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United States v Paraguay : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Jun, 02:00 BST, ,

Analysing both sides' last 20 World Cup matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by USA and Paraguay combined during a standard 90 mins. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 76% chance of it coming in. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think USA are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

	USA	Paraguay
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that USA will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Paraguay scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away games

Games scored	16		13
Failed to score	4		7
Scored first	12		6
Goals scored	33		19
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	18		12
Avg. XG for	1.7		1
KickOff rating		+32%

Games conceded	14		11
Clean sheets	6		9
Conceded first	8		10
Goals conceded	24		22
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.4
KickOff rating		+9%

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Turner GLK				-
M Freese GLK				-
C Brady GLK				-
S Dest DEF				-
A Robinson DEF				-
T Ream DEF				-
M Robinson DEF				-
A Trusty DEF				-
C Richards DEF				-
M McKenzie DEF				-
J Scally DEF				-
A Freeman DEF				-
G Reyna MID				-
B Aaronson MID				-
M Tillman MID				-
T Weah MID				-
W McKennie MID				-
C Roldán MID				-
S Berhalter MID				-
T Adams MID				-
H Wright FWD				-
A Zendejas FWD				-
C Pulisic FWD				-
R Pepi FWD				-
M Arfsten FWD				-
F Balogun FWD				-

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Echeverría GLK				-
G Fernández GLK				-
O Gill GLK				-
A. Maidana Mendieta DEF				-
J Canale DEF				-
G Velázquez DEF				-
O Alderete DEF				-
G Portillo DEF				-
J Alonso DEF				-
F Balbuena DEF				-
J Cáceres DEF				-
J Enciso MID				-
B Rodríguez MID				-
Kaku MID				-
A Cubas MID				-
M Maurício MID				-
M Fonda MID				-
D Amarilla MID				-
D Bobadilla MID				-
I Pitta FWD				-
G Caballero FWD				-
A Arce FWD				-
R Sosa FWD				-
A Sanabria FWD				-
G Ávalos FWD				-
M Almirón FWD				-

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
USA 51%	1.91 5%	-
Draw 26%	3.40	-
Paraguay 23%	4.20 24%	-
USA 1-0 14%	6.50 13%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50 7%	-
USA 2-0 10%	8.50 15%	-
Draw 0-0 9%	7.50 21%	-
USA 2-1 9%	9.50	-
Paraguay 1-0 8%	10.00	-
Paraguay 2-1 6%	15.00 15%	-
USA 3-0 5%	17.00 11%	-
USA 3-1 5%	19.00	-
Draw 2-2 4%	19.00 12%	-
Paraguay 2-0 4%	21.00 11%	-
USA 3-2 2%	34.00 17%	-
USA 4-0 2%	41.00	-
USA 4-1 2%	41.00	-
Paraguay 3-1 2%	41.00 21%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	2.30 15%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	1.62 10%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.67 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	2.60 13%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	7.50 21%	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	2.05 7%	-
BTTS - No 54%	1.70 11%	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	4.75 6%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	5.00 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	9.50 36%	-
Home/draw 77%	1.22 6%	-
Away/draw 49%	1.83 2%	-
Home/away 74%	1.30	-
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	1.44 8%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	2.75 19%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	4.33 15%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1.22 5%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	9.00 29%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1.07 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	19.00 27%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.02 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.08 2%	-

Group D	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	For	Against	GD	Points
1Turkey	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2USA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Paraguay	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Australia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	USA	2 - 1	Australia
H	USA	1 - 1	Ecuador
H	USA	2 - 0	Japan
H	USA	0 - 2	South Korea
H	USA	1 - 2	Mexico
H	USA	2 - 1	Guatemala
H	USA	2 - 2	Costa Rica
H	USA	2 - 1	Haiti
A	USA	1 - 0	Saudi Arabia
H	USA	5 - 0	Trinidad
H	USA	0 - 4	Switzerland
H	USA	1 - 2	Turkey
A	USA	1 - 2	Canada
H	USA	0 - 1	Panama
H	USA	3 - 0	Costa Rica
H	USA	3 - 1	Venezuela
H	USA	4 - 2	Jamaica
A	USA	1 - 0	Jamaica
A	USA	0 - 2	Mexico
H	USA	2 - 0	Panama

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Paraguay	0 - 2	South Korea
A	Paraguay	2 - 2	Japan
A	Paraguay	1 - 0	Peru
H	Paraguay	0 - 0	Ecuador
A	Paraguay	0 - 1	Brazil
H	Paraguay	2 - 0	Uruguay
A	Paraguay	2 - 2	Colombia
H	Paraguay	1 - 0	Chile
A	Paraguay	2 - 2	Bolivia
H	Paraguay	2 - 1	Argentina
H	Paraguay	2 - 1	Venezuela
A	Paraguay	0 - 0	Ecuador
H	Paraguay	1 - 0	Brazil
A	Paraguay	0 - 0	Uruguay
A	Paraguay	1 - 2	Costa Rica
H	Paraguay	1 - 4	Brazil
A	Paraguay	1 - 2	Colombia
A	Paraguay	1 - 0	Panama
A	Paraguay	0 - 3	Chile
A	Paraguay	0 - 0	Peru

United States v Paraguay : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

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