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Villarreal v Alaves : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Jan, 15:15 BST, Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

Marcelino García Toral's Villarreal side will have home backing in the La Liga on Saturday afternoon, as Eduardo Germán Coudet's Alaves travel to the Estadio de la Cerámica. Form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping Villarreal to win, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


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Best Tip: Villarreal to win

We are predicting Villarreal will come out on top after 90 mins on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Estadio de la Cerámica.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Villarreal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Villarreal
66%
4/7
5%
-
Draw
22%
14/5
7%
-
Alaves
12%
19/4
8%
-
Villarreal 1-0
16%
11/2-
Villarreal 2-0
14%
6/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
6%
-
Villarreal 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
17/2
5%
-
Villarreal 3-0
9%
10/1
10%
-
Alaves 1-0
6%
12/1-
Villarreal 3-1
5%
12/1-
Villarreal 4-0
4%
22/1
11%
-
Alaves 2-1
3%
18/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1
10%
-
Villarreal 4-1
2%
25/1
13%
-
Alaves 2-0
2%
28/1
15%
-
Villarreal 3-2
2%
28/1-
Villarreal 5-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
61%
1/2
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
34%
15/8
3%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
17/2
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
1/1
2%
-
BTTS - No
61%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
11/4
4%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
5%
11/1
8%
-
Home/draw
88%
1/8
2%
-
Away/draw
34%
13/10
10%
-
Home/away
78%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/3
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
12/5
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5/2
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
3/10
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/2
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
17/2-
Home DNB
81%
1/5
1%
-
Away DNB
28%
10/3
10%
-
Villarreal win to nil
45%
6/4
6%
-
Alaves win to nil
8%
9/1
9%
-
Villarreal / Villarreal
34%
7/5
6%
-
Villarreal / Alaves
2%
40/1-
Villarreal / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Villarreal
19%
10/3
8%
-
Draw / Alaves
7%
10/1
8%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
Alaves / Villarreal
4%
22/1-
Alaves / Alaves
8%
9/1
17%
-
Alaves / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
-
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Villarreal have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table. Villarreal are unbeaten in 13 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 13 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Villarreal have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

Villarreal have played 9 games at home winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 20 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Alaves are in 14th position in the La Liga on 18 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Alaves have conceded 17 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Villarreal
Alaves
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1815123146 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
May 13
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid1813322042 
Jan 25
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 22
3
A.Madrid1811431737 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
4
Villarreal1611231635 
-
-
Mar 15
Jan 10
5
Espanyol171034533 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 1
6
Real Betis177731028 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 17
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
7
Celta17584123 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
8
A.Bilbao18729-823 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
May 3
w
 
0-1F
9
Elche17575322 
Mar 8
Jan 3
w
 
3-1F
May 10
10
Sevilla17629-220 
May 13
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
Feb 15
11
Getafe17629-920 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 15
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
12
Osasuna17539-318 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
13
Mallorca17467-518 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
14
Alaves17539-618 
Jan 10
Mar 15
-
-
15
R.Vallecano17467-718 
w
 
4-0F
May 17
May 24
l
 
1-0A
16
R.Sociedad17458-417 
Mar 22
w
 
2-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
17
Valencia17377-1016 
Feb 22
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
18
Girona17368-1815 
w
 
5-0F
Apr 5
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
19
Real Oviedo172510-1911 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 22
Jan 4
May 17
20
Levante162410-1210 
May 3
-
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
5
Alaves have lost 5 consecutive away league games
6
Alaves have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Villarreal 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Alaves 14TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Villarreal have not lost to Alaves in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Villarreal since 2016
Villarreal
Alaves
Goals: Scored
18
11
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
VIL
4
D
1
ALV
3
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
VIL
2
D
1
ALV
5
Goal Statistics

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.6 should cause concerns for Alaves fans, as should a 6 La Liga matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Villarreal 4th Alaves 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
There is a 84% probability that Villarreal will score 1 or more goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
3
4+
There is a 53% probability that Alaves will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Villarreal have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Alaves’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
Alaves
1.8
0.6
Attack rating
46%
better
VIL
ALV
view stats
Games scored14
10
Failed to score2
7
Scored first12
6
Goals scored31
14
Avg. goals scored1.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for19
10
Avg. XG for1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
32%
better
VIL
ALV
view stats
Games conceded9
14
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first4
10
Goals conceded15
20
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+32%

Villarreal v Alaves La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13636
A MoleiroA MoleiroA PérezS Mouriño
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Buchanan FWD165
5
-
A Moleiro FWD1662
2
-
S Comesaña MID1522
2
-
N Pépé FWD1521
2
-
R Veiga DEF14
1
1
L Júnior GLK131
3
-
S Cardona DEF132
1
-
P Gueye MID1321
5
-
D Parejo MID13
2
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD1321
-
R Marín DEF121
1
-
T Partey MID12
-
A Pedraza DEF112
3
-
G Mikautadze FWD1132
-
S Mouriño DEF101
5
1
J Foyth DEF9
1
-
A Pérez FWD923
1
-
I Akhomach FWD9
-
G Moreno FWD74
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF6
2
-
M Solomon FWD611
-
A Tenas GLK3
-
A Altimira DEF1
-
Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17435
A SiveraC VicenteC AleñáA Blanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK17
-
J Castro DEF17
3
-
C Aleñá MID173
1
-
P Ibáñez MID171
3
-
C Vicente FWD174
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF161
2
-
T Martínez FWD1621
-
A Blanco MID151
5
-
D Suárez MID151
2
-
V. Parada González DEF141
5
-
A Rebbach FWD14
4
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF12
2
-
Calebe MID12
2
-
L Boyé FWD123
1
1
J Pacheco DEF11
2
-
A Guevara MID111
2
-
J Guridi MID11
-
M Díaz FWD9
1
-
F Garcés DEF6
2
-
C Benavídez MID4
-
M Diarra DEF3
1
-