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Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 5th Nov, 20:00 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

Carles Martínez Novell's Bayer Leverkusen side are on home soil in the Europa League on Thursday night, as Bruno Génésio's Marseille travel to the BayArena. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Europa League match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
49%
--
Draw
23%
--
Marseille
28%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Leverkusen 2-1
10%
--
Leverkusen 1-0
8%
--
Leverkusen 2-0
7%
--
Marseille 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Marseille 1-0
6%
--
Leverkusen 3-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Leverkusen 3-0
4%
--
Marseille 2-0
4%
--
Leverkusen 3-2
4%
--
Marseille 3-1
3%
--
Marseille 3-2
3%
--
Leverkusen 4-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
--
BTTS - No
40%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
51%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
65%
--
Away DNB
44%
--
Leverkusen win to nil
23%
--
Marseille win to nil
12%
--
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Leverkusen have won 3 consecutive european games
5
Marseille have lost 5 consecutive european games
3
Leverkusen have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive european games
Leverkusen 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen2 - 0Celje
Leverkusen1 - 1Arsenal
Leverkusen0 - 0Olympiakos
Leverkusen3 - 0Villarreal
Leverkusen2 - 2Newcastle
Leverkusen2 - 7PSG
Leverkusen1 - 1PSV
Leverkusen0 - 2Bayern
Leverkusen2 - 0Sparta
Leverkusen1 - 0Inter
Leverkusen5 - 0Salzburg
Leverkusen1 - 0Milan
Leverkusen2 - 2Roma
Leverkusen2 - 0West Ham
Leverkusen3 - 2Qarabag
Leverkusen5 - 1Molde
Leverkusen5 - 1Qarabag
Leverkusen4 - 0Häcken
Leverkusen0 - 0Roma
Leverkusen1 - 1Union SG
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeverkusen2 - 0Crete
ALeverkusen4 - 0Lech Poznan
HLeverkusen2 - 0Celje
ALeverkusen0 - 2Arsenal
HLeverkusen1 - 1Arsenal
HLeverkusen0 - 0Olympiakos
ALeverkusen2 - 0Olympiakos
HLeverkusen3 - 0Villarreal
ALeverkusen0 - 2Olympiakos
HLeverkusen2 - 2Newcastle
ALeverkusen2 - 0Man City
ALeverkusen1 - 0Benfica
HLeverkusen2 - 7PSG
HLeverkusen1 - 1PSV
ALeverkusen2 - 2Kobenhavn
HLeverkusen0 - 2Bayern
ALeverkusen0 - 3Bayern
HLeverkusen2 - 0Sparta
ALeverkusen1 - 2A.Madrid
HLeverkusen1 - 0Inter
Marseille 34TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sturm Graz1 - 0Marseille
Besiktas4 - 1Marseille
Brugge3 - 0Marseille
Union SG2 - 3Marseille
S. Lisbon2 - 1Marseille
Real Madrid2 - 1Marseille
Atalanta3 - 0Marseille
Benfica2 - 1Marseille
Villarreal3 - 1Marseille
Shakhtar2 - 2Marseille
Brighton1 - 0Marseille
AEK0 - 2Marseille
Ajax3 - 3Marseille
Panathinaikos1 - 0Marseille
E.Frankfurt2 - 1Marseille
S. Lisbon0 - 2Marseille
Spurs2 - 0Marseille
Feyenoord3 - 2Marseille
PAOK0 - 1Marseille
Basel1 - 2Marseille
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 1Sturm Graz
HMarseille0 - 1Olympiakos
AMarseille1 - 4Besiktas
AMarseille0 - 3Brugge
HMarseille0 - 3Liverpool
AMarseille3 - 2Union SG
HMarseille2 - 1Newcastle
HMarseille0 - 1Atalanta
AMarseille1 - 2S. Lisbon
HMarseille4 - 0Ajax
AMarseille1 - 2Real Madrid
AMarseille0 - 3Atalanta
HMarseille1 - 1Atalanta
HMarseille1 - 0Benfica
AMarseille1 - 2Benfica
AMarseille1 - 3Villarreal
HMarseille4 - 0Villarreal
HMarseille3 - 1Shakhtar
AMarseille2 - 2Shakhtar
AMarseille0 - 1Brighton
Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 18 consecutive Europa League matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Marseille on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been an issue for Marseille of late. It has been 5 Europa League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday night against Bayer Leverkusen.

Leverkusen 2nd Marseille 34th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
Marseille have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2026/2027 season
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
35%
better
B04
MAR
view stats
Games scored18
14
Failed to score2
6
Scored first14
9
Goals scored47
27
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game14
12
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for2.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
14%
better
B04
MAR
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first6
11
Goals conceded27
28
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Leverkusen v Marseille will show here when available.

Leverkusen Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3211
L BadéP Schick A GarcíaA García
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Badé DEF3
-
E Tapsoba DEF3
-
L Vázquez DEF3
-
F Medina DEF31
-
A García MID31
1
-
M Tillman MID311
-
E Fernández MID3
1
-
A Moreira FWD31
-
P Schick  FWD32
-
M Diaby FWD3
1
-
M Flekken GLK2
-
J Quansah DEF2
1
-
M Gutiérrez DEF2
-
I Maza MID21
-
R Andrich MID2
1
-
N Tella FWD2
-
M Terrier  FWD2
-
J Blaswich GLK1
-
J Hofmann MID12
-
C. Kofane FWD1
-
E Seghir FWD1
-
Marseille Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
J LangeK. Hikram AbdallahH AbdelliB Meïté
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Lange GLK3
-
U Garcia DEF3
-
T Weah DEF3
-
N Aguerd DEF3
-
A Gomes MID3
1
-
H Abdelli MID31
-
I Paixão FWD3
-
N Maupay FWD3
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD31
1
-
A Gouiri FWD3
1
-
B Meïté DEF2
2
-
Emerson DEF2
-
C Egan-Riley DEF2
-
P Höjbjerg MID2
-
G Kondogbia MID2
-
A Harit  FWD2
1
-
K. Bezahaf DEF1
-
D Cornelius DEF1
-
N. Kamissoko MID1
-
T Nadi MID1
-
T. Mmadi FWD1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-