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Brazil v Japan : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 29th Jun, 18:00 BST, NRG Stadium, Houston

Japan, led by manager Hajime Moriyasu, visit Carlo Ancelotti and his Brazil side at the NRG Stadium on Monday evening in the World Cup. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a sound selection is shown below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for each one.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's fairly unlikely that this game will have 4+ goals, and the odds and stats align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Brazil and Japan have seldom treated their fans to thrillers of late, whether that be in the World Cup individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brazil are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Brazil 58%	7/10	-
Draw 24%	13/5	-
Japan 19%	9/2 5%	-
Brazil 1-0 13%	6/1	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Brazil 2-0 11%	7/1	-
Brazil 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1 5%	-
Japan 1-0 6%	14/1	-
Brazil 3-0 6%	12/1	-
Brazil 3-1 6%	14/1	-
Japan 2-1 5%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	-
Japan 2-0 3%	28/1	-
Brazil 4-0 3%	28/1	-
Brazil 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Brazil 4-1 2%	28/1	-
Japan 3-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	1/1	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	4/5	-
Home 1st Goal 56%	8/15 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	7/4	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1 5%	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	19/20	-
BTTS - No 52%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3/1	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	10/1 10%	-
Home/draw 81%	1/7 3%	-
Away/draw 42%	11/10	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1/3 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	12/5 3%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	5/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	3/10	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	6/1 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/10 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1 5%	-
Home DNB 74%	1/4	-
Away DNB 35%	11/4	-
Brazil win to nil 34%	13/8 4%	-
Japan win to nil 10%	8/1	-
Brazil / Brazil 32%	8/5 1%	-
Brazil / Japan 2%	40/1	-
Brazil / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Brazil 19%	7/2	-
Draw / Japan 8%	10/1 10%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Japan / Brazil 4%	22/1	-
Japan / Japan 9%	8/1 6%	-
Japan / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	-

Win / draw / win World Cup table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Brazil Japan
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	USA	3	2	0	1	4	6	-	-	-	-
2	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	9	-	-	-	-
3	Egypt	2	1	1	0	2	4	-	-	-	-
4	Colombia	2	2	0	0	3	6	-	-	-	-
5	Argentina	2	2	0	0	5	6	-	-	-	-
6	Brazil	3	2	1	0	6	7	-	-	-	Jun 29
7	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	4	7	-	-	-	-
8	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	6	7	-	-	-	-
9	France	2	2	0	0	5	6	-	-	-	-
10	England	2	1	1	0	2	4	-	-	-	-
11	Spain	2	1	1	0	4	4	-	-	-	-
12	Germany	3	2	0	1	6	6	-	-	-	-
13	Morocco	3	2	1	0	3	7	-	-	-	-
14	Portugal	2	1	1	0	5	4	-	-	-	-
15	Iran	2	0	2	0	0	2	-	-	-	-
16	Canada	3	1	1	1	5	4	-	-	-	-
17	Uruguay	2	0	2	0	0	2	-	-	-	-
18	Norway	2	2	0	0	4	6	-	-	-	-
19	Japan	3	1	2	0	4	5	Jun 29	-	-	-
20	Australia	3	1	1	1	0	4	-	-	-	-
21	Austria	2	1	0	1	0	3	-	-	-	-
22	Cote d'Ivoire	3	2	0	1	2	6	-	-	-	-
23	South Africa	3	1	1	1	-1	4	-	-	-	-
24	Ghana	2	1	1	0	1	4	-	-	-	-
25	Cape Verde	2	0	2	0	0	2	-	-	-	-
26	Congo DR	2	0	1	1	-1	1	-	-	-	-
27	South Korea	3	1	0	2	-1	3	-	-	-	-
28	Algeria	2	1	0	1	-2	3	-	-	-	-
29	Bosnia	3	1	1	1	-1	4	-	-	-	-
30	Senegal	2	0	0	2	-3	0	-	-	-	-
31	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	-2	4	-	-	-	-
32	Belgium	2	0	2	0	0	2	-	-	-	-
33	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	0	4	-	-	-	-
34	Croatia	2	1	0	1	-1	3	-	-	-	-
35	Scotland	3	1	0	2	-3	3	-	-	-	-
36	Sweden	3	1	1	1	0	4	-	-	-	-
37	Jordan	2	0	0	2	-3	0	-	-	-	-
38	Qatar	3	0	1	2	-8	1	-	-	-	-
39	Iraq	2	0	0	2	-6	0	-	-	-	-
40	Turkey	3	1	0	2	-2	3	-	-	-	-
41	Uzbekistan	2	0	0	2	-7	0	-	-	-	-
42	Saudi Arabia	2	0	1	1	-4	1	-	-	-	-
43	Czech Rep	3	0	1	2	-4	1	-	-	-	-
44	New Zealand	2	0	1	1	-2	1	-	-	-	-
45	Haiti	3	0	0	3	-6	0	-	-	-	-
46	Panama	2	0	0	2	-2	0	-	-	-	-
47	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	-10	0	-	-	-	-
48	Curacao	3	0	1	2	-8	1	-	-	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Brazil	3 - 0	Scotland
H	Brazil	3 - 0	Haiti
H	Brazil	1 - 1	Morocco
H	Brazil	2 - 1	Egypt
H	Brazil	6 - 2	Panama
H	Brazil	3 - 1	Croatia
H	Brazil	1 - 2	France
A	Brazil	2 - 3	Japan
A	Brazil	5 - 0	South Korea
A	Brazil	0 - 1	Bolivia
H	Brazil	3 - 0	Chile
H	Brazil	1 - 0	Paraguay
A	Brazil	0 - 0	Ecuador
A	Brazil	1 - 4	Argentina
H	Brazil	2 - 1	Colombia
H	Brazil	1 - 1	Uruguay
A	Brazil	1 - 1	Venezuela
H	Brazil	4 - 0	Peru
A	Brazil	2 - 1	Chile
A	Brazil	0 - 1	Paraguay

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Japan	1 - 1	Sweden
A	Japan	4 - 0	Tunisia
A	Japan	2 - 2	Netherlands
H	Japan	1 - 0	Iceland
A	Japan	1 - 0	England
A	Japan	1 - 0	Scotland
H	Japan	3 - 2	Brazil
H	Japan	2 - 2	Paraguay
A	Japan	0 - 2	USA
A	Japan	0 - 0	Mexico
H	Japan	6 - 0	Indonesia
A	Japan	0 - 1	Australia
H	Japan	0 - 0	Saudi Arabia
H	Japan	2 - 0	Bahrain
A	Japan	3 - 1	China
A	Japan	4 - 0	Indonesia
H	Japan	1 - 1	Australia
A	Japan	2 - 0	Saudi Arabia
A	Japan	5 - 0	Bahrain
H	Japan	7 - 0	China

Goal Statistics

	Brazil	Japan
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Brazil will score 1 or more goals	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Japan scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

BRA

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

BRA

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Brazil v Japan will show here when available.

Brazil World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	4	3	1
Alisson	V Junior	B Guimarães	Danilo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Alisson GLK	3			-
Danilo DEF	3			1 -
D Santos DEF	3			1 -
Marquinhos DEF	3			-
G Magalhães DEF	3			-
B Guimarães MID	3		3	-
L Paquetá MID	3		1	-
Casemiro MID	3			1 -
V Junior FWD	3	4	1	-
M Cunha FWD	3	3		-
Danilo MID	2			-
Fabinho MID	2			1 -
Endrick FWD	2			-
Raphinha FWD	2			-
G Martinelli FWD	2			-
R Rocha FWD	2		1	-
A Sandro DEF	1			-
R Ibañez DEF	1			1 -
Éderson MID	1			-
Neymar MID	1			-
L Henrique FWD	1			-
I Thiago FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	8	3	3
V Junior	V Junior	B Guimarães	L Paquetá

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Junior FWD	4	8	1	1
M Cunha FWD	3	4
Danilo DEF				1
B Guimarães MID			3	2
L Paquetá MID		1	1	3
Danilo MID		1
Raphinha FWD		2
G Martinelli FWD				1
R Rocha FWD		1	1	2
Neymar MID		1
I Thiago FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
264	11	19
G Magalhães	Casemiro	Casemiro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Magalhães DEF	264	4	16
Marquinhos DEF	253	2	8
Danilo DEF	160	2	6
L Paquetá MID	143	6	16
D Santos DEF	138	10	11
B Guimarães MID	116	7	18
Casemiro MID	112	11	19
V Junior FWD	82	2	15
Alisson GLK	74		1
M Cunha FWD	64	5	12
Fabinho MID	45	1	3
Raphinha FWD	44		4
R Rocha FWD	43	2	9
G Martinelli FWD	25		2
R Ibañez DEF	17	2	4
Neymar MID	13		1
L Henrique FWD	13		2
A Sandro DEF	12
Endrick FWD	10	2	3
Danilo MID	9	1	1
I Thiago FWD	6	2	3
Éderson MID	3

Japan World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	2	1	0
Z Suzuki	D Kamada	K Sano

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Z Suzuki GLK	2			-
T Tomiyasu DEF	2			-
H Ito DEF	2			-
Y Sugawara DEF	2			-
D Kamada MID	2	2		-
K Sano MID	2		1	-
A Ueda FWD	2	2	1	-
J Ito FWD	2	1		-
K Nakamura FWD	2	1	1	-
R Doan FWD	2			-
K Itakura DEF	1		1	-
A Seko DEF	1			-
S Taniguchi DEF	1			-
J Suzuki DEF	1			-
T Watanabe DEF	1			-
A Tanaka MID	1			-
D Maeda FWD	1			-
T Kubo FWD	1		1	-
Y Suzuki FWD	1			-
K Goto FWD	1			-
K Ogawa FWD	1		1	-
K. Shiogai FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	3	1	1
D Kamada	A Ueda	K Sano	A Ueda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Kamada MID	2	2
A Ueda FWD	2	3	1	1
J Ito FWD	1	1
K Nakamura FWD	1	1	1	1
T Tomiyasu DEF		1
Y Sugawara DEF		1
K Sano MID			1
K Itakura DEF			1	1
T Kubo FWD			1
K Ogawa FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
117	4	8
H Ito	D Kamada	K Nakamura

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Ito DEF	117	3	6
K Sano MID	106	3	5
T Tomiyasu DEF	92	2	6
D Kamada MID	89	4	6
K Itakura DEF	89	1	3
A Tanaka MID	75	4	5
K Nakamura FWD	59	3	8
J Ito FWD	56	2	6
S Taniguchi DEF	50		1
R Doan FWD	41	2	4
Z Suzuki GLK	39		1
Y Sugawara DEF	27		2
T Watanabe DEF	21	2	5
A Ueda FWD	19	1	7
T Kubo FWD	16		1
A Seko DEF	13		1
D Maeda FWD	5		1
Y Suzuki FWD	4	1	1
J Suzuki DEF	3	1	1
K Goto FWD	1	1	2
K Ogawa FWD	1
K. Shiogai FWD	1