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Sporting Lisbon v Marseille : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 22nd Oct, 20:00 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Piero Braglia's Sporting Lisbon side are on home soil in the Champions League on Wednesday night, as Roberto De Zerbi's Marseille visit the Estádio José Alvalade. In this preview you'll find the best odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history later on in the preview.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

S. Lisbon may feel optimistic ahead of this game and, funnily enough, so might Marseille. The bookies can't split them and neither can we – there's no obvious victor in this fixture. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's the bet we'd recommend you go with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
46%
2.15
2%
2.15
5%
Draw
24%
3.70
14%
3.60
4%
Marseille
31%
3.20
9%
3.20
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00
8%
7.00
S. Lisbon 2-1
9%
9.008.50
S. Lisbon 1-0
8%
10.009.00
5%
Marseille 2-1
7%
11.00
8%
10.00
9%
S. Lisbon 2-0
7%
12.0011.00
Draw 2-2
6%
12.00
9%
11.00
Marseille 1-0
6%
13.0011.00
8%
S. Lisbon 3-1
5%
15.0013.00
Draw 0-0
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
8%
Marseille 2-0
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
S. Lisbon 3-0
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
S. Lisbon 3-2
4%
21.0017.00
Marseille 3-1
3%
23.00
12%
19.00
Marseille 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
S. Lisbon 4-1
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
1.671.65
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
2.202.15
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.731.75
1%
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.10
5%
2.20
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00
15%
11.00
8%
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.57
3%
1.57
1%
BTTS - No
39%
2.25
5%
2.30
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.753.60
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33
8%
4.20
3%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5.50
8%
5.00
Home/draw
69%
1.36
5%
1.35
2%
Away/draw
54%
1.67
2%
1.70
2%
Home/away
76%
1.29
3%
1.29
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.201.20
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4.504.20
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2.632.50
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.501.48
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4.504.40
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.201.18
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10.00
11%
8.00
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.06
1%
1.06
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.03
1%
1.03
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15.00
15%
11.00
8%
Home DNB
62%
1.57
5%
1.55
1%
Away DNB
47%
2.25
10%
2.30
3%
S. Lisbon win to nil
21%
4.33
8%
-
Marseille win to nil
13%
6.50
7%
-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
24%
3.40
5%
3.25
5%
S. Lisbon / Marseille
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / S. Lisbon
15%
5.505.25
Draw / Marseille
11%
7.50
6%
7.00
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
Marseille / S. Lisbon
4%
21.0017.00
Marseille / Marseille
16%
5.00
9%
4.80
4%
Marseille / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern220066 
-
Dec 9
-
-
2
Real Madrid220066 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1F
3
PSG220056 
Jan 20
-
-
-
4
Inter220056 
-
-
-
-
5
Arsenal220046 
-
-
-
-
6
Qarabag220036 
-
-
-
-
7
Dortmund211034 
-
-
-
-
8
Man City211024 
-
-
-
-
9
Spurs211014 
-
-
-
-
10
A.Madrid210133 
-
-
-
-
11
Newcastle210133 
-
-
Nov 25
-
12
Marseille210133 
Oct 22
-
-
-
13
Brugge210123 
Nov 26
-
-
Jan 28
14
S. Lisbon210123 
-
-
-
Oct 22
15
E.Frankfurt210103 
-
-
-
-
16
Barcelona210103 
-
-
-
-
17
Liverpool210103 
-
-
Jan 21
-
18
Chelsea2101-13 
-
-
-
-
19
Napoli2101-13 
-
l
 
2-1A
-
-
20
Union SG2101-23 
-
-
-
Dec 9
21
Galatasaray2101-33 
-
-
-
-
22
Atalanta2101-33 
-
-
Nov 5
-
23
Juventus202002 
-
Nov 4
-
-
24
Bodø202002 
-
-
-
-
25
Leverkusen202002 
-
-
-
-
26
Villarreal2011-11 
-
-
-
-
27
PSV2011-21 
-
-
-
-
28
Kobenhavn2011-21 
-
-
-
-
29
Olympiakos2011-21 
-
-
-
-
30
Monaco2011-31 
-
-
-
-
31
Slavia2011-31 
-
-
-
-
32
Paphos2011-41 
-
-
-
-
33
Benfica2002-20 
-
-
-
-
34
A.Bilbao2002-50 
-
Jan 28
-
-
35
Ajax2002-60 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
-
36
Kairat Almaty2002-80 
w
 
4-1F
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
S. Lisbon 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon4 - 1Kairat Almaty
S. Lisbon0 - 3Dortmund
S. Lisbon1 - 1Bologna
S. Lisbon1 - 5Arsenal
S. Lisbon4 - 1Man City
S. Lisbon2 - 0Lille
S. Lisbon1 - 1Atalanta
S. Lisbon1 - 1Young Boys
S. Lisbon3 - 0Sturm Graz
S. Lisbon2 - 1Rakow
S. Lisbon1 - 2Atalanta
S. Lisbon1 - 1Juventus
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arsenal
S. Lisbon1 - 1Midtjylland
S. Lisbon1 - 2E.Frankfurt
S. Lisbon0 - 2Marseille
S. Lisbon2 - 0Spurs
S. Lisbon0 - 5Man City
S. Lisbon3 - 1Dortmund
S. Lisbon4 - 0Besiktas
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Napoli
HS. Lisbon4 - 1Kairat Almaty
AS. Lisbon0 - 0Dortmund
HS. Lisbon0 - 3Dortmund
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Bologna
AS. Lisbon1 - 2RB Leipzig
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Brugge
HS. Lisbon1 - 5Arsenal
HS. Lisbon4 - 1Man City
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Sturm Graz
AS. Lisbon1 - 1PSV
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Lille
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Atalanta
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Atalanta
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Young Boys
AS. Lisbon3 - 1Young Boys
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Sturm Graz
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Atalanta
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Rakow
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Rakow
Marseille 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 1Marseille
Atalanta3 - 0Marseille
Benfica2 - 1Marseille
Villarreal3 - 1Marseille
Shakhtar2 - 2Marseille
Brighton1 - 0Marseille
AEK0 - 2Marseille
Ajax3 - 3Marseille
Panathinaikos1 - 0Marseille
E.Frankfurt2 - 1Marseille
S. Lisbon0 - 2Marseille
Spurs2 - 0Marseille
Feyenoord3 - 2Marseille
PAOK0 - 1Marseille
Basel1 - 2Marseille
Qarabag0 - 3Marseille
Galatasaray4 - 2Marseille
Lazio0 - 0Marseille
Lok. Moscow1 - 1Marseille
Man City3 - 0Marseille
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille4 - 0Ajax
AMarseille1 - 2Real Madrid
AMarseille0 - 3Atalanta
HMarseille1 - 1Atalanta
HMarseille1 - 0Benfica
AMarseille1 - 2Benfica
AMarseille1 - 3Villarreal
HMarseille4 - 0Villarreal
HMarseille3 - 1Shakhtar
AMarseille2 - 2Shakhtar
AMarseille0 - 1Brighton
HMarseille4 - 3Ajax
AMarseille2 - 0AEK
HMarseille3 - 1AEK
HMarseille2 - 2Brighton
AMarseille3 - 3Ajax
HMarseille2 - 1Panathinaikos
AMarseille0 - 1Panathinaikos
HMarseille1 - 2Spurs
AMarseille1 - 2E.Frankfurt
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 27 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Marseille on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

S. Lisbon 14th Marseille 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 74% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
S. Lisbon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
Marseille have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
25%
better
SCL
MAR
view stats
Games scored18
14
Failed to score0
4
Scored first13
11
Goals scored47
39
Avg. goals scored2.4
2
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for20
21
Avg. XG for2.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
28%
better
SCL
MAR
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded13
24
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded5
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+28%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between S. Lisbon v Marseille will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2211
G InácioF TrincãoI FresnedaZ Debast
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Inácio DEF2
-
E Quaresma DEF2
-
I Fresneda DEF21
-
M Vilches DEF2
-
Z Debast DEF2
1
-
H Morita MID21
-
M Hjulmand MID2
-
F Ioannidis FWD2
-
A Santos FWD21
-
P Gonçalves FWD2
-
G. Quenda FWD211
1
-
F Trincão FWD22
-
L Suárez FWD21
1
-
R Silva GLK1
-
J Virgínia GLK1
-
M Reis DEF1
-
G Kochorashvili MID11
1
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID1
-
G Catamo  FWD1
-
Marseille Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2221
G RulliI PaixãoP AubameyangB Pavard
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK2
-
B Pavard DEF2
1
-
Emerson DEF2
-
M Murillo DEF2
-
C Egan-Riley DEF2
-
F Medina DEF2
1
-
M O'Riley MID2
-
A Vermeeren MID21
-
P Höjbjerg MID2
1
-
I Paixão FWD221
-
T Weah FWD21
-
P Aubameyang FWD212
-
M Greenwood  FWD211
-
N Aguerd DEF1
1
-
L Balerdi DEF1
-
G Kondogbia MID1
-
B Nadir MID1
-
A Gomes MID1
-
A Gouiri FWD1
-