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Chelsea v Ajax : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 22nd Oct, 20:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea are in Champions League action on Wednesday night, as Enzo Maresca looks to get one over on Johnny Heitinga and his Ajax side at the Stamford Bridge. You'll find statistics supporting our top of Chelsea to win below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Champions League performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Chelsea to win

Having examined the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding both sides ahead of this Champions League match, a bet on win / draw / win for Chelsea to win and delight their home supporters is what we would suggest. We predict they will overpower Ajax, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Chelsea winning is the bet come Wednesday night.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Chelsea 76%	1.25 4%	1.29
Draw 14%	6.50 30%	6.50
Ajax 10%	9.50 6%	8.50
Chelsea 2-0 10%	8.00	7.50
Chelsea 3-0 9%	8.50 11%	8.50
Chelsea 2-1 9%	9.00	8.00
Chelsea 3-1 8%	10.00	9.50
Chelsea 1-0 7%	10.00	9.00
Draw 1-1 7%	13.00 30%	11.00
Chelsea 4-0 6%	13.00	12.00
Chelsea 4-1 5%	15.00	13.00
Draw 2-2 4%	21.00 24%	17.00
Chelsea 3-2 4%	21.00	17.00
Chelsea 5-0 3%	21.00 9%	19.00
Chelsea 5-1 3%	26.00	21.00
Ajax 2-1 3%	23.00 12%	21.00
Draw 0-0 3%	23.00 10%	19.00
Ajax 1-0 2%	26.00 10%	21.00
Over 2.5 Goals 70%	1.40 3%	1.40
Under 2.5 Goals 30%	3.00 9%	2.80
Home 1st Goal 61%	1.30 2%	1.30
Away 1st Goal 38%	3.40 5%	3.60
No 1st Goal 1%	23.00 10%	17.00
BTTS - Yes 55%	1.80 6%	1.75
BTTS - No 45%	1.95 5%	1.95
BTTS - Home Win 37%	2.50	2.50
BTTS - Draw 12%	7.50 25%	7.00
BTTS - Away Win 6%	13.00 13%	12.00
Home/draw 90%	1.07	1.07
Away/draw 24%	3.75 10%	3.60
Home/away 86%	1.11 5%	1.12
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1.13	1.12
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	6.00	5.75
Over 3.5 Goals 48%	2.00	2.00
Under 3.5 Goals 52%	1.80	1.73
Over 4.5 Goals 29%	3.40	3.20
Under 4.5 Goals 71%	1.33	1.30
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	5.50 8%	5.50
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	1.14 1%	1.12
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.01 1%	1.00
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	23.00 21%	17.00
Home DNB 86%	1.08	1.08
Away DNB 20%	8.00	6.50
Chelsea win to nil 39%	2.25 10%	-
Ajax win to nil 4%	17.00 11%	-
Chelsea / Chelsea 46%	1.73 5%	1.80
Chelsea / Ajax 2%	51.00	34.00
Chelsea / Draw 5%	19.00 12%	17.00
Draw / Chelsea 20%	4.00	4.20
Draw / Ajax 5%	21.00 11%	15.00
Draw / Draw 9%	10.00 11%	9.00
Ajax / Chelsea 5%	17.00	15.00
Ajax / Ajax 6%	17.00 13%	12.00
Ajax / Draw 4%	21.00 11%	17.00

Win / draw / win Champions League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Chelsea Ajax
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	2	2	0	0	6	6	-	l 3-1A	-	-
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	6	6	-	-	-	-
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	5	6	-	-	-	-
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5	6	-	-	l 0-2A	-
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4	6	-	-	-	-
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	3	6	-	Nov 5	-	Dec 10
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	3	4	-	-	-	-
8	Man City	2	1	1	0	2	4	-	-	-	-
9	Spurs	2	1	1	0	1	4	-	-	-	-
10	A.Madrid	2	1	0	1	3	3	-	-	-	-
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	3	3	-	-	-	-
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	3	3	-	-	-	l 4-0A
13	Brugge	2	1	0	1	2	3	-	-	-	-
14	S. Lisbon	2	1	0	1	2	3	-	-	-	-
15	E.Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	0	3	-	-	-	-
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	0	3	Nov 25	-	-	-
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	0	3	-	-	-	-
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	-1	3	-	-	-	Oct 22
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3	-	Jan 28	-	-
20	Union SG	2	1	0	1	-2	3	-	-	-	-
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	-3	3	-	-	Nov 5	-
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	-3	3	-	Dec 9	-	-
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	0	2	-	-	-	-
24	Bodø	2	0	2	0	0	2	-	-	-	-
25	Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	0	2	-	-	-	-
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-1	1	-	-	-	Jan 20
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	-2	1	-	-	-	-
28	Kobenhavn	2	0	1	1	-2	1	-	-	-	-
29	Olympiakos	2	0	1	1	-2	1	-	-	Jan 28	-
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1	-	-	-	-
31	Slavia	2	0	1	1	-3	1	-	-	-	-
32	Paphos	2	0	1	1	-4	1	Jan 21	-	-	-
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	-2	0	w 1-0F	-	Nov 25	-
34	A.Bilbao	2	0	0	2	-5	0	-	-	-	-
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	-6	0	Oct 22	-	-	-
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	-8	0	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Ajax have lost 5 consecutive european games

Ajax have not won in 5 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea	1 - 0	Benfica
Chelsea	1 - 0	Djurgårdens
Chelsea	1 - 2	L. Warsaw
Chelsea	1 - 0	Kobenhavn
Chelsea	5 - 1	Shamrock
Chelsea	8 - 0	Noah
Chelsea	4 - 2	Gent
Chelsea	2 - 0	Servette
Chelsea	0 - 2	Real Madrid
Chelsea	2 - 0	Dortmund
Chelsea	2 - 1	D. Zagreb
Chelsea	3 - 0	Milan
Chelsea	1 - 1	Salzburg
Chelsea	1 - 3	Real Madrid
Chelsea	2 - 0	Lille
Chelsea	4 - 0	Juventus
Chelsea	4 - 0	Malmö
Chelsea	1 - 0	Zenit
Chelsea	2 - 0	Real Madrid
Chelsea	0 - 1	Porto

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Benfica
A	Chelsea	1 - 3	Bayern
A	Chelsea	4 - 1	Real Betis
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Djurgårdens
A	Chelsea	4 - 1	Djurgårdens
H	Chelsea	1 - 2	L. Warsaw
A	Chelsea	3 - 0	L. Warsaw
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Kobenhavn
A	Chelsea	2 - 1	Kobenhavn
H	Chelsea	5 - 1	Shamrock
A	Chelsea	3 - 1	Astana
A	Chelsea	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Chelsea	8 - 0	Noah
A	Chelsea	4 - 1	Panathinaikos
H	Chelsea	4 - 2	Gent
A	Chelsea	1 - 2	Servette
H	Chelsea	2 - 0	Servette
H	Chelsea	0 - 2	Real Madrid
A	Chelsea	0 - 2	Real Madrid
H	Chelsea	2 - 0	Dortmund

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille	4 - 0	Ajax
E.Frankfurt	4 - 1	Ajax
Union SG	0 - 2	Ajax
Rigas Futbola Skola	1 - 0	Ajax
R.Sociedad	2 - 0	Ajax
Qarabag	0 - 3	Ajax
Slavia	1 - 1	Ajax
Jagiellonia	1 - 4	Ajax
Panathinaikos	0 - 1	Ajax
Vojvodina	1 - 3	Ajax
A Villa	4 - 0	Ajax
Bodø	1 - 1	Ajax
Marseille	4 - 3	Ajax
Brighton	2 - 0	Ajax
AEK	1 - 1	Ajax
Ludogorets	1 - 4	Ajax
Union Berlin	3 - 1	Ajax
Rangers	1 - 3	Ajax
Napoli	4 - 2	Ajax
Liverpool	2 - 1	Ajax

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ajax	0 - 4	Marseille
H	Ajax	0 - 2	Inter
A	Ajax	1 - 4	E.Frankfurt
H	Ajax	1 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	Ajax	0 - 2	Union SG
A	Ajax	2 - 0	Union SG
H	Ajax	2 - 1	Galatasaray
A	Ajax	0 - 1	Rigas Futbola Skola
H	Ajax	1 - 3	Lazio
A	Ajax	0 - 2	R.Sociedad
H	Ajax	5 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
A	Ajax	3 - 0	Qarabag
A	Ajax	1 - 1	Slavia
H	Ajax	4 - 0	Besiktas
H	Ajax	3 - 0	Jagiellonia
A	Ajax	4 - 1	Jagiellonia
H	Ajax	0 - 1	Panathinaikos
A	Ajax	1 - 0	Panathinaikos
A	Ajax	3 - 1	Vojvodina
H	Ajax	1 - 0	Vojvodina

Goal Statistics

Ajax have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive Champions League matches. This run could continue, with Chelsea's PG an impressive 2.7.

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Ajax fans, as should a 5 Champions League games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Chelsea 18th	Ajax 35th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	1 18% 2 24% 3 22% 4 15% 5+ 21% There is a 82% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 42% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of Ajax scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+11 Ajax have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

30%

better

CHE

AJA

view stats

Games scored	18		14
Failed to score	1		4
Scored first	12		7
Goals scored	34		27
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.4
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	20		14
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.9
KickOff rating		+30%

33%

better

CHE

AJA

view stats

Games conceded	11		14
Clean sheets	8		4
Conceded first	6		11
Goals conceded	19		30
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		5
Conversion rate against	13%		21%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+33%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Chelsea v Ajax will show here when available.

Chelsea Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	2
R Sánchez	C Palmer	M Gusto	J Pedro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Sánchez GLK	2			-
M Cucurella DEF	2			-
M Gusto DEF	2		1	-
T Chalobah DEF	2			-
R James DEF	2			-
E Fernández MID	2			1 -
M Caicedo MID	2			-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	2			-
A Garnacho FWD	2			-
P Neto FWD	2			1 -
J Pedro FWD	2			1 1
J. Acheampong DEF	1			-
T Adarabioyo DEF	1			-
B Badiashile DEF	1			-
F Buonanotte MID	1			1 -
A Santos MID	1		1	1 -
C Palmer MID	1	1		-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	1			-
T. George FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	1	1	1
C Palmer	R James	M Gusto	E Fernández

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Palmer MID	1	1		1
M Gusto DEF			1
R James DEF		1
E Fernández MID				1
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD		1
A Garnacho FWD		1
F Buonanotte MID		1
A Santos MID			1	1
T. George FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
133	10	13
T Chalobah	M Caicedo	M Cucurella

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Chalobah DEF	133		5
M Caicedo MID	120	10	13
B Badiashile DEF	99	2	2
E Fernández MID	76	3	13
R Sánchez GLK	69		1
M Gusto DEF	69	4	8
T Adarabioyo DEF	68	1	1
M Cucurella DEF	65	8	13
P Neto FWD	39	2	6
A Garnacho FWD	37	1	3
R James DEF	34	1	2
J Pedro FWD	29	2	11
C Palmer MID	27	1	3
A Santos MID	26		1
F Buonanotte MID	23	2	5
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	16	1	5
T. George FWD	9		1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	5	2	4
J. Acheampong DEF	4	2	2

Ajax Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	0	0	1
V Jaroš			K Itakura

Players	Appserances	cards
V Jaroš GLK	2	-
K Itakura DEF	2	1 -
O Wijndal DEF	2	-
Y Baas DEF	2	1 -
J Sutalo DEF	2	-
A Gaaei DEF	2	1 -
K Taylor MID	2	-
Y Regeer MID	2	-
D Klaassen MID	2	-
O Gloukh MID	2	-
M Godts FWD	2	-
O Edvardsen FWD	2	-
R Moro FWD	2	-
L Rosa DEF	1	1 -
J. McConnell MID	1	-
J. Mokio MID	1	-
K Dolberg FWD	1	-
S Berghuis FWD	1	-
W Weghorst FWD	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	1	0	1
	K Taylor		A Gaaei

Players	shots on	big chances
A Gaaei DEF		1
K Taylor MID	1
M Godts FWD	1
O Edvardsen FWD	1	1
K Dolberg FWD	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
131	3	12
K Itakura	O Wijndal	K Taylor

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Itakura DEF	131	2	7
Y Baas DEF	127	3	8
V Jaroš GLK	84
Y Regeer MID	82	1	4
A Gaaei DEF	78	1	2
O Wijndal DEF	68	3	4
J. Mokio MID	59	3	8
K Taylor MID	58	3	12
L Rosa DEF	54	2	6
O Gloukh MID	51		3
M Godts FWD	51		2
D Klaassen MID	45	2	3
J Sutalo DEF	38
O Edvardsen FWD	36	1	10
S Berghuis FWD	26		1
W Weghorst FWD	20		7
J. McConnell MID	16
R Moro FWD	8		1
K Dolberg FWD	4	1	3