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Benfica v AGF Aarhus : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Aug, 20:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Jakob Bendix Uhd Poulsen takes his AGF Aarhus team to the Estádio da Luz in the Europa League on Thursday night, with Marco Alexandre Saraiva Da Silva's Benfica their challengers. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our extensive database and pulled out the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

After looking at the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding both teams ahead of this Europa League clash, a bet on win / draw / win for Benfica to win on home turf is what we would suggest. We predict they will have too much for AGF Aarhus, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have a track record of doing so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Benfica winning is the bet come Thursday morning.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 83% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
83%
1/6
3%
-
Draw
11%
6/1-
AGF Aarhus
6%
12/1
13%
-
Benfica 3-0
11%
13/2
6%
-
Benfica 2-0
11%
13/2
6%
-
Benfica 4-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
Benfica 3-1
8%
10/1-
Benfica 2-1
8%
10/1-
Benfica 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
-
Benfica 4-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 1-1
5%
14/1-
Benfica 5-0
5%
14/1-
Benfica 5-1
4%
20/1-
Benfica 3-2
3%
25/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1-
Benfica 6-0
2%
25/1-
Draw 0-0
2%
22/1
12%
-
Benfica 4-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
4/11
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
2/1
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
64%
1/4-
Away 1st Goal
35%
11/4-
No 1st Goal
1%
22/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
1/1
5%
-
BTTS - No
50%
8/11
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
37%
8/5
4%
-
BTTS - Draw
9%
15/2-
BTTS - Away Win
4%
20/1-
Home/draw
94%
1/80-
Away/draw
17%
7/2
10%
-
Home/away
89%
1/12-
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1/10
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
11/2
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
52%
5/6
2%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
48%
5/6
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
2/1
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
67%
4/11
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
7/2-
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1/6-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/1000-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
22/1
12%
-
Home DNB
90%
1/25-
Away DNB
14%
8/1-
Benfica win to nil
45%
10/11
5%
-
AGF Aarhus win to nil
3%
25/1-
Benfica / Benfica
53%
8/15-
Benfica / AGF Aarhus
2%
50/1
24%
-
Benfica / Draw
4%
22/1-
Draw / Benfica
20%
3/1-
Draw / AGF Aarhus
3%
25/1-
Draw / Draw
7%
10/1
8%
-
AGF Aarhus / Benfica
4%
18/1-
AGF Aarhus / AGF Aarhus
4%
22/1-
AGF Aarhus / Draw
3%
25/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Benfica
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica6 - 1Hearts
Benfica5 - 0St Gallen
Benfica0 - 1Real Madrid
Benfica4 - 2Real Madrid
Benfica2 - 0Napoli
Benfica0 - 1Leverkusen
Benfica2 - 3Qarabag
Benfica1 - 0Fenerbahce
Benfica2 - 0Nice
Benfica0 - 1Barcelona
Benfica3 - 3Monaco
Benfica4 - 5Barcelona
Benfica0 - 0Bologna
Benfica1 - 3Feyenoord
Benfica4 - 0A.Madrid
Benfica2 - 1Marseille
Benfica2 - 2Rangers
Benfica2 - 1Toulouse
Benfica3 - 3Inter
Benfica0 - 1R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica1 - 1Hearts
HBenfica6 - 1Hearts
HBenfica5 - 0St Gallen
ABenfica1 - 2St Gallen
ABenfica1 - 2Real Madrid
HBenfica0 - 1Real Madrid
HBenfica4 - 2Real Madrid
ABenfica0 - 2Juventus
HBenfica2 - 0Napoli
ABenfica2 - 0Ajax
HBenfica0 - 1Leverkusen
ABenfica0 - 3Newcastle
ABenfica0 - 1Chelsea
HBenfica2 - 3Qarabag
HBenfica1 - 0Fenerbahce
ABenfica0 - 0Fenerbahce
HBenfica2 - 0Nice
ABenfica2 - 0Nice
ABenfica1 - 3Barcelona
HBenfica0 - 1Barcelona
AGF Aarhus
5 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
4
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
2 / 5
Conceded
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
Failed to score
3 / 5
W
1
Lost
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sabah4 - 0AGF Aarhus
Lech Poznan0 - 3AGF Aarhus
Brugge3 - 0AGF Aarhus
Larne2 - 1AGF Aarhus
NK Mura3 - 0AGF Aarhus
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
7 / 10
Conceded
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Failed to score
3 / 10
Won
4
D
1
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAGF Aarhus0 - 4Sabah
HAGF Aarhus2 - 1Sabah
AAGF Aarhus3 - 0Lech Poznan
HAGF Aarhus1 - 4Lech Poznan
HAGF Aarhus1 - 0Brugge
AAGF Aarhus0 - 3Brugge
HAGF Aarhus1 - 1Larne
AAGF Aarhus1 - 2Larne
AAGF Aarhus0 - 3NK Mura
HAGF Aarhus5 - 2FC Honka
Goal Statistics
Benfica AGF Aarhus
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.0
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
5+
24%
There is a 24% probability that Benfica will score 5 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of AGF Aarhus scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
AGF Aarhus’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2026/2027 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
AGF Aarhus
3
0.7
Attack rating
23%
better
BEF
AGF
view stats
Games scored19
17
Failed to score1
3
Scored first15
11
Goals scored46
34
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
17
Avg. XG for2.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
11%
better
BEF
AGF
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded22
27
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Benfica v AGF Aarhus will show here when available.

Benfica Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4511
C LengletV PavlidisH SudakovA Bah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Lenglet DEF41
-
E Barrenechea MID4
-
H Sudakov MID41
-
J Kaminski FWD41
-
R Silva FWD421
-
S Dahl DEF3
-
A Bah DEF31
1
-
Manu MID3
-
R Ríos MID3
-
L Barreiro MID31
-
J Durán FWD31
-
A Schjelderup FWD311
-
V Pavlidis FWD351
1
-
S Soares GLK2
-
A Trubin GLK2
-
T Araújo DEF21
-
A Dedic DEF2
-
G Prestianni FWD21
1
-
D Lukébakio FWD211
-
J. Formoso Neto DEF11
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID1
-
T Gouveia FWD1
-
AGF Aarhus Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE