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Kilmarnock v Aberdeen : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 29th Oct, 19:45 BST, Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock and Aberdeen go head to head at the Rugby Park on Wednesday evening, with both Stuart Kettlewell and Jimmy Thelin aiming for victory in the Premiership. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Kilmarnock and Aberdeen during the standard 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kilmarnock 44%	2.45	-
Draw 28%	3.30	-
Aberdeen 28%	2.80	-
Kilmarnock 1-0 14%	8.00	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.50	-
Draw 0-0 11%	9.50	-
Aberdeen 1-0 10%	9.00	-
Kilmarnock 2-0 9%	12.00	-
Kilmarnock 2-1 8%	10.00	-
Aberdeen 2-1 6%	11.00	-
Aberdeen 2-0 5%	13.00	-
Draw 2-2 4%	15.00	-
Kilmarnock 3-0 4%	23.00	-
Kilmarnock 3-1 4%	21.00	-
Aberdeen 3-1 2%	23.00	-
Kilmarnock 3-2 2%	29.00	-
Aberdeen 3-0 2%	29.00	-
Aberdeen 3-2 1%	34.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	2.00	-
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	1.80	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	1.91	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	2.05	-
No 1st Goal 7%	9.50	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	1.80	-
BTTS - No 55%	1.95	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	5.00	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	5.50	-
Home/draw 72%	1.40	-
Away/draw 56%	1.53	-
Home/away 72%	1.33	-
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1.33	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	3.40	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	3.50	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1.30	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	7.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1.10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	15.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.03	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1.06	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	9.50	-
Home DNB 63%	1.73	-
Away DNB 48%	2.00	-
Kilmarnock win to nil 27%	4.00	-
Aberdeen win to nil 17%	5.00	-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 21%	4.00	-
Kilmarnock / Aberdeen 3%	29.00	-
Kilmarnock / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / Kilmarnock 14%	6.00	-
Draw / Aberdeen 13%	6.50	-
Draw / Draw 17%	5.00	-
Aberdeen / Kilmarnock 3%	26.00	-
Aberdeen / Aberdeen 18%	4.50	-
Aberdeen / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Kilmarnock have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premiership league table. Kilmarnock are unbeaten in 4 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 4 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Kilmarnock have outscored their opponents by 11 goals to 5 goals.

Home League Performance

Kilmarnock have played 5 games at home winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 5 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Aberdeen are in 11th position in the Premiership on 7 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 1 goal in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Aberdeen have conceded 9 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kilmarnock Aberdeen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Hearts	8	13	22	l 0-3A	Dec 3	Mar 14	-	Nov 23	l 2-0A	-	Feb 28
2	Celtic	8	6	17	l 1-2A	Nov 9	Feb 14	-	l 0-2A	Dec 21	Feb 4	-
3	Hibernian	8	4	11	Jan 3	d 2-2A	-	Apr 4	Oct 26	Dec 30	Apr 11	-
4	Dundee Utd	8	1	10	Nov 29	w 0-2F	-	Feb 21	Dec 27	l 2-0A	-	Feb 11
5	Kilmarnock	8	0	10	-	-	-	-	Dec 14	Oct 29	-	Jan 31
6	Rangers	8	-1	9	Dec 6	Oct 26	-	Feb 4	Jan 10	Nov 1	-	Jan 6
7	St. Mirren	8	-2	9	w 2-0F	Dec 27	Feb 11	-	Dec 3	w 0-1F	-	Apr 4
8	Falkirk	8	-4	9	Dec 20	Nov 1	-	Feb 28	l 0-1A	Jan 3	Mar 14	-
9	Dundee	9	-5	9	d 0-00-0	Dec 30	Apr 11	-	w 4-0F	Dec 6	Feb 21	-
10	Motherwell	8	0	8	Nov 22	d 2-2F	-	Jan 24	Nov 9	l 2-0A	-	Feb 14
11	Aberdeen	8	-4	7	Oct 29	Dec 14	Jan 31	-	-	-	-	-
12	Livingston	9	-8	6	d 2-2F	Jan 10	Mar 21	-	d 0-00-0	Nov 30	Jan 24	-

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Celtic
Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Livingston
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	3 - 2	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Ross County
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	2 - 4	Rangers
Kilmarnock	3 - 1	St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Ross County
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	4 - 0	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hearts
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee
Kilmarnock	0 - 2	Celtic

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Celtic
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Motherwell
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Hibernian
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Hearts
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Motherwell
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 2	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Johnstone
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Ross County
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Celtic
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Motherwell
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	St. Mirren
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hibernian
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Ross County
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 4	Rangers
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Mirren	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Dundee Utd	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Hearts	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Dundee Utd	2 - 1	Aberdeen
Rangers	4 - 0	Aberdeen
St. Mirren	1 - 0	Aberdeen
Ross County	0 - 1	Aberdeen
St. Johnstone	0 - 0	Aberdeen
Celtic	5 - 1	Aberdeen
Dundee	1 - 2	Aberdeen
Hibernian	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Rangers	3 - 0	Aberdeen
Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Dundee Utd	1 - 0	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	4 - 0	Aberdeen
Hearts	1 - 1	Aberdeen
Hibernian	3 - 3	Aberdeen
St. Mirren	2 - 1	Aberdeen
Celtic	2 - 2	Aberdeen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Aberdeen	1 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Aberdeen	4 - 0	Dundee
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Motherwell
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Dundee Utd
H	Aberdeen	0 - 0	Livingston
H	Aberdeen	0 - 1	Falkirk
H	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Celtic
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Hearts
A	Aberdeen	1 - 2	Dundee Utd
H	Aberdeen	1 - 5	Celtic
A	Aberdeen	0 - 4	Rangers
A	Aberdeen	0 - 1	St. Mirren
H	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Hibernian
H	Aberdeen	2 - 2	Rangers
A	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Ross County
H	Aberdeen	4 - 1	Motherwell
A	Aberdeen	0 - 0	St. Johnstone
H	Aberdeen	2 - 2	Dundee Utd
A	Aberdeen	1 - 5	Celtic
H	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Kilmarnock

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Kilmarnock have beaten Aberdeen in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Kilmarnock have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Aberdeen

Kilmarnock

Aberdeen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 17

13 / 17

Clean sheets

4 / 17

8 / 17

KIL

ABD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock	4 - 0
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Kilmarnock	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Aberdeen
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
	1 - 3	Aberdeen
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 4	Aberdeen
	0 - 4	Aberdeen
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 1	Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

15 / 18

9 / 18

Clean sheets

9 / 18

3 / 18

KIL

ABD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aberdeen
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
Aberdeen	2 - 0
Aberdeen	4 - 1
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Aberdeen	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Aberdeen	5 - 1
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	2 - 0
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Kilmarnock 5th	Aberdeen 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Aberdeen scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Kilmarnock’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-45 Aberdeen have scored 45% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season

50%

better

KIL

ABD

view stats

Games scored	6		2
Failed to score	2		6
Scored first	4		2
Goals scored	11		5
Avg. goals scored	1.4		0.6
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		15
Conversion rate for	20		7
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+50%

better

KIL

ABD

view stats

Games conceded	5		5
Clean sheets	3		3
Conceded first	3		5
Goals conceded	11		9
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.9		1.1
KickOff rating		0%

Kilmarnock v Aberdeen Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	3	1	3
L Mayo	D Watson	D Thompson	R Deas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Thompson DEF	8		1	-
L Mayo DEF	8			1 -
L Polworth MID	8	1	1	-
D Watson MID	8	3	1	2 -
M Dackers FWD	8	1		2 -
B Anderson FWD	8	1		1 -
M Stryjek GLK	7			-
R Deas DEF	7	1		3 -
D. Daniels FWD	7	2		2 -
G Stanger DEF	6	1		1 1
B Lyons MID	6		1	3 -
G Kiltie FWD	6		1	1 -
R McKenzie FWD	6			-
B. Brannan MID	5	1		1 -
J Brandon DEF	4			1 -
J Brown DEF	4		1	-
E. Brown DEF	3			-
K Magennis MID	3			1 -
M Watkins FWD	3			-
Z Williams DEF	2			-
T Lowery MID	2			-
E. Beach GLK	1			-
J Thomson MID	1			-
S Tiffoney FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	1	3
D Watson	D Watson	D Thompson	L Polworth

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Watson MID	3	8	1	1
D. Daniels FWD	2	3
L Polworth MID	1	1	1	3
M Dackers FWD	1	4		2
B Anderson FWD	1	5
R Deas DEF	1	2
G Stanger DEF	1	1
B. Brannan MID	1	2		1
D Thompson DEF			1	2
B Lyons MID		3	1	1
G Kiltie FWD			1	2
R McKenzie FWD				1
J Brown DEF			1	1
E. Brown DEF				1
M Watkins FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
312	19	79
L Mayo	L Polworth	M Dackers

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Mayo DEF	312	13	30
L Polworth MID	277	19	38
R Deas DEF	221	10	24
M Stryjek GLK	201	1	4
M Dackers FWD	170	7	79
D Watson MID	159	18	52
D Thompson DEF	127	5	20
G Stanger DEF	123	6	21
B Lyons MID	120	4	18
E. Brown DEF	110	6	9
J Brandon DEF	92	16	28
B. Brannan MID	85	12	21
J Brown DEF	83	11	19
G Kiltie FWD	74	4	16
B Anderson FWD	63	5	18
D. Daniels FWD	54	7	17
T Lowery MID	51	2	8
R McKenzie FWD	43	4	8
E. Beach GLK	26
Z Williams DEF	15	1	3
K Magennis MID	8	1	2
M Watkins FWD	4	1	5
J Thomson MID	4	2	2
S Tiffoney FWD	2

Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	2	1	2
D Mitov	J Karlsson	M Lazetić	A Aouchiche

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Mitov GLK	8			1 -
A Jensen DEF	8			1 -
A Aouchiche MID	8	1		2 -
T Keskinen FWD	8			1 -
J Milne DEF	7			1 -
M Knoester DEF	7			2 -
G Shinnie MID	7			-
D Polvara MID	7			-
N Devlin DEF	6			1 1
A. Dorrington DEF	5			-
L Clarkson MID	5			-
S Nilsen MID	5			1 -
J Karlsson FWD	5	2		-
K Nisbet FWD	5			1 -
M Lazetić FWD	5	1	1	2 -
N. Milanovic FWD	5			1 -
E. Gyamfi DEF	4	1		-
S Armstrong MID	4		1	2 -
A Palaversa MID	4		1	2 -
K Yengi FWD	4			1 -
G Molloy DEF	2			-
K Bilalovic FWD	2			-
K Tobers DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	1	3
J Karlsson	J Karlsson	M Lazetić	J Karlsson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Karlsson FWD	2	6		3
A Aouchiche MID	1	3
M Lazetić FWD	1	1	1
E. Gyamfi DEF	1	1
A Jensen DEF		2
T Keskinen FWD		4
D Polvara MID		1
N Devlin DEF		1
A. Dorrington DEF				1
L Clarkson MID				1
K Nisbet FWD		4		1
N. Milanovic FWD		2		1
S Armstrong MID		1	1	2
A Palaversa MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
405	20	40
M Knoester	G Shinnie	A Jensen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Knoester DEF	405	9	35
J Milne DEF	330	5	19
D Mitov GLK	306		9
A Jensen DEF	287	15	40
G Shinnie MID	213	20	40
A Aouchiche MID	194	3	25
S Nilsen MID	169	5	16
A. Dorrington DEF	160	5	11
S Armstrong MID	160	4	8
N Devlin DEF	158	5	17
L Clarkson MID	133	8	12
J Karlsson FWD	127	2	21
E. Gyamfi DEF	104	7	16
D Polvara MID	96	6	28
A Palaversa MID	95	4	12
N. Milanovic FWD	76	5	21
T Keskinen FWD	67	5	21
K Nisbet FWD	60	2	15
K Yengi FWD	26	1	8
K Tobers DEF	25	2	2
G Molloy DEF	23	3	6
M Lazetić FWD	13		6
K Bilalovic FWD	9	1	3