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Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 15th May, 01:30 BST, BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston

Home advantage can be vital in the Major League Soccer, and Ben Olsen’s Houston Dynamo will have the luxury of it on Thursday morning. Eric Ramsay’s Minnesota United are their visitors to the BBVA Compass Stadium. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Minnesota coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Houston 28%	13/8 1%	-
Draw 25%	11/5 6%	-
Minnesota 47%	17/10 13%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1 8%	-
Minnesota 1-0 10%	8/1 20%	-
Minnesota 2-1 9%	9/1	-
Minnesota 2-0 8%	12/1 8%	-
Houston 1-0 8%	8/1 13%	-
Houston 2-1 7%	9/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	9/1 11%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1 24%	-
Minnesota 3-1 5%	20/1	-
Houston 2-0 4%	12/1	-
Minnesota 3-0 4%	25/1 13%	-
Minnesota 3-2 3%	28/1 15%	-
Houston 3-1 3%	20/1 9%	-
Houston 3-2 2%	28/1 15%	-
Minnesota 4-1 2%	40/1 20%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	17/20 10%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	19/20 12%	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	5/6 13%	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	11/10 15%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	9/1 11%	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	3/4 10%	-
BTTS - No 46%	1/1 11%	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	4/1 17%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 9%	-
BTTS - Away Win 22%	9/2	-
Home/draw 53%	4/9 4%	-
Away/draw 72%	4/9	-
Home/away 75%	4/11 5%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	2/7 8%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	11/4 25%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	9/4 19%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	1/3 9%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	5/1 28%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/8 4%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	12/1 32%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1 22%	-
Home DNB 46%	5/6 4%	-
Away DNB 64%	5/6 2%	-
Houston win to nil 14%	7/2 4%	-
Minnesota win to nil 25%	7/2 13%	-
Houston / Houston 19%	10/3 4%	-
Houston / Minnesota 3%	25/1 10%	-
Houston / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw / Houston 14%	5/1 8%	-
Draw / Minnesota 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Draw 16%	4/1 5%	-
Minnesota / Houston 3%	25/1 10%	-
Minnesota / Minnesota 19%	10/3	-
Minnesota / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-

Win / draw / win form

Minnesota have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Houston	1 - 3	Seattle
Houston	2 - 0	Austin
Houston	2 - 2	Colorado
Houston	1 - 0	LAFC
Houston	1 - 2	Salt Lake
Houston	1 - 4	Miami
Houston	1 - 2	Dallas
Houston	1 - 1	Seattle
Houston	2 - 1	LA Galaxy
Houston	2 - 1	New England
Houston	1 - 1	Vancouver
Houston	4 - 1	Salt Lake
Houston	0 - 0	LAFC
Houston	0 - 1	Toronto
Houston	1 - 1	Minnesota
Houston	1 - 0	Charlotte
Houston	2 - 2	Seattle
Houston	3 - 1	Colorado
Houston	1 - 1	Dallas
Houston	0 - 0	Saint Louis City

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Houston	1 - 3	Seattle
A	Houston	0 - 2	LAFC
H	Houston	2 - 0	Austin
H	Houston	2 - 2	Colorado
A	Houston	1 - 1	LA Galaxy
H	Houston	1 - 0	LAFC
A	Houston	1 - 3	Portland
A	Houston	0 - 0	Seattle
H	Houston	1 - 2	Salt Lake
A	Houston	0 - 0	Columbus
H	Houston	1 - 4	Miami
H	Houston	1 - 2	Dallas
H	Houston	1 - 1	Seattle
A	Houston	0 - 0	Seattle
H	Houston	2 - 1	LA Galaxy
A	Houston	0 - 3	Saint Louis City
H	Houston	2 - 1	New England
A	Houston	0 - 1	Seattle
A	Houston	1 - 0	Austin
H	Houston	1 - 1	Vancouver

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Austin	0 - 3	Minnesota
Toronto	0 - 0	Minnesota
NY City	1 - 2	Minnesota
Sporting KC	3 - 3	Minnesota
San Jose	0 - 1	Minnesota
LAFC	1 - 0	Minnesota
LA Galaxy	6 - 2	Minnesota
Salt Lake	0 - 0	Minnesota
Vancouver	0 - 1	Minnesota
Salt Lake	0 - 0	Minnesota
Sporting KC	0 - 2	Minnesota
Saint Louis City	1 - 3	Minnesota
San Jose	1 - 2	Minnesota
Houston	1 - 1	Minnesota
LA Galaxy	2 - 1	Minnesota
Portland	3 - 2	Minnesota
Dallas	5 - 3	Minnesota
Seattle	2 - 0	Minnesota
LAFC	2 - 0	Minnesota
Colorado	3 - 3	Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Minnesota	4 - 1	Miami
A	Minnesota	3 - 0	Austin
H	Minnesota	1 - 3	Vancouver
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Dallas
A	Minnesota	0 - 0	Toronto
A	Minnesota	2 - 1	NY City
H	Minnesota	2 - 0	Salt Lake
H	Minnesota	2 - 2	LA Galaxy
A	Minnesota	3 - 3	Sporting KC
A	Minnesota	1 - 0	San Jose
H	Minnesota	1 - 0	Montreal
A	Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
A	Minnesota	2 - 6	LA Galaxy
H	Minnesota	1 - 1	Salt Lake
A	Minnesota	0 - 0	Salt Lake
H	Minnesota	4 - 1	Saint Louis City
A	Minnesota	1 - 0	Vancouver
A	Minnesota	0 - 0	Salt Lake
H	Minnesota	3 - 0	Colorado
A	Minnesota	2 - 0	Sporting KC

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Minnesota have not lost to Houston in 5 consecutive away league meetings

Houston

Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

1 / 8

HOU

MIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Houston
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 3	Minnesota
	1 - 2	Minnesota
	1 - 2	Minnesota
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Houston	3 - 0
Houston	2 - 0
Houston	3 - 0

Minnesota

Houston

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

0 / 8

HOU

MIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Minnesota
	1 - 2	Houston
Minnesota	1 - 0
Minnesota	2 - 1
Minnesota	2 - 0
Minnesota	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Minnesota	1 - 0
Minnesota	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Houston	Minnesota
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Houston will score no more than 1 goal	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Minnesota will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Houston have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	+1 Minnesota’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season

HOU

MIN

21%

better

view stats

Games scored	9		9
Failed to score	3		3
Scored first	5		8
Goals scored	11		19
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.6
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	12		16
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.5
KickOff rating		+21%

HOU

MIN

34%

better

view stats

Games conceded	8		6
Clean sheets	4		6
Conceded first	5		2
Goals conceded	19		11
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		9
Conversion rate against	17%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+34%

Houston v Minnesota Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Houston Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	3	3	6
O Awodesu	E Ponce	J McGlynn	F Escobar

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Awodesu DEF	12	1		2 1
G Dorsey DEF	12		2	4 -
S Kowalczyk MID	12		1	2 -
A Bassi MID	12	2	1	1 -
Artur MID	12			2 -
E Ponce FWD	12	3	1	4 -
F Escobar DEF	11	1	1	5 1
N Lodeiro MID	11	1		-
J McGlynn MID	11	1	3	1 -
E Bartlow DEF	9			1 -
D Steres DEF	8			2 -
E Sviatchenko DEF	8			-
I Aliyu FWD	8			1 -
J Urso MID	6			1 -
B Raines MID	6			1 -
E Dueñas MID	5		1	2 -
A Tarbell GLK	4			-
G Segal FWD	4			-
J Maurer GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	3	5
E Ponce	E Ponce	J McGlynn	J McGlynn

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Ponce FWD	3	7	1	1
A Bassi MID	2	5	1	2
O Awodesu DEF	1	1		1
F Escobar DEF	1	2	1	2
N Lodeiro MID	1	2		1
J McGlynn MID	1	7	3	5
E Dueñas MID		1	1
E Bartlow DEF		1
I Aliyu FWD		1
E Sviatchenko DEF		1
G Dorsey DEF		2	2	4
S Kowalczyk MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
712	28	55
J McGlynn	Artur	Artur

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J McGlynn MID	712	17	33
O Awodesu DEF	700	11	44
Artur MID	695	28	55
A Bassi MID	523	11	44
F Escobar DEF	489	27	54
G Dorsey DEF	345	17	40
S Kowalczyk MID	328	16	41
E Sviatchenko DEF	282	9	31
N Lodeiro MID	263	4	27
B Raines MID	244	8	12
E Bartlow DEF	236	8	20
D Steres DEF	221	5	11
E Ponce FWD	214	5	46
J Urso MID	156	6	18
A Tarbell GLK	82
I Aliyu FWD	71	8	16
J Maurer GLK	38
E Dueñas MID	26	4	4
G Segal FWD	9

Minnesota Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	5	4	3
B Hlongwane	T Oluwaseyi	J Pereyra	T Oluwaseyi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
W Trapp MID	12	2		1 -
J Pereyra MID	12	1	4	1 -
B Hlongwane FWD	12	1	1	1 -
D Clair GLK	11			2 -
R Lod MID	11	1		-
C Harvey MID	11		1	-
T Oluwaseyi FWD	11	5	3	3 -
K Yeboah FWD	11	4		-
A Markanich DEF	10	2		-
M Boxall DEF	10		1	3 -
J Díaz DEF	10		2	1 -
N Romero DEF	9		1	2 -
J Erazo DEF	9			1 -
J Sang-Bin FWD	9			1 -
M. Duggan DEF	8		1	-
O Gene MID	5			-
H Dotson MID	5	1		2 -
S Shashoua MID	5			-
D Taylor DEF	2			-
L. Mesanvi FWD	2			-
A. Smir GLK	1			-
D Padelford DEF	1			-
H. Jeong MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	16	4	8
T Oluwaseyi	T Oluwaseyi	J Pereyra	J Pereyra

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Oluwaseyi FWD	5	16	3	4
K Yeboah FWD	4	15		2
W Trapp MID	2	4
A Markanich DEF	2	2		1
B Hlongwane FWD	1	4	1	1
R Lod MID	1	3		3
J Pereyra MID	1	8	4	8
H Dotson MID	1	2		2
S Shashoua MID		1
N Romero DEF		1	1	1
M. Duggan DEF		2	1	1
J Erazo DEF		1		4
J Díaz DEF		2	2	1
M Boxall DEF			1	2
C Harvey MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
414	29	65
J Pereyra	J Pereyra	B Hlongwane

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Pereyra MID	414	29	53
W Trapp MID	361	24	43
R Lod MID	325	16	46
D Clair GLK	316		2
B Hlongwane FWD	270	22	65
M Boxall DEF	257	6	34
J Díaz DEF	225	11	43
N Romero DEF	221	7	31
J Erazo DEF	217	26	39
C Harvey MID	172	23	53
T Oluwaseyi FWD	159	13	60
M. Duggan DEF	156	5	23
K Yeboah FWD	153	9	57
A Markanich DEF	126	16	35
H Dotson MID	117	6	12
S Shashoua MID	76	2	2
J Sang-Bin FWD	51	2	7
O Gene MID	42	1	7
D Taylor DEF	35	1	1
A. Smir GLK	20
L. Mesanvi FWD	5
H. Jeong MID	5	1	1
D Padelford DEF	1

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Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Houston v Minnesota Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

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