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New York City v Atlanta United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Yankee Stadium, New York City

Atlanta United, led by manager Ronny Deila, visit Pascal Gastien and his New York City side at the Yankee Stadium on Friday morning in the Major League Soccer. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Major League Soccer matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.

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New York City's next match is v Montreal at 00:30 on Sunday 29th June
Atlanta United's next match is v Columbus at 00:30 on Thursday 26th June
The last American Major League Soccer meeting between NY City and Atlanta was on Friday 13th June 2025
American Major League Soccer
June 13th 2025
NY City 4
0 Atlanta
 
M. Moralez 44'
M. Bakrar 55'
H. Wolf 57'
H. Wolf 59'
 
NYC
ATL
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
1
3
Corners
5
5
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
8
6
 
NY CityAtlanta
 
T. Romero Keubler
B. Risa (K. O'Toole 73')
S. Tanasijević (T. Gray 73')
T. Martins Bueno
M. Moralezfootball icon
A. Perea Castañeda
J. Haak
H. Wolffootball iconfootball icon
J. Fernández (J. Shore 83')
A. Ojeda (N. Cavallo 73')
M. Bakrarfootball icon (S. Garfield-Reid 78')
B. Guzan
(L. Abram Ugarelli 62') R. Hernández Pimentel
M. Edwards
(N. Sessock 88') P. Santos Amador
B. Lennon
(N. Cobb 62') D. Williams
W. Reilly
M. Klich
(E. Latte Lath 62') S. Lobzhanidze
A. Miranchuk
(L. Brennan 78') J. Thiaré

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 mins. Both NY City and Atlanta's latest form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think NY City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
NY City
57%
17/20
3%
4/5
3%
Draw
23%
11/4
10%
5/2
3%
Atlanta
20%
3/1
3%
13/5
3%
NY City 1-0
12%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
NY City 2-0
10%
10/19/1
NY City 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Atlanta 1-0
6%
14/112/1
8%
NY City 3-0
6%
16/114/1
NY City 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Atlanta 2-1
5%
12/111/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
11/110/1
Atlanta 2-0
3%
20/118/1
12%
NY City 3-2
3%
20/116/1
NY City 4-0
3%
33/122/1
12%
NY City 4-1
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Atlanta 3-1
2%
25/1
10%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
3/5
3%
4/7
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
13/10
5%
5/4
5%
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/713/20
1%
Away 1st Goal
41%
7/5
4%
7/5
1%
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
51%
8/15
3%
11/20
1%
BTTS - No
49%
11/8
6%
13/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
12/5
3%
11/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/317/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
5/1
8%
5/1
4%
Home/draw
80%
2/9
2%
1/4
3%
Away/draw
43%
10/11
4%
10/11
4%
Home/away
77%
1/4
4%
1/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/6
1%
2/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
4/1
11%
17/5
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
6/411/8
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/21/2
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
10/3
4%
16/5
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/5
2%
1/5
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
8/1
10%
13/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/14
1%
1/14
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Home DNB
73%
2/52/5
Away DNB
36%
7/49/5
4%
NY City win to nil
32%
11/4-
Atlanta win to nil
10%
7/1-
NY City / NY City
28%
2/119/10
3%
NY City / Atlanta
3%
28/125/1
NY City / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / NY City
16%
9/2
10%
19/5
4%
Draw / Atlanta
10%
15/215/2
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
11/2
8%
19/4
5%
Atlanta / NY City
4%
20/118/1
Atlanta / Atlanta
14%
5/15/1
4%
Atlanta / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
NY City 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY City0 - 3Houston
NY City3 - 1Chicago
NY City2 - 0NY Red Bulls
NY City0 - 1Montreal
NY City1 - 0Cincinnati
NY City1 - 0Philadelphia
NY City1 - 2Minnesota
NY City2 - 1New England
NY City2 - 1Orlando
NY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
NY City3 - 1Cincinnati
NY City3 - 1Nashville
NY City3 - 2Cincinnati
NY City1 - 1Miami
NY City1 - 5Philadelphia
NY City2 - 2Chicago
NY City2 - 0Montreal
NY City4 - 2Orlando
NY City2 - 3Columbus
NY City5 - 1San Jose
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANY City2 - 2Nashville
HNY City0 - 3Houston
HNY City3 - 1Chicago
HNY City2 - 0NY Red Bulls
ANY City0 - 0DC United
HNY City0 - 1Montreal
HNY City1 - 0Cincinnati
ANY City1 - 0Toronto
ANY City0 - 2New England
HNY City1 - 0Philadelphia
HNY City1 - 2Minnesota
ANY City3 - 4Atlanta
ANY City0 - 0Columbus
HNY City2 - 1New England
HNY City2 - 1Orlando
ANY City0 - 1LAFC
ANY City2 - 2Miami
HNY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
ANY City0 - 0Cincinnati
HNY City3 - 1Cincinnati
Atlanta 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY Red Bulls2 - 0Atlanta
Austin1 - 1Atlanta
Chicago2 - 1Atlanta
Orlando3 - 0Atlanta
Philadelphia3 - 0Atlanta
Cincinnati2 - 2Atlanta
Charlotte2 - 0Atlanta
Orlando1 - 0Atlanta
Miami2 - 3Atlanta
Miami2 - 1Atlanta
Montreal2 - 2Atlanta
Orlando1 - 2Atlanta
Philadelphia1 - 1Atlanta
NY Red Bulls2 - 2Atlanta
Charlotte0 - 1Atlanta
LA Galaxy2 - 0Atlanta
Montreal1 - 0Atlanta
Salt Lake5 - 2Atlanta
New England2 - 1Atlanta
Saint Louis City1 - 1Atlanta
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtlanta0 - 2NY Red Bulls
HAtlanta3 - 2Orlando
HAtlanta4 - 2Cincinnati
HAtlanta0 - 1Philadelphia
AAtlanta1 - 1Austin
AAtlanta1 - 2Chicago
HAtlanta1 - 1Nashville
AAtlanta0 - 3Orlando
AAtlanta0 - 3Philadelphia
HAtlanta0 - 1New England
HAtlanta1 - 1Dallas
HAtlanta4 - 3NY City
AAtlanta2 - 2Cincinnati
HAtlanta1 - 2Miami
HAtlanta0 - 0NY Red Bulls
AAtlanta0 - 2Charlotte
HAtlanta3 - 2Montreal
AAtlanta0 - 1Orlando
AAtlanta3 - 2Miami
HAtlanta2 - 1Miami
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
NY City have drawn with Atlanta in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
NY City have not lost to Atlanta in 6 consecutive home league meetings
5
Atlanta have not lost to NY City in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at NY City since 2018
NY City
Atlanta
Goals: Scored
12
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
NYC
3
D
4
ATL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
NY City2 - 0
NY City1 - 0
NY City4 - 1
0 - 1Atlanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Atlanta since 2018
Atlanta
NY City
Goals: Scored
17
14
Games: Scored
8 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
0 / 8
NYC
1
D
4
ATL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlanta
Atlanta4 - 3
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2NY City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atlanta2 - 1
Atlanta3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

New York City's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday morning, not least because Atlanta United have conceded in each of their last 14 Major League Soccer outings. A PG of 1.8 for Pascal Gastien's side suggests that run should continue.

NY City 10th Atlanta 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that NY City will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Atlanta scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
NY City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
Atlanta have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290999/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
NY City
PG (predicted goals)
Atlanta
1.8
1
Attack rating
0%
better
NYC
ATL
view stats
Games scored11
10
Failed to score6
7
Scored first6
6
Goals scored20
21
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
31%
better
NYC
ATL
view stats
Games conceded11
16
Clean sheets6
1
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded20
30
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+31%

NY City v Atlanta Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18834
J HaakH WolfJ HaakT Gray
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Keubler GLK1
-
S Tanasijević DEF7
2
-
J Haak DEF183
3
-
T Martins DEF17
1
-
B Risa DEF15
1
-
J Fernández MID1823
2
-
A Perea MID91
1
-
M Moralez MID1822
2
-
A Ojeda FWD18
-
M. Bakrar FWD172
1
-
H Wolf FWD1882
1
-
Subs
G Ranjitsingh GLK
-
T Gray DEF11
4
-
A. Baiera DEF
-
N. Cavallo DEF13
1
-
M. Murray DEF
-
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID3
-
J. Shore MID17
1
-
K O'Toole FWD10
2
1
S. Garfield-Reid FWD2
-
Atlanta Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18556
B Guzan E LathS LobzhanidzeE Lath
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Guzan  GLK18
1
-
B Lennon DEF122
-
M Edwards DEF16
3
-
D Williams DEF141
-
R Pimentel DEF9
-
P Amador DEF12
1
-
S Lobzhanidze MID185
-
M Klich MID141
4
-
W Reilly MID4
1
-
A Miranchuk MID1823
1
-
J Thiaré FWD143
-
Subs
J. Hibbert GLK
-
E. Morales DEF
-
N Cobb DEF12
-
L Abram DEF16
1
-
N Sessock DEF1
-
M Almirón MID1631
1
-
L Brennan MID2
-
C. Sanchez MID
-
E Lath FWD1751
6
-