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Ecuador v Germany : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 25th Jun, 21:00 BST, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

Thursday night at the MetLife Stadium, and it’s a World Cup clash between Ecuador and Germany. Sebastián Beccacece and Julian Nagelsmann will be doing all they can to claim victory. World Cup statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 75% probability of Ecuador and Germany delivering at least a couple of goals in this World Cup clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 56% chance of Germany coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ecuador
20%
4/1-
Draw
24%
13/5
4%
-
Germany
56%
7/10
3%
-
Germany 1-0
12%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
7%
-
Germany 2-0
10%
15/2
6%
-
Germany 2-1
10%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1-
Ecuador 1-0
6%
14/1-
Germany 3-0
6%
14/1
15%
-
Germany 3-1
6%
14/1-
Ecuador 2-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Ecuador 2-0
3%
25/1
10%
-
Germany 3-2
3%
28/1-
Germany 4-0
3%
28/1
12%
-
Germany 4-1
2%
28/1-
Ecuador 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
41%
13/8
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
55%
4/7
3%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/5-
BTTS - No
50%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
9%
8/1
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
24%
11/4
4%
-
Home/draw
44%
11/10
5%
-
Away/draw
80%
1/6-
Home/away
76%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12/5
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/3
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Home DNB
37%
5/2
7%
-
Away DNB
73%
2/7
3%
-
Ecuador win to nil
11%
8/1-
Germany win to nil
32%
7/4-
Ecuador / Ecuador
10%
7/1
11%
-
Ecuador / Germany
4%
20/1-
Ecuador / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Ecuador
8%
9/1
9%
-
Draw / Germany
17%
15/4
6%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Germany / Ecuador
2%
33/1
17%
-
Germany / Germany
31%
13/8
5%
-
Germany / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
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Group E table
Group EPlayedWonDrawnLostForAgainstGDPoints
1Germany00000000
2Curacao00000000
3Cote d'Ivoire00000000
4Ecuador00000000
Win / draw / win form
Ecuador
20 games
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
10
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEcuador1 - 1Mexico
AEcuador1 - 1USA
HEcuador1 - 0Argentina
AEcuador0 - 0Paraguay
AEcuador0 - 0Peru
HEcuador0 - 0Brazil
AEcuador0 - 0Chile
HEcuador2 - 1Venezuela
AEcuador1 - 0Colombia
HEcuador4 - 0Bolivia
AEcuador0 - 0Uruguay
HEcuador0 - 0Paraguay
HEcuador1 - 0Peru
AEcuador0 - 1Brazil
AEcuador1 - 1Argentina
AEcuador0 - 0Mexico
HEcuador3 - 1Jamaica
HEcuador1 - 2Venezuela
HEcuador2 - 1Honduras
HEcuador3 - 1Bolivia
Germany
20 games
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGermany6 - 0Slovakia
AGermany2 - 0Luxembourg
AGermany1 - 0N Ireland
HGermany4 - 0Luxembourg
HGermany3 - 1N Ireland
AGermany0 - 2Slovakia
HGermany0 - 2France
HGermany1 - 2Portugal
HGermany3 - 3Italy
AGermany2 - 1Italy
AGermany1 - 1Hungary
HGermany7 - 0Bosnia
HGermany1 - 0Netherlands
AGermany2 - 1Bosnia
AGermany2 - 2Netherlands
HGermany5 - 0Hungary
AGermany1 - 1Spain
HGermany2 - 0Denmark
AGermany1 - 1Switzerland
HGermany2 - 0Hungary
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Ecuador look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Germany haven't conceded a goal in 4 consecutive World Cup matches, and it could be a long night for S. Beccacece's men.

Germany have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive World Cup games. Their PG of 1.7 against Ecuador on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Ecuador Germany
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Ecuador scoring 1 goal or less
0
17%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Germany will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Ecuador
PG (predicted goals)
Germany
0.9
1.7
Attack rating
ECU
GER
48%
better
view stats
Games scored12
18
Failed to score8
2
Scored first9
15
Goals scored19
52
Avg. goals scored1
2.6
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for12
20
Avg. XG for0.9
2.2
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
37%
better
ECU
GER
view stats
Games conceded8
12
Clean sheets12
8
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded8
20
Avg. goals conceded0.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded17
7
Conversion rate against6%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+37%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Ecuador v Germany will show here when available.

Ecuador World Cup squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Germany World Cup squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
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Sun 21st Jun, 01:00
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Sun 21st Jun, 05:00
Spain v Saudi Arabia
Sun 21st Jun, 17:00
Belgium v Iran
Sun 21st Jun, 20:00
Uruguay v Cape Verde
Sun 21st Jun, 23:00
New Zealand v Egypt
Mon 22nd Jun, 02:00
Argentina v Austria
Mon 22nd Jun, 18:00
France v Iraq
Mon 22nd Jun, 22:00
Norway v Senegal
Tue 23rd Jun, 01:00
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Tue 23rd Jun, 04:00
Portugal v Uzbekistan
Tue 23rd Jun, 18:00
England v Ghana
Tue 23rd Jun, 21:00
Panama v Croatia
Wed 24th Jun, 00:00
Colombia v Congo DR
Wed 24th Jun, 03:00
Bosnia v Qatar
Wed 24th Jun, 20:00
Switzerland v Canada
Wed 24th Jun, 20:00
Scotland v Brazil
Wed 24th Jun, 23:00
Morocco v Haiti
Wed 24th Jun, 23:00
Czech Rep v Mexico
Thu 25th Jun, 02:00
South Africa v South Korea
Thu 25th Jun, 02:00
Curacao v Cote d'Ivoire
Thu 25th Jun, 21:00
Ecuador v Germany
Thu 25th Jun, 21:00
Tunisia v Netherlands
Fri 26th Jun, 00:00
Japan v Sweden
Fri 26th Jun, 00:00
Paraguay v Australia
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Turkey v USA
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Uruguay v Spain
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Cape Verde v Saudi Arabia
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