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Kilmarnock v Aberdeen : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st Jan, 15:00 BST, Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock and their manager Stuart Kettlewell will be aiming to beat Peter Leven and his Aberdeen side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair clash at the Rugby Park in the Premiership. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Premiership matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Kilmarnock and Aberdeen have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Aberdeen coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Kilmarnock
31%
15/8
4%
-
Draw
28%
11/5-
Aberdeen
41%
6/4
6%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Aberdeen 1-0
13%
7/1
7%
-
Kilmarnock 1-0
11%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
8/1-
Aberdeen 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
-
Aberdeen 2-0
8%
11/1
9%
-
Kilmarnock 2-1
7%
10/1-
Kilmarnock 2-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
Aberdeen 3-1
3%
20/1-
Aberdeen 3-0
3%
22/1-
Kilmarnock 3-1
2%
22/1
12%
-
Kilmarnock 3-0
2%
28/1
15%
-
Aberdeen 3-2
2%
28/1-
Kilmarnock 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
44%
21/20
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
10/11
4%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/5-
BTTS - No
54%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
5/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/2
10%
-
Home/draw
59%
1/2
4%
-
Away/draw
69%
2/5
3%
-
Home/away
72%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/1-
Home DNB
51%
1/1
5%
-
Away DNB
60%
8/11
4%
-
Kilmarnock win to nil
19%
7/2
10%
-
Aberdeen win to nil
25%
3/1-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock
18%
7/2
10%
-
Kilmarnock / Aberdeen
3%
28/1
12%
-
Kilmarnock / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Kilmarnock
13%
11/2-
Draw / Aberdeen
14%
5/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Aberdeen / Kilmarnock
3%
28/1-
Aberdeen / Aberdeen
21%
3/1-
Aberdeen / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Premiership table

Kilmarnock have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 6 and won 2. Kilmarnock have conceded 36 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Kilmarnock have played 11 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Aberdeen lay in 8th place on 25 points in the Premiership league table having played 22 matches. Aberdeen are unbeaten in 8 games against teams below them in the league and kept 5 clean sheets out of 8 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Aberdeen have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Aberdeen have played 11 away games, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts222550 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
-
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 28
2
Celtic221844 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
Feb 15
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
Feb 4
-
3
Rangers221744 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 4
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
-
Mar 21
4
Motherwell221437 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2F
-
Jan 24
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 14
5
Hibernian221335 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
-
Apr 4
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 11
-
6
Falkirk22-530 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 28
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 14
-
7
Dundee Utd22-625 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 11
8
Aberdeen22-825 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
Jan 31
-
-
-
-
-
9
Dundee22-1522 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
Apr 11
-
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3F
Feb 21
-
10
St. Mirren21-1418 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 11
-
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
-
Apr 4
11
Kilmarnock22-1914 
-
-
-
-
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
-
Jan 31
12
Livingston21-2010 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Jan 24
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
3
Kilmarnock have lost 3 consecutive home league games
4
Aberdeen have lost 4 consecutive away league games
7
Kilmarnock have not won in 7 consecutive home league games
3
Aberdeen have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Kilmarnock 11TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock1 - 3Hibernian
Kilmarnock0 - 1Falkirk
Kilmarnock0 - 3Rangers
Kilmarnock1 - 1Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock1 - 3Motherwell
Kilmarnock0 - 1Aberdeen
Kilmarnock0 - 3Hearts
Kilmarnock2 - 0St. Mirren
Kilmarnock1 - 2Celtic
Kilmarnock0 - 0Dundee
Kilmarnock2 - 2Livingston
Kilmarnock0 - 1Hearts
Kilmarnock3 - 2Dundee
Kilmarnock2 - 0Ross County
Kilmarnock2 - 0Motherwell
Kilmarnock1 - 1Hibernian
Kilmarnock2 - 4Rangers
Kilmarnock3 - 1St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock1 - 0Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock0 - 0Motherwell
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AKilmarnock1 - 1Livingston
HKilmarnock1 - 3Hibernian
AKilmarnock1 - 2Dundee
AKilmarnock0 - 0St. Mirren
HKilmarnock0 - 1Falkirk
AKilmarnock1 - 2Aberdeen
HKilmarnock0 - 3Rangers
AKilmarnock1 - 1Hearts
HKilmarnock1 - 1Dundee Utd
HKilmarnock1 - 3Motherwell
AKilmarnock0 - 4Celtic
AKilmarnock1 - 3Falkirk
HKilmarnock0 - 1Aberdeen
AKilmarnock1 - 3Rangers
HKilmarnock0 - 3Hearts
HKilmarnock2 - 0St. Mirren
AKilmarnock2 - 0Dundee Utd
HKilmarnock1 - 2Celtic
AKilmarnock2 - 2Motherwell
HKilmarnock0 - 0Dundee
Aberdeen 7TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
6
D
1
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rangers2 - 0Aberdeen
Falkirk1 - 0Aberdeen
Hibernian2 - 0Aberdeen
Celtic3 - 1Aberdeen
Dundee1 - 3Aberdeen
Livingston0 - 1Aberdeen
Kilmarnock0 - 1Aberdeen
St. Mirren0 - 1Aberdeen
Motherwell2 - 0Aberdeen
Dundee Utd2 - 0Aberdeen
Hearts2 - 0Aberdeen
Dundee Utd2 - 1Aberdeen
Rangers4 - 0Aberdeen
St. Mirren1 - 0Aberdeen
Ross County0 - 1Aberdeen
St. Johnstone0 - 0Aberdeen
Celtic5 - 1Aberdeen
Dundee1 - 2Aberdeen
Hibernian2 - 0Aberdeen
Rangers3 - 0Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAberdeen0 - 2Rangers
AAberdeen0 - 2Rangers
AAberdeen0 - 1Falkirk
AAberdeen0 - 2Hibernian
HAberdeen1 - 1Dundee Utd
AAberdeen1 - 3Celtic
HAberdeen2 - 1Kilmarnock
AAberdeen3 - 1Dundee
HAberdeen3 - 3St. Mirren
AAberdeen1 - 0Livingston
HAberdeen1 - 0Hearts
HAberdeen1 - 1Motherwell
AAberdeen1 - 0Kilmarnock
HAberdeen1 - 2Hibernian
AAberdeen1 - 0St. Mirren
HAberdeen4 - 0Dundee
AAberdeen0 - 2Motherwell
AAberdeen0 - 2Dundee Utd
HAberdeen0 - 0Livingston
HAberdeen0 - 1Falkirk
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Aberdeen have beaten Kilmarnock in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Kilmarnock since 2014
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
16
29
Games: Scored
9 / 18
14 / 18
Clean sheets
4 / 18
9 / 18
KIL
4
D
2
ABD
12
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
0 - 1Aberdeen
Kilmarnock4 - 0
Kilmarnock2 - 0
Kilmarnock2 - 0
Kilmarnock2 - 1
0 - 2Aberdeen
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Aberdeen
1 - 2Aberdeen
0 - 2Aberdeen
1 - 3Aberdeen
1 - 2Aberdeen
0 - 4Aberdeen
0 - 4Aberdeen
1 - 2Aberdeen
0 - 2Aberdeen
0 - 1Aberdeen
League games at Aberdeen since 2013
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
34
11
Games: Scored
16 / 19
10 / 19
Clean sheets
9 / 19
3 / 19
KIL
2
D
2
ABD
15
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aberdeen
Aberdeen2 - 1
Aberdeen1 - 0
Aberdeen2 - 0
0 - 1Kilmarnock
Aberdeen2 - 0
Aberdeen4 - 1
Aberdeen1 - 0
Aberdeen1 - 0
Aberdeen3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Kilmarnock
Aberdeen3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Aberdeen5 - 1
Aberdeen2 - 1
Aberdeen2 - 0
Aberdeen1 - 0
Aberdeen2 - 1
Aberdeen2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Kilmarnock of late. It has been 15 Premiership games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Aberdeen.

Kilmarnock 11th Aberdeen 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Aberdeen will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Kilmarnock have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-44
Aberdeen have scored 44% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Kilmarnock
PG (predicted goals)
Aberdeen
1
1.2
Attack rating
10%
better
KIL
ABD
view stats
Games scored15
12
Failed to score7
10
Scored first7
7
Goals scored20
20
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
KIL
ABD
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
16
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first13
14
Goals conceded39
28
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
12%
Avg. XG against2
1.6
KickOff rating
+16%

Kilmarnock v Aberdeen Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19328
D ThompsonB AndersonG KiltieB Lyons
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Thompson DEF221
3
-
B Anderson FWD2231
1
-
M Dackers FWD212
4
-
R Deas DEF201
7
-
D Watson MID2031
5
1
L Mayo DEF19
2
-
B Lyons MID191
8
-
L Polworth MID1811
2
-
G Kiltie FWD1812
3
-
B. Brannan MID161
2
-
J Brown DEF152
2
-
T John-Jules  FWD133
1
-
T Lowery MID12
1
-
S Tiffoney FWD1211
-
G Stanger DEF112
3
1
E. Brown DEF10
-
R McKenzie FWD9
-
J Thomson MID8
2
-
M Watkins FWD8
-
M Stryjek GLK7
-
D. Daniels FWD72
2
-
Z Williams DEF6
-
J Brandon DEF5
1
-
E. Beach GLK3
-
K Magennis MID3
1
-
Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22535
D MitovJ KarlssonS ArmstrongM Knoester
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitov GLK22
2
-
J Milne DEF21
1
-
M Knoester DEF21
5
-
T Keskinen FWD2111
1
-
N Devlin DEF201
4
1
A Aouchiche MID203
5
-
G Shinnie MID191
3
-
K Nisbet FWD1911
1
-
M Lazetić FWD1941
4
-
S Armstrong MID1813
5
-
D Polvara MID181
1
-
J Karlsson FWD185
2
-
A Jensen DEF17
2
-
N. Milanovic FWD12
1
-
L Clarkson MID11
2
-
E. Gyamfi DEF91
1
-
K Bilalovic FWD92
-
S Nilsen MID8
2
-
A. Dorrington DEF6
-
G Molloy DEF6
1
-
A Palaversa MID51
2
-
K Kjartansson MID41
-
K Yengi FWD4
1
-
K Tobers DEF1
1
-