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Kilmarnock v St. Mirren : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 11th Feb, 19:45 BST, Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

It's a long trek for Stephen Robinson's St. Mirren side on Wednesday evening, as they travel to the Rugby Park for a Premiership meeting with Stuart Kettlewell's Kilmarnock. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our expansive database and found the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Kilmarnock or St. Mirren are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Kilmarnock are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kilmarnock 38%	9/5 2%	17/10 10%
Draw 26%	23/10 10%	12/5 10%
St. Mirren 36%	6/4 2%	6/4 2%
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	5/1 4%
Kilmarnock 1-0 9%	15/2	13/2
St. Mirren 1-0 9%	7/1	13/2 7%
Kilmarnock 2-1 8%	10/1	15/2 11%
St. Mirren 2-1 8%	9/1	8/1 6%
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1 6%	15/2 13%
Kilmarnock 2-0 6%	12/1	10/1 8%
St. Mirren 2-0 6%	11/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	11/1
Kilmarnock 3-1 4%	22/1	18/1 10%
St. Mirren 3-1 4%	20/1	16/1 13%
Kilmarnock 3-0 3%	28/1	20/1 9%
St. Mirren 3-0 3%	22/1 12%	18/1
Kilmarnock 3-2 3%	33/1	25/1
St. Mirren 3-2 3%	33/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	11/10	1/1 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	8/11	8/11 4%
Home 1st Goal 48%	11/10 2%	21/20 5%
Away 1st Goal 48%	10/11 2%	1/1 3%
No 1st Goal 4%	8/1 6%	15/2 13%
BTTS - Yes 55%	4/5	5/6
BTTS - No 45%	19/20	10/11
BTTS - Home Win 18%	5/1	17/4 9%
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2 4%	10/3 3%
BTTS - Away Win 18%	9/2	4/1 4%
Home/draw 64%	1/2	1/2 2%
Away/draw 62%	2/5	4/9 6%
Home/away 74%	1/3 2%	3/10 4%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	4/11	1/3 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	11/5	21/10 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	3/1	13/5 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	1/4	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	7/1	6/1
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/12	1/12 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	16/1	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/40	1/66 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	1/16 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1 6%	15/2 13%
Home DNB 56%	1/1 5%	10/11 7%
Away DNB 54%	8/11 4%	4/5 6%
Kilmarnock win to nil 20%	7/2	-
St. Mirren win to nil 19%	3/1 8%	-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 18%	15/4 6%	16/5 9%
Kilmarnock / St. Mirren 3%	28/1	22/1 10%
Kilmarnock / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Kilmarnock 13%	11/2	5/1 8%
Draw / St. Mirren 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	19/5 11%
St. Mirren / Kilmarnock 3%	28/1	20/1 9%
St. Mirren / St. Mirren 21%	3/1 8%	14/5 1%
St. Mirren / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Kilmarnock have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Kilmarnock have conceded 45 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Kilmarnock have played 12 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

St. Mirren lay in 9th place on 23 points in the Premiership league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 4 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. St. Mirren have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

St. Mirren have played 11 away games, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kilmarnock St. Mirren
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Hearts	25	27	54	l 0-3A	d 1-1A	Mar 14	-	d 2-2F	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	-
2	Rangers	25	24	51	l 0-3A	l 3-1A	-	l 5-1A	d 1-1F	l 2-1A	Mar 15	-
3	Celtic	24	20	48	l 1-2A	l 4-0A	Feb 15	-	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	-	Apr 11
4	Motherwell	24	20	43	l 1-3A	d 2-2F	-	l 4-0A	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	Feb 21	-
5	Hibernian	25	11	39	l 1-3A	d 2-2A	-	Apr 4	l 0-3A	d 1-1F	-	Feb 14
6	Falkirk	25	-3	36	l 0-1A	l 3-1A	-	Feb 28	l 0-2A	w 1-2F	-	Mar 21
7	Aberdeen	24	-7	28	l 0-1A	l 2-1F	w 3-0F	-	l 0-1A	d 3-3F	Apr 4	-
8	Dundee Utd	24	-10	25	d 1-1F	w 0-2F	-	Feb 21	w 2-0F	l 3-1F	-	-
9	St. Mirren	24	-13	23	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	Feb 11	-	-	-	-	-
10	Dundee	24	-18	23	d 0-00-0	l 2-1F	Apr 11	-	w 1-0F	l 3-1F	d 0-00-0	-
11	Kilmarnock	25	-24	17	-	-	-	-	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	-	Feb 11
12	Livingston	25	-27	11	d 2-2F	d 1-1A	Mar 21	-	w 1-0F	d 1-1A	-	Feb 28

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

St. Mirren have not won in 8 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Rangers
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Celtic
Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Livingston
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	3 - 2	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Ross County
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	2 - 4	Rangers
Kilmarnock	3 - 1	St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Dundee Utd

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Rangers
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Motherwell
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Hibernian
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Aberdeen
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Rangers
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hearts
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Celtic
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Falkirk
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Rangers
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Dundee Utd

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Livingston	1 - 1	St. Mirren
Hearts	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Motherwell	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Rangers	2 - 1	St. Mirren
Aberdeen	3 - 3	St. Mirren
Dundee	3 - 1	St. Mirren
Dundee Utd	3 - 1	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Falkirk	1 - 2	St. Mirren
Hibernian	1 - 1	St. Mirren
Celtic	1 - 0	St. Mirren
Celtic	1 - 1	St. Mirren
Dundee Utd	0 - 2	St. Mirren
Dundee	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Motherwell	2 - 2	St. Mirren
Hearts	3 - 1	St. Mirren
Rangers	0 - 2	St. Mirren
Aberdeen	0 - 3	St. Mirren
Celtic	3 - 0	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	St. Mirren	1 - 0	Hearts
H	St. Mirren	0 - 0	Dundee
A	St. Mirren	1 - 1	Livingston
A	St. Mirren	0 - 2	Hearts
H	St. Mirren	0 - 2	Falkirk
A	St. Mirren	0 - 2	Motherwell
A	St. Mirren	1 - 2	Rangers
H	St. Mirren	0 - 0	Kilmarnock
H	St. Mirren	1 - 0	Livingston
H	St. Mirren	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	St. Mirren	3 - 3	Aberdeen
A	St. Mirren	1 - 3	Dundee
H	St. Mirren	0 - 1	Celtic
H	St. Mirren	0 - 3	Hibernian
H	St. Mirren	2 - 2	Hearts
A	St. Mirren	1 - 3	Dundee Utd
H	St. Mirren	0 - 1	Aberdeen
A	St. Mirren	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
H	St. Mirren	1 - 0	Dundee
A	St. Mirren	2 - 1	Falkirk

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Kilmarnock have beaten St. Mirren in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Kilmarnock have not lost to St. Mirren in 9 consecutive home league meetings

Kilmarnock

St. Mirren

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

1 / 9

KIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Kilmarnock	5 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
Kilmarnock	2 - 1

St. Mirren

Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 12

8 / 12

Clean sheets

4 / 12

7 / 12

KIL

MIR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Mirren
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
St. Mirren	5 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
St. Mirren	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
St. Mirren	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
	1 - 2	Kilmarnock

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for St. Mirren of late. It has been 9 Premiership games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Wednesday evening against Kilmarnock.

	Kilmarnock	St. Mirren
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that St. Mirren will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Kilmarnock’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 St. Mirren’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season

14%

better

KIL

MIR

view stats

Games scored	17		13
Failed to score	8		11
Scored first	8		11
Goals scored	24		18
Avg. goals scored	1		0.8
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		11
Conversion rate for	12		9
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.4
KickOff rating		+14%

KIL

MIR

23%

better

view stats

Games conceded	20		17
Clean sheets	5		7
Conceded first	15		10
Goals conceded	48		31
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	18%		15%
Avg. XG against	2.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+23%

Kilmarnock v St. Mirren Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	4	3	8
D Thompson	B Anderson	G Kiltie	B Lyons

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Thompson DEF	25		1	4 1
B Anderson FWD	25	4	2	1 -
R Deas DEF	23	1		7 -
M Dackers FWD	23	2		4 -
B Lyons MID	22	1	1	8 -
D Watson MID	22	3	1	6 1
L Polworth MID	21	1	1	2 -
G Kiltie FWD	21	2	3	3 -
L Mayo DEF	20			2 -
B. Brannan MID	17	1		2 -
T John-Jules FWD	16	4	1	2 -
J Brown DEF	15		2	2 -
E. Brown DEF	13			1 -
T Lowery MID	13			2 1
S Tiffoney FWD	12	1	1	-
G Stanger DEF	11	2		3 1
R McKenzie FWD	11			-
J Thomson MID	10			2 -
M Watkins FWD	8			-
M Stryjek GLK	7			-
Z Williams DEF	7			-
D. Daniels FWD	7	2		2 -
J Brandon DEF	5			1 -
E. Beach GLK	3			-
K Magennis MID	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	15	3	5
B Anderson	T John-Jules	G Kiltie	G Kiltie

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Anderson FWD	4	14	2	1
T John-Jules FWD	4	15	1	3
D Watson MID	3	10	1	2
M Dackers FWD	2	6		3
G Kiltie FWD	2	8	3	5
G Stanger DEF	2	3
D. Daniels FWD	2	3
R Deas DEF	1	5
B Lyons MID	1	8	1	2
L Polworth MID	1	3	1	3
B. Brannan MID	1	2		3
S Tiffoney FWD	1	3	1	2
D Thompson DEF		3	1	4
L Mayo DEF		3
J Brown DEF		1	2	2
E. Brown DEF		1		1
R McKenzie FWD				1
M Watkins FWD		2
Z Williams DEF		1
E. Beach GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
797	42	153
R Deas	D Watson	M Dackers

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Deas DEF	797	31	124
L Mayo DEF	700	26	74
B Lyons MID	655	28	107
L Polworth MID	604	33	67
D Thompson DEF	597	31	78
D Watson MID	469	42	115
J Brown DEF	387	31	71
E. Brown DEF	360	15	49
M Dackers FWD	324	12	153
T John-Jules FWD	294	10	82
G Kiltie FWD	274	16	65
T Lowery MID	260	7	18
G Stanger DEF	252	10	37
B Anderson FWD	244	9	60
M Stryjek GLK	201	1	4
B. Brannan MID	187	21	40
J Thomson MID	148	20	26
Z Williams DEF	145	10	21
S Tiffoney FWD	114	7	28
R McKenzie FWD	110	7	13
J Brandon DEF	105	19	31
E. Beach GLK	87		2
D. Daniels FWD	54	7	17
M Watkins FWD	30	2	14
K Magennis MID	8	1	2

St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	4	5	8
S George	M Mandron	D John	A Gogic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S George GLK	24		1	3 -
K Phillips MID	24	1		6 -
M Mandron FWD	24	4	2	1 -
M Freckleton DEF	23	3	1	4 -
J Richardson DEF	22			1 1
M Fraser DEF	22	1		4 -
D John DEF	22	1	5	1 -
R King DEF	21	1		5 -
A Gogic DEF	21	1		7 1
D N'Lundulu FWD	20	2		2 -
C McMenamin FWD	19	1	1	-
J Ayunga FWD	18	2		-
R Idowu MID	16			4 -
K Baccus MID	13	1		5 -
S Tanser DEF	12		1	-
E. Mooney FWD	11			-
M O'Hara MID	10			1 -
F Taylor MID	9			2 -
L Donnelly MID	9			1 -
M Dijksteel FWD	7			-
T Sobowale DEF	6			-
R Mullen GLK	1			-
J. Calvin FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	16	5	12
M Mandron	M Mandron	D John	D John

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Mandron FWD	4	16	2	3
M Freckleton DEF	3	7	1	2
D N'Lundulu FWD	2	7		3
J Ayunga FWD	2	10
K Phillips MID	1	10		2
M Fraser DEF	1	2
D John DEF	1	2	5	12
R King DEF	1	2		2
A Gogic DEF	1	7		1
C McMenamin FWD	1	7	1	3
K Baccus MID	1	5		1
S George GLK			1
J Richardson DEF		5		2
R Idowu MID		2		1
S Tanser DEF		2	1	1
M O'Hara MID		2		2
L Donnelly MID		2		1
T Sobowale DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1182	48	161
M Freckleton	M Freckleton	M Mandron

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freckleton DEF	1182	48	130
S George GLK	805	1	11
A Gogic DEF	792	29	92
M Fraser DEF	753	45	99
R King DEF	710	20	49
K Phillips MID	661	39	110
D John DEF	571	21	49
M Mandron FWD	427	14	161
K Baccus MID	397	20	47
C McMenamin FWD	372	13	42
J Richardson DEF	336	17	53
D N'Lundulu FWD	202	4	64
R Idowu MID	197	12	36
J Ayunga FWD	192	5	60
M O'Hara MID	180	11	34
L Donnelly MID	128	8	23
F Taylor MID	119	3	13
S Tanser DEF	100	14	27
M Dijksteel FWD	41	2	11
E. Mooney FWD	38	3	7
T Sobowale DEF	33	3	7
R Mullen GLK	6
J. Calvin FWD	1