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England v Croatia : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 17th Jun, 21:00 BST, AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Thomas Tuchel and Zlatko Dalić clash in the World Cup on Wednesday night, as England face Croatia at the AT&T Stadium. Stats drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of England and Croatia 3 goals or less combined during this World Cup fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think England are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
England 56%	8/11 5%	-
Draw 24%	27/10	-
Croatia 20%	15/4 6%	-
England 1-0 13%	11/2	-
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2	-
England 2-0 11%	7/1 7%	-
England 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 8%	8/1 5%	-
Croatia 1-0 7%	11/1	-
England 3-0 6%	12/1	-
England 3-1 5%	16/1 13%	-
Croatia 2-1 5%	16/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 10%	-
Croatia 2-0 3%	25/1	-
England 4-0 3%	28/1	-
England 3-2 2%	33/1	-
England 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Croatia 3-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	11/10 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	8/11 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	4/7 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	7/4	-
No 1st Goal 6%	8/1 5%	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	1/1	-
BTTS - No 53%	3/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	3/1	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	4/1 9%	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	9/1	-
Home/draw 80%	2/11 1%	-
Away/draw 44%	21/20 2%	-
Home/away 76%	2/7 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	4/11 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	11/5 6%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	3/1 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1/4 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	7/1 14%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/12 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	16/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/14 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8/1 5%	-
Home DNB 73%	2/7	-
Away DNB 37%	5/2	-
England win to nil 34%	13/8	-
Croatia win to nil 11%	7/1	-
England / England 30%	7/4 6%	-
England / Croatia 2%	40/1	-
England / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / England 19%	7/2	-
Draw / Croatia 8%	9/1 9%	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1 9%	-
Croatia / England 4%	22/1	-
Croatia / Croatia 10%	15/2 6%	-
Croatia / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Group L table

Group L	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	For	Against	GD	Points
1England	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Croatia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Ghana	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Panama	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

7 / 20

Clean sheets

13 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	England	2 - 0	Albania
H	England	2 - 0	Serbia
A	England	5 - 0	Latvia
H	England	3 - 0	Wales
A	England	5 - 0	Serbia
H	England	2 - 0	Andorra
H	England	1 - 3	Senegal
A	England	1 - 0	Andorra
H	England	3 - 0	Latvia
H	England	2 - 0	Albania
H	England	5 - 0	Ireland
A	England	3 - 0	Greece
A	England	3 - 1	Finland
H	England	1 - 2	Greece
H	England	2 - 0	Finland
A	England	2 - 0	Ireland
A	England	1 - 2	Spain
A	England	2 - 1	Netherlands
H	England	1 - 1	Switzerland
H	England	1 - 1	Slovakia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Croatia	3 - 2	Montenegro
H	Croatia	3 - 1	Faroes
H	Croatia	3 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Croatia	0 - 0	Czech Rep
H	Croatia	4 - 0	Montenegro
A	Croatia	1 - 0	Faroes
H	Croatia	5 - 1	Czech Rep
A	Croatia	7 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Croatia	0 - 2	France
H	Croatia	2 - 0	France
H	Croatia	1 - 1	Portugal
A	Croatia	0 - 1	Scotland
A	Croatia	3 - 3	Poland
H	Croatia	2 - 1	Scotland
H	Croatia	1 - 0	Poland
A	Croatia	1 - 2	Portugal
H	Croatia	1 - 1	Italy
H	Croatia	2 - 2	Albania
A	Croatia	0 - 3	Spain
A	Croatia	2 - 1	Portugal

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

England

Croatia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

ENG

CRO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT England
England	1 - 0
England	2 - 1
	2 - 3	Croatia

Croatia

England

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

1 / 4

ENG

CRO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Croatia
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Croatia	2 - 0
	2 - 4	England

Goal Statistics

England have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 18 consecutive World Cup matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Croatia on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

With a PG of just 0.9, Croatia look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that England have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive World Cup games, and it could be a long night for Z. Dalić's men.

	England	Croatia
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 81% probability that England will score 1 or more goals	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Croatia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

28%

better

ENG

CRO

view stats

Games scored	20		16
Failed to score	0		4
Scored first	15		9
Goals scored	47		41
Avg. goals scored	2.4		2.1
Avg. shots per game	11		13
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	21		16
Avg. XG for	2.1		2.3
KickOff rating		+28%

39%

better

ENG

CRO

view stats

Games conceded	7		13
Clean sheets	13		7
Conceded first	5		10
Goals conceded	11		21
Avg. goals conceded	0.6		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		7
Conversion rate against	11%		14%
Avg. XG against	0.7		1.1
KickOff rating		+39%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between England v Croatia will show here when available.

England World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Henderson GLK				-
J Pickford GLK				-
J Trafford GLK				-
J Quansah DEF				-
M Guéhi DEF				-
J Stones DEF				-
E Konsa DEF				-
N. O'Reilly DEF				-
R James DEF				-
D Spence DEF				-
T Livramento DEF				-
D Burn DEF				-
K Mainoo MID				-
E Anderson MID				-
D Rice MID				-
M Rogers MID				-
J Bellingham MID				-
E Eze MID				-
J Henderson MID				-
B Saka FWD				-
M Rashford FWD				-
H Kane FWD				-
I Toney FWD				-
O Watkins FWD				-
N Madueke FWD				-
A Gordon FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	0	0	0

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

Croatia World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Livakovic GLK				-
D Kotarski GLK				-
I Pandur GLK				-
M Pongracic DEF				-
J Sutalo DEF				-
J Gvardiol DEF				-
J Stanisic DEF				-
M Erlic DEF				-
L. Vušković DEF				-
D Caleta-Car DEF				-
L Sučić MID				-
K Jakic MID				-
M Pasalic MID				-
L Modric MID				-
N Moro MID				-
P. Sučić MID				-
M Kovacic MID				-
A Kramaric MID				-
N Vlasic MID				-
T Fruk MID				-
M Baturina MID				-
M Pašalić FWD				-
A Budimir FWD				-
I Perisic FWD				-
P Musa FWD				-
I Matanovic FWD				-