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Atlanta United v Inter Miami : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Oct, 00:30 BST, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

Home advantage makes a difference in the Major League Soccer, and Gerardo Daniel Martino’s Atlanta United will have the luxury of it on Sunday morning. Cristian Alberto González Peret’s Inter Miami are their opponents at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Statistics power the predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Major League Soccer tie should present fine viewing for neutrals in the ground, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Atlanta 29%	3.40 3%	-
Draw 21%	4.10	-
Miami 50%	1.86 4%	-
Miami 2-1 9%	9.50	-
Draw 1-1 8%	9.50	-
Draw 2-2 7%	10.00 9%	-
Atlanta 2-1 7%	13.00	-
Miami 3-1 6%	13.00	-
Miami 2-0 5%	15.00	-
Miami 3-2 5%	15.00	-
Miami 1-0 5%	17.00	-
Miami 3-0 4%	21.00 11%	-
Atlanta 3-2 4%	21.00	-
Atlanta 1-0 4%	23.00	-
Atlanta 3-1 4%	23.00	-
Miami 4-1 3%	23.00 10%	-
Atlanta 2-0 3%	26.00	-
Draw 3-3 3%	23.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 72%	1.30 2%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 28%	3.50 3%	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	2.10 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	1.67 3%	-
No 1st Goal 1%	29.00	-
BTTS - Yes 71%	1.33	-
BTTS - No 29%	3.25	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	4.75 5%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33	-
BTTS - Away Win 32%	2.75	-
Home/draw 50%	1.83 4%	-
Away/draw 71%	1.30 1%	-
Home/away 79%	1.22	-
Over 1.5 Goals 89%	1.08	-
Under 1.5 Goals 11%	8.00	-
Over 3.5 Goals 52%	1.73 4%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 48%	2.00 5%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 32%	2.75	-
Under 4.5 Goals 68%	1.40	-
Over 5.5 Goals 18%	4.50	-
Under 5.5 Goals 82%	1.18	-
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1.01	-
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	26.00 10%	-
Home DNB 44%	2.63 4%	-
Away DNB 64%	1.44 3%	-
Atlanta win to nil 9%	10.00	-
Miami win to nil 17%	5.50 10%	-
Atlanta / Atlanta 17%	5.00 9%	-
Atlanta / Miami 5%	17.00	-
Atlanta / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / Atlanta 10%	8.50 6%	-
Draw / Miami 14%	6.00 9%	-
Draw / Draw 10%	8.00	-
Miami / Atlanta 4%	23.00	-
Miami / Miami 28%	3.00 9%	-
Miami / Draw 6%	13.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlanta	1 - 3	Cincinnati
Atlanta	2 - 2	NY City
Atlanta	2 - 3	Orlando
Atlanta	0 - 2	Charlotte
Atlanta	2 - 1	Sporting KC
Atlanta	2 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Atlanta	1 - 2	LA Galaxy
Atlanta	3 - 1	Montreal
Atlanta	1 - 2	New England
Atlanta	0 - 2	Nashville
Atlanta	1 - 3	Columbus
Atlanta	0 - 0	DC United
Atlanta	3 - 1	Philadelphia
Atlanta	2 - 3	Salt Lake
Atlanta	1 - 1	DC United
Atlanta	1 - 1	San Diego
Atlanta	4 - 5	Columbus
Atlanta	0 - 0	Toronto
Atlanta	2 - 2	Seattle
Atlanta	2 - 3	Charlotte

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Atlanta	3 - 0	Montreal
H	Atlanta	1 - 3	Cincinnati
H	Atlanta	2 - 2	NY City
A	Atlanta	1 - 0	Portland
A	Atlanta	0 - 0	DC United
H	Atlanta	2 - 3	Orlando
A	Atlanta	2 - 2	Miami
H	Atlanta	0 - 2	Charlotte
H	Atlanta	2 - 1	Sporting KC
A	Atlanta	2 - 1	Minnesota
H	Atlanta	2 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Atlanta	2 - 3	Philadelphia
A	Atlanta	1 - 4	New England
A	Atlanta	2 - 2	Charlotte
A	Atlanta	0 - 1	Nashville
A	Atlanta	0 - 2	Columbus
A	Atlanta	1 - 1	Orlando
H	Atlanta	1 - 2	LA Galaxy
H	Atlanta	3 - 1	Montreal
A	Atlanta	2 - 1	Toronto

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Columbus	2 - 1	Miami
Chicago	1 - 1	Miami
Philadelphia	2 - 2	Miami
Nashville	4 - 1	Miami
Montreal	0 - 1	Miami
Cincinnati	3 - 5	Miami
Toronto	2 - 4	Miami
Salt Lake	0 - 2	Miami
Colorado	2 - 3	Miami
NY City	2 - 3	Miami
Charlotte	0 - 0	Miami
DC United	1 - 2	Miami
Orlando	2 - 4	Miami
LAFC	3 - 0	Miami
Cincinnati	0 - 4	Miami
Nashville	2 - 1	Miami
Nashville	2 - 5	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
NY City	0 - 4	Miami
Charlotte	3 - 0	Miami

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Miami	2 - 1	NY City
H	Miami	4 - 0	DC United
A	Miami	1 - 2	Columbus
H	Miami	2 - 2	San Diego
H	Miami	2 - 2	Nashville
A	Miami	1 - 1	Chicago
H	Miami	2 - 2	Atlanta
H	Miami	7 - 1	Montreal
H	Miami	1 - 2	Toronto
A	Miami	2 - 2	Philadelphia
A	Miami	1 - 4	Nashville
H	Miami	2 - 2	Columbus
A	Miami	1 - 0	Montreal
H	Miami	3 - 2	Chicago
H	Miami	6 - 4	Philadelphia
H	Miami	2 - 0	Portland
A	Miami	5 - 3	Cincinnati
A	Miami	4 - 2	Toronto
H	Miami	3 - 4	Orlando
H	Miami	1 - 1	New England

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Atlanta

Miami

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

1 / 9

ATL

MIA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlanta
	1 - 2	Miami
Atlanta	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Atlanta	5 - 2
Atlanta	2 - 0
Atlanta	2 - 1
Atlanta	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Miami
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Miami

Atlanta

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 10

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

0 / 10

ATL

MIA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Miami
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Miami	4 - 0
	2 - 3	Atlanta
Miami	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Atlanta
Miami	2 - 1
Miami	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Miami	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Inter Miami in their meeting with Atlanta United, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 24 consecutive Major League Soccer outings.

	Atlanta 14th	Miami 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	2.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Atlanta will score 1 or more goals	0 12% 1 25% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 17% There is a 63% probability that Miami will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Atlanta have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	+26 Miami have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	2.2 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

ATL

MIA

40%

better

view stats

Games scored	19		26
Failed to score	9		2
Scored first	9		13
Goals scored	33		68
Avg. goals scored	1.2		2.4
Avg. shots per game	9		12
Avg. shots per goal	7		5
Conversion rate for	13		21
Avg. XG for	1.4		2
KickOff rating		+40%

ATL

MIA

better

view stats

Games conceded	25		23
Clean sheets	3		5
Conceded first	17		14
Goals conceded	48		50
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	18%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.6
KickOff rating		+6%

Atlanta v Miami Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlanta Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	6	7	8
L Hoyos	A Miranchuk	A Miranchuk	T Jacob

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Hoyos GLK	28			3 -
T Muyumba MID	28	4	1	5 -
A Miranchuk MID	26	6	7	1 -
T Jacob DEF	25	3	2	8 -
E. Báez Sotelo DEF	25	1	3	6 -
C. Sanchez MID	25		1	6 -
E Mihaj DEF	23			4 1
M Almirón FWD	21	5	5	-
F Picault FWD	19	3	2	1 -
M Edwards DEF	18		1	3 -
L Brennan MID	17			2 -
A Fortune MID	15	3		-
S Alzate MID	13			1 -
J Alonso DEF	12			1 -
W Reilly MID	11			3 -
C Togashi FWD	7			-
S Santos FWD	7			-
P Díaz DEF	6			1 -
M. Amaro Viega MID	6			2 -
A. Simons Gill MID	6			2 -
B Embolo FWD	6	1	1	-
G Galoppo MID	3	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	7	10
A Miranchuk	M Almirón	A Miranchuk	M Almirón

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Miranchuk MID	6	16	7	6
M Almirón FWD	5	22	5	10
T Muyumba MID	4	9	1	2
T Jacob DEF	3	3	2	4
F Picault FWD	3	4	2
A Fortune MID	3	7		1
E. Báez Sotelo DEF	1	8	3	4
B Embolo FWD	1	6	1
G Galoppo MID	1	3
L Hoyos GLK		1		1
C. Sanchez MID		3	1	3
E Mihaj DEF		4
M Edwards DEF			1	1
L Brennan MID		2
S Alzate MID		1		1
W Reilly MID				1
C Togashi FWD		1
S Santos FWD		1
P Díaz DEF				1
M. Amaro Viega MID		2		1
A. Simons Gill MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1353	59	110
T Muyumba	T Muyumba	T Jacob

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Muyumba MID	1353	59	99
E Mihaj DEF	1198	27	65
E. Báez Sotelo DEF	1119	47	107
L Hoyos GLK	995	5	21
A Miranchuk MID	964	10	54
T Jacob DEF	883	52	110
C. Sanchez MID	827	29	56
J Alonso DEF	825	16	33
M Almirón FWD	766	18	79
W Reilly MID	384	13	21
M Edwards DEF	370	20	38
M. Amaro Viega MID	314	10	18
S Alzate MID	308	14	30
A Fortune MID	297	11	28
P Díaz DEF	292	5	18
F Picault FWD	257	9	51
A. Simons Gill MID	203	4	13
L Brennan MID	145	11	20
B Embolo FWD	100	4	40
G Galoppo MID	90	7	19
C Togashi FWD	34	1	2
S Santos FWD	21	1	11

Miami Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	23	12	9
L Messi	L Messi	L Messi	T Segovia

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Messi FWD	25	23	12	3 -
T Segovia MID	24	3	8	9 -
L Suárez FWD	24	15	5	1 -
G Berterame FWD	24	7	6	4 -
F Mura DEF	23			-
Y. Bright MID	23		1	4 2
R Paul MID	23	4	9	5 -
D Clair GLK	22			4 -
I Fray DEF	21	1	3	6 -
Micael DEF	19	1		5 -
M Falcón DEF	18		1	5 -
G Luján DEF	18	1		4 -
S Reguilón DEF	14	1		3 -
M. Silvetti FWD	14	3	4	1 -
D. Pintér FWD	14	1		2 -
Casemiro MID	12	3		4 -
D Ayala MID	11			1 -
T Allende FWD	9			3 -
A. Shaw MID	7	1		1 -
R Novo GLK	6			-
P. Plambeck MID	6	1		-
F. Caicedo Jaramillo DEF	5			2 -
C. Abadia-Reda DEF	5			-
M Fonda MID	3			1 -
S. Morales MID	2			1 1
L. Delinois FWD	2			-
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
23	66	12	20
L Messi	L Messi	L Messi	L Messi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Messi FWD	23	66	12	20
L Suárez FWD	15	30	5	8
G Berterame FWD	7	21	6	9
R Paul MID	4	12	9	18
T Segovia MID	3	6	8	5
M. Silvetti FWD	3	11	4	5
Casemiro MID	3	4
I Fray DEF	1	3	3	3
Micael DEF	1	2
G Luján DEF	1	1		2
S Reguilón DEF	1	2		4
D. Pintér FWD	1	4
A. Shaw MID	1	1
P. Plambeck MID	1	2
F Mura DEF		1		3
Y. Bright MID		1	1	5
M Falcón DEF			1	1
D Ayala MID		1
T Allende FWD		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1751	81	139
R Paul	Y. Bright	Y. Bright

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Paul MID	1751	18	77
Micael DEF	1330	32	71
Y. Bright MID	1282	81	139
T Segovia MID	1123	32	69
M Falcón DEF	1054	19	61
L Messi FWD	1021	10	103
Casemiro MID	863	17	49
G Luján DEF	842	27	61
L Suárez FWD	760	11	66
I Fray DEF	673	30	82
D Clair GLK	673	3	7
F Mura DEF	653	16	27
S Reguilón DEF	504	14	33
G Berterame FWD	456	17	79
D Ayala MID	322	8	18
M. Silvetti FWD	258	14	45
F. Caicedo Jaramillo DEF	234	15	21
R Novo GLK	191	1	6
D. Pintér FWD	159	8	28
T Allende FWD	130	5	22
M Fonda MID	107	4	8
A. Shaw MID	71	3	9
P. Plambeck MID	61	5	5
S. Morales MID	40	1	4
C. Abadia-Reda DEF	31	2	5
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	18	1	4
L. Delinois FWD	12		1