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Mexico v South Africa : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Jun, 20:00 BST, Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

It's a long trek for Hugo Broos's South Africa side on Thursday night, as they visit the Estadio Azteca for a World Cup meeting with Javier Aguirre Onaindía's Mexico. All stats, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head to head (H2H) history, will update as you browse each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our predictions will too.

Best Tip: Mexico to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this game, and it's Mexico. Their latest form statistics show what they've got in their locker in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against South Africa too. The odds point towards Javier Aguirre Onaindía's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Thursday night too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mexico are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.42.

	Mexico	South Africa
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	0.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Mexico will score 1 or more goals	0 54% 1 33% 2 3 4+ There is a 54% probability that South Africa will fail to score

	20 home / away games

Games scored	14		14
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	12		11
Goals scored	29		32
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.6
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	14		15
Avg. XG for	1.8		2.2
KickOff rating		+1%

Games conceded	8		9
Clean sheets	12		11
Conceded first	4		5
Goals conceded	17		14
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	15%		12%
Avg. XG against	0.5		0.4
KickOff rating		+2%

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Ochoa GLK				-
C Acevedo GLK				-
J Rangel GLK				-
J Gallardo DEF				-
I Reyes DEF				-
L Romo DEF				-
J Sánchez DEF				-
M. Chávez García DEF				-
C Montes DEF				-
J Vásquez DEF				-
L Chávez MID				-
O Pineda MID				-
Álvaro Fidalgo MID				-
E Álvarez MID				-
O Vargas MID				-
B Gutiérrez MID				-
E Lira MID				-
G. Mora Zambrano MID				-
R Jiménez FWD				-
J Quiñones FWD				-
C Huerta FWD				-
S Giménez FWD				-
G Martínez FWD				-
R Hernández FWD				-
A Vega FWD				-
A. González Alba FWD				-

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Williams GLK				-
S. Chaine GLK				-
R Goss GLK				-
B. Cross DEF				-
O. Makhanya DEF				-
I. Okon DEF				-
K. Sebelebele DEF				-
T. Matuludi DEF				-
M. Mbokazi DEF				-
K Mudau DEF				-
N Sibisi DEF				-
A Modiba DEF				-
S. Kabini DEF				-
K. Ndamase DEF				-
T Zwane MID				-
T Mokoena MID				-
S Sithole MID				-
T. Mbatha MID				-
J. Adams MID				-
T Maseko FWD				-
L Foster FWD				-
E Makgopa FWD				-
T. Moremi FWD				-
O. Appollis FWD				-
R. Ratomo FWD				-
I Rayners FWD				-

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mexico 67%	21/50 4%	-
Draw 21%	7/2 13%	-
South Africa 12%	7/1 39%	-
Mexico 1-0 16%	9/2 15%	-
Mexico 2-0 15%	5/1 14%	-
Draw 1-1 10%	8/1 6%	-
Mexico 2-1 9%	17/2 6%	-
Mexico 3-0 9%	17/2 14%	-
Draw 0-0 8%	15/2 15%	-
Mexico 3-1 6%	14/1	-
South Africa 1-0 5%	14/1	-
Mexico 4-0 4%	18/1 10%	-
South Africa 2-1 3%	25/1 24%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	28/1 26%	-
Mexico 4-1 3%	28/1	-
Mexico 3-2 2%	40/1 21%	-
South Africa 2-0 2%	40/1 21%	-
Mexico 5-0 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	6/5 10%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	4/6 7%	-
Home 1st Goal 61%	2/5 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 33%	13/5 16%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	15/2 15%	-
BTTS - Yes 39%	6/4 19%	-
BTTS - No 61%	1/2 10%	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	10/3 15%	-
BTTS - Draw 13%	6/1 17%	-
BTTS - Away Win 4%	18/1 46%	-
Home/draw 88%	1/12 4%	-
Away/draw 33%	7/4 10%	-
Home/away 79%	2/11 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	2/5 5%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	2/1 12%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	3/1 14%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	1/4 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	7/1 14%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/12 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	16/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/14 1%	-

Group A	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	For	Against	GD	Points
1Czech Rep	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Mexico	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3South Africa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4South Korea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mexico	1 - 1	Ecuador
H	Mexico	0 - 4	Colombia
H	Mexico	2 - 2	South Korea
H	Mexico	0 - 0	Japan
A	Mexico	2 - 1	USA
H	Mexico	1 - 0	Honduras
H	Mexico	2 - 0	Saudi Arabia
H	Mexico	0 - 0	Costa Rica
A	Mexico	2 - 0	Suriname
H	Mexico	3 - 2	Dom Rep
H	Mexico	1 - 0	Turkey
H	Mexico	2 - 4	Switzerland
H	Mexico	2 - 1	Panama
A	Mexico	2 - 0	Canada
H	Mexico	4 - 0	Honduras
A	Mexico	0 - 2	Honduras
H	Mexico	2 - 0	USA
H	Mexico	0 - 0	Canada
H	Mexico	3 - 0	New Zealand
H	Mexico	0 - 0	Ecuador

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Mexico v South Africa : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Mexico v South Africa will show here when available.

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