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FC Porto v Nottingham Forest : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 9th Apr, 20:00 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Francesco Farioli welcomes Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira to the Estádio do Dragão on Thursday night, as their FC Porto and Nottingham Forest charges go head to head in the Europa League. You'll see stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but there are 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Europa League performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Porto and Nottm Forest a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Europa League fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
46%
11/10
8%
11/10
5%
Draw
26%
12/5
6%
23/10
3%
Nottm Forest
28%
23/10
8%
13/5
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Porto 1-0
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
Porto 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
15/2
Nottm Forest 1-0
8%
8/1
18%
17/2
5%
Porto 2-0
8%
17/28/1
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
18%
15/2
6%
Nottm Forest 2-1
7%
11/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Nottm Forest 2-0
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
Porto 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Porto 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Nottm Forest 3-1
3%
28/122/1
Porto 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
22/1
Nottm Forest 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Nottm Forest 3-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
11/10
10%
1/1
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/11
9%
8/11
4%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/5
8%
8/11
2%
Away 1st Goal
44%
5/4
2%
7/5
4%
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
18%
7/1
6%
BTTS - Yes
52%
10/11
6%
5/6
2%
BTTS - No
48%
10/11
2%
10/11
2%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
19%
10/3
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/410/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/111/2
Home/draw
72%
1/3
3%
2/7
3%
Away/draw
54%
7/10
6%
8/11
4%
Home/away
74%
3/10
1%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
4/11
5%
1/3
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/5
9%
21/10
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/4
10%
5/2
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1
23%
6/1
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12
3%
1/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
2%
1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
18%
7/1
6%
Home DNB
64%
8/15
6%
10/21
3%
Away DNB
47%
11/8
10%
6/4
5%
Porto win to nil
26%
5/2
3%
-
Nottm Forest win to nil
15%
9/2
8%
-
Porto / Porto
24%
5/2
9%
11/5
7%
Porto / Nottm Forest
3%
33/125/1
Porto / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Porto
16%
4/117/4
5%
Draw / Nottm Forest
11%
13/2
6%
13/2
6%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
4%
Nottm Forest / Porto
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
15%
9/2
8%
9/2
4%
Nottm Forest / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Europa League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Nottm Forest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lyon87011321 
-
-
-
-
2
A Villa8701821 
-
-
-
-
3
Midtjylland86111019 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
4
Real Betis8521617 
-
-
-
d
 
2-2A
5
Porto8521617 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Apr 9
6
Braga8521617 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
7
Freiburg8521617 
-
-
-
-
8
Roma8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Genk8512416 
-
-
-
-
10
Bologna8431715 
-
-
-
-
11
Stuttgart8503615 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
-
-
12
Ferencvaros8431115 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
-
13
Nottm Forest8422814 
Apr 9
l
 
2-0A
-
-
14
Plzen8350514 
-
d
 
1-1A
-
-
15
Red Star Bel.8422114 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
-
16
Celta8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
PAOK8332312 
-
-
-
-
18
Lille8404312 
-
-
-
-
19
Fenerbahce8332312 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
20
Panathinaikos8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8323-211 
-
-
-
-
22
Ludogorets8314-310 
-
-
-
-
23
D. Zagreb8314-410 
-
-
-
-
24
Brann8233-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Young Boys8305-69 
-
-
-
-
26
Sturm Graz8215-67 
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
27
FCSB8215-77 
-
-
-
-
28
GA Eagles8215-87 
-
-
-
-
29
Feyenoord8206-46 
-
-
-
-
30
Basel8206-46 
-
-
-
-
31
Salzburg8206-56 
-
w
 
0-1F
-
-
32
Rangers8116-94 
w
 
3-1A
-
-
-
33
Nice8107-83 
w
 
3-0F
-
-
-
34
Utrecht8017-101 
-
d
 
1-1A
-
w
 
1-2F
35
Malmö8017-111 
w
 
2-1F
-
w
 
3-0F
-
36
M. Tel-Aviv8017-201 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
Porto have won 5 consecutive home european games
7
Porto have not lost in 7 consecutive european games
Porto 5TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto2 - 0Stuttgart
Porto3 - 1Rangers
Porto2 - 1Malmö
Porto3 - 0Nice
Porto2 - 1Red Star Bel.
Porto1 - 1Roma
Porto0 - 1Olympiakos
Porto2 - 0Midtjylland
Porto2 - 0Hoffenheim
Porto3 - 3Man Utd
Porto1 - 0Arsenal
Porto5 - 3Shakhtar
Porto2 - 0Antwerp
Porto0 - 1Barcelona
Porto0 - 0Inter
Porto2 - 1A.Madrid
Porto2 - 0Leverkusen
Porto0 - 4Brugge
Porto0 - 1Lyon
Porto2 - 1Lazio
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto2 - 0Stuttgart
APorto2 - 1Stuttgart
HPorto3 - 1Rangers
APorto1 - 1Plzen
HPorto2 - 1Malmö
HPorto3 - 0Nice
APorto1 - 1Utrecht
APorto0 - 2Nottm Forest
HPorto2 - 1Red Star Bel.
APorto1 - 0Salzburg
APorto2 - 3Roma
HPorto1 - 1Roma
APorto1 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
HPorto0 - 1Olympiakos
HPorto2 - 0Midtjylland
APorto2 - 2Anderlecht
APorto1 - 2Lazio
HPorto2 - 0Hoffenheim
HPorto3 - 3Man Utd
APorto2 - 3Bodø
Nottm Forest 13TH
6 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
Conceded
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
Failed to score
2 / 6
Won
3
Draw
2
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Midtjylland1 - 2Nottm Forest
Fenerbahce0 - 3Nottm Forest
Braga1 - 0Nottm Forest
Utrecht1 - 2Nottm Forest
Sturm Graz0 - 0Nottm Forest
Real Betis2 - 2Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
9 / 12
Conceded
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
Failed to score
3 / 12
Won
6
D
2
Lost
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANottm Forest2 - 1Midtjylland
HNottm Forest0 - 1Midtjylland
HNottm Forest1 - 2Fenerbahce
ANottm Forest3 - 0Fenerbahce
HNottm Forest4 - 0Ferencvaros
ANottm Forest0 - 1Braga
ANottm Forest2 - 1Utrecht
HNottm Forest3 - 0Malmö
ANottm Forest0 - 0Sturm Graz
HNottm Forest2 - 0Porto
HNottm Forest2 - 3Midtjylland
ANottm Forest2 - 2Real Betis
Goal Statistics

FC Porto have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 19 consecutive Europa League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Nottingham Forest on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

FC Porto's defensive record is to be admired, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Europa League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Nottingham Forest makes sense in this context.

Porto 5th Nottm Forest 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Nottm Forest’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Nottm Forest
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
PTO
NFO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
PTO
NFO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Porto v Nottm Forest will show here when available.

Porto Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10332
D CostaR. Mora CarvalhoPepêJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK10
-
J Bednarek DEF10
2
-
V. Froholdt MID1011
1
-
P Rosario MID10
2
-
Pepê FWD103
1
-
B Sainz FWD1013
1
-
A Baio DEF9
2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID931
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD93
2
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF81
1
-
G Veiga MID82
1
-
D Gül FWD811
-
J Kiwior DEF71
1
-
A Varela MID7
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD73
-
F Moura DEF61
1
-
Zaidu  DEF61
2
-
T Silva DEF2
1
-
D. Prpić DEF2
2
-
S Fofana MID2
-
T Moffi FWD21
-
L Jong FWD1
-
Nottm Forest Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10734
MoratoI JesusM Gibbs-WhiteE Anderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Sangaré MID121
1
-
N Milenković DEF1111
-
N Williams DEF11
1
-
M Gibbs-White MID1123
2
-
Murillo DEF101
2
-
Morato DEF10
2
-
E Anderson MID101
3
1
D Ndoye FWD1011
1
-
C Hudson-Odoi FWD101
-
R Yates MID922
2
-
N Domínguez MID91
1
-
I Jesus FWD971
4
-
J McAtee MID811
-
M Sels GLK6
-
O Aina  DEF61
-
Z Abbott DEF5
1
-
D Bakwa FWD5
-
N. Savona DEF4
-
O Hutchinson MID4
-
L Lucca FWD4
1
-
S Ortega GLK3
-
John GLK3
-
J Paula DEF2
-
W Boly DEF1
-
C Wood FWD11
-