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Real Sociedad v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Jan, 20:00 BST, Anoeta, San Sebastián (Guipúzcoa)

Atletico de Madrid pay La Liga counterparts Real Sociedad a visit on Sunday night, as Diego Pablo Simeone guides his team into an away clash with Sergio Francisco Ramos & co. at the Anoeta. We have custom-designed stats for the biggest betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 mins. Both R.Sociedad and A.Madrid's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of A.Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Sociedad
32%
3.50
13%
3.60
Draw
26%
3.30
3%
3.40
A.Madrid
43%
2.10
10%
2.10
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
A.Madrid 1-0
10%
7.507.00
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
8.00
R.Sociedad 1-0
8%
11.00
8%
9.00
R.Sociedad 2-1
7%
12.00
8%
11.00
A.Madrid 2-0
7%
10.00
11%
9.00
Draw 0-0
7%
10.008.50
Draw 2-2
5%
13.00
13%
12.00
R.Sociedad 2-0
5%
17.00
19%
15.00
A.Madrid 3-1
4%
17.00
13%
13.00
A.Madrid 3-0
4%
19.00
12%
15.00
R.Sociedad 3-1
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
26.0021.00
R.Sociedad 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
R.Sociedad 3-0
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
2.001.95
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.801.80
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.25
6%
2.38
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.73
4%
1.75
No 1st Goal
4%
10.008.50
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.75
3%
1.80
BTTS - No
46%
2.00
3%
1.95
BTTS - Home Win
15%
7.00
13%
6.50
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33
4%
4.33
BTTS - Away Win
20%
4.33
8%
4.00
Home/draw
57%
1.70
7%
1.73
Away/draw
68%
1.29
6%
1.29
Home/away
74%
1.33
2%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.301.30
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3.503.20
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3.403.30
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.331.30
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6.506.50
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.111.10
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
13.00
13%
13.00
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.04
1%
1.02
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.061.06
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10.008.50
Home DNB
50%
2.50
17%
2.50
Away DNB
61%
1.50
10%
1.48
R.Sociedad win to nil
16%
6.00
14%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
23%
3.75
15%
-
R.Sociedad / R.Sociedad
15%
5.50
15%
5.50
R.Sociedad / A.Madrid
4%
23.0019.00
R.Sociedad / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / R.Sociedad
11%
7.50
12%
7.50
Draw / A.Madrid
15%
5.50
10%
5.00
Draw / Draw
16%
5.504.60
A.Madrid / R.Sociedad
3%
29.00
15%
26.00
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
24%
3.40
13%
3.20
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Sociedad have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 4. R.Sociedad have conceded 20 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

R.Sociedad have played 8 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

A.Madrid lay in 3rd place on 37 points in the La Liga league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Sociedad
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1815123146 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
Apr 5
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid1813322042 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 15
w
 
5-2F
Mar 22
3
A.Madrid1811431737 
Jan 4
Mar 8
-
-
4
Villarreal1611231635 
l
 
2-3A
Mar 22
w
 
2-0F
May 24
5
Espanyol16934430 
d
 
2-2A
May 24
Feb 22
l
 
2-1F
6
Real Betis177731028 
May 10
l
 
3-1A
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
7
Celta17584123 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
8
A.Bilbao17728-723 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 1
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
9
Elche17575322 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
10
Sevilla17629-220 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
w
 
3-0F
Apr 12
11
Getafe17629-920 
Apr 22
Jan 9
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
12
Osasuna17539-318 
Mar 15
w
 
1-3A
w
 
1-0F
May 13
13
Mallorca17467-518 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
14
Alaves17539-618 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
Jan 18
d
 
1-1F
15
R.Vallecano17467-718 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
w
 
3-2F
Feb 15
16
R.Sociedad17458-417 
-
-
Mar 8
Jan 4
17
Valencia17377-1016 
May 17
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
May 3
18
Girona17368-1815 
l
 
1-2F
May 13
May 17
w
 
0-3F
19
Real Oviedo172510-1911 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
20
Levante162410-1210 
Apr 5
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 1
Win / draw / win form
R.Sociedad 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Sociedad1 - 2Girona
R.Sociedad2 - 3Villarreal
R.Sociedad3 - 2A.Bilbao
R.Sociedad2 - 1Sevilla
R.Sociedad0 - 1R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad1 - 0Mallorca
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
R.Sociedad2 - 2Espanyol
R.Sociedad3 - 2Girona
R.Sociedad0 - 1Celta
R.Sociedad0 - 0A.Bilbao
R.Sociedad0 - 2Mallorca
R.Sociedad2 - 1Valladolid
R.Sociedad0 - 1Sevilla
R.Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
R.Sociedad2 - 1Espanyol
R.Sociedad0 - 3Getafe
R.Sociedad1 - 0Villarreal
R.Sociedad0 - 0Las Palmas
R.Sociedad2 - 0Real Betis
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Sociedad1 - 1Levante
HR.Sociedad1 - 2Girona
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Alaves
HR.Sociedad2 - 3Villarreal
AR.Sociedad3 - 1Osasuna
AR.Sociedad1 - 1Elche
HR.Sociedad3 - 2A.Bilbao
HR.Sociedad2 - 1Sevilla
AR.Sociedad1 - 1Celta
HR.Sociedad0 - 1R.Vallecano
AR.Sociedad1 - 2Barcelona
HR.Sociedad1 - 0Mallorca
AR.Sociedad1 - 3Real Betis
HR.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Real Oviedo
HR.Sociedad2 - 2Espanyol
AR.Sociedad1 - 1Valencia
AR.Sociedad0 - 2Real Madrid
HR.Sociedad3 - 2Girona
HR.Sociedad0 - 1Celta
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Girona0 - 3A.Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
Getafe0 - 1A.Madrid
Real Betis0 - 2A.Madrid
Celta1 - 1A.Madrid
Mallorca1 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves1 - 1A.Madrid
Espanyol2 - 1A.Madrid
Girona0 - 4A.Madrid
Osasuna2 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 0A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 2A.Madrid
Espanyol1 - 1A.Madrid
Getafe2 - 1A.Madrid
Valencia0 - 3A.Madrid
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Leganes1 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona1 - 2A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid3 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid2 - 1Valencia
AA.Madrid0 - 1A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid1 - 3Barcelona
HA.Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
AA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid3 - 1Levante
HA.Madrid3 - 0Sevilla
AA.Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
HA.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
HA.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
AA.Madrid1 - 1Mallorca
HA.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
AA.Madrid1 - 1Alaves
HA.Madrid1 - 1Elche
AA.Madrid1 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid4 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
A.Madrid have not lost to R.Sociedad in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at R.Sociedad since 2014
R.Sociedad
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
12
13
Games: Scored
7 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
4 / 11
RSO
4
D
2
ATM
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Sociedad
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A.Madrid
0 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad2 - 0
0 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad3 - 0
R.Sociedad2 - 0
0 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad2 - 1
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
23
7
Games: Scored
11 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
0 / 11
D
2
ATM
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid4 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Real Sociedad have conceded in each of their last 11 La Liga matches. A PG of 1.5 for D. Simeone's side suggests that run should continue.

R.Sociedad 16th A.Madrid 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that R.Sociedad will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
R.Sociedad have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
A.Madrid have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
R.Sociedad
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
RSO
ATM
32%
better
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score3
1
Scored first6
16
Goals scored21
30
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
RSO
ATM
44%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
11
Clean sheets1
6
Conceded first11
1
Goals conceded25
16
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+44%

R.Sociedad v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Sociedad La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17535
Álex RemiroM OyarzabalA BarrenetxeaJ. Gorrotxategi Etxaniz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Remiro GLK17
-
S Gómez DEF17
1
-
G Guedes FWD1731
-
J. Gorrotxategi Etxaniz MID1611
5
-
B Méndez MID1632
3
-
J Aramburu DEF15
5
-
P Marín MID15
1
-
T Kubo FWD1521
-
A Barrenetxea FWD1533
2
-
I Zubeldia DEF141
5
-
C Soler MID1421
2
-
M Oyarzabal FWD1453
1
-
A Muñoz DEF11
1
-
A Zakharyan MID11
1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF10
3
-
A Elustondo DEF8
-
B Turrientes  MID8
2
-
L Sučić MID6
-
J Karrikaburu FWD6
-
U Sadiq  FWD5
1
-
M. Goti López MID4
-
O Óskarsson FWD31
-
Y Herrera MID2
1
-
Álvaro Odriozola DEF11
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17744
J ÁlvarezJ ÁlvarezG SimeoneKoke
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Hancko DEF182
-
C Gallagher MID182
2
-
J Álvarez FWD1873
2
-
A Griezmann FWD186
-
J Oblak GLK17
-
Koke MID1722
4
-
P Barrios MID171
-
G Simeone FWD1724
1
-
A Sörloth FWD174
3
1
N González FWD151
2
-
M Llorente DEF143
3
-
N Molina DEF131
1
-
M Ruggeri DEF12
1
-
R Normand DEF121
2
-
T Almada FWD1121
1
-
G Raspadori FWD111
-
Álex Baena FWD1021
2
-
C Lenglet DEF9
2
1
J Giménez DEF7
2
-
M Pubill DEF61
1
-
J Galán DEF5
-
Johnny MID4
2
-
J Musso GLK1
1
-