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New York City v Cincinnati : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Apr, 00:30 BST, Yankee Stadium, New York City

Cincinnati are on the road on Thursday morning, as manager Pat Noonan takes his men to visit New York City and Pascal Jansen at the Yankee Stadium in the Major League Soccer. All the odds are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Major League Soccer match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

Best Tip: NY City to win

A Major League Soccer home win for Pascal Jansen's NY City team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A NY City win is the way to go, but it could be a close one.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think NY City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.81.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
NY City 64%	1.81	1.80 4%
Draw 18%	3.90	3.70
Cincinnati 18%	3.90	3.40 5%
NY City 2-1 9%	8.50	8.00
Draw 1-1 8%	7.50	7.00
NY City 3-1 8%	13.00	12.00
NY City 2-0 8%	11.00	10.00
NY City 1-0 6%	11.00	9.50
NY City 3-0 6%	17.00	15.00
Draw 2-2 6%	11.00	11.00
Cincinnati 2-1 5%	13.00	11.00
NY City 3-2 5%	19.00	17.00
NY City 4-1 5%	23.00	19.00 10%
NY City 4-0 4%	29.00	23.00
Cincinnati 1-0 3%	17.00	13.00
NY City 4-2 3%	34.00	26.00
Draw 0-0 3%	17.00	15.00
Cincinnati 3-2 2%	29.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 71%	1.53	1.53
Under 2.5 Goals 29%	2.40	2.38
Home 1st Goal 55%	1.62 3%	1.62 3%
Away 1st Goal 43%	2.25	2.38 4%
No 1st Goal 1%	17.00	15.00
BTTS - Yes 65%	1.50	1.50 1%
BTTS - No 35%	2.50	2.40
BTTS - Home Win 37%	3.10	3.10 3%
BTTS - Draw 16%	4.33	4.33 2%
BTTS - Away Win 12%	6.00	5.50 7%
Home/draw 82%	1.25	1.29 2%
Away/draw 36%	1.91	1.91 5%
Home/away 82%	1.25	1.25 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%	1.14	1.15
Under 1.5 Goals 12%	5.50	5.00
Over 3.5 Goals 50%	2.20	2.25 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 50%	1.62	1.57
Over 4.5 Goals 31%	3.75	3.90
Under 4.5 Goals 69%	1.25	1.22
Over 5.5 Goals 17%	8.00	7.50
Under 5.5 Goals 83%	1.08	1.08 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.03	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	17.00	15.00
Home DNB 76%	1.36	1.40 2%
Away DNB 31%	3.00	2.70 10%
NY City win to nil 26%	4.00	-
Cincinnati win to nil 6%	9.00 11%	-
NY City / NY City 29%	2.88	2.80 5%
NY City / Cincinnati 3%	29.00	26.00
NY City / Draw 7%	13.00	12.00
Draw / NY City 15%	5.50	5.25 5%
Draw / Cincinnati 10%	9.00	8.50 11%
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50	6.50 4%
Cincinnati / NY City 4%	19.00	19.00
Cincinnati / Cincinnati 14%	6.00	5.50 8%
Cincinnati / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win form

Cincinnati have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY City	1 - 2	Charlotte
NY City	1 - 1	Saint Louis City
NY City	2 - 3	Miami
NY City	3 - 1	Colorado
NY City	5 - 0	Orlando
NY City	0 - 0	Charlotte
NY City	1 - 2	Seattle
NY City	0 - 4	Miami
NY City	2 - 0	Charlotte
NY City	3 - 2	Columbus
NY City	1 - 2	DC United
NY City	2 - 1	Nashville
NY City	3 - 1	Toronto
NY City	4 - 0	Atlanta
NY City	0 - 3	Houston
NY City	3 - 1	Chicago
NY City	2 - 0	NY Red Bulls
NY City	0 - 1	Montreal
NY City	1 - 0	Cincinnati
NY City	1 - 0	Philadelphia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	NY City	1 - 2	Charlotte
A	NY City	0 - 2	Vancouver
H	NY City	1 - 1	Saint Louis City
H	NY City	2 - 3	Miami
H	NY City	3 - 1	Colorado
H	NY City	5 - 0	Orlando
A	NY City	2 - 1	Philadelphia
A	NY City	1 - 1	LA Galaxy
A	NY City	1 - 5	Miami
A	NY City	1 - 0	Philadelphia
A	NY City	3 - 1	Charlotte
H	NY City	0 - 0	Charlotte
A	NY City	1 - 0	Charlotte
H	NY City	1 - 2	Seattle
A	NY City	0 - 1	Philadelphia
A	NY City	3 - 2	NY Red Bulls
H	NY City	0 - 4	Miami
H	NY City	2 - 0	Charlotte
H	NY City	3 - 2	Columbus
A	NY City	3 - 1	Chicago

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls	4 - 2	Cincinnati
New England	6 - 1	Cincinnati
Minnesota	1 - 0	Cincinnati
Columbus	4 - 0	Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls	0 - 1	Cincinnati
LA Galaxy	2 - 3	Cincinnati
Portland	2 - 3	Cincinnati
Miami	0 - 0	Cincinnati
Salt Lake	0 - 1	Cincinnati
Orlando	1 - 2	Cincinnati
Montreal	1 - 3	Cincinnati
New England	0 - 1	Cincinnati
Atlanta	4 - 2	Cincinnati
Columbus	1 - 1	Cincinnati
Toronto	0 - 1	Cincinnati
NY City	1 - 0	Cincinnati
Chicago	2 - 3	Cincinnati
DC United	0 - 1	Cincinnati
Nashville	1 - 2	Cincinnati

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Cincinnati	3 - 3	Chicago
A	Cincinnati	1 - 1	Toronto
A	Cincinnati	2 - 4	NY Red Bulls
H	Cincinnati	4 - 3	Montreal
A	Cincinnati	1 - 6	New England
H	Cincinnati	0 - 1	Toronto
A	Cincinnati	0 - 1	Minnesota
H	Cincinnati	2 - 0	Atlanta
H	Cincinnati	0 - 4	Miami
H	Cincinnati	2 - 1	Columbus
A	Cincinnati	0 - 4	Columbus
H	Cincinnati	1 - 0	Columbus
H	Cincinnati	3 - 0	Montreal
A	Cincinnati	1 - 0	NY Red Bulls
H	Cincinnati	1 - 1	Orlando
A	Cincinnati	3 - 2	LA Galaxy
H	Cincinnati	2 - 1	Nashville
H	Cincinnati	0 - 1	Philadelphia
H	Cincinnati	0 - 1	NY City
A	Cincinnati	3 - 2	Portland

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

NY City have beaten Cincinnati in 3 consecutive home league meetings

NY City have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Cincinnati

NY City

Cincinnati

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

0 / 9

NYC

CIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
NY City	1 - 0
NY City	3 - 1
NY City	3 - 2
	1 - 3	Cincinnati
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
NY City	5 - 0
NY City	4 - 0
NY City	2 - 1
NY City	5 - 2

Cincinnati

NY City

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

2 / 8

NYC

CIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
	0 - 1	NY City
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Cincinnati	1 - 0
Cincinnati	1 - 0
Cincinnati	3 - 0
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
	1 - 2	NY City
	1 - 4	NY City

Goal Statistics

	NY City 7th	Cincinnati 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.4 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 9% 1 21% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 23% There is a 70% probability that NY City will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Cincinnati will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-3 NY City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Cincinnati’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

25%

better

NYC

CIN

view stats

Games scored	7		6
Failed to score	1		2
Scored first	4		2
Goals scored	15		13
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.6
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	20		15
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.7
KickOff rating		+25%

23%

better

NYC

CIN

view stats

Games conceded	7		7
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	4		6
Goals conceded	11		19
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		2.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		4
Conversion rate against	15%		23%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+23%

NY City v Cincinnati Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	6	5	2
M Freese	N Mercau	M Moralez	T Gray

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Freese GLK	8			-
T Gray DEF	8	1	1	2 -
T Martins DEF	7			-
R Gustavo DEF	7			1 -
K O'Toole DEF	8			-
K Trewin MID	8			1 -
A O'Neill MID	8			2 -
A Ojeda MID	8	2	1	-
M Moralez MID	8	1	5	1 -
H Wolf MID	8	2	1	1 -
N Mercau FWD	8	6		1 -
Subs
T Keubler GLK				-
N. Cavallo DEF	1			-
S Tanasijević DEF	1			-
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID	1			-
J. Shore MID	5			-
K Parks MID	8	2		2 -
T Magno FWD	8	1		-
S. Garfield-Reid FWD	4			-
A. Farnós Olive FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	5	6
N Mercau	N Mercau	M Moralez	M Moralez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Mercau FWD	6	16		3
A Ojeda MID	2	5	1	1
H Wolf MID	2	5	1	1
Subs
K Parks MID	2	2		2
T Gray DEF	1	4	1	3
M Moralez MID	1	4	5	6
Subs
T Magno FWD	1	3
R Gustavo DEF		1
K O'Toole DEF		1		1
K Trewin MID		1		1
A O'Neill MID		1
Subs
S. Garfield-Reid FWD		1
A. Farnós Olive FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
566	24	50
T Martins	A O'Neill	N Mercau

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Martins DEF	566	4	14
K Trewin MID	536	10	24
A O'Neill MID	482	24	43
T Gray DEF	461	19	39
K O'Toole DEF	443	13	27
M Moralez MID	418	8	26
R Gustavo DEF	345	6	22
Subs
K Parks MID	278	13	37
N Mercau FWD	256	17	50
A Ojeda MID	221	13	27
H Wolf MID	216	13	30
M Freese GLK	186		4
Subs
T Magno FWD	46	2	18
J. Shore MID	30	4	6
S Tanasijević DEF	23
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID	17
S. Garfield-Reid FWD	5	1	2
N. Cavallo DEF	4		1
A. Farnós Olive FWD	2

Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	2	3
N Hagglund	K Denkey	E Peña	K Denkey

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Celentano GLK	6			-
K Smith DEF	5	1		-
N Hagglund DEF	8	1		1 -
T Hadebe DEF	6			1 -
E Peña MID	8	1	2	1 -
P Bucha MID	7	1		1 -
S. Gidi MID	7			1 -
K. Mboma Dem MID	5	1		-
Evander FWD	7	1	1	-
K Denkey FWD	7	2	1	2 1
T Barlow FWD	8	2		1 -
Subs
E Louro GLK	2			-
A. Chirila DEF	1			-
A Powell DEF	6		1	1
G Melgarejo DEF	5			-
G Valenzuela MID	6	1		1
T Anunga MID	3			-
S Jimenez MID	1			-
A Jabbari FWD	8	1	1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	9	2	6
K Denkey	Evander	E Peña	Evander

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Denkey FWD	2	4	1	1
T Barlow FWD	2	6
K Smith DEF	1	1
N Hagglund DEF	1	4
E Peña MID	1	6	2	3
P Bucha MID	1	3
K. Mboma Dem MID	1	1
Evander FWD	1	9	1	6
Subs
G Valenzuela MID	1	3		1
A Jabbari FWD	1	2	1	2
A. Chirila DEF		1
A Powell DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
342	12	38
N Hagglund	E Peña	N Hagglund

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Hagglund DEF	342	9	38
P Bucha MID	278	12	27
S. Gidi MID	262	8	28
Evander FWD	197	1	21
T Hadebe DEF	175	3	12
E Peña MID	173	12	33
R Celentano GLK	153
Subs
G Melgarejo DEF	140	8	19
K Denkey FWD	136	6	35
Subs
G Valenzuela MID	108	1	15
T Barlow FWD	103	4	22
K Smith DEF	96	7	10
Subs
E Louro GLK	85
T Anunga MID	74	3	9
A Powell DEF	69	5	14
A Jabbari FWD	66	4	37
A. Chirila DEF	65	4	6
K. Mboma Dem MID	60	4	9
Subs
S Jimenez MID	3