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Toronto FC v Atlanta United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

BMO Field, Toronto

Atlanta United, led by manager Ronny Deila, visit Henk Fraser and his Toronto FC side at the BMO Field on Sunday morning in the Major League Soccer. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

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Toronto FC's next match is v San Diego at 03:30 on Thursday 17th July
Atlanta United's next match is v Chicago at 00:30 on Thursday 17th July
The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Toronto and Atlanta was on Sunday 13th July 2025
American Major League Soccer
July 13th 2025
Toronto 1
1 Atlanta
 
D. Flores 48'90' E. Latte Lath
 
TOR
ATL
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
3
3
Possession
37%
63%
Fouls
14
9
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
TorontoAtlanta
 
S. Johnson
R. Laryea
R. Petretta
S. Rosted (C. Sharp 90')
M. Dominguez
M. Longstaff
K. Thompson
D. Floresfootball icon (A. Coello Camarero 53')
O. Brynhildsen (D. Kerr 35')
D. Etienne Jr. (T. Spicer 64')
T. Corbeanu (L. Stefanovic 90')
J. Hibbert
L. Abram Ugarelli
E. Morales Badillo
P. Santos Amador
B. Lennon
(L. Brennan 65') S. Lobzhanidze
(J. Thiaré 76') T. Muyumba Nkita
A. Miranchuk
B. Slisz
football iconE. Latte Lath
M. Almirón Rejala

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during the standard 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toronto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toronto
48%
6/4
7%
7/5
2%
Draw
26%
5/2
3%
9/4
2%
Atlanta
26%
17/10
13%
8/5
6%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
Toronto 1-0
12%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Toronto 2-1
9%
9/18/1
Toronto 2-0
9%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Atlanta 1-0
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
12/19/1
9%
Atlanta 2-1
6%
9/1
5%
17/2
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1
8%
10/1
Toronto 3-1
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Toronto 3-0
5%
25/1
10%
20/1
Atlanta 2-0
4%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Toronto 3-2
2%
22/1
12%
20/1
Atlanta 3-1
2%
20/1
11%
16/1
Toronto 4-1
2%
40/128/1
15%
Toronto 4-0
2%
50/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
8/118/11
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
43/401/1
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/5
14%
19/20
Away 1st Goal
43%
21/20
14%
1/1
3%
No 1st Goal
5%
12/19/1
9%
BTTS - Yes
50%
8/138/13
1%
BTTS - No
50%
6/56/5
BTTS - Home Win
20%
7/2
5%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/4
10%
18/5
5%
Home/draw
74%
4/9
6%
4/9
4%
Away/draw
52%
1/2
4%
1/2
1%
Home/away
74%
2/73/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/91/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3/111/4
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
7/47/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/52/5
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/24/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/72/13
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/19/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/201/20
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/19/1
9%
Home DNB
66%
4/5
10%
4/5
3%
Away DNB
44%
10/11
10%
10/11
3%
Toronto win to nil
28%
4/1
9%
-
Atlanta win to nil
14%
9/2
22%
-
Toronto / Toronto
21%
3/1
8%
29/10
3%
Toronto / Atlanta
3%
25/1
13%
22/1
Toronto / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Toronto
14%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw / Atlanta
13%
11/2
8%
11/2
8%
Draw / Draw
15%
5/14/1
5%
Atlanta / Toronto
4%
22/1
12%
22/1
Atlanta / Atlanta
19%
10/3
15%
16/5
5%
Atlanta / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Toronto 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto3 - 0Portland
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto0 - 2Charlotte
Toronto1 - 2Philadelphia
Toronto1 - 2Nashville
Toronto0 - 1Cincinnati
Toronto2 - 0DC United
Toronto0 - 2New England
Toronto0 - 1NY City
Toronto0 - 0Minnesota
Toronto0 - 0Vancouver
Toronto1 - 2Chicago
Toronto0 - 1Miami
Toronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Toronto0 - 2Columbus
Toronto2 - 1Austin
Toronto1 - 3DC United
Toronto2 - 1Philadelphia
Toronto1 - 2Orlando
Toronto1 - 2Nashville
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToronto1 - 3NY City
HToronto3 - 0Portland
HToronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
HToronto0 - 2Charlotte
HToronto1 - 2Philadelphia
HToronto1 - 2Nashville
AToronto6 - 1Montreal
HToronto0 - 1Cincinnati
HToronto2 - 0DC United
HToronto0 - 2New England
HToronto0 - 1NY City
AToronto1 - 0Salt Lake
HToronto0 - 0Minnesota
AToronto1 - 1Miami
HToronto0 - 0Vancouver
AToronto1 - 2NY Red Bulls
HToronto1 - 2Chicago
AToronto0 - 2Cincinnati
AToronto2 - 4Orlando
AToronto2 - 2DC United
Atlanta 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
DC United0 - 0Atlanta
Columbus3 - 1Atlanta
NY City4 - 0Atlanta
NY Red Bulls2 - 0Atlanta
Austin1 - 1Atlanta
Chicago2 - 1Atlanta
Orlando3 - 0Atlanta
Philadelphia3 - 0Atlanta
Cincinnati2 - 2Atlanta
Charlotte2 - 0Atlanta
Orlando1 - 0Atlanta
Miami2 - 3Atlanta
Miami2 - 1Atlanta
Montreal2 - 2Atlanta
Orlando1 - 2Atlanta
Philadelphia1 - 1Atlanta
NY Red Bulls2 - 2Atlanta
Charlotte0 - 1Atlanta
LA Galaxy2 - 0Atlanta
Montreal1 - 0Atlanta
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtlanta0 - 0DC United
AAtlanta1 - 3Columbus
AAtlanta0 - 4NY City
AAtlanta0 - 2NY Red Bulls
HAtlanta3 - 2Orlando
HAtlanta4 - 2Cincinnati
HAtlanta0 - 1Philadelphia
AAtlanta1 - 1Austin
AAtlanta1 - 2Chicago
HAtlanta1 - 1Nashville
AAtlanta0 - 3Orlando
AAtlanta0 - 3Philadelphia
HAtlanta0 - 1New England
HAtlanta1 - 1Dallas
HAtlanta4 - 3NY City
AAtlanta2 - 2Cincinnati
HAtlanta1 - 2Miami
HAtlanta0 - 0NY Red Bulls
AAtlanta0 - 2Charlotte
HAtlanta3 - 2Montreal
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toronto since 2018
Toronto
Atlanta
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
TOR
5
D
1
ATL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
Toronto2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toronto2 - 1
0 - 2Atlanta
Toronto1 - 0
Toronto3 - 2
Toronto4 - 1
League games at Atlanta since 2018
Atlanta
Toronto
Goals: Scored
14
9
Games: Scored
8 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
0 / 8
TOR
1
D
3
ATL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlanta
Atlanta2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atlanta4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atlanta1 - 0
1 - 2Toronto
Atlanta2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics
Toronto 14th Atlanta 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Toronto will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Atlanta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-41
Toronto have scored 41% fewer goals at home than predicted
-29
Atlanta have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291054/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toronto
PG (predicted goals)
Atlanta
1.5
1
Attack rating
10%
better
TOR
ATL
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score7
9
Scored first7
6
Goals scored23
22
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
21%
better
TOR
ATL
view stats
Games conceded15
18
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded28
37
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+21%

Toronto v Atlanta Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21426
S JohnsonT CorbeanuD FloresK Thompson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Johnson GLK21
1
-
K Thompson DEF18
6
-
S Rosted DEF1911
2
-
R Petretta DEF16
4
-
R Laryea MID5
1
-
M Dominguez MID131
2
-
D Flores MID1722
5
-
M Longstaff  MID141
3
-
D Junior MID152
1
-
T Corbeanu FWD1941
-
O Brynhildsen FWD1622
-
Subs
A. De Rosario GLK
-
L Gavran GLK
-
K Franklin DEF4
-
L Stefanovic DEF9
-
Alonso MID191
1
-
M Cimermancic MID4
-
T. Spicer FWD182
1
-
D Kerr FWD92
-
C. Sharp FWD61
1
-
Atlanta Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20657
A MiranchukE LathS LobzhanidzeE Lath
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Hibbert GLK1
-
B Lennon DEF1512
1
-
E. Morales DEF3
2
-
L Abram DEF19
1
-
P Amador DEF15
1
-
A Miranchuk MID2123
1
-
T Muyumba MID12
1
-
B Slisz MID182
6
-
S Lobzhanidze FWD215
-
E Lath FWD2061
7
-
M Almirón FWD1931
1
-
Subs
B Guzan  GLK20
1
-
R Pimentel DEF10
-
N Cobb DEF13
-
M Edwards DEF181
3
-
M Klich MID161
4
-
L Brennan MID4
1
-
W Reilly MID6
3
-
J Thiaré FWD173
1
-
C Togashi FWD2
-
American Major League Soccer match betting previews, predictions and odds
Charlotte v DC United
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Philadelphia v Montreal
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
NY Red Bulls v New England
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Cincinnati v Miami
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Orlando v NY City
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Atlanta v Chicago
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Nashville v Columbus
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Minnesota v LAFC
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Houston v Vancouver
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Seattle v Colorado
Thu 17th Jul, 03:00
San Diego v Toronto
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
Portland v Salt Lake
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
San Jose v Dallas
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
LA Galaxy v Austin
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
NY Red Bulls v Miami
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Atlanta v Charlotte
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Columbus v DC United
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
New England v Orlando
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Montreal v Chicago
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Seattle v San Jose
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Houston v Philadelphia
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Dallas v Saint Louis City
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Sporting KC v NY City
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Nashville v Toronto
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Salt Lake v Cincinnati
Sun 20th Jul, 02:30
Portland v Minnesota
Sun 20th Jul, 03:30
LAFC v LA Galaxy
Sun 20th Jul, 03:30
San Diego v Vancouver
Sun 20th Jul, 03:30
New England v Montreal
Sat 26th Jul, 00:30
Columbus v Orlando
Sat 26th Jul, 00:30
Houston v LA Galaxy
Sat 26th Jul, 01:30
Dallas v NY City
Sat 26th Jul, 01:30
San Diego v Nashville
Sat 26th Jul, 03:30
LAFC v Portland
Sat 26th Jul, 03:30
Miami v Cincinnati
Sun 27th Jul, 00:00
Charlotte v Toronto
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
Philadelphia v Colorado
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
DC United v Austin
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
Atlanta v Seattle
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
Saint Louis City v Minnesota
Sun 27th Jul, 01:30
Chicago v NY Red Bulls
Sun 27th Jul, 01:30
Salt Lake v San Jose
Sun 27th Jul, 02:30
Vancouver v Sporting KC
Sun 27th Jul, 03:30