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Croatia v Ghana : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Jun, 22:00 BST, Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

The World Cup is the focus for both Croatia and Ghana on Saturday night, as managers Zlatko Dalić and Carlos Manuel Brito Leal Queiróz go head to head at the Lincoln Financial Field. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with World Cup performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Croatia and Ghana have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Croatia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Croatia 58%	13/20 5%	-
Draw 24%	27/10 3%	-
Ghana 18%	17/4 17%	-
Croatia 1-0 14%	11/2	-
Croatia 2-0 12%	13/2 6%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	13/2	-
Croatia 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 8%	8/1	-
Croatia 3-0 7%	12/1 13%	-
Ghana 1-0 7%	12/1 18%	-
Croatia 3-1 5%	14/1 12%	-
Ghana 2-1 5%	18/1 12%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	-
Croatia 4-0 3%	25/1 10%	-
Ghana 2-0 3%	28/1 26%	-
Croatia 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Croatia 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Ghana 3-1 1%	50/1 24%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	11/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	8/11	-
Home 1st Goal 56%	8/15 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	15/8 5%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	21/20 3%	-
BTTS - No 54%	7/10 3%	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3/1 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	10/1 10%	-
Home/draw 82%	1/6 1%	-
Away/draw 42%	6/5 7%	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1/3 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	12/5 6%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	11/4 6%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	2/7 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	6/1 13%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/10 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	14/1 12%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8/1	-
Home DNB 75%	1/4 4%	-
Away DNB 35%	11/4 10%	-
Croatia win to nil 36%	6/4 5%	-
Ghana win to nil 10%	8/1 29%	-
Croatia / Croatia 32%	8/5 5%	-
Croatia / Ghana 2%	40/1	-
Croatia / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Croatia 19%	10/3 4%	-
Draw / Ghana 8%	10/1 10%	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	-
Ghana / Croatia 4%	22/1	-
Ghana / Ghana 9%	17/2 12%	-
Ghana / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Group L table

Group L	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	For	Against	GD	Points
1England	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Croatia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Ghana	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Panama	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Croatia	2 - 1	Slovenia
H	Croatia	0 - 2	Belgium
A	Croatia	1 - 3	Brazil
A	Croatia	2 - 1	Colombia
A	Croatia	3 - 2	Montenegro
H	Croatia	3 - 1	Faroes
H	Croatia	3 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Croatia	0 - 0	Czech Rep
H	Croatia	4 - 0	Montenegro
A	Croatia	1 - 0	Faroes
H	Croatia	5 - 1	Czech Rep
A	Croatia	7 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Croatia	0 - 2	France
H	Croatia	2 - 0	France
H	Croatia	1 - 1	Portugal
A	Croatia	0 - 1	Scotland
A	Croatia	3 - 3	Poland
H	Croatia	2 - 1	Scotland
H	Croatia	1 - 0	Poland
A	Croatia	1 - 2	Portugal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ghana	1 - 1	Wales
A	Ghana	0 - 2	Mexico
A	Ghana	1 - 2	Germany
A	Ghana	1 - 5	Austria
H	Ghana	1 - 0	Comoros
A	Ghana	5 - 0	Central African Rep
H	Ghana	1 - 0	Mali
A	Ghana	1 - 1	Chad
A	Ghana	4 - 0	Trinidad
H	Ghana	1 - 2	Nigeria
A	Ghana	3 - 0	Madagascar
H	Ghana	5 - 0	Chad
A	Ghana	1 - 3	Nigeria
H	Ghana	0 - 0	Nigeria
H	Ghana	1 - 2	Niger
A	Ghana	1 - 1	Angola
A	Ghana	0 - 2	Sudan
H	Ghana	0 - 0	Sudan
A	Ghana	1 - 1	Niger
H	Ghana	0 - 1	Angola

Goal Statistics

Croatia have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive World Cup games. Their PG of 1.7 against Ghana on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Ghana fans, as should a 5 World Cup matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Croatia	Ghana
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Croatia will score 1 or more goals	0 44% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 80% probability of Ghana scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

10%

better

CRO

view stats

Games scored	16		15
Failed to score	4		5
Scored first	8		10
Goals scored	41		28
Avg. goals scored	2.1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	13		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		16
Avg. XG for	2.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+10%

CRO

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		12
Clean sheets	7		8
Conceded first	11		8
Goals conceded	21		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		13%
Avg. XG against	1		1.9
KickOff rating		+4%