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Bayern Munich v Chelsea : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 17th Sep, 20:00 BST, Allianz Arena, München

Home advantage makes a difference in the Champions League, and Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich will have the blessing of it on Wednesday night. Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea are their opponents at the Allianz Arena. We've got bespoke statistics for the biggest betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Champions League showdown will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
56%
1.70
2%
1.70
Draw
21%
3.90
3%
4.20
Chelsea
23%
4.33
4%
4.33
Bayern 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Draw 1-1
10%
8.007.50
Bayern 2-0
8%
10.008.50
Bayern 1-0
8%
10.008.50
Bayern 3-1
7%
12.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0011.00
Chelsea 2-1
6%
15.0012.00
Bayern 3-0
5%
15.0012.00
Chelsea 1-0
5%
17.0013.00
Bayern 3-2
4%
19.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0013.00
Bayern 4-1
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
Chelsea 2-0
3%
26.0019.00
Bayern 4-0
3%
26.0019.00
Chelsea 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1.531.53
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2.502.38
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.57
3%
1.55
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.402.60
No 1st Goal
2%
17.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.531.57
BTTS - No
39%
2.382.25
BTTS - Home Win
31%
3.002.90
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.754.80
BTTS - Away Win
13%
7.006.50
Home/draw
77%
1.20
2%
1.20
Away/draw
44%
2.10
2%
2.15
Home/away
79%
1.25
2%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.171.17
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.004.60
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
2.302.30
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1.621.55
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
4.003.90
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.251.22
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7.007.00
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.101.08
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00
12%
13.00
Home DNB
71%
1.301.30
Away DNB
37%
3.403.20
Bayern win to nil
26%
3.50-
Chelsea win to nil
9%
10.00-
Bayern / Bayern
31%
2.63
1%
2.50
Bayern / Chelsea
3%
29.0026.00
Bayern / Draw
6%
13.0013.00
Draw / Bayern
17%
5.004.60
Draw / Chelsea
9%
9.50
5%
9.00
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.50
Chelsea / Bayern
4%
19.0017.00
Chelsea / Chelsea
12%
7.006.50
Chelsea / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City000000 
-
-
-
-
2
Real Madrid000000 
-
-
-
-
3
Bayern000000 
-
-
-
Sep 17
4
Liverpool000000 
-
-
-
-
5
PSG000000 
-
Nov 4
-
-
6
Chelsea000000 
Sep 17
-
-
-
7
Inter000000 
-
-
-
-
8
Dortmund000000 
-
-
-
-
9
Leverkusen000000 
-
-
-
-
10
Barcelona000000 
-
-
Nov 25
-
11
A.Madrid000000 
-
-
-
-
12
Benfica000000 
-
-
Sep 30
-
13
Villarreal000000 
-
-
-
-
14
Arsenal000000 
-
Nov 26
-
-
15
Atalanta000000 
-
-
-
Dec 9
16
Juventus000000 
-
-
-
-
17
Brugge000000 
Oct 22
-
-
-
18
PSV000000 
-
Jan 28
-
-
19
E.Frankfurt000000 
-
-
-
-
20
Ajax000000 
-
-
Oct 22
-
21
Napoli000000 
-
-
-
Jan 28
22
S. Lisbon000000 
Dec 9
-
-
-
23
Slavia000000 
-
-
-
-
24
Spurs000000 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille000000 
-
-
-
-
26
Olympiakos000000 
-
-
-
-
27
Kobenhavn000000 
-
-
-
-
28
Monaco000000 
-
-
-
-
29
Bodø000000 
-
-
-
-
30
Galatasaray000000 
-
-
-
-
31
Union SG000000 
Jan 21
-
-
-
32
Qarabag000000 
-
-
-
Nov 5
33
Newcastle000000 
-
-
-
-
34
A.Bilbao000000 
-
-
-
-
35
Paphos000000 
-
Sep 30
Jan 21
-
36
Kairat Almaty000000 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Bayern
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern1 - 2Inter
Bayern3 - 0Leverkusen
Bayern1 - 1Celtic
Bayern3 - 1S. Bratislava
Bayern1 - 0PSG
Bayern1 - 0Benfica
Bayern9 - 2D. Zagreb
Bayern2 - 2Real Madrid
Bayern1 - 0Arsenal
Bayern3 - 0Lazio
Bayern0 - 0Kobenhavn
Bayern2 - 1Galatasaray
Bayern4 - 3Man Utd
Bayern1 - 1Man City
Bayern2 - 0PSG
Bayern2 - 0Inter
Bayern5 - 0Plzen
Bayern2 - 0Barcelona
Bayern1 - 1Villarreal
Bayern7 - 1Salzburg
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern2 - 2Inter
HBayern1 - 2Inter
ABayern2 - 0Leverkusen
HBayern3 - 0Leverkusen
HBayern1 - 1Celtic
ABayern2 - 1Celtic
HBayern3 - 1S. Bratislava
ABayern0 - 3Feyenoord
ABayern5 - 1Shakhtar
HBayern1 - 0PSG
HBayern1 - 0Benfica
ABayern1 - 4Barcelona
ABayern0 - 1A Villa
HBayern9 - 2D. Zagreb
ABayern1 - 2Real Madrid
HBayern2 - 2Real Madrid
HBayern1 - 0Arsenal
ABayern2 - 2Arsenal
HBayern3 - 0Lazio
ABayern0 - 1Lazio
Chelsea
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Betis1 - 4Chelsea
Djurgårdens1 - 4Chelsea
L. Warsaw0 - 3Chelsea
Kobenhavn1 - 2Chelsea
Astana1 - 3Chelsea
Heidenheim0 - 2Chelsea
Panathinaikos1 - 4Chelsea
Servette2 - 1Chelsea
Real Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
Dortmund1 - 0Chelsea
Salzburg1 - 2Chelsea
Milan0 - 2Chelsea
D. Zagreb1 - 0Chelsea
Real Madrid1 - 3Chelsea
Lille1 - 2Chelsea
Zenit3 - 3Chelsea
Malmö0 - 1Chelsea
Juventus1 - 0Chelsea
Man City0 - 1Chelsea
Real Madrid1 - 1Chelsea
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea4 - 1Real Betis
HChelsea1 - 0Djurgårdens
AChelsea4 - 1Djurgårdens
HChelsea1 - 2L. Warsaw
AChelsea3 - 0L. Warsaw
HChelsea1 - 0Kobenhavn
AChelsea2 - 1Kobenhavn
HChelsea5 - 1Shamrock
AChelsea3 - 1Astana
AChelsea2 - 0Heidenheim
HChelsea8 - 0Noah
AChelsea4 - 1Panathinaikos
HChelsea4 - 2Gent
AChelsea1 - 2Servette
HChelsea2 - 0Servette
HChelsea0 - 2Real Madrid
AChelsea0 - 2Real Madrid
HChelsea2 - 0Dortmund
AChelsea0 - 1Dortmund
HChelsea2 - 1D. Zagreb
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bayern since 2005
Bayern
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
8
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
FCB
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Bayern4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bayern3 - 2
League games at Chelsea since 2005
Chelsea
Bayern
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
FCB
1
CHE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
0 - 3Bayern
Chelsea4 - 2
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 10 consecutive Champions League games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday night.

Bayern Chelsea
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Bayern’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+10
Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
2
1.2
Attack rating
10%
better
FCB
CHE
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score2
2
Scored first13
13
Goals scored54
36
Avg. goals scored2.7
1.8
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for22
18
Avg. XG for2.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
FCB
CHE
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded22
14
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against17%
10%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+23%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Bayern v Chelsea will show here when available.

Bayern Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Urbig GLK
-
M Neuer  GLK
-
S Ulreich GLK
-
L. Klanac GLK
-
J Tah DEF
-
D Upamecano DEF
-
R Guerreiro DEF
-
A Davies DEF
-
H Ito DEF
-
J Stanisic DEF
-
M Kim DEF
-
S Boey DEF
-
A Pavlović MID
-
L Goretzka MID
-
J Kimmich MID
-
K Laimer MID
-
M Olise MID
-
L. Karl MID
-
T Bischof MID
-
J Musiala MID
-
N Jackson FWD
-
S Gnabry FWD
-
H Kane FWD
-
W. Okpako Mike FWD
-
L Díaz  FWD
-
Chelsea Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK
-
F Jörgensen GLK
-
G Slonina GLK
-
M Cucurella  DEF
-
T Adarabioyo DEF
-
M Gusto DEF
-
B Badiashile  DEF
-
W Fofana DEF
-
T Chalobah DEF
-
A Disasi DEF
-
J Hato DEF
-
R James  DEF
-
J. Acheampong DEF
-
L Colwill DEF
-
F Buonanotte MID
-
D Essugo MID
-
E Fernández MID
-
R Lavia MID
-
M Caicedo MID
-
A Santos MID
-
M Mudryk MID
-
C Palmer MID
-
T. George FWD
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD
-
P Neto FWD
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD
-
L Delap FWD
-
J Pedro  FWD
-
M Guiu FWD
-
A Garnacho FWD
-
R Sterling FWD
-
D Fofana FWD
-