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Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Sep, 15:00 BST, Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

We’ve Premiership action to enjoy on Saturday afternoon, as Derek McInnes and his Heart of Midlothian side host John McGlynn’s Falkirk at the Tynecastle Park. Stats power the predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Hearts or Falkirk are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hearts are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.61.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hearts
58%
13/20-
Draw
22%
3/1-
Falkirk
20%
15/4-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2-
Hearts 1-0
10%
7/1-
Hearts 2-1
10%
15/2-
Hearts 2-0
10%
7/1-
Hearts 3-1
6%
12/1-
Hearts 3-0
6%
12/1-
Falkirk 1-0
5%
14/1-
Falkirk 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Hearts 3-2
3%
22/1-
Hearts 4-1
3%
22/1-
Hearts 4-0
3%
22/1-
Falkirk 2-0
3%
25/1-
Falkirk 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
42%
8/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/4-
BTTS - No
45%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
12/5-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/2-
Home/draw
80%
2/11-
Away/draw
42%
6/5-
Home/away
78%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
73%
1/4-
Away DNB
36%
11/4-
Hearts win to nil
30%
7/4-
Falkirk win to nil
10%
8/1-
Hearts / Hearts
33%
6/4-
Hearts / Falkirk
2%
33/1-
Hearts / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Hearts
18%
7/2-
Draw / Falkirk
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Falkirk / Hearts
4%
20/1-
Falkirk / Falkirk
10%
15/2-
Falkirk / Draw
5%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premiership table
Won
Draw
Lost
Hearts
Falkirk
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Celtic5713 
Oct 26
Dec 6
Jan 25
-
Dec 14
Oct 29
-
Feb 1
2
Hearts5613 
-
-
-
-
Dec 30
Sep 27
-
Feb 21
3
Hibernian416 
Oct 4
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
Jan 24
Dec 6
-
-
4
St. Mirren506 
Dec 13
Oct 29
-
Feb 4
l
 
1-2A
Jan 10
Mar 21
-
5
Dundee Utd415 
Nov 9
w
 
2-3F
-
Jan 31
d
 
2-2A
Nov 22
Feb 14
-
6
Motherwell505 
d
 
3-3A
Nov 29
Apr 11
-
Dec 3
Oct 18
-
Apr 4
7
Livingston5-25 
Jan 3
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
Nov 8
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 4
8
Falkirk4-24 
Sep 27
Dec 30
Feb 21
-
-
-
-
-
9
Kilmarnock5-14 
Dec 3
Oct 18
-
Mar 14
Nov 1
Dec 20
Feb 28
-
10
Rangers5-24 
Dec 20
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 14
Oct 5
Nov 30
Apr 11
-
11
Dundee5-33 
Nov 1
Jan 10
Mar 21
-
Oct 25
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
12
Aberdeen4-51 
w
 
2-0F
Nov 22
Feb 28
-
Jan 3
w
 
0-1F
-
Mar 14
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Hearts 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts3 - 3Motherwell
Hearts2 - 0Aberdeen
Hearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
Hearts3 - 0Motherwell
Hearts0 - 1Dundee
Hearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
Hearts2 - 0Ross County
Hearts3 - 1St. Mirren
Hearts1 - 3Rangers
Hearts3 - 2Kilmarnock
Hearts1 - 0Motherwell
Hearts1 - 2Hibernian
Hearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
Hearts2 - 0Dundee
Hearts1 - 1Aberdeen
Hearts1 - 4Celtic
Hearts1 - 2Kilmarnock
Hearts4 - 0St. Mirren
Hearts1 - 1Ross County
Hearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHearts2 - 0Rangers
AHearts2 - 1Livingston
HHearts3 - 3Motherwell
AHearts3 - 2Dundee Utd
HHearts2 - 0Aberdeen
AHearts1 - 0Kilmarnock
HHearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
HHearts3 - 0Motherwell
AHearts3 - 1Ross County
HHearts0 - 1Dundee
AHearts0 - 0Motherwell
HHearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
AHearts0 - 3Celtic
HHearts2 - 0Ross County
AHearts1 - 2Hibernian
HHearts3 - 1St. Mirren
AHearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
HHearts1 - 3Rangers
AHearts6 - 0Dundee
HHearts3 - 2Kilmarnock
Falkirk 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aberdeen0 - 1Falkirk
Livingston3 - 1Falkirk
Partick2 - 1Falkirk
Ayr United1 - 1Falkirk
Livingston1 - 0Falkirk
Queen's Park0 - 4Falkirk
Airdrieonians0 - 3Falkirk
Hamilton2 - 2Falkirk
Greenock 0 - 2Falkirk
Raith Rovers0 - 2Falkirk
Dunfermline3 - 3Falkirk
Ayr United5 - 2Falkirk
Queen's Park0 - 1Falkirk
Livingston1 - 0Falkirk
Hamilton1 - 3Falkirk
Partick1 - 1Falkirk
Raith Rovers1 - 0Falkirk
Airdrieonians0 - 2Falkirk
Greenock 2 - 3Falkirk
Dunfermline0 - 2Falkirk
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFalkirk1 - 2St. Mirren
AFalkirk1 - 0Aberdeen
AFalkirk1 - 3Livingston
HFalkirk2 - 2Dundee Utd
HFalkirk3 - 1Hamilton
AFalkirk1 - 2Partick
HFalkirk1 - 3Raith Rovers
AFalkirk1 - 1Ayr United
HFalkirk5 - 0Greenock
AFalkirk0 - 1Livingston
HFalkirk2 - 0Airdrieonians
AFalkirk4 - 0Queen's Park
HFalkirk1 - 0Dunfermline
AFalkirk3 - 0Airdrieonians
AFalkirk2 - 2Hamilton
AFalkirk2 - 0Greenock
HFalkirk2 - 2Ayr United
HFalkirk5 - 2Partick
HFalkirk1 - 2Livingston
AFalkirk2 - 0Raith Rovers
Goal Statistics

Heart of Midlothian have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Premiership games. Their PG of 1.9 against Falkirk on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Hearts 2nd Falkirk 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Falkirk will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Hearts’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Falkirk have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Hearts
PG (predicted goals)
Falkirk
1.9
1
Attack rating
34%
better
HEA
FKK
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score0
0
Scored first3
1
Goals scored12
5
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal4
7
Conversion rate for23
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
21%
better
HEA
FKK
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded6
7
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
21%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%

Hearts v Falkirk Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5323
S FindlayS FindlayA KyziridisC Halkett 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Findlay DEF53
2
-
O McEntee DEF5
1
-
C Halkett  DEF5
3
-
H Milne DEF511
3
-
B Spittal MID51
-
C Devlin MID5
1
-
C. Soares Braga FWD531
1
-
A Kyziridis FWD512
1
-
L Shankland FWD531
-
Z Clark GLK4
-
F Kent DEF4
1
-
M Steinwender DEF4
-
B Baningime  MID3
-
J. Wilson FWD3
-
A Forrest FWD3
-
S Kingsley DEF2
-
S. Kerjota FWD2
-
E Kabangu FWD2
-
A Schwolow GLK1
-
C Borchgrevink DEF1
-
J McCart DEF1
-
Ageu MID1
-
T Magnusson MID1
-
P. Kabore FWD1
-
Falkirk Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
S BainD TaitL MccannB Spencer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Bain GLK4
-
L Neilson DEF4
-
L Henderson DEF4
1
-
L Mccann DEF41
1
-
K. Adams DEF41
1
-
S Arfield MID4
-
H. Cartwright MID4
1
-
C Miller MID41
1
-
B Spencer MID41
2
-
D Tait MID41
1
-
R MacIver FWD41
-
A. Agyeman FWD4
-
B Graham FWD31
-
E Ross MID21
-
A Nesbitt MID2
-
T. Ogunsugi FWD2
-
N. Hogarth GLK1
-
C Allan DEF1
1
-
S Mackie DEF1
-
E. Williams FWD1
-