Bayer Leverkusen's team badge Paris Saint-Germain's team badge

Bayer Leverkusen v Paris Saint-Germain : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Oct, 20:00 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

Luis Enrique Martínez García will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Champions League on Tuesday night, as he takes his Paris Saint-Germain side to the BayArena to visit Bayer Leverkusen and Kasper Hjulmand. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

While supporters of PSG prepare themselves for this clash, they may well be excited for what's in store. After analysing the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both teams know they way to goal and either could get the win. The prediction and odds are both pointing in the same direction: over 2.5 goals is the bet to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 59% chance of PSG coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
20%
4/17/2
2%
Draw
21%
29/1016/5
PSG
59%
13/204/6
2%
PSG 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Draw 1-1
9%
13/2
6%
7/1
PSG 2-0
9%
17/2
5%
8/1
5%
PSG 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
PSG 3-1
7%
11/110/1
PSG 3-0
6%
12/111/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
Leverkusen 2-1
5%
14/112/1
Leverkusen 1-0
4%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
16/114/1
PSG 3-2
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
PSG 4-1
4%
20/116/1
PSG 4-0
3%
22/118/1
Leverkusen 2-0
3%
28/120/1
Leverkusen 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
4/7
3%
11/20
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
11/8
5%
11/8
Home 1st Goal
43%
6/413/8
1%
Away 1st Goal
55%
8/158/15
1%
No 1st Goal
2%
16/112/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13
3%
3/5
2%
BTTS - No
40%
6/5
2%
6/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
7/1
7%
11/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
6%
19/5
BTTS - Away Win
31%
2/119/10
Home/draw
41%
6/56/5
2%
Away/draw
80%
1/61/5
Home/away
79%
1/42/9
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/61/6
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/118/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
11/8
3%
13/10
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
4/7
3%
11/20
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
10/3
8%
29/10
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/9
2%
2/9
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/1
14%
6/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/12
2%
1/12
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/50
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Home DNB
34%
11/412/5
5%
Away DNB
74%
1/42/7
1%
Leverkusen win to nil
8%
9/1
9%
-
PSG win to nil
28%
9/4
4%
-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
11%
7/1
7%
6/1
8%
Leverkusen / PSG
5%
18/114/1
Leverkusen / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Leverkusen
8%
9/1
9%
17/2
6%
Draw / PSG
17%
15/47/2
2%
Draw / Draw
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
PSG / Leverkusen
3%
33/125/1
PSG / PSG
32%
6/429/20
2%
PSG / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Leverkusen
PSG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern220066 
-
-
Nov 4
-
2
Real Madrid220066 
-
-
-
-
3
PSG220056 
Oct 21
-
-
-
4
Inter220056 
-
-
-
-
5
Arsenal220046 
-
-
-
-
6
Qarabag220036 
-
-
-
-
7
Dortmund211034 
-
-
-
-
8
Man City211024 
-
Nov 25
-
-
9
Spurs211014 
-
-
Nov 26
-
10
A.Madrid210133 
-
-
-
-
11
Newcastle210133 
Dec 10
-
Jan 28
-
12
Marseille210133 
-
-
-
-
13
Brugge210123 
-
-
-
-
14
S. Lisbon210123 
-
-
-
Jan 20
15
E.Frankfurt210103 
-
-
-
-
16
Barcelona210103 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2A
17
Liverpool210103 
-
-
-
-
18
Chelsea2101-13 
-
-
-
-
19
Napoli2101-13 
-
-
-
-
20
Union SG2101-23 
-
-
-
-
21
Galatasaray2101-33 
-
-
-
-
22
Atalanta2101-33 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
-
23
Juventus202002 
-
-
-
-
24
Bodø202002 
-
-
-
-
25
Leverkusen202002 
-
-
-
Oct 21
26
Villarreal2011-11 
Jan 28
-
-
-
27
PSV2011-21 
d
 
1-1F
-
-
-
28
Kobenhavn2011-21 
-
d
 
2-2A
-
-
29
Olympiakos2011-21 
-
Jan 20
-
-
30
Monaco2011-31 
-
-
-
-
31
Slavia2011-31 
-
-
-
-
32
Paphos2011-41 
-
-
-
-
33
Benfica2002-20 
-
Nov 5
-
-
34
A.Bilbao2002-50 
-
-
-
Dec 10
35
Ajax2002-60 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty2002-80 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
PSG have won 5 consecutive european games
5
PSG have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
Leverkusen 25TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
PSG 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain's defensive record is very strong, L. Martínez García's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Champions League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Bayer Leverkusen makes sense in this context.

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive Champions League games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

Leverkusen 25th PSG 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Leverkusen will score no more than 1 goal
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Leverkusen have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
PSG’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1.1
2.1
Attack rating
B04
PSG
9%
better
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score2
2
Scored first12
13
Goals scored33
47
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.4
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for20
21
Avg. XG for1.5
2
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
B04
PSG
49%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
6
Clean sheets4
11
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded27
8
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
12
Conversion rate against18%
8%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.7
KickOff rating
+49%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Leverkusen v PSG will show here when available.

Leverkusen Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2101
M FlekkenA GrimaldoE Tapsoba
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Flekken GLK2
-
A Grimaldo DEF21
-
L Badé DEF2
-
E Tapsoba DEF2
1
-
J Quansah DEF2
-
E Fernández MID2
-
I Maza MID2
-
C Echeverri MID2
-
A García MID2
-
M Tillman MID2
-
E Seghir FWD2
-
E Poku FWD2
-
C. Kofane FWD21
-
Arthur DEF1
-
L Vázquez DEF1
1
-
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF1
-
R Andrich MID1
-
P Schick  FWD1
-
PSG Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2221
L ChevalierG RamosA HakimiA Hakimi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK2
-
A Hakimi DEF22
1
-
N Mendes  DEF211
1
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF2
-
W Pacho DEF2
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID2
-
F Ruiz MID21
-
Vitinha MID2
-
S. Mayulu MID21
-
I. Mbaye FWD2
-
K Lee FWD2
-
B Barcola FWD21
-
G Ramos FWD22
-
Marquinhos DEF11
-
L Hernández  DEF1
-
J Neves MID1
-
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD1
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD11
-