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Rayo Vallecano v Mallorca : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Jan, 13:00 BST, Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

Jagoba Arrasate Elustondo is aiming for a precious away win in the La Liga on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his Mallorca side to the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas to visit Rayo Vallecano and Iñigo Pérez Soto. We've analysed both teams' last 20 La Liga matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a thriller here. The stats suggest R.Vallecano and Mallorca both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think R.Vallecano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
47%
3/4
3%
-
Draw
29%
12/5
3%
-
Mallorca
24%
15/4
10%
-
R.Vallecano 1-0
16%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
13%
13/2
7%
-
R.Vallecano 2-0
10%
13/2
7%
-
Mallorca 1-0
10%
9/1
10%
-
R.Vallecano 2-1
8%
8/1-
Mallorca 2-1
5%
16/1-
R.Vallecano 3-0
4%
12/1
13%
-
Mallorca 2-0
4%
22/1-
R.Vallecano 3-1
3%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1
10%
-
Mallorca 3-1
1%
40/1-
R.Vallecano 3-2
1%
33/1-
R.Vallecano 4-0
1%
28/1
15%
-
Mallorca 3-0
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
13/10
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
8/13
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
13/2
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
40%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - No
60%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/1
9%
-
Home/draw
76%
1/6
3%
-
Away/draw
53%
1/1
5%
-
Home/away
71%
3/10
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
7/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
10/3
4%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
2/9
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
8/1
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/14
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
18/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/12
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
13/2
14%
-
Home DNB
68%
2/7
4%
-
Away DNB
44%
5/2
10%
-
R.Vallecano win to nil
32%
13/8-
Mallorca win to nil
16%
6/1
14%
-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
29%
15/8
5%
-
R.Vallecano / Mallorca
2%
40/1-
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / R.Vallecano
19%
7/2
4%
-
Draw / Mallorca
9%
17/2
5%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4-
Mallorca / R.Vallecano
3%
25/1-
Mallorca / Mallorca
10%
7/1-
Mallorca / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Vallecano have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 1. R.Vallecano have conceded 18 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

R.Vallecano have played 7 games at home, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Mallorca lay in 13th place on 18 points in the La Liga league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 3 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Mallorca have conceded 3 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Mallorca have played 9 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Vallecano
Mallorca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1815123146 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
l
 
0-3A
Feb 8
2
Real Madrid1813322042 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 1
Apr 5
l
 
2-1F
3
A.Madrid1811431737 
Feb 15
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
4
Villarreal1611231635 
May 17
l
 
4-0A
May 10
l
 
2-1A
5
Espanyol171034533 
Apr 22
l
 
1-0A
Mar 15
l
 
3-2A
6
Real Betis177731028 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
Feb 15
l
 
3-0A
7
Celta17584123 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
8
A.Bilbao18729-823 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Jan 17
l
 
2-1A
9
Elche17575322 
Apr 5
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 22
10
Sevilla17629-220 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 8
Feb 1
w
 
1-3A
11
Getafe17629-920 
Jan 2
May 3
w
 
1-0F
May 13
12
Osasuna17539-318 
Jan 25
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
Mar 8
13
Mallorca17467-518 
Jan 11
Apr 12
-
-
14
Alaves17539-618 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
15
R.Vallecano17467-718 
-
-
Apr 12
Jan 11
16
R.Sociedad17458-417 
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
17
Valencia17377-1016 
d
 
1-1F
May 13
Apr 22
d
 
1-1F
18
Girona17368-1815 
May 10
w
 
1-3F
Jan 4
May 3
19
Real Oviedo172510-1911 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
20
Levante162410-1210 
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
May 17
Win / draw / win form
R.Vallecano 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Betis
R.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
R.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
R.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
R.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
R.Vallecano0 - 0Mallorca
R.Vallecano2 - 2Real Betis
R.Vallecano1 - 0Getafe
R.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
R.Vallecano0 - 4Espanyol
R.Vallecano2 - 2R.Sociedad
R.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
R.Vallecano0 - 1Villarreal
R.Vallecano1 - 0Valladolid
R.Vallecano2 - 1Girona
R.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
R.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Elche
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Betis
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Espanyol
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
AR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Oviedo
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Villarreal
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
AR.Vallecano3 - 0Levante
AR.Vallecano1 - 0R.Sociedad
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
AR.Vallecano2 - 3A.Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
AR.Vallecano0 - 2Osasuna
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
AR.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano3 - 1Girona
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Mallorca
AR.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
HR.Vallecano2 - 2Real Betis
Mallorca 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Valencia1 - 1Mallorca
Real Oviedo0 - 0Mallorca
Villarreal2 - 1Mallorca
Real Betis3 - 0Mallorca
Sevilla1 - 3Mallorca
A.Bilbao2 - 1Mallorca
R.Sociedad1 - 0Mallorca
Espanyol3 - 2Mallorca
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
R.Vallecano0 - 0Mallorca
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Girona1 - 0Mallorca
Barcelona1 - 0Mallorca
R.Sociedad0 - 2Mallorca
Valencia1 - 0Mallorca
A.Bilbao1 - 1Mallorca
Sevilla1 - 1Mallorca
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
Villarreal4 - 0Mallorca
Getafe0 - 1Mallorca
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMallorca1 - 1Valencia
HMallorca3 - 1Elche
AMallorca0 - 0Real Oviedo
HMallorca2 - 2Osasuna
AMallorca1 - 2Villarreal
HMallorca1 - 0Getafe
AMallorca0 - 3Real Betis
HMallorca1 - 1Levante
AMallorca3 - 1Sevilla
AMallorca1 - 2A.Bilbao
HMallorca1 - 0Alaves
AMallorca0 - 1R.Sociedad
HMallorca1 - 1A.Madrid
AMallorca2 - 3Espanyol
AMallorca1 - 2Real Madrid
HMallorca1 - 1Celta
HMallorca0 - 3Barcelona
AMallorca0 - 0R.Vallecano
HMallorca1 - 2Getafe
AMallorca1 - 2Real Madrid
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Mallorca have not lost to R.Vallecano in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at R.Vallecano since 2016
R.Vallecano
Mallorca
Goals: Scored
7
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
VAL
2
D
2
MLL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Mallorca
R.Vallecano3 - 1
1 - 3Mallorca
R.Vallecano1 - 0
League games at Mallorca since 2017
Mallorca
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
10
4
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
VAL
1
MLL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mallorca
Mallorca1 - 0
Mallorca2 - 1
Mallorca3 - 0
Mallorca2 - 1
0 - 1R.Vallecano
Mallorca2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Rayo Vallecano of late. It has been 8 La Liga games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Mallorca.

R.Vallecano 15th Mallorca 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that R.Vallecano will score no more than 1 goal
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Mallorca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
R.Vallecano have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
-21
Mallorca have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
Mallorca
1.3
0.8
Attack rating
VAL
MLL
30%
better
view stats
Games scored8
13
Failed to score9
4
Scored first5
6
Goals scored13
19
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal14
7
Conversion rate for7
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
17%
better
VAL
MLL
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded20
24
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+17%

R.Vallecano v Mallorca La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17426
A BatallaJ FrutosP ChavarríaU López
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK17
3
-
F Lejeune DEF17
3
-
P Chavarría DEF1712
4
-
Álvaro García FWD1731
2
-
A Rațiu DEF161
4
-
I Palazón FWD1612
5
-
U López MID152
5
1
Óscar Valentín MID15
1
-
J Frutos FWD1541
1
-
P Ciss MID14
3
1
P Díaz MID14
-
F Pérez FWD141
1
-
A Espino DEF111
-
G Gumbau MID111
1
-
A Alemão FWD111
1
-
S Camello FWD11
2
1
N Mendy DEF91
3
-
I Balliu DEF8
3
-
L Felipe DEF6
1
-
J Vertrouwd DEF4
-
Óscar Trejo MID4
2
-
R Nteka MID4
-
Mallorca La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17946
A RaílloV MuriqiJ. Virgili TenasS Costa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Raíllo DEF171
2
-
J Palacio DEF173
2
-
M Valjent DEF17
1
-
S Darder MID171
2
-
M Joseph FWD1621
2
-
V Muriqi FWD169
1
1
P Torre MID152
1
-
M Morlanes MID141
2
1
S Costa MID143
6
-
P Maffeo DEF131
4
-
A Sánchez MID13
3
1
L Román GLK12
2
-
J. Virgili Tenas FWD124
-
T Asano FWD121
2
-
M Bauzà DEF111
2
-
O Mascarell MID1011
2
-
M. Domenech FWD71
-
J Llabrés FWD7
-
A Prats FWD7
-
L Bergström GLK5
1
-
M Kumbulla DEF5
-
T Lato DEF4
-
D Rodríguez MID2
-
D. López Guijarro DEF1
-