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Orlando City v New York City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 17th Jul, 00:30 BST, Spectrum Stadium, Orlando

Thursday morning sees Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez’s Orlando City and Pascal Gastien’s New York City go up against one another in a Major League Soccer battle at the Spectrum Stadium. All the odds are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Major League Soccer match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 81% probability of Orlando and NY City serving up at least 2 goals in this Major League Soccer tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Orlando are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Orlando
56%
13/208/13
1%
Draw
23%
3/111/4
1%
NY City
22%
4/117/5
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/113/2
Orlando 1-0
10%
8/17/1
Orlando 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Orlando 2-0
9%
17/28/1
Orlando 3-1
6%
11/110/1
NY City 1-0
6%
16/112/1
NY City 2-1
6%
14/112/1
Orlando 3-0
6%
12/111/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
Orlando 3-2
3%
20/116/1
NY City 2-0
3%
25/120/1
Orlando 4-1
3%
22/118/1
Orlando 4-0
3%
22/120/1
NY City 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/13
2%
3/5
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
5/4
2%
6/5
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/98/15
2%
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/417/10
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
8/138/13
BTTS - No
44%
6/523/20
BTTS - Home Win
27%
21/102/1
1%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/419/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
13/213/2
7%
Home/draw
78%
1/62/11
1%
Away/draw
44%
6/523/20
2%
Home/away
77%
2/91/4
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/111/5
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
7/210/3
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
6/4
5%
7/5
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/2
2%
1/2
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
10/3
8%
16/5
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/5
2%
1/5
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8/1
13%
7/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/401/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
Home DNB
71%
2/72/7
3%
Away DNB
38%
5/25/2
3%
Orlando win to nil
29%
9/4-
NY City win to nil
10%
9/1-
Orlando / Orlando
32%
6/46/4
2%
Orlando / NY City
2%
33/133/1
15%
Orlando / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Orlando
17%
15/418/5
Draw / NY City
8%
9/19/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
4%
NY City / Orlando
4%
18/118/1
NY City / NY City
11%
13/213/2
6%
NY City / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Orlando 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Orlando1 - 1Montreal
Orlando1 - 2Cincinnati
Orlando1 - 3Chicago
Orlando1 - 0Portland
Orlando3 - 1Charlotte
Orlando3 - 3New England
Orlando3 - 0Atlanta
Orlando0 - 0NY Red Bulls
Orlando4 - 1DC United
Orlando4 - 2Toronto
Orlando2 - 4Philadelphia
Orlando0 - 1NY Red Bulls
Orlando1 - 0Atlanta
Orlando1 - 1Charlotte
Orlando2 - 0Charlotte
Orlando1 - 2Atlanta
Orlando2 - 1Philadelphia
Orlando2 - 0Charlotte
Orlando3 - 0New England
Orlando3 - 0Nashville
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HOrlando1 - 1Montreal
AOrlando2 - 2Charlotte
HOrlando1 - 2Cincinnati
AOrlando4 - 2Saint Louis City
AOrlando1 - 0Colorado
HOrlando1 - 3Chicago
AOrlando2 - 3Atlanta
HOrlando1 - 0Portland
AOrlando3 - 0Miami
HOrlando3 - 1Charlotte
HOrlando3 - 3New England
AOrlando0 - 0Chicago
HOrlando3 - 0Atlanta
AOrlando0 - 0Montreal
HOrlando0 - 0NY Red Bulls
AOrlando0 - 0Philadelphia
AOrlando2 - 1LA Galaxy
HOrlando4 - 1DC United
AOrlando2 - 2NY Red Bulls
AOrlando1 - 2NY City
NY City 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
9
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Charlotte2 - 0NY City
Montreal1 - 0NY City
Nashville2 - 2NY City
DC United0 - 0NY City
Toronto0 - 1NY City
New England2 - 0NY City
Atlanta4 - 3NY City
Columbus0 - 0NY City
LAFC1 - 0NY City
Miami2 - 2NY City
Cincinnati0 - 0NY City
Cincinnati1 - 0NY City
Montreal2 - 0NY City
NY Red Bulls1 - 5NY City
DC United1 - 1NY City
Columbus4 - 2NY City
Orlando1 - 1NY City
Atlanta2 - 2NY City
Chicago0 - 0NY City
Austin2 - 1NY City
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANY City0 - 2Charlotte
HNY City3 - 1Toronto
ANY City0 - 1Montreal
HNY City4 - 0Atlanta
ANY City2 - 2Nashville
HNY City0 - 3Houston
HNY City3 - 1Chicago
HNY City2 - 0NY Red Bulls
ANY City0 - 0DC United
HNY City0 - 1Montreal
HNY City1 - 0Cincinnati
ANY City1 - 0Toronto
ANY City0 - 2New England
HNY City1 - 0Philadelphia
HNY City1 - 2Minnesota
ANY City3 - 4Atlanta
ANY City0 - 0Columbus
HNY City2 - 1New England
HNY City2 - 1Orlando
ANY City0 - 1LAFC
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Orlando have not lost to NY City in 7 consecutive home league meetings
6
NY City have not lost to Orlando in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Orlando since 2018
Orlando
NY City
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
1 / 8
ORL
1
D
6
NYC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Orlando
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Orlando2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2NY City
League games at NY City since 2018
NY City
Orlando
Goals: Scored
22
8
Games: Scored
9 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
0 / 9
ORL
1
D
1
NYC
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
NY City2 - 1
NY City4 - 2
NY City2 - 0
NY City2 - 1
NY City5 - 0
1 - 3Orlando
Draw1 - 1Draw
NY City3 - 0
NY City2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Orlando City have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Major League Soccer outings. Their PG of 1.9 against New York City on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Orlando 6th NY City 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Orlando will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that NY City will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Orlando’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
NY City have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291070/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Orlando
PG (predicted goals)
NY City
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
28%
better
ORL
NYC
view stats
Games scored18
13
Failed to score4
8
Scored first13
8
Goals scored40
27
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
6%
better
ORL
NYC
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first5
11
Goals conceded29
24
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+6%

Orlando v NY City Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Orlando Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221087
M PašalićM PašalićM OjedaR Schlegel
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Þórhallsson MID222
3
-
M Pašalić FWD22104
2
-
I Angulo FWD221
4
-
L Muriel FWD2265
1
-
M Ojeda FWD22108
-
P Gallese GLK201
6
-
R Schlegel DEF20
6
1
R Jansson DEF19
4
-
D Brekalo DEF191
5
-
R Enrique FWD195
2
-
A Freeman DEF1841
1
-
K Smith DEF181
2
-
R Santos DEF16
2
1
E Atuesta MID165
4
-
C Araújo MID1623
4
1
J. Gerbet MID151
2
-
D McGuire FWD1211
-
N. Rodríguez Calderón FWD6
-
G. Caraballo Delgado FWD5
-
C. Guske MID3
-
J Otero GLK2
1
-
Z. Taifi MID2
-
T Williams DEF1
-
NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21935
J HaakH WolfJ HaakT Gray
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Haak MID213
3
-
M Moralez MID2122
4
-
J Fernández FWD2123
3
-
H Wolf FWD2193
2
-
A Ojeda FWD211
-
T Martins DEF20
1
-
J. Shore MID20
1
-
M. Bakrar FWD202
1
-
M Freese GLK18
2
-
A Martínez FWD1881
1
-
B Risa DEF17
1
-
K Parks MID1412
3
-
K O'Toole DEF131
2
1
T Gray DEF13
5
-
N. Cavallo DEF13
1
-
A Perea MID121
2
-
S Tanasijević DEF8
2
-
A O'Neill MID8
2
-
T Keubler GLK3
-
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID3
-
American Major League Soccer match betting previews, predictions and odds
Charlotte v DC United
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Philadelphia v Montreal
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
NY Red Bulls v New England
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Cincinnati v Miami
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Orlando v NY City
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Atlanta v Chicago
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Nashville v Columbus
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Minnesota v LAFC
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Houston v Vancouver
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Seattle v Colorado
Thu 17th Jul, 03:00
San Diego v Toronto
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
Portland v Salt Lake
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
San Jose v Dallas
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
LA Galaxy v Austin
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
NY Red Bulls v Miami
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Atlanta v Charlotte
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Columbus v DC United
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
New England v Orlando
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Montreal v Chicago
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Seattle v San Jose
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Houston v Philadelphia
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Dallas v Saint Louis City
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Sporting KC v NY City
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Nashville v Toronto
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Salt Lake v Cincinnati
Sun 20th Jul, 02:30
Portland v Minnesota
Sun 20th Jul, 03:30
LAFC v LA Galaxy
Sun 20th Jul, 03:30
San Diego v Vancouver
Sun 20th Jul, 03:30
New England v Montreal
Sat 26th Jul, 00:30
Columbus v Orlando
Sat 26th Jul, 00:30
Houston v LA Galaxy
Sat 26th Jul, 01:30
Dallas v NY City
Sat 26th Jul, 01:30
San Diego v Nashville
Sat 26th Jul, 03:30
LAFC v Portland
Sat 26th Jul, 03:30
Miami v Cincinnati
Sun 27th Jul, 00:00
Charlotte v Toronto
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
Philadelphia v Colorado
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
DC United v Austin
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
Atlanta v Seattle
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
Saint Louis City v Minnesota
Sun 27th Jul, 01:30
Chicago v NY Red Bulls
Sun 27th Jul, 01:30
Salt Lake v San Jose
Sun 27th Jul, 02:30
Vancouver v Sporting KC
Sun 27th Jul, 03:30