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Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 30th Apr, 20:00 BST, The City Ground, Nottingham

Unai Emery Etxegoien is aiming for a crucial away win in the Europa League on Thursday night, as he takes his Aston Villa side to The City Ground to visit Nottingham Forest and Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira. We have custom-designed stats for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Nottm Forest or A Villa are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of 2 goals or more.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Nottm Forest 39%	6/4	7/5
Draw 26%	9/4	12/5
A Villa 35%	9/5	15/8
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	11/2
Nottm Forest 1-0 10%	15/2	7/1
A Villa 1-0 9%	17/2	8/1
Nottm Forest 2-1 8%	9/1	8/1
A Villa 2-1 8%	10/1	9/1
Draw 0-0 7%	9/1	17/2
Nottm Forest 2-0 7%	11/1	10/1
A Villa 2-0 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	11/1
Nottm Forest 3-1 4%	20/1	16/1
A Villa 3-1 3%	22/1	18/1
Nottm Forest 3-0 3%	22/1	18/1
A Villa 3-0 3%	28/1	22/1
Nottm Forest 3-2 3%	28/1	22/1
A Villa 3-2 2%	28/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	1/1	10/11
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	4/5	4/5
Home 1st Goal 49%	10/11	10/11
Away 1st Goal 47%	21/20	11/10
No 1st Goal 4%	9/1	8/1
BTTS - Yes 54%	3/4	8/11
BTTS - No 46%	1/1	1/1
BTTS - Home Win 18%	4/1	7/2
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 17%	9/2	17/4
Home/draw 65%	2/5	2/5
Away/draw 61%	1/2	11/20
Home/away 74%	1/3	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	3/10	3/10
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	5/2	23/10
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	12/5	9/4
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	1/3	3/10
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	11/2	5/1
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/9	1/10
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1	11/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/16	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	9/1	8/1
Home DNB 57%	8/11	7/10
Away DNB 53%	1/1	1/1
Nottm Forest win to nil 21%	10/3	-
A Villa win to nil 18%	4/1	-
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest 21%	3/1	27/10
Nottm Forest / A Villa 3%	28/1	20/1
Nottm Forest / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw / Nottm Forest 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / A Villa 12%	11/2	11/2
Draw / Draw 16%	4/1	19/5
A Villa / Nottm Forest 4%	25/1	18/1
A Villa / A Villa 18%	7/2	17/5
A Villa / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Europa League table

Nottm Forest have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Nottm Forest have conceded 9 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nottm Forest have played 7 games at home, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

A Villa lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 24 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 7 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 6 away games, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Nottm Forest A Villa
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	8	7	0	1	13	21	-	-	-	-
2	A Villa	8	7	0	1	8	21	Apr 30	May 7	-	-
3	Midtjylland	8	6	1	1	10	19	l 2-3A	w 1-2F	-	-
4	Real Betis	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	d 2-2A	-	-
5	Porto	8	5	2	1	6	17	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	-	-
6	Braga	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	l 1-0A	-	-
7	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
8	Roma	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	-	-
9	Genk	8	5	1	2	4	16	-	-	-	-
10	Bologna	8	4	3	1	7	15	-	-	w 1-0F	w 1-3F
11	Stuttgart	8	5	0	3	6	15	-	-	-	-
12	Ferencvaros	8	4	3	1	1	15	w 4-0F	-	-	-
13	Nottm Forest	8	4	2	2	8	14	-	-	May 7	Apr 30
14	Plzen	8	3	5	0	5	14	-	-	-	-
15	Red Star Bel.	8	4	2	2	1	14	-	-	-	-
16	Celta	8	4	1	3	4	13	-	-	-	-
17	PAOK	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	3	12	-	-	w 2-0F	w 0-1F
19	Fenerbahce	8	3	3	2	3	12	l 1-2A	w 0-3F	-	w 0-1F
20	Panathinaikos	8	3	3	2	2	12	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	8	3	2	3	-2	11	-	-	-	-
22	Ludogorets	8	3	1	4	-3	10	-	-	-	-
23	D. Zagreb	8	3	1	4	-4	10	-	-	-	-
24	Brann	8	2	3	3	-2	9	-	-	-	-
25	Young Boys	8	3	0	5	-6	9	-	-	w 2-1F	-
26	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	7	-	d 0-00-0	-	-
27	FCSB	8	2	1	5	-7	7	-	-	-	-
28	GA Eagles	8	2	1	5	-8	7	-	-	-	l 2-1F
29	Feyenoord	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	w 0-2F
30	Basel	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	w 1-2F
31	Salzburg	8	2	0	6	-5	6	-	-	w 3-2A	-
32	Rangers	8	1	1	6	-9	4	-	-	-	-
33	Nice	8	1	0	7	-8	3	-	-	-	-
34	Utrecht	8	0	1	7	-10	1	-	w 1-2F	-	-
35	Malmö	8	0	1	7	-11	1	w 3-0F	-	-	-
36	M. Tel-Aviv	8	0	1	7	-20	1	-	-	w 2-0F	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

A Villa have won 9 consecutive european games

A Villa have not lost in 9 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 7

Conceded

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

Failed to score

1 / 7

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest	1 - 0	Porto
Nottm Forest	0 - 1	Midtjylland
Nottm Forest	1 - 2	Fenerbahce
Nottm Forest	4 - 0	Ferencvaros
Nottm Forest	3 - 0	Malmö
Nottm Forest	2 - 0	Porto
Nottm Forest	2 - 3	Midtjylland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 14

Conceded

8 / 14

Clean sheets

6 / 14

Failed to score

3 / 14

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Nottm Forest	1 - 0	Porto
A	Nottm Forest	1 - 1	Porto
A	Nottm Forest	2 - 1	Midtjylland
H	Nottm Forest	0 - 1	Midtjylland
H	Nottm Forest	1 - 2	Fenerbahce
A	Nottm Forest	3 - 0	Fenerbahce
H	Nottm Forest	4 - 0	Ferencvaros
A	Nottm Forest	0 - 1	Braga
A	Nottm Forest	2 - 1	Utrecht
H	Nottm Forest	3 - 0	Malmö
A	Nottm Forest	0 - 0	Sturm Graz
H	Nottm Forest	2 - 0	Porto
H	Nottm Forest	2 - 3	Midtjylland
A	Nottm Forest	2 - 2	Real Betis

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bologna	1 - 3	A Villa
Lille	0 - 1	A Villa
Fenerbahce	0 - 1	A Villa
Basel	1 - 2	A Villa
GA Eagles	2 - 1	A Villa
Feyenoord	0 - 2	A Villa
PSG	3 - 1	A Villa
Brugge	1 - 3	A Villa
Monaco	1 - 0	A Villa
RB Leipzig	2 - 3	A Villa
Brugge	1 - 0	A Villa
Young Boys	0 - 3	A Villa
Olympiakos	2 - 0	A Villa
Lille	2 - 1	A Villa
Ajax	0 - 0	A Villa
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar	1 - 1	A Villa
AZ Alkmaar	1 - 4	A Villa
L. Warsaw	3 - 2	A Villa
Hibernian	0 - 5	A Villa
Rapid Wien	1 - 1	A Villa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	A Villa	4 - 0	Bologna
A	A Villa	3 - 1	Bologna
H	A Villa	2 - 0	Lille
A	A Villa	1 - 0	Lille
H	A Villa	3 - 2	Salzburg
A	A Villa	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
A	A Villa	2 - 1	Basel
H	A Villa	2 - 1	Young Boys
H	A Villa	2 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
A	A Villa	1 - 2	GA Eagles
A	A Villa	2 - 0	Feyenoord
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Bologna
H	A Villa	3 - 2	PSG
A	A Villa	1 - 3	PSG
H	A Villa	3 - 0	Brugge
A	A Villa	3 - 1	Brugge
H	A Villa	4 - 2	Celtic
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Monaco
A	A Villa	3 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	A Villa	0 - 0	Juventus

Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 17 consecutive Europa League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Nottingham Forest on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Nottm Forest 13th	A Villa 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
7 home / away league games	=0 Nottm Forest’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+3 A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.9 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

better

NFO

AVL

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

NFO

AVL

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Nottm Forest v A Villa will show here when available.

Nottm Forest Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	7	3	4
Morato	I Jesus	M Gibbs-White	I Jesus

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Sangaré MID	14		1	1 -
N Milenković DEF	13	1	1	-
N Williams DEF	13		1	1 -
M Gibbs-White MID	13	3	3	2 -
Murillo DEF	12	1		2 -
Morato DEF	12			2 -
D Ndoye FWD	12	1	1	1 -
N Domínguez MID	11	1		1 -
I Jesus FWD	11	7	1	4 -
C Hudson-Odoi FWD	11	1		-
E Anderson MID	10		1	3 1
R Yates MID	10	2	2	2 -
J McAtee MID	9	1	1	-
O Aina DEF	7		1	-
D Bakwa FWD	7			-
M Sels GLK	6			-
Z Abbott DEF	6			1 -
O Hutchinson MID	6			1 -
S Ortega GLK	5			-
N. Savona DEF	4			-
L Lucca FWD	4			1 -
John GLK	3			-
J Paula DEF	3			-
C Wood FWD	3	1		-
W Boly DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	14	3	4
I Jesus	I Jesus	M Gibbs-White	M Gibbs-White

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Jesus FWD	7	14	1	1
M Gibbs-White MID	3	13	3	4
R Yates MID	2	8	2
N Milenković DEF	1	3	1	1
Murillo DEF	1	1
D Ndoye FWD	1	6	1	3
N Domínguez MID	1	6		1
C Hudson-Odoi FWD	1	8		2
J McAtee MID	1	5	1	4
C Wood FWD	1	1
I Sangaré MID			1	2
N Williams DEF		4	1	2
Morato DEF		1		1
E Anderson MID		3	1	3
O Aina DEF		2	1
Z Abbott DEF		1		1
O Hutchinson MID		4		2
L Lucca FWD		1
J Paula DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
662	31	65
Morato	N Williams	E Anderson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Morato DEF	662	21	48
I Sangaré MID	586	25	47
N Milenković DEF	526	13	42
E Anderson MID	511	19	65
N Domínguez MID	490	13	45
N Williams DEF	460	31	56
Murillo DEF	426	11	27
M Gibbs-White MID	357	7	27
R Yates MID	336	7	32
C Hudson-Odoi FWD	299	9	33
J McAtee MID	256	13	29
Z Abbott DEF	220	6	19
O Aina DEF	204	8	22
D Ndoye FWD	198	19	48
S Ortega GLK	164
N. Savona DEF	154	8	12
O Hutchinson MID	147	4	19
M Sels GLK	146	1	3
I Jesus FWD	138	3	35
J Paula DEF	100	6	9
D Bakwa FWD	98	9	24
John GLK	64
L Lucca FWD	40	1	9
C Wood FWD	15		5

A Villa Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	4	4	2
E Buendía	O Watkins	E Buendía	M Rogers

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Buendía MID	12	2	4	1 -
M Rogers MID	12	2	3	2 -
O Watkins FWD	12	4	1	-
L Bogarde MID	11			1 -
A Onana MID	10			1 -
J Sancho FWD	10	1	1	-
E Konsa DEF	9	2		1 -
P Torres DEF	9			-
I Maatsen DEF	9	1		1 -
M Cash DEF	9		1	2 -
J McGinn MID	9	3	1	2 -
E Martínez GLK	8			1 -
V Lindelöf DEF	8			2 -
L Digne DEF	8		1	2 -
Y Tielemans MID	6	1	3	1 -
B Kamara MID	6		1	-
M Bizot GLK	4			1 -
H Elliot MID	4			-
L Bailey FWD	4	1		-
T Mings DEF	3	1		-
D Luiz MID	3			1 -
T Abraham FWD	3		1	-
A García DEF	1			-
R Barkley MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	11	4	5
O Watkins	O Watkins	E Buendía	M Rogers

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
O Watkins FWD	4	11	1	2
J McGinn MID	3	3	1
E Buendía MID	2	4	4	3
M Rogers MID	2	8	3	5
E Konsa DEF	2	2
J Sancho FWD	1	6	1	2
I Maatsen DEF	1	2		2
Y Tielemans MID	1	2	3	3
L Bailey FWD	1	1
T Mings DEF	1	2		1
A Onana MID		3		1
M Cash DEF		2	1	1
L Digne DEF		1	1	1
B Kamara MID			1	1
H Elliot MID		1
T Abraham FWD			1	1
R Barkley MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
542	20	45
P Torres	A Onana	M Rogers

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Torres DEF	542	5	20
E Konsa DEF	479	4	29
V Lindelöf DEF	437	3	9
A Onana MID	426	20	45
L Bogarde MID	416	14	40
E Martínez GLK	337	1	4
J Sancho FWD	301	10	29
M Rogers MID	290	1	45
E Buendía MID	280	19	44
L Digne DEF	252	9	21
I Maatsen DEF	229	14	29
Y Tielemans MID	210	6	13
M Cash DEF	209	11	23
B Kamara MID	186	7	27
T Mings DEF	165	3	13
J McGinn MID	158	5	19
M Bizot GLK	148		2
O Watkins FWD	121	4	34
D Luiz MID	112	9	14
H Elliot MID	73	3	6
R Barkley MID	22	1	2
T Abraham FWD	18	4	10
L Bailey FWD	11		3
A García DEF	5	1	5

European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Nottm Forest v A Villa

Thu 30th Apr, 20:00

Braga v Freiburg

Thu 30th Apr, 20:00

Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Nottm Forest have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

A Villa lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Nottm Forest v A Villa will show here when available.

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