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Rayo Vallecano v Alaves : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Oct, 20:00 BST, Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

We’ve La Liga action to look forward to on Sunday night, as Iñigo Pérez Soto and his Rayo Vallecano side host Eduardo Coudet’s Alaves at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head-to-head history later on in the preview.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Iñigo Pérez Soto and Eduardo Coudet to batten down the hatches here, but we certainly don't expect to see a glut of goals as R.Vallecano and Alaves go head-to-head. The statistics belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.53 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives R.Vallecano and Alaves an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
50%
19/20
3%
-
Draw
27%
12/5-
Alaves
23%
3/1
7%
-
R.Vallecano 1-0
14%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
R.Vallecano 2-0
10%
7/1-
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1
7%
-
R.Vallecano 2-1
9%
17/2-
Alaves 1-0
9%
15/2-
Alaves 2-1
5%
14/1-
R.Vallecano 3-0
5%
16/1
13%
-
R.Vallecano 3-1
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Alaves 2-0
4%
18/1-
R.Vallecano 3-2
2%
40/1-
R.Vallecano 4-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Alaves 3-1
2%
40/1-
R.Vallecano 4-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
6/4
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
8/15
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
8/5
1%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
6/1
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
6/5-
BTTS - No
56%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/2
5%
-
Home/draw
77%
2/9-
Away/draw
50%
4/5
2%
-
Home/away
73%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1
7%
-
Home DNB
69%
2/5
3%
-
Away DNB
42%
7/4
8%
-
R.Vallecano win to nil
32%
7/4-
Alaves win to nil
14%
5/1-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
26%
11/5
3%
-
R.Vallecano / Alaves
2%
40/1-
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / R.Vallecano
18%
15/4
6%
-
Draw / Alaves
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2-
Alaves / R.Vallecano
3%
28/1-
Alaves / Alaves
12%
6/1
7%
-
Alaves / Draw
5%
16/1-
Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Vallecano have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league. R.Vallecano are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. R.Vallecano are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won zero. R.Vallecano have conceded 8 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 3 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

R.Vallecano have played 3 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 2 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Alaves lay in 10th place on 11 points in the La Liga league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 3 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Alaves have conceded 3 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Alaves have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Vallecano
Alaves
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid87011021 
Nov 9
Feb 1
Dec 14
Apr 22
2
Barcelona86111319 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
May 13
Nov 30
3
Villarreal8512616 
May 17
Nov 2
Mar 15
Jan 11
4
Real Betis8431515 
Dec 14
Feb 22
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
5
A.Madrid8341513 
Feb 15
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
6
Sevilla8413413 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 8
l
 
1-2A
Feb 15
7
Elche8341213 
Apr 5
Dec 21
w
 
3-1F
May 10
8
A.Bilbao8413013 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
0-1F
9
Espanyol8332012 
Apr 22
Dec 7
Nov 2
Feb 1
10
Alaves8323111 
Oct 26
May 24
-
-
11
Getafe8323-211 
Jan 4
May 3
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
12
Osasuna8314-110 
Jan 25
l
 
2-0A
Apr 5
Dec 21
13
Levante8224-18 
Mar 15
Oct 19
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
14
R.Vallecano8224-28 
-
-
May 24
Oct 26
15
Valencia8224-48 
Nov 30
May 13
Oct 20
Mar 8
16
Celta8062-36 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
Nov 23
Mar 22
17
Real Oviedo8206-106 
Feb 8
Nov 23
Jan 4
May 17
18
Girona8134-126 
May 10
w
 
1-3F
Feb 22
Nov 9
19
R.Sociedad8125-55 
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
Dec 7
Apr 12
20
Mallorca8125-65 
Jan 11
Apr 12
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
5
R.Vallecano have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
R.Vallecano 14TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Alaves 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at R.Vallecano since 2018
R.Vallecano
Alaves
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
VAL
3
ALV
1
League games at Alaves since 2019
Alaves
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
VAL
2
ALV
2
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Alaves look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Rayo Vallecano have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive La Liga matches, and it could be a long night for Eduardo Coudet's men.

R.Vallecano 14th Alaves 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that R.Vallecano will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Alaves scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
R.Vallecano have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-1
Alaves’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
Alaves
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
%
better
VAL
ALV
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
VAL
ALV
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

R.Vallecano v Alaves La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8223
A BatallaÁlvaro GarcíaI PalazónP Chavarría
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK8
1
-
A Rațiu DEF81
2
-
F Lejeune DEF8
2
-
P Chavarría DEF81
3
-
P Ciss MID8
2
-
P Díaz MID8
-
U López MID81
2
-
Álvaro García FWD821
1
-
I Palazón FWD812
3
-
J Frutos FWD721
-
Óscar Valentín MID6
-
A Espino DEF51
-
A Alemão FWD5
-
F Pérez FWD51
-
S Camello FWD5
2
1
L Felipe DEF4
1
-
G Gumbau MID4
-
J Vertrouwd DEF3
-
Óscar Trejo MID3
2
-
R Nteka MID3
-
I Balliu DEF2
1
-
Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8333
A SiveraC VicenteC AleñáA Blanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK8
-
J Castro DEF8
2
-
C Aleñá MID83
-
P Ibáñez MID8
2
-
T Martínez FWD821
-
C Vicente FWD83
-
N Tenaglia DEF71
1
-
V. Parada González DEF7
2
-
A Blanco MID7
3
-
M Díaz FWD7
1
-
F Garcés DEF6
2
-
D Suárez MID6
-
A Rebbach FWD6
1
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF5
1
-
Calebe MID5
1
-
A Guevara MID51
-
J Guridi MID5
-
L Boyé FWD51
-
J Pacheco DEF4
1
-
M Diarra DEF3
1
-
C Benavídez MID1
-