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Atletico de Madrid v Osasuna : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

It's an away match for Alessio Dionisi's Osasuna side on Saturday night, as they head to the Wanda Metropolitano for a La Liga tie with Diego Simeone's Atletico de Madrid. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.


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Best Tip: A.Madrid to win

We're predicting A.Madrid will be victorious come the end of the 90 mins on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Wanda Metropolitano.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
69%
1.381.40
3%
Draw
19%
4.50
4%
4.60
5%
Osasuna
12%
8.00
11%
8.00
7%
A.Madrid 2-0
13%
6.005.75
4%
A.Madrid 1-0
12%
6.005.50
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
8.508.00
7%
A.Madrid 3-0
9%
8.508.00
6%
Draw 1-1
9%
9.00
6%
8.00
A.Madrid 3-1
7%
13.00
8%
11.00
Draw 0-0
6%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
A.Madrid 4-0
5%
17.0013.00
13%
Osasuna 1-0
4%
17.00
11%
13.00
A.Madrid 4-1
4%
23.0017.00
11%
Draw 2-2
4%
23.00
10%
19.00
12%
Osasuna 2-1
3%
23.00
12%
19.00
12%
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
A.Madrid 5-0
2%
34.0023.00
12%
Osasuna 2-0
2%
41.0029.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.911.85
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1.911.85
1%
Home 1st Goal
60%
1.361.35
1%
Away 1st Goal
36%
3.40
3%
3.75
4%
No 1st Goal
3%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
BTTS - Yes
46%
2.20
5%
2.20
2%
BTTS - No
54%
1.62
3%
1.62
2%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.60
3%
3.50
BTTS - Draw
13%
6.50
8%
6.00
BTTS - Away Win
6%
17.0013.00
Home/draw
88%
1.08
1%
1.08
1%
Away/draw
31%
3.002.88
7%
Home/away
81%
1.18
2%
1.20
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.291.29
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3.753.40
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
3.40
6%
3.10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.33
2%
1.33
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6.005.75
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.131.11
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.0011.00
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.041.03
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
1.05
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
Home DNB
82%
1.13
3%
1.11
1%
Away DNB
25%
6.00
14%
5.75
10%
A.Madrid win to nil
42%
2.10-
Osasuna win to nil
6%
13.00-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
40%
2.052.05
5%
A.Madrid / Osasuna
2%
51.0041.00
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
17.0017.00
13%
Draw / A.Madrid
21%
4.003.90
Draw / Osasuna
5%
17.0013.00
Draw / Draw
13%
6.505.75
Osasuna / A.Madrid
4%
23.00
10%
19.00
Osasuna / Osasuna
6%
15.0011.00
Osasuna / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the La Liga league table. A.Madrid are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have scored in every game. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 15 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 5 goals at home.

Osasuna are in 12th position in the La Liga on 10 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Osasuna have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 3 games.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 1 goal in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Osasuna have conceded 8 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Osasuna
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid87011021 
w
 
5-2F
Mar 22
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
2
Barcelona86111319 
Apr 5
Jan 11
May 3
Dec 14
3
Villarreal8512616 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
Feb 1
l
 
2-1F
4
Real Betis8431515 
Feb 8
Oct 27
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
5
A.Madrid8341513 
-
-
May 13
Oct 18
6
Sevilla8413413 
Nov 2
Apr 12
Apr 19
Nov 9
7
Elche8341213 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
8
A.Bilbao8413013 
Apr 19
Dec 7
Jan 4
Apr 22
9
Espanyol8332012 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1F
May 17
l
 
1-0A
10
Alaves8323111 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1F
Dec 21
Apr 5
11
Getafe8323-211 
Mar 15
Nov 23
w
 
2-1A
May 24
12
Osasuna8314-110 
Oct 18
May 13
-
-
13
Levante8224-18 
Nov 9
Feb 1
Dec 7
May 10
14
R.Vallecano8224-28 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 15
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
15
Valencia8224-48 
Dec 14
May 3
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
16
Celta8062-36 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
Oct 26
Feb 8
17
Real Oviedo8206-106 
Nov 30
Mar 1
Jan 18
Nov 2
18
Girona8134-126 
May 17
Dec 21
Mar 22
Jan 11
19
R.Sociedad8125-55 
Mar 8
Jan 4
Nov 23
Mar 15
20
Mallorca8125-65 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Nov 30
Win / draw / win form
3
A.Madrid have won 3 consecutive home league games
4
Osasuna have lost 4 consecutive away league games
8
A.Madrid have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
7
Osasuna have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
A.Madrid 5TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
A.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 1Elche
A.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
A.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 1Celta
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
HA.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
HA.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
AA.Madrid1 - 1Mallorca
HA.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
AA.Madrid1 - 1Alaves
HA.Madrid1 - 1Elche
AA.Madrid1 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid4 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid0 - 2Osasuna
HA.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid0 - 0Alaves
HA.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
AA.Madrid0 - 1Las Palmas
HA.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
AA.Madrid2 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
AA.Madrid1 - 2Getafe
Osasuna 12TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
9
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Betis2 - 0Osasuna
Villarreal2 - 1Osasuna
Espanyol1 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
Alaves1 - 1Osasuna
Real Betis1 - 1Osasuna
Villarreal4 - 2Osasuna
Valladolid2 - 3Osasuna
Leganes1 - 1Osasuna
A.Bilbao0 - 0Osasuna
Barcelona3 - 0Osasuna
Celta1 - 0Osasuna
Mallorca1 - 1Osasuna
Las Palmas1 - 1Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
Espanyol0 - 0Osasuna
Sevilla1 - 1Osasuna
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
R.Sociedad0 - 2Osasuna
Getafe1 - 1Osasuna
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HOsasuna2 - 1Getafe
AOsasuna0 - 2Real Betis
HOsasuna1 - 1Elche
AOsasuna1 - 2Villarreal
HOsasuna2 - 0R.Vallecano
AOsasuna0 - 1Espanyol
HOsasuna1 - 0Valencia
AOsasuna0 - 1Real Madrid
AOsasuna1 - 1Alaves
HOsasuna2 - 0Espanyol
HOsasuna2 - 0A.Madrid
AOsasuna1 - 1Real Betis
AOsasuna2 - 4Villarreal
HOsasuna1 - 0Sevilla
AOsasuna3 - 2Valladolid
HOsasuna2 - 1Girona
AOsasuna1 - 1Leganes
AOsasuna0 - 0A.Bilbao
AOsasuna0 - 3Barcelona
HOsasuna1 - 2Getafe
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Madrid since 2017
A.Madrid
Osasuna
Goals: Scored
13
5
Games: Scored
7 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
0 / 7
ATM
6
OSA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0
1 - 4Osasuna
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 0
League games at Osasuna since 2016
Osasuna
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
3
17
Games: Scored
2 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
5 / 7
ATM
6
OSA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Osasuna
Osasuna2 - 0
0 - 2A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
0 - 3A.Madrid
1 - 3A.Madrid
0 - 5A.Madrid
0 - 3A.Madrid
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Atletico de Madrid in their meeting with Osasuna, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 24 consecutive La Liga matches.

A.Madrid 5th Osasuna 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that A.Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Osasuna scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
A.Madrid have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-20
Osasuna have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Osasuna
2.1
0.7
Attack rating
53%
better
ATM
OSA
view stats
Games scored7
4
Failed to score0
3
Scored first7
4
Goals scored14
5
Avg. goals scored1.8
0.6
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for18
10
Avg. XG for1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+53%
Defence rating
ATM
OSA
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first0
3
Goals conceded9
7
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
10
Conversion rate against21%
10%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+7%

A.Madrid v Osasuna La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8623
J OblakJ ÁlvarezM LlorenteA Sörloth
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK8
-
D Hancko DEF81
-
R Normand DEF81
2
-
M Llorente DEF82
2
-
C Gallagher MID81
1
-
P Barrios MID81
-
J Álvarez FWD861
1
-
A Griezmann FWD81
-
G Simeone FWD812
1
-
Koke MID71
2
-
A Sörloth FWD72
2
1
M Ruggeri DEF6
1
-
J Galán DEF5
-
N Molina DEF5
-
C Lenglet DEF5
2
1
N González FWD51
1
-
G Raspadori FWD5
-
Johnny MID3
2
-
Álex Baena FWD31
1
-
T Almada FWD3
-
M Pubill DEF2
-
Osasuna La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8213
S HerreraA BudimirA CatenaL Torró
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Herrera GLK8
-
F Boyomo DEF8
1
-
A Catena DEF811
1
-
L Torró MID8
3
-
Moncayola MID81
1
-
A Budimir FWD82
-
R García FWD81
-
V. Muñoz Villanueva FWD811
1
-
J Cruz DEF7
-
V Rosier DEF71
2
1
A Bretones DEF61
1
1
R García FWD61
-
M Gómez FWD6
1
-
J Herrando DEF5
-
K Barja FWD5
1
-
A Oroz MID4
1
-
I Benito FWD31
1
-
S Becker FWD3
-
I Muñoz MID1
-