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Rayo Vallecano v Valencia CF : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 1st Dec, 20:00 BST, Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

Monday night at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, and it’s a La Liga showdown between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia CF. Iñigo Pérez Soto and Carlos Corberán Vallet will be doing all they can to guide their side to victory. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the biggest markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Iñigo Pérez Soto and Carlos Corberán Vallet to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a glut of goals as R.Vallecano and Valencia go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.73 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think R.Vallecano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
58%
19/20
8%
-
Draw
25%
9/4
4%
-
Valencia
16%
3/1
11%
-
R.Vallecano 1-0
16%
6/1
8%
-
R.Vallecano 2-0
13%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
10%
8/1-
R.Vallecano 2-1
9%
15/2-
Valencia 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
-
R.Vallecano 3-0
7%
14/1-
R.Vallecano 3-1
5%
14/1-
Valencia 2-1
4%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
14/1-
R.Vallecano 4-0
3%
33/1
17%
-
Valencia 2-0
3%
20/1
9%
-
R.Vallecano 4-1
2%
33/1-
R.Vallecano 3-2
2%
28/1-
Valencia 3-1
1%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
11/10
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
8/11
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/6
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
6/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
40%
10/11-
BTTS - No
60%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
10/3
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
8/1-
Home/draw
84%
2/9
3%
-
Away/draw
42%
4/5
8%
-
Home/away
75%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/1-
Home DNB
76%
1/3-
Away DNB
34%
9/4-
R.Vallecano win to nil
39%
9/4
8%
-
Valencia win to nil
10%
6/1
13%
-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
28%
2/1
4%
-
R.Vallecano / Valencia
2%
33/1-
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / R.Vallecano
17%
15/4-
Draw / Valencia
10%
15/2
6%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Valencia / R.Vallecano
4%
22/1-
Valencia / Valencia
12%
6/1
7%
-
Valencia / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Vallecano have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. R.Vallecano have outscored their opponents by 12 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

R.Vallecano have played 5 games at home winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 3 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Valencia are in 17th position in the La Liga on 10 points having played 12 matches so far this season. Valencia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 4 of those games.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Valencia have conceded 17 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Vallecano
Valencia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid1210111631 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 1
Feb 8
l
 
4-0A
2
Barcelona129121728 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
May 24
l
 
6-0A
3
Villarreal128221426 
May 17
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 22
4
A.Madrid127411325 
Feb 15
l
 
3-2A
May 3
Dec 13
5
Real Betis12552620 
Dec 15
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
Feb 1
6
Espanyol12534018 
Apr 22
Dec 7
Jan 25
d
 
2-2F
7
A.Bilbao12525-117 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 10
8
Getafe12525-217 
Jan 4
May 3
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
9
Sevilla12516-116 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 8
Dec 7
Mar 22
10
Alaves12435015 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
11
Elche12363-115 
Apr 5
Dec 21
Jan 11
Apr 12
12
R.Vallecano12435-215 
-
-
May 13
Dec 1
13
Celta12273-313 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
Apr 5
Jan 4
14
R.Sociedad12345-313 
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 17
15
Mallorca12336-612 
Jan 11
Apr 12
Dec 21
Apr 22
16
Osasuna12327-411 
Jan 25
l
 
2-0A
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
17
Valencia12246-1010 
Dec 1
May 13
-
-
18
Girona12246-1310 
May 10
w
 
1-3F
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
19
Levante12237-79 
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
Nov 21
Feb 15
20
Real Oviedo12228-138 
Feb 8
Nov 23
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
Win / draw / win form
8
Valencia have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
R.Vallecano 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
R.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
R.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
R.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
R.Vallecano0 - 0Mallorca
R.Vallecano2 - 2Real Betis
R.Vallecano1 - 0Getafe
R.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
R.Vallecano0 - 4Espanyol
R.Vallecano2 - 2R.Sociedad
R.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
R.Vallecano0 - 1Villarreal
R.Vallecano1 - 0Valladolid
R.Vallecano2 - 1Girona
R.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
R.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano1 - 3Las Palmas
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Villarreal
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
AR.Vallecano3 - 0Levante
AR.Vallecano1 - 0R.Sociedad
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
AR.Vallecano2 - 3A.Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
AR.Vallecano0 - 2Osasuna
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
AR.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano3 - 1Girona
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Mallorca
AR.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
HR.Vallecano2 - 2Real Betis
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Las Palmas
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Getafe
AR.Vallecano0 - 3A.Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
AR.Vallecano1 - 3A.Bilbao
Valencia 17TH
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid4 - 0Valencia
Alaves0 - 0Valencia
Girona2 - 1Valencia
Espanyol2 - 2Valencia
Barcelona6 - 0Valencia
Osasuna1 - 0Valencia
Real Betis1 - 1Valencia
Alaves1 - 0Valencia
Las Palmas2 - 3Valencia
R.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
Girona1 - 1Valencia
Osasuna3 - 3Valencia
Villarreal1 - 1Valencia
Barcelona7 - 1Valencia
Sevilla1 - 1Valencia
Espanyol1 - 1Valencia
Valladolid1 - 0Valencia
Mallorca2 - 1Valencia
Getafe1 - 1Valencia
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HValencia1 - 1Real Betis
AValencia0 - 4Real Madrid
HValencia0 - 2Villarreal
AValencia0 - 0Alaves
AValencia1 - 2Girona
HValencia1 - 2Real Oviedo
AValencia2 - 2Espanyol
HValencia2 - 0A.Bilbao
AValencia0 - 6Barcelona
HValencia3 - 0Getafe
AValencia0 - 1Osasuna
HValencia1 - 1R.Sociedad
AValencia1 - 1Real Betis
HValencia0 - 1A.Bilbao
AValencia0 - 1Alaves
HValencia3 - 0Getafe
AValencia3 - 2Las Palmas
HValencia1 - 1Espanyol
AValencia1 - 1R.Vallecano
HValencia1 - 0Sevilla
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Valencia
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
VAL
2
D
4
VAL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Valencia
R.Vallecano2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Vallecano2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Valencia since 2014
Valencia
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
VAL
1
D
4
VAL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Valencia
0 - 1R.Vallecano
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Valencia3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Valencia3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Rayo Vallecano have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.6 against Valencia CF on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A truly dismal PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Valencia CF fans, as should a 6 La Liga games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

R.Vallecano 12th Valencia 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that R.Vallecano will score 1 or more goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of Valencia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
R.Vallecano have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Valencia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
Valencia
1.6
0.7
Attack rating
VAL
VAL
4%
better
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score5
5
Scored first4
5
Goals scored12
11
Avg. goals scored1
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
15%
better
VAL
VAL
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded14
21
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+15%

R.Vallecano v Valencia La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12424
A BatallaJ FrutosP ChavarríaA Rațiu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK12
1
-
A Rațiu DEF121
4
-
F Lejeune DEF12
2
-
P Chavarría DEF1212
3
-
P Ciss MID12
2
-
P Díaz MID12
-
I Palazón FWD1212
4
-
Álvaro García FWD1231
2
-
U López MID112
3
-
J Frutos FWD1141
1
-
Óscar Valentín MID10
-
A Alemão FWD91
-
F Pérez FWD91
-
A Espino DEF81
-
G Gumbau MID6
-
S Camello FWD6
2
1
N Mendy DEF4
-
L Felipe DEF4
1
-
I Balliu DEF4
1
-
Óscar Trejo MID4
2
-
J Vertrouwd DEF3
-
R Nteka MID3
-
Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12334
J AgirrezabalaH DuroL RiojaC Tárrega
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Agirrezabala GLK12
1
-
C Tárrega DEF12
4
-
B Santamaría MID1211
2
-
J Guerra MID122
2
-
H Duro FWD123
-
D López FWD122
2
-
L Rioja FWD1213
1
-
A Danjuma FWD1231
-
J Gayà DEF10
3
1
Pepelu MID10
1
-
J Vázquez DEF9
-
J Copete DEF9
1
-
L Beltrán MID9
-
D Raba FWD91
-
T Correia DEF7
-
D Foulquier DEF7
-
M Diakhaby DEF71
3
-
A Almeida MID6
-
L Ramazani FWD51
-
F Ugrinic  MID41
-
E Cömert DEF2
-