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Villarreal v Manchester City : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Oct, 20:00 BST, Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

Home advantage makes a difference in the Champions League, and Marcelino Toral’s Villarreal will have the luxury of it on Tuesday night. Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City are their visitors to the Estadio de la Cerámica. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our expansive database and dug out the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

While supporters of Man City prepare themselves for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After analysing the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) performance, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthwhile bet, as both teams know they way to goal and either could win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 56% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Villarreal
22%
4.33
13%
4.50
Draw
22%
4.00
5%
4.00
Man City
56%
1.70
6%
1.70
Draw 1-1
10%
8.007.50
Man City 2-1
10%
8.508.00
Man City 1-0
8%
9.00
6%
8.50
Man City 2-0
8%
9.50
12%
9.00
Man City 3-1
6%
13.00
8%
11.00
Villarreal 2-1
6%
15.0013.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
Man City 3-0
5%
15.00
25%
12.00
Villarreal 1-0
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
Draw 0-0
4%
15.0013.00
Man City 3-2
4%
21.0017.00
Man City 4-1
3%
23.00
10%
19.00
Villarreal 2-0
3%
23.00
21%
21.00
Man City 4-0
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
Villarreal 3-1
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.621.60
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.302.25
Home 1st Goal
43%
2.40
8%
2.62
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.57
5%
1.55
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0012.00
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.62
5%
1.62
BTTS - No
40%
2.20
7%
2.15
BTTS - Home Win
13%
7.00
18%
6.50
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.75
5%
4.80
BTTS - Away Win
29%
3.20
3%
3.00
Home/draw
44%
2.10
9%
2.10
Away/draw
78%
1.20
3%
1.20
Home/away
78%
1.221.22
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.201.18
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4.504.33
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.50
5%
2.45
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.53
2%
1.50
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.504.20
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.201.20
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
9.008.00
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.071.07
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.0012.00
Home DNB
38%
3.40
9%
3.25
Away DNB
71%
1.30
4%
1.30
Villarreal win to nil
10%
9.00
10%
-
Man City win to nil
27%
3.40
13%
-
Villarreal / Villarreal
12%
7.00
18%
6.50
Villarreal / Man City
4%
19.0017.00
Villarreal / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
Draw / Villarreal
9%
9.50
14%
9.00
Draw / Man City
17%
4.75
6%
4.60
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.00
Man City / Villarreal
3%
29.00
15%
26.00
Man City / Man City
31%
2.63
10%
2.50
Man City / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
13.00
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Villarreal
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern220066 
-
-
-
-
2
Real Madrid220066 
-
-
-
Dec 10
3
PSG220056 
-
-
-
-
4
Inter220056 
-
-
-
-
5
Arsenal220046 
-
-
-
-
6
Qarabag220036 
-
-
-
-
7
Dortmund211034 
-
Nov 25
Nov 5
-
8
Man City211024 
Oct 21
-
-
-
9
Spurs211014 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
10
A.Madrid210133 
-
-
-
-
11
Newcastle210133 
-
-
-
-
12
Marseille210133 
-
-
-
-
13
Brugge210123 
-
-
-
-
14
S. Lisbon210123 
-
-
-
-
15
E.Frankfurt210103 
-
-
-
-
16
Barcelona210103 
-
-
-
-
17
Liverpool210103 
-
-
-
-
18
Chelsea2101-13 
-
-
-
-
19
Napoli2101-13 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
-
20
Union SG2101-23 
-
-
-
-
21
Galatasaray2101-33 
-
-
Jan 28
-
22
Atalanta2101-33 
-
-
-
-
23
Juventus202002 
d
 
2-2F
-
-
-
24
Bodø202002 
-
-
-
Jan 20
25
Leverkusen202002 
-
Jan 28
Nov 25
-
26
Villarreal2011-11 
-
-
-
Oct 21
27
PSV2011-21 
-
-
-
-
28
Kobenhavn2011-21 
Dec 10
-
-
-
29
Olympiakos2011-21 
-
-
-
-
30
Monaco2011-31 
-
-
-
d
 
2-2F
31
Slavia2011-31 
-
-
-
-
32
Paphos2011-41 
-
Nov 5
-
-
33
Benfica2002-20 
-
-
-
-
34
A.Bilbao2002-50 
-
-
-
-
35
Ajax2002-60 
Jan 20
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty2002-80 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Villarreal 26TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal2 - 2Juventus
Villarreal3 - 1Marseille
Villarreal0 - 0M. Haifa
Villarreal3 - 2Panathinaikos
Villarreal1 - 0Rennes
Villarreal0 - 1Anderlecht
Villarreal2 - 2Beer Sheva
Villarreal5 - 0Austria Wien
Villarreal4 - 3Lech Poznan
Villarreal4 - 2Hajduk Split
Villarreal2 - 3Liverpool
Villarreal1 - 0Bayern
Villarreal1 - 1Juventus
Villarreal0 - 2Man Utd
Villarreal2 - 0Young Boys
Villarreal2 - 2Atalanta
Villarreal1 - 1Man Utd
Villarreal2 - 1Arsenal
Villarreal2 - 1D. Zagreb
Villarreal2 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVillarreal2 - 2Juventus
AVillarreal0 - 1Spurs
HVillarreal3 - 1Marseille
AVillarreal0 - 4Marseille
AVillarreal3 - 2Rennes
HVillarreal0 - 0M. Haifa
HVillarreal3 - 2Panathinaikos
AVillarreal2 - 1M. Haifa
HVillarreal1 - 0Rennes
AVillarreal0 - 2Panathinaikos
HVillarreal0 - 1Anderlecht
AVillarreal1 - 1Anderlecht
AVillarreal0 - 3Lech Poznan
HVillarreal2 - 2Beer Sheva
AVillarreal1 - 0Austria Wien
HVillarreal5 - 0Austria Wien
AVillarreal2 - 1Beer Sheva
HVillarreal4 - 3Lech Poznan
AVillarreal2 - 0Hajduk Split
HVillarreal4 - 2Hajduk Split
Man City 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco2 - 2Man City
Real Madrid3 - 1Man City
PSG4 - 2Man City
Juventus2 - 0Man City
S. Lisbon4 - 1Man City
S. Bratislava0 - 4Man City
Real Madrid3 - 3Man City
Kobenhavn1 - 3Man City
Red Star Bel.2 - 3Man City
Young Boys1 - 3Man City
RB Leipzig1 - 3Man City
Real Madrid1 - 1Man City
Bayern1 - 1Man City
RB Leipzig1 - 1Man City
Dortmund0 - 0Man City
Kobenhavn0 - 0Man City
Sevilla0 - 4Man City
Real Madrid2 - 1Man City
A.Madrid0 - 0Man City
S. Lisbon0 - 5Man City
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City2 - 2Monaco
HMan City2 - 0Napoli
AMan City1 - 3Real Madrid
HMan City2 - 3Real Madrid
HMan City3 - 1Brugge
AMan City2 - 4PSG
AMan City0 - 2Juventus
HMan City3 - 3Feyenoord
AMan City1 - 4S. Lisbon
HMan City5 - 0Sparta
AMan City4 - 0S. Bratislava
HMan City0 - 0Inter
HMan City1 - 1Real Madrid
AMan City3 - 3Real Madrid
HMan City3 - 1Kobenhavn
AMan City3 - 1Kobenhavn
AMan City3 - 2Red Star Bel.
HMan City3 - 2RB Leipzig
HMan City3 - 0Young Boys
AMan City3 - 1Young Boys
Goal Statistics
Villarreal 26th Man City 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Villarreal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Man City’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.2
2
Attack rating
VIL
MCI
16%
better
view stats
Games scored15
17
Failed to score4
3
Scored first13
17
Goals scored35
44
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.2
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
18
Avg. XG for1.7
2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
VIL
MCI
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
9
Clean sheets7
11
Conceded first5
2
Goals conceded20
14
Avg. goals conceded1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+27%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Villarreal v Man City will show here when available.

Villarreal Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
S MouriñoR VeigaN PépéS Mouriño
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Mouriño DEF2
1
-
S Cardona DEF2
-
A Pedraza DEF2
-
R Veiga DEF21
1
-
S Comesaña MID2
1
-
P Gueye MID2
-
D Parejo MID2
-
G Mikautadze FWD21
-
A Moleiro FWD2
-
T Buchanan FWD2
-
N Pépé FWD21
-
I Akhomach FWD21
1
-
L Júnior GLK1
-
A Tenas GLK1
-
R Marín DEF1
-
J Foyth DEF1
-
T Partey MID1
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD1
-
A Pérez FWD1
-
Man City Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2311
G DonnarummaE HaalandN. O'ReillyG Donnarumma
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK2
1
-
N. O'Reilly DEF21
-
J Gvardiol DEF21
-
R Dias DEF2
-
N González  MID2
-
T Reijnders MID21
-
Rodri MID2
1
-
B Silva MID2
1
-
S Sávio FWD2
1
-
J Doku FWD21
-
E Haaland FWD23
-
P Foden FWD21
-
J Stones DEF1
-
A. Khusanov DEF1
-
R Lewis DEF1
-
M Nunes DEF1
-
N Aké  DEF1
-
O Bobb FWD1
-