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Midtjylland v SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 24th Sep, 17:45 BST, SAS Arena, Herning

It's a long trek for Jurgen Klopp's SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz side on Wednesday evening, as they travel to the SAS Arena for a Europa League meeting with Mike Mcelwee's Midtjylland. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a well-informed wager is shown below. Flip between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for every one.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Europa League clash is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Midtjylland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Midtjylland 58%	1.70 2%	1.73
Draw 21%	4.00	4.00
Sturm Graz 22%	4.50	4.40
Midtjylland 2-1 10%	8.50	8.00
Draw 1-1 9%	8.00	8.00 7%
Midtjylland 2-0 8%	10.00	9.50
Midtjylland 1-0 8%	10.00	9.00
Midtjylland 3-1 7%	12.00	11.00
Draw 2-2 6%	12.00 8%	12.00
Sturm Graz 2-1 6%	15.00	13.00
Midtjylland 3-0 6%	15.00	13.00
Sturm Graz 1-0 4%	19.00 12%	15.00
Midtjylland 3-2 4%	19.00	15.00
Midtjylland 4-1 4%	21.00 9%	19.00
Draw 0-0 4%	19.00 12%	13.00
Midtjylland 4-0 3%	26.00	21.00
Sturm Graz 2-0 3%	26.00	21.00
Sturm Graz 3-2 2%	29.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 65%	1.53 3%	1.53
Under 2.5 Goals 35%	2.50 5%	2.40 1%
Home 1st Goal 54%	1.57	1.55 1%
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.40	2.60
No 1st Goal 2%	19.00 12%	13.00 8%
BTTS - Yes 62%	1.53 3%	1.55 1%
BTTS - No 38%	2.38 6%	2.30
BTTS - Home Win 32%	3.00 3%	2.90
BTTS - Draw 17%	4.50 5%	4.60 2%
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7.00	6.50
Home/draw 78%	1.18	1.20
Away/draw 42%	2.10 2%	2.10 2%
Home/away 79%	1.22	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	1.17	1.17
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	5.00	4.80 4%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%	2.30 3%	2.25 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 57%	1.62 3%	1.57 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%	4.00 8%	3.75 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 76%	1.25 2%	1.25 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	7.00 13%	7.00
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	1.10 2%	1.09 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1.03	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	17.00	13.00
Home DNB 72%	1.30 2%	1.30
Away DNB 36%	3.40 5%	3.20
Midtjylland win to nil 26%	3.50	-
Sturm Graz win to nil 9%	10.00 11%	-
Midtjylland / Midtjylland 31%	2.60 1%	2.60
Midtjylland / Sturm Graz 3%	29.00	26.00
Midtjylland / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Midtjylland 17%	5.00	4.50 2%
Draw / Sturm Graz 8%	10.00 5%	9.00
Draw / Draw 12%	7.00	6.00
Sturm Graz / Midtjylland 5%	19.00	15.00 12%
Sturm Graz / Sturm Graz 12%	7.00	6.50
Sturm Graz / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win Europa League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Midtjylland Sturm Graz
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Celta	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
2	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
3	Nottm Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	Oct 2	Nov 6	-
4	Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	Nov 27	-	-
5	Porto	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
6	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	Jan 22
7	Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	Oct 2	-
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
9	D. Zagreb	0	0	0	0	0	0	Jan 29	-	-	-
10	Salzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
11	Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
12	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
13	Red Star Bel.	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	Dec 11	-
14	PAOK	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
15	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
16	M. Tel-Aviv	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	Oct 23	-	-
17	Celtic	0	0	0	0	0	0	Nov 6	-	-	Oct 23
18	Plzen	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
19	Ferencvaros	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
20	Young Boys	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
21	Basel	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
22	A Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
23	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
24	Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	Sep 24
25	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
26	Ludogorets	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
27	Sturm Graz	0	0	0	0	0	0	Sep 24	-	-	-
28	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
29	FCSB	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
30	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
31	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
32	Malmö	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
33	GA Eagles	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
34	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	Nov 27
35	Genk	0	0	0	0	0	0	Dec 11	-	-	-
36	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	Jan 22	Jan 29	-
37	Hibernian							d 1-1A	w 1-2F	-	-
38	Fredrikstad							w 2-0F	w 1-3F	-	-
39	Kuopio PS							w 4-0F	w 0-2F	-	-

	Next round
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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Midtjylland	4 - 0	Kuopio PS
Midtjylland	2 - 0	Fredrikstad
Midtjylland	1 - 1	Hibernian
Midtjylland	1 - 2	R.Sociedad
Midtjylland	2 - 2	Fenerbahce
Midtjylland	1 - 2	E.Frankfurt
Midtjylland	1 - 0	Union SG
Midtjylland	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
Midtjylland	1 - 1	S. Bratislava
Midtjylland	2 - 0	Ferencvaros
Midtjylland	1 - 0	UE Santa Coloma
Midtjylland	3 - 3	L. Warsaw
Midtjylland	5 - 1	Omnia Nicosia
Midtjylland	2 - 0	Progres Niedercorn
Midtjylland	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Midtjylland	2 - 0	Sturm Graz
Midtjylland	2 - 2	Feyenoord
Midtjylland	5 - 1	Lazio
Midtjylland	1 - 3	Benfica
Midtjylland	1 - 1	AEK Larnaca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Midtjylland	2 - 0	Kuopio PS
H	Midtjylland	4 - 0	Kuopio PS
H	Midtjylland	2 - 0	Fredrikstad
A	Midtjylland	3 - 1	Fredrikstad
A	Midtjylland	0 - 0	Hibernian
H	Midtjylland	1 - 1	Hibernian
A	Midtjylland	2 - 5	R.Sociedad
H	Midtjylland	1 - 2	R.Sociedad
H	Midtjylland	2 - 2	Fenerbahce
A	Midtjylland	2 - 0	Ludogorets
A	Midtjylland	0 - 2	Porto
H	Midtjylland	1 - 2	E.Frankfurt
A	Midtjylland	0 - 2	FCSB
H	Midtjylland	1 - 0	Union SG
A	Midtjylland	2 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
H	Midtjylland	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Midtjylland	2 - 3	S. Bratislava
H	Midtjylland	1 - 1	S. Bratislava
A	Midtjylland	1 - 1	Ferencvaros
H	Midtjylland	2 - 0	Ferencvaros

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bodø	5 - 0	Sturm Graz
Atalanta	5 - 0	Sturm Graz
Lille	3 - 2	Sturm Graz
Dortmund	1 - 0	Sturm Graz
Brest	2 - 1	Sturm Graz
Lille	1 - 1	Sturm Graz
S. Bratislava	0 - 1	Sturm Graz
S. Lisbon	3 - 0	Sturm Graz
Atalanta	1 - 0	Sturm Graz
Rakow	0 - 1	Sturm Graz
PSV	4 - 1	Sturm Graz
Midtjylland	2 - 0	Sturm Graz
Lazio	2 - 2	Sturm Graz
Feyenoord	6 - 0	Sturm Graz
Dynamo Kyiv	1 - 0	Sturm Graz
PSV	2 - 0	Sturm Graz
R.Sociedad	1 - 1	Sturm Graz
Monaco	1 - 0	Sturm Graz
NK Mura	1 - 3	Sturm Graz
Haugesund	2 - 0	Sturm Graz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Sturm Graz	2 - 1	Bodø
A	Sturm Graz	0 - 5	Bodø
H	Sturm Graz	1 - 0	RB Leipzig
A	Sturm Graz	0 - 5	Atalanta
A	Sturm Graz	2 - 3	Lille
H	Sturm Graz	1 - 0	Girona
A	Sturm Graz	0 - 1	Dortmund
H	Sturm Graz	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
H	Sturm Graz	0 - 1	Brugge
A	Sturm Graz	1 - 2	Brest
A	Sturm Graz	1 - 1	Lille
H	Sturm Graz	0 - 3	Lille
A	Sturm Graz	1 - 0	S. Bratislava
H	Sturm Graz	4 - 1	S. Bratislava
A	Sturm Graz	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
H	Sturm Graz	0 - 1	Rakow
A	Sturm Graz	0 - 1	Atalanta
H	Sturm Graz	2 - 2	Atalanta
A	Sturm Graz	1 - 0	Rakow
H	Sturm Graz	1 - 2	S. Lisbon

Goal Statistics

Midtjylland's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive Europa League games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday evening.

Midtjylland's defensive record is very strong, Mike Mcelwee's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Europa League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz makes sense in this context.

	Midtjylland	Sturm Graz
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 62% probability that Midtjylland will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Sturm Graz will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Midtjylland have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	-39 Sturm Graz have scored 39% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	2.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

better

FCM

STU

view stats

Games scored	13		16
Failed to score	2		2
Scored first	10		9
Goals scored	37		30
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.5
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	18		16
Avg. XG for	2.4		1.7
KickOff rating		+3%

34%

better

FCM

STU

view stats

Games conceded	9		14
Clean sheets	6		4
Conceded first	4		9
Goals conceded	15		26
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		7
Conversion rate against	10%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+34%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Midtjylland v Sturm Graz will show here when available.

Midtjylland Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	4	2	2
M Sörensen	J Brumado	D Osorio	M Sörensen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Sörensen DEF	6	1	1	2 -
D Castillo MID	6	1	1	-
F Djú FWD	6	1		-
A Şimşir FWD	6	2	1	-
E Ólafsson GLK	5			-
Paulinho DEF	5	1		-
P Bravo MID	5			1 -
D Osorio MID	5	2	2	-
M. Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen FWD	5	1	1	-
K Mbabu DEF	4		2	-
A Gabriel DEF	4			1 -
L Han-Beom DEF	4			1 -
J Brumado FWD	4	4		1 -
E Chilufya FWD	4		1	-
M Erlic DEF	3			1 -
V Jensen DEF	3			-
D Silva MID	3			-
Etim FWD	3			-
J Lössl GLK	2			-
O. Diao DEF	1			-
O Ejeheim GLK				-
P Billing MID				-
G Cho FWD				-
V Andreasen FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	5	2	2
J Brumado	J Brumado	D Osorio	F Djú

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Brumado FWD	4	5
A Şimşir FWD	2	4	1	2
D Osorio MID	2	4	2	1
M Sörensen DEF	1	4	1	1
D Castillo MID	1	2	1	1
F Djú FWD	1	3		2
Paulinho DEF	1	2
M. Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen FWD	1	1	1
P Bravo MID		1
K Mbabu DEF		1	2	1
A Gabriel DEF				1
L Han-Beom DEF		2		1
E Chilufya FWD			1	2
M Erlic DEF		1
D Silva MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
380	9	25
M Sörensen	Paulinho	A Şimşir

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Sörensen DEF	380	3	13
Paulinho DEF	241	9	22
L Han-Beom DEF	241	1	9
P Bravo MID	230	7	16
A Şimşir FWD	206	3	25
K Mbabu DEF	190	7	23
M Erlic DEF	141		7
A Gabriel DEF	140	2	9
D Silva MID	138	4	6
D Castillo MID	126	4	17
F Djú FWD	112	4	15
M. Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen FWD	109	2	15
D Osorio MID	106	8	19
E Ólafsson GLK	102
V Jensen DEF	95	1	5
E Chilufya FWD	69	3	9
J Lössl GLK	60		1
J Brumado FWD	28	1	10
O. Diao DEF	14
Etim FWD	13		4

Sturm Graz Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Khudyakov GLK				-
M Bignetti GLK				-
O Christensen GLK				-
E. Lorenz GLK				-
J. Mitchell DEF				-
E Aiwu DEF				-
E Karic DEF				-
N Geyrhofer DEF				-
T Oermann DEF				-
D Lavalée DEF				-
A Borkovic DEF				-
A. Malic DEF				-
J. Hödl MID				-
F Kucharczyk MID				-
J Stankovic MID				-
T Chukwuani MID				-
J Beck MID				-
T Horvat MID				-
O Kiteishvili MID				-
S Hierländer MID				-
A. Kayombo FWD				-
B Beganovic FWD				-
L Grgic FWD				-
M Malone FWD				-
S Jatta FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	0	0	0

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

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Midtjylland v SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Midtjylland v Sturm Graz will show here when available.

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