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Heart of Midlothian v Celtic : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Oct, 12:00 BST, Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Heart of Midlothian are in Premiership action on Sunday lunch time, as Derek McInnes attempts to outsmart Brendan Rodgers and his Celtic side at the Tynecastle Park. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by relevant form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hearts are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 4.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hearts
43%
3.403.30
Draw
26%
3.603.70
Celtic
31%
2.052.05
Draw 1-1
13%
7.006.50
Hearts 1-0
11%
12.0010.00
Celtic 1-0
9%
8.508.00
Hearts 2-1
9%
12.0010.00
Draw 0-0
8%
12.0011.00
Hearts 2-0
8%
19.0015.00
Celtic 2-1
7%
9.008.00
Celtic 2-0
5%
10.009.50
Draw 2-2
5%
13.0011.00
Hearts 3-1
4%
26.0021.00
Hearts 3-0
4%
41.0026.00
Celtic 3-1
3%
15.0013.00
Hearts 3-2
2%
29.0023.00
Celtic 3-0
2%
19.0015.00
Celtic 3-2
2%
23.0017.00
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
1.801.73
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
2.002.05
Home 1st Goal
50%
2.202.25
Away 1st Goal
45%
1.731.75
No 1st Goal
5%
12.0010.00
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.671.65
BTTS - No
48%
2.102.10
BTTS - Home Win
19%
6.005.50
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.40
BTTS - Away Win
14%
4.003.70
Home/draw
69%
1.731.75
Away/draw
57%
1.301.33
Home/away
74%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.251.22
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
4.003.80
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.002.75
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.401.40
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5.505.00
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.141.15
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
11.009.50
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.051.04
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.041.03
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
13.0011.00
Home DNB
62%
2.502.40
Away DNB
49%
1.501.50
Hearts win to nil
24%
6.50-
Celtic win to nil
17%
3.75-
Hearts / Hearts
15%
5.505.00
Hearts / Celtic
4%
23.0019.00
Hearts / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Hearts
11%
7.507.00
Draw / Celtic
15%
5.505.00
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.25
Celtic / Hearts
3%
29.0023.00
Celtic / Celtic
25%
3.253.10
Celtic / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premiership table

Hearts have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premiership league table. Hearts are unbeaten in 8 games against teams below them in the league and kept 5 clean sheets out of 8 games. Hearts are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 1 and lost no matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Hearts have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Hearts have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 9 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

 
Won
Draw
Lost
Hearts
Celtic
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts81322 
-
-
-
-
Dec 6
Oct 26
-
Jan 25
2
Celtic8617 
Oct 26
Dec 6
Jan 25
-
-
-
-
-
3
Hibernian8411 
w
 
1-0F
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 30
Feb 21
-
4
Dundee Utd8110 
Nov 9
w
 
2-3F
-
Jan 31
Jan 10
Nov 1
-
Dec 17
5
Kilmarnock8010 
Dec 3
w
 
0-3F
-
Mar 14
Nov 9
w
 
1-2F
-
Feb 14
6
Rangers8-19 
Dec 20
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 14
Jan 3
d
 
0-00-0
-
Feb 28
7
St. Mirren8-29 
Dec 13
Oct 29
-
Feb 4
w
 
1-0F
Nov 22
Apr 11
-
8
Falkirk8-49 
w
 
3-0F
Dec 30
Feb 21
-
Oct 29
Dec 14
Feb 1
-
9
Dundee9-59 
Nov 1
Jan 10
Mar 21
-
Dec 3
l
 
2-0A
-
Apr 4
10
Motherwell808 
d
 
3-3A
Nov 29
Apr 11
-
w
 
3-2F
Dec 30
Mar 14
-
11
Aberdeen8-47 
w
 
2-0F
Nov 23
Feb 28
-
Dec 21
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 4
12
Livingston9-86 
Jan 3
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
w
 
3-0F
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
6
Hearts have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Hearts 1ST
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts1 - 0Hibernian
Hearts3 - 0Falkirk
Hearts3 - 3Motherwell
Hearts2 - 0Aberdeen
Hearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
Hearts3 - 0Motherwell
Hearts0 - 1Dundee
Hearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
Hearts2 - 0Ross County
Hearts3 - 1St. Mirren
Hearts1 - 3Rangers
Hearts3 - 2Kilmarnock
Hearts1 - 0Motherwell
Hearts1 - 2Hibernian
Hearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
Hearts2 - 0Dundee
Hearts1 - 1Aberdeen
Hearts1 - 4Celtic
Hearts1 - 2Kilmarnock
Hearts4 - 0St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHearts3 - 0Kilmarnock
HHearts1 - 0Hibernian
HHearts3 - 0Falkirk
AHearts2 - 0Rangers
AHearts2 - 1Livingston
HHearts3 - 3Motherwell
AHearts3 - 2Dundee Utd
HHearts2 - 0Aberdeen
AHearts1 - 0Kilmarnock
HHearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
HHearts3 - 0Motherwell
AHearts3 - 1Ross County
HHearts0 - 1Dundee
AHearts0 - 0Motherwell
HHearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
AHearts0 - 3Celtic
HHearts2 - 0Ross County
AHearts1 - 2Hibernian
HHearts3 - 1St. Mirren
AHearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
Celtic 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dundee2 - 0Celtic
Kilmarnock1 - 2Celtic
Rangers0 - 0Celtic
Aberdeen0 - 2Celtic
Aberdeen1 - 5Celtic
Rangers1 - 1Celtic
Dundee Utd0 - 5Celtic
St. Johnstone1 - 0Celtic
St. Mirren2 - 5Celtic
Hibernian2 - 1Celtic
Motherwell1 - 3Celtic
Dundee3 - 3Celtic
Ross County1 - 4Celtic
Rangers3 - 0Celtic
Dundee Utd0 - 0Celtic
Aberdeen0 - 1Celtic
Hearts1 - 4Celtic
Kilmarnock0 - 2Celtic
Motherwell0 - 3Celtic
Ross County1 - 2Celtic
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACeltic0 - 2Dundee
HCeltic3 - 2Motherwell
HCeltic0 - 0Hibernian
ACeltic2 - 1Kilmarnock
ACeltic0 - 0Rangers
HCeltic3 - 0Livingston
ACeltic2 - 0Aberdeen
HCeltic1 - 0St. Mirren
HCeltic1 - 1St. Mirren
ACeltic5 - 1Aberdeen
HCeltic3 - 1Hibernian
ACeltic1 - 1Rangers
ACeltic5 - 0Dundee Utd
HCeltic5 - 1Kilmarnock
ACeltic0 - 1St. Johnstone
HCeltic3 - 0Hearts
HCeltic2 - 3Rangers
ACeltic5 - 2St. Mirren
HCeltic5 - 1Aberdeen
ACeltic1 - 2Hibernian
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Celtic have beaten Hearts in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Hearts since 2013
Hearts
Celtic
Goals: Scored
22
41
Games: Scored
14 / 18
15 / 18
Clean sheets
3 / 18
4 / 18
HEA
4
D
1
CEL
13
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hearts
1 - 4Celtic
Hearts2 - 0
1 - 4Celtic
0 - 2Celtic
3 - 4Celtic
1 - 2Celtic
Hearts2 - 1
0 - 2Celtic
1 - 2Celtic
Hearts1 - 0
1 - 3Celtic
Hearts4 - 0
0 - 5Celtic
1 - 2Celtic
1 - 3Celtic
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Celtic
1 - 3Celtic
League games at Celtic since 2013
Celtic
Hearts
Goals: Scored
51
9
Games: Scored
17 / 19
8 / 19
Clean sheets
11 / 19
2 / 19
HEA
1
D
1
CEL
17
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Celtic
Celtic3 - 0
Celtic2 - 0
Celtic3 - 0
0 - 2Hearts
Celtic3 - 1
Celtic2 - 0
Celtic4 - 1
Celtic1 - 0
Celtic5 - 0
Celtic3 - 1
Celtic2 - 1
Celtic5 - 0
Celtic3 - 1
Celtic4 - 1
Celtic2 - 0
Celtic4 - 0
Celtic3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Celtic2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Celtic of late. It has been 6 Premiership games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday lunch time against Heart of Midlothian.

Hearts 1st Celtic 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Hearts will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Celtic will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Hearts’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Celtic’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Hearts
PG (predicted goals)
Celtic
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
41%
better
HEA
CEL
view stats
Games scored8
5
Failed to score0
3
Scored first6
5
Goals scored19
11
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for22
10
Avg. XG for1.8
2.2
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
HEA
CEL
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded6
5
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+7%

Hearts v Celtic Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8543
S FindlayC. Soares BragaA KyziridisC Halkett 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Findlay DEF83
2
-
O McEntee DEF8
2
-
C Halkett  DEF83
3
-
H Milne DEF812
3
-
C Devlin MID8
2
-
C. Soares Braga FWD851
1
-
A Kyziridis FWD824
1
-
L Shankland FWD841
-
M Steinwender DEF7
-
B Baningime  MID6
1
-
B Spittal MID61
-
A Forrest FWD6
1
-
S Kingsley DEF5
-
E Kabangu FWD5
-
A Schwolow GLK4
-
Z Clark GLK4
-
F Kent DEF4
1
-
T Magnusson MID4
-
S. Kerjota FWD41
-
J. Wilson FWD3
-
C Borchgrevink DEF1
-
J McCart DEF1
-
Ageu MID1
-
P. Kabore FWD1
-
Celtic Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8423
K SchmeichelB NygrenD MaedaL Scales
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Schmeichel GLK8
1
-
L Scales DEF8
3
-
C McGregor MID8
1
-
L McCowan MID81
-
J Forrest FWD8
-
B Nygren FWD841
1
-
C Carter-Vickers DEF7
1
-
A Engels MID7
2
-
D Maeda FWD722
1
-
K Tierney DEF61
-
A Ralston DEF6
-
R Hatate MID61
1
-
M Balikwisha FWD51
-
M Saracchi DEF41
-
Y Hyun-Jun FWD4
-
J Kenny FWD41
-
K Iheanacho FWD42
1
-
S Tounekti FWD4
1
-
S Yamada FWD3
-
A Trusty DEF2
-
C. Donovan DEF2
-
A Johnston DEF2
-
P Bernardo MID2
-
D Murray DEF1
-
H Inamura DEF1
-