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Atletico de Madrid v Arsenal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 29th Apr, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Arsenal are on the road on Wednesday night, as manager Mikel Arteta Amatriain takes his side to visit Atletico de Madrid and Diego Pablo Simeone at the Wanda Metropolitano in the Champions League. We have predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across every market, so there's nowhere better to prepare Champions League clash.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. A.Madrid and Arsenal have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
35%
2.882.80
3%
Draw
26%
3.303.30
Arsenal
39%
2.502.50
2%
Draw 1-1
13%
6.006.00
Arsenal 1-0
10%
8.007.50
A.Madrid 1-0
9%
9.008.00
Arsenal 2-1
8%
10.009.00
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
11.009.50
Draw 0-0
8%
9.508.50
Arsenal 2-0
7%
12.0011.00
A.Madrid 2-0
6%
13.0012.00
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Arsenal 3-1
4%
21.0017.00
A.Madrid 3-1
3%
23.0021.00
Arsenal 3-0
3%
23.0019.00
A.Madrid 3-0
2%
29.0023.00
Arsenal 3-2
2%
29.0023.00
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
2.002.05
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1.801.70
2%
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.052.10
Away 1st Goal
48%
1.911.95
2%
No 1st Goal
5%
9.508.00
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.801.80
BTTS - No
47%
1.951.91
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5.505.50
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.20
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5.004.80
Home/draw
61%
1.501.53
Away/draw
65%
1.401.40
Home/away
74%
1.331.33
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.331.33
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.403.00
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3.503.60
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.301.25
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7.007.00
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.101.08
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.0015.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.061.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.508.00
Home DNB
53%
2.002.00
Away DNB
57%
1.731.75
3%
A.Madrid win to nil
19%
5.00-
Arsenal win to nil
21%
4.33-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
18%
4.504.40
A.Madrid / Arsenal
3%
26.0021.00
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / A.Madrid
13%
6.506.00
8%
Draw / Arsenal
14%
6.005.75
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.60
Arsenal / A.Madrid
3%
29.0023.00
Arsenal / Arsenal
20%
4.003.80
3%
Arsenal / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Champions League table

A.Madrid have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 3. A.Madrid have conceded 15 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

A.Madrid have played 7 games at home, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Arsenal lay in 1st place on 24 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches. Arsenal are unbeaten in 12 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 12 games. Arsenal are unbeaten away after 6 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 6 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
Apr 29
l
 
4-0A
-
-
2
Bayern87011421 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
-
3
Liverpool86021218 
-
l
 
3-2A
-
-
4
Spurs85211017 
w
 
5-2F
l
 
3-2A
-
-
5
Barcelona8512816 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
-
-
6
Chelsea8512716 
-
-
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
8
Man City8512616 
-
-
-
-
9
Real Madrid8503915 
-
-
-
-
10
Inter8503815 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
w
 
1-3F
11
PSG84221014 
-
-
-
-
12
Newcastle84221014 
-
-
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
-
-
14
A.Madrid8413213 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Apr 29
15
Atalanta8413013 
-
-
-
-
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
17
Dortmund8323211 
-
-
-
-
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
-
19
Brugge8314-210 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
3-3F
-
w
 
0-3F
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
-
d
 
1-1F
-
-
21
Monaco8242-610 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag8314-810 
-
-
-
-
23
Bodø8233-19 
l
 
1-2F
-
-
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
-
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
w
 
3-1F
-
-
-
28
PSV822408 
-
w
 
2-3A
-
-
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
-
-
w
 
0-2F
30
Napoli8224-68 
-
-
-
-
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
w
 
5-1F
-
-
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
-
-
w
 
0-3F
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
-
-
w
 
3-2F
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
12
Arsenal have not lost in 12 consecutive european games
3
Arsenal have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive european games
A.Madrid 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
A.Madrid5 - 2Spurs
A.Madrid4 - 1Brugge
A.Madrid1 - 2Bodø
A.Madrid2 - 1Inter
A.Madrid3 - 1Union SG
A.Madrid5 - 1E.Frankfurt
A.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1Leverkusen
A.Madrid3 - 1S. Bratislava
A.Madrid1 - 3Lille
A.Madrid2 - 1RB Leipzig
A.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
A.Madrid2 - 1Inter
A.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
A.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
A.Madrid3 - 2Feyenoord
A.Madrid2 - 2Leverkusen
A.Madrid0 - 0Brugge
A.Madrid2 - 1Porto
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
AA.Madrid2 - 0Barcelona
AA.Madrid2 - 3Spurs
HA.Madrid5 - 2Spurs
HA.Madrid4 - 1Brugge
AA.Madrid3 - 3Brugge
HA.Madrid1 - 2Bodø
AA.Madrid1 - 1Galatasaray
AA.Madrid3 - 2PSV
HA.Madrid2 - 1Inter
HA.Madrid3 - 1Union SG
AA.Madrid0 - 4Arsenal
HA.Madrid5 - 1E.Frankfurt
AA.Madrid2 - 3Liverpool
HA.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
AA.Madrid1 - 2Real Madrid
AA.Madrid4 - 1Salzburg
HA.Madrid2 - 1Leverkusen
HA.Madrid3 - 1S. Bratislava
AA.Madrid6 - 0Sparta
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
12
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon0 - 1Arsenal
Leverkusen1 - 1Arsenal
Inter1 - 3Arsenal
Brugge0 - 3Arsenal
Slavia0 - 3Arsenal
A.Bilbao0 - 2Arsenal
PSG2 - 1Arsenal
Real Madrid1 - 2Arsenal
PSV1 - 7Arsenal
Girona1 - 2Arsenal
S. Lisbon1 - 5Arsenal
Inter1 - 0Arsenal
Atalanta0 - 0Arsenal
Bayern1 - 0Arsenal
Porto1 - 0Arsenal
PSV1 - 1Arsenal
Sevilla1 - 2Arsenal
Lens2 - 1Arsenal
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arsenal
PSV2 - 0Arsenal
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArsenal0 - 0S. Lisbon
AArsenal1 - 0S. Lisbon
HArsenal2 - 0Leverkusen
AArsenal1 - 1Leverkusen
HArsenal3 - 2Kairat Almaty
AArsenal3 - 1Inter
AArsenal3 - 0Brugge
HArsenal3 - 1Bayern
AArsenal3 - 0Slavia
HArsenal4 - 0A.Madrid
HArsenal2 - 0Olympiakos
AArsenal2 - 0A.Bilbao
AArsenal1 - 2PSG
HArsenal0 - 1PSG
AArsenal2 - 1Real Madrid
HArsenal3 - 0Real Madrid
HArsenal2 - 2PSV
AArsenal7 - 1PSV
AArsenal2 - 1Girona
HArsenal3 - 0D. Zagreb
Goal Statistics
A.Madrid 14th Arsenal 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Arsenal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
A.Madrid have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+8
Arsenal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
ATM
ARS
10%
better
view stats
Games scored16
18
Failed to score4
2
Scored first12
15
Goals scored40
37
Avg. goals scored2
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for20
19
Avg. XG for1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
ATM
ARS
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets6
9
Conceded first7
4
Goals conceded31
18
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1
KickOff rating
+27%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A.Madrid v Arsenal will show here when available.

A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13943
G SimeoneJ ÁlvarezJ ÁlvarezM Pubill
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Koke MID14
1
-
M Ruggeri DEF133
2
-
A Griezmann FWD1323
-
G Simeone FWD1321
2
-
A Sörloth FWD1361
1
-
J Álvarez FWD1394
-
R Normand DEF122
2
-
M Llorente DEF1241
2
-
N Molina DEF111
1
-
D Hancko DEF1121
-
Álex Baena FWD11
2
-
N González FWD11
-
J Oblak GLK101
-
M Pubill DEF9
3
-
P Barrios MID91
2
-
Johnny MID81
-
J Giménez DEF61
1
-
T Almada FWD61
2
-
A Lookman FWD622
1
-
J Musso GLK4
-
C Lenglet DEF3
2
-
R Mendoza MID1
-
Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11644
D RayaG MartinelliL TrossardM Zubimendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK11
-
G Martinelli FWD1162
1
-
M Zubimendi MID102
4
-
E Eze MID1011
-
D Rice MID1012
3
-
V Gyökeres FWD1042
-
B White DEF91
1
-
G Magalhães DEF911
1
-
W Saliba DEF9
1
-
C Mosquera DEF8
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF82
1
-
B Saka FWD822
-
L Trossard FWD814
-
J Timber DEF711
-
P Hincapié DEF7
-
M Merino MID72
3
-
N Madueke FWD73
1
-
C Nörgaard MID6
2
-
R Calafiori DEF51
1
-
M Ødegaard MID51
-
K Havertz FWD531
1
-
G Jesus  FWD52
-
M. Dowman FWD3
-
K Arrizabalaga GLK1
-
European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds
PSG v Bayern
Tue 28th Apr, 20:00
A.Madrid v Arsenal
Wed 29th Apr, 20:00