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Arsenal v Atletico de Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 5th May, 20:00 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

Home advantage can be vital in the Champions League, and Mikel Arteta Amatriain’s Arsenal will have the luxury of it on Tuesday night. Diego Pablo Simeone’s Atletico de Madrid are their visitors to the Emirates Stadium. All of the key stats for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
44%
--
Draw
23%
--
A.Madrid
33%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Arsenal 2-1
9%
--
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Arsenal 1-0
7%
--
Arsenal 2-0
6%
--
A.Madrid 1-0
6%
--
Arsenal 3-1
5%
--
A.Madrid 2-0
4%
--
Arsenal 3-2
4%
--
A.Madrid 3-1
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Arsenal 3-0
3%
--
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
--
Arsenal 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
65%
--
BTTS - No
35%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
56%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
60%
--
Away DNB
49%
--
Arsenal win to nil
18%
--
A.Madrid win to nil
13%
--
Win / draw / win Champions League table

Arsenal have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Champions League league table. Arsenal are unbeaten in 12 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 12 games. Arsenal are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Arsenal have outscored their opponents by 23 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

A.Madrid are in 14th position in the Champions League on 13 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 0 and won 3. A.Madrid have conceded 15 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arsenal
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
-
-
Apr 29
l
 
4-0A
2
Bayern87011421 
w
 
3-1F
-
-
-
3
Liverpool86021218 
-
-
-
l
 
3-2A
4
Spurs85211017 
-
-
w
 
5-2F
l
 
3-2A
5
Barcelona8512816 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
6
Chelsea8512716 
-
-
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
-
-
8
Man City8512616 
-
-
-
-
9
Real Madrid8503915 
-
-
-
-
10
Inter8503815 
-
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-1F
-
11
PSG84221014 
-
-
-
-
12
Newcastle84221014 
-
-
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
-
-
14
A.Madrid8413213 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 29
-
-
15
Atalanta8413013 
-
-
-
-
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
17
Dortmund8323211 
-
-
-
-
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
19
Brugge8314-210 
-
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
3-3F
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
-
-
-
d
 
1-1F
21
Monaco8242-610 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag8314-810 
-
-
-
-
23
Bodø8233-19 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
-
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
-
28
PSV822408 
-
-
-
w
 
2-3A
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
w
 
0-2F
-
-
30
Napoli8224-68 
-
-
-
-
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
-
-
w
 
5-1F
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
w
 
3-2F
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
6
Arsenal have not lost in 6 consecutive home european games
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
A.Madrid 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Arsenal have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Atletico de Madrid on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Arsenal 1st A.Madrid 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+23
A.Madrid have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.8
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
ARS
ATM
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ARS
ATM
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Arsenal v A.Madrid will show here when available.

Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11644
D RayaG MartinelliL TrossardM Zubimendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK11
-
G Martinelli FWD1162
1
-
M Zubimendi MID102
4
-
E Eze MID1011
-
D Rice MID1012
3
-
V Gyökeres FWD1042
-
B White DEF91
1
-
G Magalhães DEF911
1
-
W Saliba DEF9
1
-
C Mosquera DEF8
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF82
1
-
B Saka FWD822
-
L Trossard FWD814
-
P Hincapié DEF7
-
J Timber DEF711
-
M Merino MID72
3
-
N Madueke FWD73
1
-
C Nörgaard MID6
2
-
R Calafiori DEF51
1
-
M Ødegaard MID51
-
K Havertz FWD531
1
-
G Jesus  FWD52
-
M. Dowman FWD3
-
K Arrizabalaga GLK1
-
A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13943
J ÁlvarezJ ÁlvarezJ ÁlvarezM Pubill
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Koke MID14
1
-
M Ruggeri DEF133
2
-
A Sörloth FWD1361
1
-
J Álvarez FWD1394
-
A Griezmann FWD1323
-
G Simeone FWD1321
2
-
R Normand DEF122
2
-
M Llorente DEF1241
2
-
N Molina DEF111
1
-
D Hancko DEF1121
-
Álex Baena FWD11
2
-
N González FWD11
-
J Oblak GLK101
-
M Pubill DEF9
3
-
P Barrios MID91
2
-
Johnny MID81
-
J Giménez DEF61
1
-
T Almada FWD61
2
-
A Lookman FWD622
1
-
J Musso GLK4
-
C Lenglet DEF3
2
-
R Mendoza MID1
-
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