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St. Mirren v Kilmarnock : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Smisa Stadium, Greenhill Road

Stephen Robinson and Stuart Kettlewell pit their wits in the Premiership on Saturday afternoon, as St. Mirren face Kilmarnock at The Smisa Stadium. Premiership stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets via the tabs.

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St. Mirren's next match is v Aberdeen at 19:45 on Tuesday 12th May
Kilmarnock's next match is v Dundee at 19:45 on Tuesday 12th May
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between St. Mirren and Kilmarnock was on Saturday 9th May 2026
Scottish Premiership
May 9th 2026
St. Mirren 0
3 Kilmarnock
 
9' (OG)M. Freckleton
46' F. Curtis
68' F. Curtis
 
MIR
KIL
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
1
4
Possession
59%
41%
Fouls
11
11
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
St. MirrenKilmarnock
 
L. Donnelly
M. O'Hara (J. Young 46')
R. Idowu (L. Douglas 74')
J. Devaney
M. Mandron
C. McMenamin (S. Tanser 14')
A. Campbell (J. Richardson 46')
R. Sinclair
M. Freckletonfootball icon
M. Fraser
K. Phillips
M. Stryjek
D. Thompson
R. Deas
G. Stanger
(R. McKenzie 79') G. Kiltie
T. Lowery
(L. Mayo 54') M. Schjonning-Larsen
A. Tshibola
(D. Watson 46') N. Serghei Clescenco
(B. Anderson 79') J. Hugill
(K. Magennis 87') football iconfootball iconF. Curtis

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. St. Mirren and Kilmarnock have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Mirren are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Mirren
52%
1/11/50
Draw
26%
23/10150/1
Kilmarnock
22%
13/51/1000
St. Mirren 1-0
14%
13/211/2
Draw 1-1
12%
5/13/1
St. Mirren 2-0
10%
17/215/2
St. Mirren 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
9%
17/27/1
Kilmarnock 1-0
8%
10/111/4
Kilmarnock 2-1
5%
12/129/10
St. Mirren 3-0
5%
18/114/1
St. Mirren 3-1
5%
16/120/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/110/1
Kilmarnock 2-0
4%
18/16/5
St. Mirren 3-2
2%
28/133/1
St. Mirren 4-0
2%
40/125/1
St. Mirren 4-1
2%
33/150/1
Kilmarnock 3-1
2%
28/15/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
1/13/5
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/56/5
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/118/11
Away 1st Goal
40%
11/829/20
No 1st Goal
6%
17/27/1
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/59/2
BTTS - No
54%
19/202/15
BTTS - Home Win
20%
10/31/50
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/3100/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
13/217/4
Home/draw
78%
2/7100/1
Away/draw
48%
4/51/50
Home/away
74%
1/31/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
3/102/9
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
5/214/5
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5/213/5
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
3/101/4
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/216/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/91/200
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/160/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/331/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/17/1
Home DNB
70%
4/91/50
Away DNB
40%
13/81/50
St. Mirren win to nil
32%
5/2-
Kilmarnock win to nil
13%
11/2-
St. Mirren / St. Mirren
25%
9/445/1
St. Mirren / Kilmarnock
3%
33/1100/1
St. Mirren / Draw
6%
12/180/1
Draw / St. Mirren
16%
4/114/1
Draw / Kilmarnock
10%
7/120/1
Draw / Draw
16%
4/114/1
Kilmarnock / St. Mirren
4%
22/111/2
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock
14%
5/18/11
Kilmarnock / Draw
6%
14/127/10
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Relegation Group table

St. Mirren have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 37 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

St. Mirren have played 17 games at home winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Kilmarnock are in 11th position in the Premiership on 28 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 39 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 8 and won 6. Kilmarnock have conceded 63 goals, scored 35, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS Date HOME AWAY HOME AWAY Date
1
Dundee Utd33-940 
-
w
 
3-0F
-
-
2
Aberdeen33-1533 
-
-
l
 
1-0A
-
3
Dundee33-1933 
-
May 12
-
-
4
St. Mirren33-2130 
-
-
w
 
0-3F
-
5
Kilmarnock33-2828 
-
-
-
-
6
Livingston33-3116 
-
-
May 17
-
Win / draw / win form
3
St. Mirren have lost 3 consecutive league games
3
Kilmarnock have lost 3 consecutive away league games
14
Kilmarnock have not won in 14 consecutive away league games
3
St. Mirren have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games
St. Mirren 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Mirren0 - 2Livingston
St. Mirren2 - 0Aberdeen
St. Mirren0 - 1Rangers
St. Mirren0 - 5Motherwell
St. Mirren1 - 0Hearts
St. Mirren0 - 0Dundee
St. Mirren0 - 2Falkirk
St. Mirren0 - 0Kilmarnock
St. Mirren1 - 0Livingston
St. Mirren2 - 0Dundee Utd
St. Mirren0 - 1Celtic
St. Mirren0 - 3Hibernian
St. Mirren2 - 2Hearts
St. Mirren0 - 1Aberdeen
St. Mirren1 - 0Dundee
St. Mirren1 - 1Rangers
St. Mirren0 - 0Motherwell
St. Mirren2 - 2Hibernian
St. Mirren1 - 0Aberdeen
St. Mirren2 - 2Rangers
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Mirren0 - 1Dundee
HSt. Mirren0 - 2Livingston
ASt. Mirren0 - 1Celtic
HSt. Mirren2 - 0Aberdeen
ASt. Mirren2 - 1Falkirk
HSt. Mirren0 - 1Rangers
ASt. Mirren1 - 2Dundee Utd
ASt. Mirren1 - 1Livingston
HSt. Mirren0 - 5Motherwell
ASt. Mirren0 - 2Hibernian
ASt. Mirren3 - 4Kilmarnock
HSt. Mirren1 - 0Hearts
HSt. Mirren0 - 0Dundee
ASt. Mirren1 - 1Livingston
ASt. Mirren0 - 2Hearts
HSt. Mirren0 - 2Falkirk
ASt. Mirren0 - 2Motherwell
ASt. Mirren1 - 2Rangers
HSt. Mirren0 - 0Kilmarnock
HSt. Mirren1 - 0Livingston
Kilmarnock 11TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aberdeen1 - 0Kilmarnock
Hibernian3 - 0Kilmarnock
Falkirk5 - 1Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd1 - 1Kilmarnock
Rangers5 - 1Kilmarnock
Motherwell4 - 0Kilmarnock
Livingston1 - 1Kilmarnock
Dundee2 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren0 - 0Kilmarnock
Aberdeen2 - 1Kilmarnock
Hearts1 - 1Kilmarnock
Celtic4 - 0Kilmarnock
Falkirk3 - 1Kilmarnock
Rangers3 - 1Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd0 - 2Kilmarnock
Motherwell2 - 2Kilmarnock
Hibernian2 - 2Kilmarnock
Motherwell3 - 0Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone0 - 2Kilmarnock
Celtic5 - 1Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HKilmarnock3 - 0Dundee Utd
AKilmarnock0 - 1Aberdeen
HKilmarnock2 - 2Dundee
AKilmarnock0 - 3Hibernian
HKilmarnock2 - 0Livingston
HKilmarnock1 - 0Hearts
AKilmarnock1 - 5Falkirk
AKilmarnock1 - 1Dundee Utd
HKilmarnock2 - 3Celtic
HKilmarnock4 - 3St. Mirren
AKilmarnock1 - 5Rangers
HKilmarnock3 - 0Aberdeen
AKilmarnock0 - 4Motherwell
AKilmarnock1 - 1Livingston
HKilmarnock1 - 3Hibernian
AKilmarnock1 - 2Dundee
AKilmarnock0 - 0St. Mirren
HKilmarnock0 - 1Falkirk
AKilmarnock1 - 2Aberdeen
HKilmarnock0 - 3Rangers
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at St. Mirren since 2018
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
11
11
Games: Scored
5 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
7 / 12
MIR
3
D
3
KIL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Mirren
Draw0 - 0Draw
St. Mirren5 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Kilmarnock
0 - 1Kilmarnock
0 - 2Kilmarnock
Draw0 - 0Draw
St. Mirren2 - 0
0 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren1 - 0
0 - 1Kilmarnock
1 - 2Kilmarnock
League games at Kilmarnock since 2018
Kilmarnock
St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
21
11
Games: Scored
9 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
1 / 10
D
4
KIL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock4 - 3
Kilmarnock2 - 0
Kilmarnock2 - 0
Kilmarnock5 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Kilmarnock1 - 0
Kilmarnock2 - 1
Goal Statistics
St. Mirren 10th Kilmarnock 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that St. Mirren will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Kilmarnock scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-42
St. Mirren have scored 42% fewer goals at home than predicted
-13
Kilmarnock have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
St. Mirren
PG (predicted goals)
Kilmarnock
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
MIR
KIL
22%
better
view stats
Games scored18
25
Failed to score17
10
Scored first14
13
Goals scored27
40
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
8%
better
MIR
KIL
view stats
Games conceded27
27
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first18
20
Goals conceded51
66
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
2
KickOff rating
+8%

St. Mirren v Kilmarnock Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36449
K PhillipsM FreckletonM MandronK Phillips
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sinclair GLK3
-
M Fraser  DEF291
4
-
L Donnelly DEF161
3
-
M Freckleton DEF3541
7
-
M O'Hara MID211
1
-
J. Devaney MID11
1
-
A Campbell MID10
1
-
C McMenamin MID2611
1
-
K Phillips FWD363
9
-
M Mandron FWD3444
4
-
R Idowu FWD25
5
-
Subs
G. Tamosevicius GLK
-
J Richardson DEF33
1
1
S Tanser DEF2114
-
R King DEF301
7
1
T. Falconer DEF
-
J. Calvin FWD5
-
J Young FWD121
1
L. Douglas FWD1
-
Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
334611
R DeasG KiltieG KiltieR Deas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Stryjek GLK10
-
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF162
1
-
G Stanger DEF182
6
1
R Deas DEF3421
11
-
D Thompson DEF
-
G Kiltie MID3246
4
-
A Tshibola MID12
3
-
T Lowery MID191
3
1
F. Curtis FWD1241
1
-
J Hugill FWD1342
2
-
N Clescenco FWD4
-
Subs
K Wright GLK
-
Z Williams DEF7
-
L Mayo DEF23
2
-
L Polworth MID2911
3
-
R McKenzie MID18
-
D Watson MID3231
8
1
K Magennis MID6
2
-
B Anderson FWD3442
2
-
M Watkins FWD1311
-