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Motherwell v Kilmarnock : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 15:00 BST, Fir Park, Motherwell

Jens Berthel Askou and Stuart Kettlewell pit their wits in the Premiership on Saturday afternoon, as Motherwell face Kilmarnock at the Fir Park. For every Premiership match preview, KickOff delves into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Motherwell to win

After looking at the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding both sides ahead of this Premiership clash, a bet on win / draw / win for Motherwell to win in front of their own fans is our recommendation. We predict they will be too strong for Kilmarnock, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It may not all be plain sailing, but Motherwell winning is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motherwell are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Motherwell
63%
12/25-
Draw
22%
29/10-
Kilmarnock
15%
6/1-
Motherwell 1-0
14%
5/1-
Motherwell 2-0
13%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2-
Motherwell 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
17/2-
Motherwell 3-0
8%
9/1-
Kilmarnock 1-0
6%
14/1-
Motherwell 3-1
6%
12/1-
Kilmarnock 2-1
4%
20/1-
Motherwell 4-0
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1-
Motherwell 4-1
3%
22/1-
Kilmarnock 2-0
2%
33/1-
Motherwell 3-2
2%
28/1-
Motherwell 5-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
59%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
36%
11/5-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
43%
21/20-
BTTS - No
57%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
14/1-
Home/draw
85%
1/10-
Away/draw
37%
13/8-
Home/away
78%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
17/2-
Home DNB
79%
1/7-
Away DNB
30%
9/2-
Motherwell win to nil
40%
5/4-
Kilmarnock win to nil
9%
10/1-
Motherwell / Motherwell
37%
5/4-
Motherwell / Kilmarnock
2%
40/1-
Motherwell / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Motherwell
21%
3/1-
Draw / Kilmarnock
6%
12/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Kilmarnock / Motherwell
4%
22/1-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock
7%
11/1-
Kilmarnock / Draw
4%
18/1-
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Motherwell have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 7 and lost 1 match. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Motherwell have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Motherwell have played 11 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Kilmarnock are in 11th position in the Premiership on 14 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 6 and won 2. Kilmarnock have conceded 36 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts202244 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
-
Apr 11
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
-
2
Celtic211741 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2A
-
Mar 14
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
Feb 15
-
3
Rangers211541 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
Feb 11
-
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 4
4
Motherwell221437 
-
-
-
-
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2F
-
Jan 24
5
Hibernian221335 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
-
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
-
Apr 4
6
Falkirk21-430 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
-
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 28
7
Dundee Utd22-625 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 28
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 21
8
Aberdeen21-625 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
-
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
Jan 31
-
9
Dundee21-1422 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
-
Feb 4
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
Apr 11
-
10
St. Mirren20-1218 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
-
Feb 21
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 11
-
11
Kilmarnock22-1914 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-3F
Jan 24
-
-
-
-
-
12
Livingston21-2010 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
-
Jan 31
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
4
Motherwell have won 4 consecutive home league games
7
Motherwell have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
7
Motherwell have kept a clean sheet for 7 consecutive home league games
Motherwell 4TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Kilmarnock 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Motherwell have not lost to Kilmarnock in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Motherwell since 2013
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
30
20
Games: Scored
16 / 21
15 / 21
Clean sheets
6 / 21
5 / 21
MTW
10
D
6
KIL
5
League games at Kilmarnock since 2013
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
20
18
Games: Scored
12 / 18
12 / 18
Clean sheets
6 / 18
6 / 18
MTW
8
D
3
KIL
7
Goal Statistics

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Kilmarnock fans, as should a 14 Premiership games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Motherwell 4th Kilmarnock 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Kilmarnock scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Motherwell have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-16
Kilmarnock have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Motherwell
PG (predicted goals)
Kilmarnock
1.8
0.7
Attack rating
25%
better
MTW
KIL
view stats
Games scored16
14
Failed to score5
7
Scored first11
7
Goals scored30
19
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
12
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
47%
better
MTW
KIL
view stats
Games conceded10
17
Clean sheets11
4
Conceded first6
12
Goals conceded16
38
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against9%
18%
Avg. XG against1.2
2.1
KickOff rating
+47%

Motherwell v Kilmarnock Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221055
C WardT MaswanhiseE JustE Watt
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ward GLK22
-
I Said FWD221
1
-
E Longelo DEF2143
3
-
L Fadinger MID211
1
-
J. Koutroumbis DEF201
1
-
P McGinn DEF20
2
-
E Watt MID2042
5
-
S O'Donnell DEF191
1
-
E Just FWD1935
-
T Maswanhise FWD19102
1
-
A Stamatelopoulos FWD1862
1
-
C Slattery MID1722
4
-
S Welsh DEF15
2
-
C Hendry FWD15
3
-
O. Priestman MID14
1
-
R Charles-Cook FWD141
1
-
T Sparrow MID13
-
L Gordon DEF12
3
-
D Osong FWD8
-
K Balmer DEF5
-
L Ross FWD4
-
A Halliday  MID2
-
J McGhee DEF1
-
Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19328
D ThompsonB AndersonG KiltieB Lyons
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Thompson DEF221
3
-
B Anderson FWD2231
1
-
M Dackers FWD212
4
-
R Deas DEF201
7
-
D Watson MID2031
5
1
L Mayo DEF19
2
-
B Lyons MID191
8
-
L Polworth MID1811
2
-
G Kiltie FWD1812
3
-
B. Brannan MID161
2
-
J Brown DEF152
2
-
T John-Jules  FWD133
1
-
T Lowery MID12
1
-
S Tiffoney FWD1211
-
G Stanger DEF112
3
1
E. Brown DEF10
-
R McKenzie FWD9
-
J Thomson MID8
2
-
M Watkins FWD8
-
M Stryjek GLK7
-
D. Daniels FWD72
2
-
Z Williams DEF6
-
J Brandon DEF5
1
-
E. Beach GLK3
-
K Magennis MID3
1
-