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Philadelphia Union v Nashville SC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 3rd May, 00:30 BST, Subaru Park, Chester

Sunday morning at the Subaru Park, and it’s a Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC. Bradley Carnell and Brian Joseph Callaghan II going all-out to claim the win. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Philadelphia and Nashville go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the teams in terms of who might win. The statistics do not give us any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 2.00 with the bookmakers, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Nashville coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Philadelphia
24%
7/5-
Draw
30%
12/5-
Nashville
46%
8/5-
Nashville 1-0
16%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
13%
11/1-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Philadelphia 1-0
11%
17/2-
Nashville 2-0
10%
14/1-
Nashville 2-1
8%
9/1-
Philadelphia 2-1
5%
17/2-
Philadelphia 2-0
4%
12/1-
Nashville 3-0
4%
25/1-
Nashville 3-1
3%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
12/1-
Philadelphia 3-1
1%
18/1-
Nashville 3-2
1%
25/1-
Nashville 4-0
1%
50/1-
Philadelphia 3-0
1%
22/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
39%
10/11-
Away 1st Goal
51%
1/1-
No 1st Goal
9%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
39%
4/6-
BTTS - No
61%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
8%
15/4-
BTTS - Draw
16%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
4/1-
Home/draw
54%
4/9-
Away/draw
76%
8/15-
Home/away
70%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
11/1-
Home DNB
45%
4/5-
Away DNB
67%
10/11-
Philadelphia win to nil
16%
7/2-
Nashville win to nil
32%
4/1-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia
21%
3/1-
Philadelphia / Nashville
3%
25/1-
Philadelphia / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Philadelphia
14%
5/1-
Draw / Nashville
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Nashville / Philadelphia
3%
25/1-
Nashville / Nashville
19%
10/3-
Nashville / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Philadelphia have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
Philadelphia 13TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Philadelphia0 - 0DC United
Philadelphia1 - 2Chicago
Philadelphia0 - 1San Jose
Philadelphia1 - 2NY City
Philadelphia0 - 1NY City
Philadelphia2 - 2Chicago
Philadelphia1 - 0NY City
Philadelphia1 - 0New England
Philadelphia4 - 0Chicago
Philadelphia1 - 1Toronto
Philadelphia3 - 1Colorado
Philadelphia2 - 1Montreal
Philadelphia2 - 0NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia2 - 1Charlotte
Philadelphia3 - 3Miami
Philadelphia3 - 2LA Galaxy
Philadelphia2 - 2Columbus
Philadelphia3 - 0DC United
Philadelphia3 - 0Atlanta
Philadelphia0 - 0Orlando
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPhiladelphia0 - 0DC United
APhiladelphia2 - 1Montreal
APhiladelphia1 - 2Charlotte
HPhiladelphia1 - 2Chicago
APhiladelphia1 - 3Atlanta
HPhiladelphia0 - 1San Jose
HPhiladelphia1 - 2NY City
APhiladelphia0 - 1DC United
HPhiladelphia0 - 1NY City
APhiladelphia3 - 0Chicago
HPhiladelphia2 - 2Chicago
APhiladelphia0 - 2Charlotte
HPhiladelphia1 - 0NY City
APhiladelphia6 - 0DC United
HPhiladelphia1 - 0New England
APhiladelphia0 - 7Vancouver
APhiladelphia1 - 0Cincinnati
HPhiladelphia4 - 0Chicago
APhiladelphia0 - 1NY Red Bulls
HPhiladelphia1 - 1Toronto
Nashville 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlanta0 - 2Nashville
Charlotte1 - 2Nashville
Chicago1 - 0Nashville
Columbus0 - 1Nashville
Dallas0 - 0Nashville
Miami4 - 0Nashville
Miami3 - 1Nashville
Montreal1 - 1Nashville
Orlando3 - 2Nashville
Cincinnati2 - 1Nashville
NY City2 - 1Nashville
Saint Louis City3 - 1Nashville
San Diego1 - 0Nashville
Miami2 - 1Nashville
DC United0 - 1Nashville
New England2 - 3Nashville
Chicago0 - 2Nashville
Columbus2 - 2Nashville
Toronto1 - 2Nashville
Atlanta1 - 1Nashville
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANashville2 - 0Atlanta
ANashville2 - 1Charlotte
ANashville0 - 1Chicago
HNashville5 - 0Orlando
ANashville1 - 0Columbus
HNashville3 - 1Minnesota
ANashville0 - 0Dallas
HNashville4 - 1New England
ANashville0 - 4Miami
HNashville2 - 1Miami
ANashville1 - 3Miami
HNashville2 - 5Miami
ANashville1 - 1Montreal
HNashville3 - 1Houston
ANashville2 - 3Orlando
ANashville1 - 2Cincinnati
HNashville0 - 1Atlanta
HNashville5 - 1Orlando
ANashville1 - 2NY City
ANashville1 - 3Saint Louis City
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Philadelphia since 2021
Philadelphia
Nashville
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
PHI
2
D
2
NSH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Philadelphia
1 - 3Nashville
Philadelphia3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Philadelphia1 - 0
League games at Nashville since 2021
Nashville
Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
PHI
2
D
1
NSH
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nashville
Nashville1 - 0
1 - 2Philadelphia
0 - 2Philadelphia
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nashville1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Philadelphia 13th Nashville 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Philadelphia scoring 1 goal or less
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
4+
There is a 66% probability that Nashville will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Philadelphia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
Nashville have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Philadelphia
PG (predicted goals)
Nashville
0.8
1.2
Attack rating
PHI
NSH
47%
better
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score3
2
Scored first1
6
Goals scored6
17
Avg. goals scored0.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal14
5
Conversion rate for7
20
Avg. XG for1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
PHI
NSH
56%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
4
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first6
1
Goals conceded12
4
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
13
Conversion rate against20%
8%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+56%

Philadelphia v Nashville Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Nashville Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
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