Mexico's team badge South Africa's team badge

Mexico v South Africa : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Jun, 20:00 BST, Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

Hugo Broos leads his South Africa side to the Estadio Azteca in the World Cup on Thursday night, with Javier Aguirre Onaindía's Mexico waiting for them. All the odds are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on World Cup match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Best Tip: Mexico to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this game, and it's Mexico. Their latest form statistics show what they've got in their locker in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against South Africa too. The odds point towards Javier Aguirre Onaindía's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Thursday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mexico are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mexico
67%
9/20
2%
-
Draw
21%
10/3
8%
-
South Africa
12%
6/1
22%
-
Mexico 1-0
15%
5/1
8%
-
Mexico 2-0
14%
5/1
14%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
8/1
6%
-
Mexico 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
-
Mexico 3-0
9%
17/2
14%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
10%
-
Mexico 3-1
6%
14/1-
South Africa 1-0
5%
14/1-
Mexico 4-0
4%
18/1
10%
-
South Africa 2-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Mexico 4-1
3%
28/1-
Mexico 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
South Africa 2-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Mexico 5-0
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
8/11
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
61%
2/5
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
34%
12/5
10%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
40%
5/4
7%
-
BTTS - No
60%
4/7
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/1
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
11/2
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
5%
14/1
15%
-
Home/draw
88%
1/10
3%
-
Away/draw
33%
13/8
5%
-
Home/away
79%
1/5-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/4
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/7
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Home DNB
82%
1/7
3%
-
Away DNB
27%
9/2
22%
-
Mexico win to nil
44%
11/10
7%
-
South Africa win to nil
7%
9/1-
Mexico / Mexico
38%
6/5
2%
-
Mexico / South Africa
2%
40/1-
Mexico / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Mexico
21%
3/1-
Draw / South Africa
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
South Africa / Mexico
4%
22/1-
South Africa / South Africa
6%
14/1
25%
-
South Africa / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Mexico
20 games
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMexico1 - 1Ecuador
HMexico0 - 4Colombia
HMexico2 - 2South Korea
HMexico0 - 0Japan
AMexico2 - 1USA
HMexico1 - 0Honduras
HMexico2 - 0Saudi Arabia
HMexico0 - 0Costa Rica
AMexico2 - 0Suriname
HMexico3 - 2Dom Rep
HMexico1 - 0Turkey
HMexico2 - 4Switzerland
HMexico2 - 1Panama
AMexico2 - 0Canada
HMexico4 - 0Honduras
AMexico0 - 2Honduras
HMexico2 - 0USA
HMexico0 - 0Canada
HMexico3 - 0New Zealand
HMexico0 - 0Ecuador
South Africa
20 games
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouth Africa3 - 0Rwanda
ASouth Africa0 - 0Zimbabwe
HSouth Africa1 - 1Nigeria
ASouth Africa3 - 0Lesotho
HSouth Africa3 - 3Uganda
ASouth Africa0 - 0Niger
HSouth Africa2 - 1Guinea
ASouth Africa1 - 1Algeria
HSouth Africa2 - 0Mozambique
HSouth Africa0 - 0Tanzania
ASouth Africa0 - 1Malawi
ASouth Africa2 - 0Benin
HSouth Africa0 - 3Lesotho
ASouth Africa - Egypt
HSouth Africa1 - 1Egypt
HSouth Africa3 - 0South Sudan
ASouth Africa2 - 0Uganda
ASouth Africa1 - 1Congo
HSouth Africa5 - 0Congo
ASouth Africa3 - 2South Sudan
Goal Statistics
Mexico South Africa
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Mexico will score 1 or more goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 52% probability that South Africa will fail to score
 
20 home / away games
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Mexico
PG (predicted goals)
South Africa
1.9
0.6
Attack rating
MEX
1%
better
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score6
6
Scored first12
11
Goals scored29
32
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.8
2.2
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
MEX
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets12
11
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded17
14
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against0.5
0.4
KickOff rating
+2%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Mexico v South Africa will show here when available.

Mexico World Cup squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Acevedo GLK
-
J Rangel GLK
-
I Reyes DEF
-
J Vásquez DEF
-
J Gallardo DEF
-
O Vargas MID
-
B Gutiérrez MID
-
E Lira MID
-
G. Mora Zambrano MID
-
L Romo MID
-
S Giménez FWD
-
G Martínez FWD
-
R Hernández FWD
-
A Vega FWD
-
A. González Alba FWD
-
South Africa World Cup squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Williams GLK
-
S. Chaine GLK
-
R Goss GLK
-
K. Sebelebele DEF
-
T. Matuludi DEF
-
M. Mbokazi DEF
-
K Mudau DEF
-
N Sibisi DEF
-
A Modiba DEF
-
S. Kabini DEF
-
K. Ndamase DEF
-
B. Cross DEF
-
O. Makhanya DEF
-
I. Okon DEF
-
T Zwane MID
-
T Mokoena MID
-
S Sithole MID
-
T. Mbatha MID
-
J. Adams MID
-
T Maseko FWD
-
L Foster FWD
-
E Makgopa FWD
-
T. Moremi FWD
-
O. Appollis FWD
-
R. Ratomo FWD
-
I Rayners FWD
-