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Newcastle United v Benfica : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Oct, 20:00 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Newcastle United are in Champions League action on Tuesday night, as Eddie Howe attempts to outsmart Jose Mourinho and his Benfica side at the St. James' Park. Analysing both sides' last 20 Champions League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Newcastle and Benfica will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Eddie Howe or Jose Mourinho has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
57%
13/2013/20
3%
Draw
22%
16/5
2%
16/5
5%
Benfica
20%
15/4
6%
19/5
7%
Draw 1-1
10%
7/113/2
Newcastle 1-0
10%
7/1
6%
13/2
Newcastle 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Newcastle 2-0
9%
7/1
11%
7/1
6%
Newcastle 3-1
6%
12/110/1
8%
Newcastle 3-0
6%
12/110/1
8%
Benfica 1-0
5%
12/1
13%
12/1
8%
Benfica 2-1
5%
14/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Newcastle 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
Newcastle 4-1
3%
22/118/1
Newcastle 4-0
3%
22/118/1
10%
Benfica 2-0
3%
25/120/1
11%
Benfica 3-1
2%
33/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
8%
8/11
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
9%
21/20
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/151/2
3%
Away 1st Goal
42%
8/5
4%
9/5
4%
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
13%
10/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/4
3%
3/4
1%
BTTS - No
45%
1/1
2%
19/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
12/5
5%
9/4
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/2
13%
7/1
14%
Home/draw
80%
2/112/11
2%
Away/draw
43%
6/56/5
5%
Home/away
78%
2/92/9
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4
2%
2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
8%
14/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1
14%
7/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5
7%
2/5
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7
3%
2/13
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
Home DNB
73%
2/71/4
3%
Away DNB
36%
5/213/5
9%
Newcastle win to nil
30%
7/4
8%
-
Benfica win to nil
10%
8/1-
Newcastle / Newcastle
32%
6/4
4%
29/20
2%
Newcastle / Benfica
3%
33/128/1
12%
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Newcastle
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
2%
Draw / Benfica
8%
9/117/2
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
Benfica / Newcastle
4%
20/116/1
Benfica / Benfica
10%
15/2
6%
6/1
8%
Benfica / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern220066 
-
-
-
-
2
Real Madrid220066 
-
-
Jan 28
-
3
PSG220056 
-
Jan 28
-
-
4
Inter220056 
-
-
-
-
5
Arsenal220046 
-
-
-
-
6
Qarabag220036 
-
-
l
 
2-3F
-
7
Dortmund211034 
-
-
-
-
8
Man City211024 
-
-
-
-
9
Spurs211014 
-
-
-
-
10
A.Madrid210133 
-
-
-
-
11
Newcastle210133 
-
-
-
Oct 21
12
Marseille210133 
-
Nov 25
-
-
13
Brugge210123 
-
-
-
-
14
S. Lisbon210123 
-
-
-
-
15
E.Frankfurt210103 
-
-
-
-
16
Barcelona210103 
l
 
1-2A
-
-
-
17
Liverpool210103 
-
-
-
-
18
Chelsea2101-13 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
19
Napoli2101-13 
-
-
Dec 10
-
20
Union SG2101-23 
-
w
 
0-4F
-
-
21
Galatasaray2101-33 
-
-
-
-
22
Atalanta2101-33 
-
-
-
-
23
Juventus202002 
-
-
-
Jan 21
24
Bodø202002 
-
-
-
-
25
Leverkusen202002 
-
Dec 10
Nov 5
-
26
Villarreal2011-11 
-
-
-
-
27
PSV2011-21 
Jan 21
-
-
-
28
Kobenhavn2011-21 
-
-
-
-
29
Olympiakos2011-21 
-
-
-
-
30
Monaco2011-31 
-
-
-
-
31
Slavia2011-31 
-
-
-
-
32
Paphos2011-41 
-
-
-
-
33
Benfica2002-20 
Oct 21
-
-
-
34
A.Bilbao2002-50 
Nov 5
-
-
-
35
Ajax2002-60 
-
-
-
Nov 25
36
Kairat Almaty2002-80 
-
-
-
-
37
Nice 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
38
Fenerbahce 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Newcastle have lost 3 consecutive home european games
Newcastle 11TH
16 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
13 / 16
Conceded
9 / 16
Clean sheets
7 / 16
Failed to score
3 / 16
Won
9
Draw
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle1 - 2Barcelona
Newcastle1 - 2Milan
Newcastle0 - 1Dortmund
Newcastle4 - 1PSG
Newcastle1 - 1Benfica
Newcastle1 - 0Anzhi Mak
Newcastle0 - 0Metalist
Newcastle1 - 1Maratimo
Newcastle1 - 0Brugge
Newcastle3 - 0Bordeaux
Newcastle4 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Newcastle1 - 0Z.Waregem
Newcastle2 - 1Celta
Newcastle1 - 0Fenerbahce
Newcastle2 - 1Levadia
Newcastle0 - 0Ventspils
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle4 - 0Union SG
HNewcastle1 - 2Barcelona
HNewcastle1 - 2Milan
ANewcastle1 - 1PSG
ANewcastle0 - 2Dortmund
HNewcastle0 - 1Dortmund
HNewcastle4 - 1PSG
ANewcastle0 - 0Milan
HNewcastle1 - 1Benfica
ANewcastle1 - 3Benfica
HNewcastle1 - 0Anzhi Mak
ANewcastle0 - 0Anzhi Mak
ANewcastle1 - 0Metalist
HNewcastle0 - 0Metalist
ANewcastle0 - 2Bordeaux
HNewcastle1 - 1Maratimo
ANewcastle2 - 2Brugge
HNewcastle1 - 0Brugge
HNewcastle3 - 0Bordeaux
ANewcastle0 - 0Maratimo
Benfica 33RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea1 - 0Benfica
Fenerbahce0 - 0Benfica
Nice0 - 2Benfica
Barcelona3 - 1Benfica
Monaco0 - 1Benfica
Juventus0 - 2Benfica
Monaco2 - 3Benfica
Bayern1 - 0Benfica
Red Star Bel.1 - 2Benfica
Marseille1 - 0Benfica
Rangers0 - 1Benfica
Toulouse0 - 0Benfica
Salzburg1 - 3Benfica
R.Sociedad3 - 1Benfica
Inter1 - 0Benfica
Inter3 - 3Benfica
Brugge0 - 2Benfica
M. Haifa1 - 6Benfica
PSG1 - 1Benfica
Juventus1 - 2Benfica
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica0 - 1Chelsea
HBenfica2 - 3Qarabag
HBenfica1 - 0Fenerbahce
ABenfica0 - 0Fenerbahce
HBenfica2 - 0Nice
ABenfica2 - 0Nice
ABenfica1 - 3Barcelona
HBenfica0 - 1Barcelona
HBenfica3 - 3Monaco
ABenfica1 - 0Monaco
ABenfica2 - 0Juventus
HBenfica4 - 5Barcelona
HBenfica0 - 0Bologna
ABenfica3 - 2Monaco
ABenfica0 - 1Bayern
HBenfica1 - 3Feyenoord
HBenfica4 - 0A.Madrid
ABenfica2 - 1Red Star Bel.
ABenfica0 - 1Marseille
HBenfica2 - 1Marseille
Goal Statistics
Newcastle 11th Benfica 33rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
16 home / away league games
=0
Newcastle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+7
Benfica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.9
1
Attack rating
NEW
BEF
6%
better
view stats
Games scored15
16
Failed to score5
2
Scored first11
12
Goals scored36
30
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
17
Avg. XG for1.9
2
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
NEW
BEF
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
9
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded17
12
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
11
Conversion rate against11%
9%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Newcastle v Benfica will show here when available.

Newcastle Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2312
N Pope A GordonS TonaliJoelinton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK2
-
D Burn DEF2
1
-
S Botman DEF2
-
K Trippier DEF2
-
F Schär DEF2
-
M Thiaw DEF2
-
S Tonali MID21
-
Joelinton MID2
2
-
B Guimarães MID2
-
A Elanga FWD2
-
N Woltemade FWD21
-
A Gordon FWD23
-
H Barnes FWD21
-
L Hall DEF1
-
T Livramento  DEF1
-
J Willock MID1
-
L Miley MID1
-
J Murphy FWD11
-
W Osula FWD11
-
Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6122
A TrubinF AursnesF AursnesA Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK6
-
S Dahl DEF61
-
A Silva DEF6
2
-
N Otamendi DEF6
1
-
A Dedic DEF6
-
F Aursnes MID612
1
-
R Ríos MID6
2
-
E Barrenechea MID61
2
-
L Barreiro MID61
1
-
F Ivanovic FWD61
-
V Pavlidis FWD61
-
A Schjelderup FWD511
1
-
H Araújo FWD4
-
G Prestianni FWD3
1
-
H Sudakov MID22
-
T Araújo DEF1
-
D Lukébakio FWD1
-