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France v Senegal : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 16th Jun, 20:00 BST, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

Tuesday night sees Didier Deschamps’s France and Pape Bouna Thiaw’s Senegal go head to head in a World Cup clash at the MetLife Stadium. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 World Cup matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: France to win

We think there's an outright winner in this match, and it's France. Their recent form stats show their ability on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Senegal too. The odds point towards Didier Deschamps's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Tuesday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think France are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
France
64%
1.45
1%
-
Draw
21%
4.50
4%
-
Senegal
15%
6.25-
France 1-0
13%
6.50
7%
-
France 2-0
12%
7.00-
Draw 1-1
10%
9.00-
France 2-1
10%
9.00-
France 3-0
8%
10.00-
Draw 0-0
7%
11.00
8%
-
France 3-1
6%
13.00-
Senegal 1-0
5%
15.00
12%
-
Senegal 2-1
4%
21.00-
France 4-0
4%
21.00
11%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
23.00
10%
-
France 4-1
3%
26.00
13%
-
France 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
-
Senegal 2-0
2%
34.00-
France 5-0
1%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
1.91
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1.91
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
59%
1.40-
Away 1st Goal
37%
3.10-
No 1st Goal
4%
11.00
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
2.05
3%
-
BTTS - No
53%
1.70
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.60
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
6.50
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
13.00-
Home/draw
85%
1.13-
Away/draw
36%
2.63-
Home/away
79%
1.18
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.30
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3.50
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
3.40
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1.33
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6.00
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.13
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
13.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.04-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.05
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11.00
8%
-
Home DNB
79%
1.17-
Away DNB
29%
5.00-
France win to nil
39%
2.20
2%
-
Senegal win to nil
8%
10.00
9%
-
France / France
37%
2.20-
France / Senegal
2%
41.00-
France / Draw
5%
15.00-
Draw / France
21%
4.00-
Draw / Senegal
6%
13.00
13%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Senegal / France
4%
23.00
10%
-
Senegal / Senegal
7%
12.00-
Senegal / Draw
4%
19.00-
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Group I table
Group IPlayedWonDrawnLostForAgainstGDPoints
1Iraq00000000
2France00000000
3Senegal00000000
4Norway00000000
Win / draw / win form
France
20 games
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFrance3 - 1Azerbaijan
HFrance4 - 0Ukraine
AFrance2 - 2Iceland
HFrance3 - 0Azerbaijan
HFrance2 - 1Iceland
AFrance2 - 0Ukraine
AFrance2 - 0Germany
AFrance4 - 5Spain
HFrance2 - 0Croatia
AFrance0 - 2Croatia
AFrance3 - 1Italy
HFrance0 - 0Israel
AFrance2 - 1Belgium
AFrance4 - 1Israel
HFrance2 - 0Belgium
HFrance1 - 3Italy
AFrance1 - 2Spain
AFrance0 - 0Portugal
HFrance1 - 0Belgium
HFrance1 - 1Poland
Senegal
20 games
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSenegal4 - 0Mauritania
ASenegal5 - 0South Sudan
ASenegal3 - 2Congo DR
HSenegal2 - 0Sudan
ASenegal1 - 1Sudan
ASenegal1 - 1Morocco
ASenegal1 - 0Uganda
ASenegal0 - 0Sudan
HSenegal1 - 1Congo
HSenegal1 - 0Nigeria
ASenegal1 - 2Tanzania
ASenegal1 - 2Uganda
HSenegal - Guinea
ASenegal3 - 1England
ASenegal1 - 1Ireland
HSenegal2 - 0Togo
ASenegal0 - 0Sudan
HSenegal3 - 0Liberia
ASenegal1 - 1Liberia
HSenegal2 - 0Burundi
Goal Statistics

France have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive World Cup matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Senegal on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

France Senegal
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that France will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Senegal scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away games
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
France
PG (predicted goals)
Senegal
1.9
0.8
Attack rating
FRA
3%
better
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score3
2
Scored first13
11
Goals scored39
33
Avg. goals scored2
1.7
Avg. shots per game14
8
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
21
Avg. XG for2.2
2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
FRA
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
9
Clean sheets9
10
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded20
12
Avg. goals conceded1
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1
0.1
KickOff rating
+19%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between France v Senegal will show here when available.

France World Cup squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Risser GLK
-
B Samba GLK
-
M Maignan  GLK
-
L Hernández  DEF
-
I Konaté DEF
-
T Hernández DEF
-
L Digne DEF
-
J Koundé DEF
-
M Gusto DEF
-
W Saliba DEF
-
D Upamecano DEF
-
M Lacroix DEF
-
M Koné MID
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID
-
A Tchouameni MID
-
R Cherki MID
-
A Rabiot MID
-
N Kanté  MID
-
M Olise FWD
-
K Mbappé FWD
-
J Mateta FWD
-
B Barcola FWD
-
O Dembélé FWD
-
M Thuram FWD
-
M Akliouche FWD
-
D Doué FWD
-
Senegal World Cup squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Diaw GLK
-
E Mendy GLK
-
Y Diouf GLK
-
A Mendy DEF
-
M Sarr DEF
-
A Seck DEF
-
E Diouf DEF
-
K Koulibaly  DEF
-
M Niakhaté DEF
-
I Jakobs DEF
-
B. Sapoko Ndiaye MID
-
I Gueye MID
-
H Diarra MID
-
L Camara MID
-
P Gueye MID
-
P Sarr MID
-
P Ciss MID
-
K Diatta MID
-
I Sarr FWD
-
I. Mbaye FWD
-
N Jackson FWD
-
A. Diao Diaoune FWD
-
B Dieng FWD
-
I Ndiaye FWD
-
S Mané FWD
-
C Ndiaye FWD
-