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St. Mirren v Kilmarnock : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Smisa Stadium, Greenhill Road

Stephen Robinson and Derek McInnes meet in the Premiership on Saturday afternoon, as St. Mirren face Kilmarnock at The Smisa Stadium. Below you'll find unique stats for every major market, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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St. Mirren's next match is v Motherwell at 15:00 on Saturday 28th September
Kilmarnock's next match is v Dundee Utd at 15:00 on Saturday 28th September
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between St. Mirren and Kilmarnock was on Saturday 14th September 2024
Scottish Premiership
September 14th 2024
St. Mirren 2
2 Kilmarnock
 
T. Olusanya 7'11' M. Watkins
M. O'Hara 41'71' (OG)J. Ayunga
 
MIR
KIL
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
5
6
Corners
3
10
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
15
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/1
 
St. MirrenKilmarnock
 
E. Balcombe
R. Taylor (E. Bwomono 58')
M. Fraser
J. Brown
S. Rooney
C. Boyd Munce (D. Adeniran 74')
A. Gogić
R. Idowu (K. van Veen 73')
M. O'Harafootball icon
T. Olusanyafootball icon (J. Scott 46')
M. Mandron (J. Ayunga 20')
K. O'Hara
S. Findlay
J. Wright
(R. Deas 89') C. Ndaba
D. Watson
J. Burroughs
L. Polworth
(B. Anderson 89') K. Vassell
(F. Murray 85') M. Kennedy
D. Armstrong
football iconM. Watkins
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. St. Mirren and Kilmarnock have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Mirren are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Mirren
39%
27/20
4%
29/20
9%
Draw
27%
11/5
6%
21/10
6%
Kilmarnock
34%
2/1
18%
21/10
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
St. Mirren 1-0
11%
6/1
7%
11/2
Kilmarnock 1-0
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
6%
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
11%
11/2
13%
St. Mirren 2-1
8%
9/18/1
6%
Kilmarnock 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
9/1
St. Mirren 2-0
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
Kilmarnock 2-0
6%
14/1
25%
11/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
St. Mirren 3-1
4%
20/116/1
13%
St. Mirren 3-0
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
Kilmarnock 3-1
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Kilmarnock 3-0
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
12%
St. Mirren 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Kilmarnock 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
13/10
5%
5/4
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/13
3%
4/7
6%
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/10
10%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/201/1
5%
BTTS - No
51%
4/53/4
4%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/217/4
14%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
5%
17/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1
17%
5/1
Home/draw
66%
4/11
9%
4/11
2%
Away/draw
61%
4/7
3%
11/20
4%
Home/away
73%
4/11
5%
7/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/54/9
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
2/117/10
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
10/3
8%
16/5
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/9
2%
1/5
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/1
13%
15/2
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
1/16
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/116/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
1%
1/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
Home DNB
58%
4/6
9%
4/6
4%
Away DNB
53%
11/10
15%
11/10
5%
St. Mirren win to nil
23%
11/4
6%
-
Kilmarnock win to nil
19%
7/2
4%
-
St. Mirren / St. Mirren
21%
3/1
8%
14/5
6%
St. Mirren / Kilmarnock
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
St. Mirren / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / St. Mirren
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
Draw / Kilmarnock
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
16/5
5%
Kilmarnock / St. Mirren
3%
28/122/1
10%
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock
16%
4/1
11%
19/5
4%
Kilmarnock / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premiership table
St. Mirren
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Kilmarnock
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Mar 1
-
l
 
0-3A
Jan 5
 Celtic51415 
Nov 9
l
 
4-0A
-
Apr 12
-
Jan 25
Nov 23
l
 
3-1A
 Aberdeen5715 
Dec 26
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 22
-
Feb 22
Dec 26
Oct 26
 Rangers5510 
Oct 20
Dec 4
Feb 26
-
Jan 11
-
Oct 5
Nov 30
 Dundee Utd528 
Sep 28
Dec 7
Feb 1
-
-
Mar 15
Dec 7
Sep 28
 Motherwell517 
Nov 2
Dec 21
Apr 5
-
-
Apr 5
Dec 29
d
 
2-2F
 Dundee506 
Nov 30
Oct 5
-
Jan 11
-
-
-
-
 St. Mirren H5-25 
Jan 2
d
 
2-2A
-
Mar 29
Feb 15
-
w
 
3-0F
Nov 9
 Hibernian5-35 
d
 
1-1A
Dec 29
Mar 15
-
Apr 12
-
Nov 2
Dec 21
 Ross County5-55 
Jan 5
Oct 26
-
Mar 1
Feb 1
-
Oct 30
Dec 14
 St. Johnstone5-33 
l
 
0-3A
Nov 23
Feb 15
-
Mar 29
-
d
 
2-2F
Jan 2
 Kilmarnock A5-92 
-
-
-
-
-
Feb 26
Dec 4
Oct 19
 Hearts5-71 
Dec 14
Oct 30
-
Jan 25
Win / draw / win form
St. Mirren 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
St. Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
St. Mirren2 - 2Hearts
St. Mirren0 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren1 - 2Rangers
St. Mirren1 - 2Hearts
St. Mirren2 - 1Aberdeen
St. Mirren2 - 0St. Johnstone
St. Mirren2 - 0Dundee
St. Mirren0 - 1Rangers
St. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
St. Mirren0 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren0 - 0Motherwell
St. Mirren2 - 0Ross County
St. Mirren1 - 0Livingston
St. Mirren2 - 2Hibernian
St. Mirren4 - 0St. Johnstone
St. Mirren0 - 3Rangers
St. Mirren1 - 0Hearts
St. Mirren2 - 2Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Mirren2 - 2Dundee
HSt. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
ASt. Mirren1 - 3Aberdeen
HSt. Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
ASt. Mirren2 - 3Celtic
HSt. Mirren2 - 2Hearts
HSt. Mirren0 - 1Kilmarnock
ASt. Mirren3 - 1Dundee
HSt. Mirren1 - 2Rangers
ASt. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
HSt. Mirren1 - 2Hearts
ASt. Mirren1 - 1Motherwell
ASt. Mirren2 - 5Kilmarnock
HSt. Mirren2 - 1Aberdeen
ASt. Mirren1 - 1Ross County
HSt. Mirren2 - 0St. Johnstone
ASt. Mirren0 - 1Livingston
HSt. Mirren2 - 0Dundee
ASt. Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
HSt. Mirren0 - 1Rangers
Kilmarnock 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aberdeen2 - 0Kilmarnock
Celtic4 - 0Kilmarnock
Dundee1 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren0 - 1Kilmarnock
Rangers4 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone0 - 2Kilmarnock
Hearts1 - 1Kilmarnock
Dundee2 - 2Kilmarnock
Celtic1 - 1Kilmarnock
Motherwell1 - 1Kilmarnock
Rangers3 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren0 - 1Kilmarnock
Livingston0 - 0Kilmarnock
Aberdeen0 - 1Kilmarnock
Ross County0 - 0Kilmarnock
Hibernian1 - 0Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone2 - 1Kilmarnock
Celtic3 - 1Kilmarnock
Dundee2 - 2Kilmarnock
Motherwell2 - 1Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HKilmarnock1 - 1Hibernian
AKilmarnock0 - 2Aberdeen
HKilmarnock0 - 3St. Johnstone
AKilmarnock0 - 4Celtic
AKilmarnock1 - 1Dundee
HKilmarnock0 - 5Celtic
AKilmarnock1 - 0St. Mirren
AKilmarnock1 - 4Rangers
HKilmarnock0 - 0Hearts
AKilmarnock2 - 0St. Johnstone
HKilmarnock1 - 0Ross County
AKilmarnock1 - 1Hearts
HKilmarnock5 - 2St. Mirren
AKilmarnock2 - 2Dundee
HKilmarnock1 - 2Rangers
HKilmarnock2 - 0Aberdeen
AKilmarnock1 - 1Celtic
HKilmarnock1 - 0Livingston
AKilmarnock1 - 1Motherwell
HKilmarnock2 - 2Hibernian
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Kilmarnock have beaten St. Mirren in 3 consecutive league meetings
8
Kilmarnock have not lost to St. Mirren in 8 consecutive league meetings
4
Kilmarnock have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive away league meetings with St. Mirren
League games at St. Mirren since 2018
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
4
8
Games: Scored
3 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
6 / 9
MIR
2
D
1
KIL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Mirren
0 - 1Kilmarnock
0 - 1Kilmarnock
0 - 2Kilmarnock
Draw0 - 0Draw
St. Mirren2 - 0
0 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren1 - 0
0 - 1Kilmarnock
1 - 2Kilmarnock
League games at Kilmarnock since 2018
Kilmarnock
St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
D
4
KIL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock5 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Kilmarnock1 - 0
Kilmarnock2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Kilmarnock of late. It has been 9 Premiership matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against St. Mirren.

St. Mirren 7th Kilmarnock 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that St. Mirren will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
St. Mirren’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
Kilmarnock have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281899/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
St. Mirren
PG (predicted goals)
Kilmarnock
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
68%
better
MIR
KIL
view stats
Games scored3
1
Failed to score1
3
Scored first2
0
Goals scored6
1
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.3
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal5
30
Conversion rate for22
3
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+68%
Defence rating
30%
better
MIR
KIL
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first2
4
Goals conceded8
10
Avg. goals conceded2
2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against21%
21%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+30%

St. Mirren v Kilmarnock Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5323
E BalcombeT OlusanyaJ BrownS Rooney
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Balcombe GLK5
-
M Fraser  DEF51
-
A Gogic DEF5
1
-
R Taylor DEF4
1
-
C Boyd-Munce MID41
-
S Rooney MID5
3
-
R Idowu MID51
1
-
M O'Hara MID31
1
-
J Brown MID52
1
-
T Olusanya FWD53
1
-
M Mandron FWD51
1
-
Subs
P Urminsky GLK
-
L Kenny DEF
-
E Bwomono DEF3
1
-
S Tanser DEF3
1
-
D Adeniran MID4
2
-
O Smyth MID32
-
K Veen FWD1
-
J Ayunga FWD5
-
J Scott FWD32
-
Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
S FindlayM WatkinsD ArmstrongJ Wright
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K O'Hara GLK3
-
J Burroughs DEF2
-
J Wright DEF3
1
1
S Findlay DEF5
-
C Ndaba DEF3
2
-
D Armstrong MID51
1
-
D Watson MID5
1
-
L Polworth MID4
1
-
M Kennedy MID5
2
-
K Vassell FWD4
-
M Watkins FWD31
-
Subs
R McCrorie GLK2
-
R Deas DEF3
1
-
O. Bainbridge DEF2
-
R McKenzie MID4
-
G Mackay-Steven  MID2
-
F Murray MID4
-
I Cameron FWD4
-
B Anderson FWD31
-
B Wales FWD2
-