ross County
HAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
AAyr United2 - 2Greenock
HAyr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United2 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United0 - 5Livingston
HAyr United1 - 1Falkirk
AAyr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
Partick 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Airdrieonians1 - 1Partick
Raith Rovers2 - 0Partick
Greenock 1 - 1Partick
Queen's Park0 - 1Partick
Dunfermline0 - 2Partick
Ross County1 - 3Partick
St. Johnstone5 - 1Partick
Livingston0 - 1Partick
Dunfermline0 - 0Partick
Airdrieonians2 - 1Partick
Greenock 0 - 1Partick
Queen's Park0 - 2Partick
Raith Rovers3 - 0Partick
Falkirk5 - 2Partick
Ayr United2 - 1Partick
Hamilton1 - 2Partick
Greenock 2 - 1Partick
Airdrieonians0 - 2Partick
Livingston2 - 0Partick
Dunfermline0 - 1Partick
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPartick1 - 0Dunfermline
HPartick2 - 1St. Johnstone
APartick1 - 1Airdrieonians
HPartick5 - 0Queen's Park
APartick0 - 2Raith Rovers
HPartick1 - 0Ross County
APartick1 - 1Greenock
HPartick1 - 1Arbroath
APartick1 - 0Queen's Park
APartick2 - 0Dunfermline
HPartick2 - 1Airdrieonians
HPartick3 - 2Raith Rovers
APartick3 - 1Ross County
HPartick1 - 1Greenock
APartick1 - 5St. Johnstone
APartick1 - 0Livingston
HPartick2 - 1Falkirk
APartick0 - 0Dunfermline
HPartick1 - 2Hamilton
APartick1 - 2Airdrieonians
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ayr United since 2018
Ayr United
Partick
Goals: Scored
20
19
Games: Scored
7 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
4 / 11
AYR
6
D
1
PTH
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
Ayr United2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Ayr United4 - 3
0 - 4Partick
0 - 1Partick
Ayr United4 - 2
Ayr United3 - 1
0 - 4Partick
Ayr United4 - 1
0 - 1Partick
Ayr United2 - 0
League games at Partick since 2018
Partick
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
18
12
Games: Scored
10 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
2 / 12
AYR
3
D
4
PTH
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Partick
Partick2 - 0
Partick1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Partick3 - 2
Partick1 - 0
Partick4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Ayr United
1 - 2Ayr United
0 - 1Ayr United
Goal Statistics

Partick Thistle's defensive record is to be admired, M. Wilson's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Championship matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Ayr United makes sense in this context.

Ayr United 3rd Partick 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Partick will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Ayr United’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Partick’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Partick
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
AYR
PTH
26%
better
view stats
Games scored11
14
Failed to score4
1
Scored first8
10
Goals scored19
25
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
18
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
4%
better
AYR
PTH
view stats
Games conceded10
10
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded14
16
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+4%

Ayr United v Partick Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16536
S McMannM McKenzieM RusM Rus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McMann DEF1611
3
-
M McKenzie FWD1651
1
-
D Mitchell GLK15
-
M Rus MID1513
5
1
E Walker FWD1542
3
1
K Holt DEF132
1
-
K. Ure MID131
2
-
J Murphy FWD1331
4
-
D Watret DEF121
1
1
J. Bonnar MID121
2
-
L Dick DEF11
3
-
N McAllister DEF1111
5
-
C Main FWD1111
1
-
B Dempsey MID101
1
-
S Bannigan MID10
2
-
A Dowds FWD101
-
L King DEF9
3
-
G Oakley FWD8
1
-
D Thomas MID7
-
S Want DEF3
1
-
L. Russell GLK1
-
Partick Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16667
D O'ReillyL ChalmersA FitzpatrickD O'Reilly
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D O'Reilly DEF162
7
-
T. Letsosa MID1622
1
-
A Fitzpatrick MID1626
-
L Chalmers FWD1664
-
J Clarke GLK15
2
-
P Reading DEF152
2
-
B. McPherson DEF141
1
-
L. McBeth DEF141
3
-
S Lawless FWD1411
1
-
K Turner MID13
-
B Stanway MID1332
4
-
A Samuel  FWD1321
-
L Ashcroft DEF12
5
-
O Smyth MID112
-
R Crawford MID9
2
-
C Logan DEF61
1
-
S. McArdle MID5
-
L Budinauckas GLK1
-