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Chicago Fire v Orlando City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 01:30 BST, Soldier Field, Chicago

Sunday morning sees Frank Klopas’s Chicago Fire and Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez’s Orlando City go head to head in a Major League Soccer clash at the Soldier Field. In this preview you'll find the best odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Chicago and Orlando have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chicago are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chicago
35%
6/4
14%
-
Draw
27%
12/5
5%
-
Orlando
38%
17/10
16%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Orlando 1-0
10%
10/1
8%
-
Chicago 1-0
10%
9/1
5%
-
Orlando 2-1
8%
9/1
17%
-
Chicago 2-1
8%
9/1
11%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
12/1
8%
-
Orlando 2-0
7%
14/1
21%
-
Chicago 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1
9%
-
Orlando 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
-
Chicago 3-1
3%
18/1
12%
-
Orlando 3-0
3%
25/1
24%
-
Chicago 3-0
2%
25/1
24%
-
Orlando 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
-
Chicago 3-2
2%
22/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
7/10
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
11/10
1%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
4/5
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
21/20
9%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/7-
BTTS - No
48%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7/2
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
15/4
14%
-
Home/draw
62%
4/9
6%
-
Away/draw
65%
1/2
10%
-
Home/away
73%
3/10
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
4/1
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/6
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1
8%
-
Home DNB
54%
4/5
15%
-
Away DNB
57%
10/11
15%
-
Chicago win to nil
19%
4/1
15%
-
Orlando win to nil
21%
9/2
15%
-
Chicago / Chicago
21%
3/1
11%
-
Chicago / Orlando
3%
25/1-
Chicago / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Chicago
14%
5/1
9%
-
Draw / Orlando
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
-
Orlando / Chicago
4%
22/1-
Orlando / Orlando
19%
10/3
13%
-
Orlando / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win form
6
Chicago have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
7
Orlando have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
4
Orlando have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games
Chicago 11TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Orlando 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Orlando have not lost to Chicago in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Chicago since 2018
Chicago
Orlando
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
CHI
2
D
3
ORL
1
League games at Orlando since 2018
Orlando
Chicago
Goals: Scored
16
11
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
CHI
2
ORL
5
Goal Statistics

Orlando City's defensive record is very strong, Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Major League Soccer games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Chicago Fire makes sense in this context.

Chicago 11th Orlando 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Chicago will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Orlando will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Chicago have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
+15
Orlando have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290906/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Chicago
PG (predicted goals)
Orlando
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
13%
better
CHI
ORL
view stats
Games scored9
7
Failed to score1
3
Scored first4
5
Goals scored18
18
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
CHI
ORL
43%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
6
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first5
2
Goals conceded22
12
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against22%
13%
Avg. XG against2
1.3
KickOff rating
+43%

Chicago v Orlando Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Chicago Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10743
C BradyH CuypersJ BambaJ Elliott
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Brady GLK10
1
-
M Pineda DEF10
2
-
A Gutman DEF1021
2
-
J Bamba FWD1014
-
H Cuypers FWD1071
-
J Elliott DEF92
3
-
O Glasgow MID9
-
S Oregel MID9
2
-
P Zinckernagel FWD932
3
-
T Barlow FWD9
1
-
S Rogers DEF8
1
-
M Haile-Selassie MID72
-
K Acosta MID7
1
-
B Gutiérrez MID63
3
-
J Dean DEF5
-
C Terán DEF5
1
-
L. Caetano Barroso DEF411
-
R Kouamé MID41
-
M Luczak DEF2
-
J Reynolds DEF2
-
Orlando Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10533
M PašalićM PašalićL MurielI Angulo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Freeman DEF1031
-
D Þórhallsson DEF101
1
-
M Pašalić FWD1052
1
-
I Angulo FWD101
3
-
L Muriel FWD1043
1
-
M Ojeda FWD1043
-
P Gallese GLK9
3
-
R Schlegel DEF9
2
1
R Jansson DEF8
2
-
K Smith DEF81
1
-
R Santos DEF8
2
1
E Atuesta MID81
3
-
D Brekalo DEF7
-
D McGuire FWD7
-
R Enrique FWD7
-
C Araújo MID511
1
-
N. Rodríguez Calderón FWD2
-
J Otero GLK1
1
-
T Williams DEF1
-
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