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Toronto FC v Atlanta United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Apr, 18:00 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

The Major League Soccer is the focus for both Toronto FC and Atlanta United on Saturday evening, as bosses Robin Fraser and Gerardo Daniel Martino battle it out at the BMO Field. All of the key statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% probability of Toronto and Atlanta serving up a minimum of two goals in this Major League Soccer match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it seems the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toronto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.86.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toronto 50%	1.86	1.85
Draw 24%	3.50	3.40
Atlanta 26%	3.90	3.60
Draw 1-1 11%	6.50	6.50
Toronto 2-1 10%	8.50	8.00
Toronto 1-0 9%	8.00	7.50
Toronto 2-0 8%	9.50	9.00
Atlanta 2-1 7%	13.00	12.00
Atlanta 1-0 6%	13.00	11.00
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	12.00
Toronto 3-1 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw 0-0 5%	12.00	10.00
Toronto 3-0 5%	17.00	15.00
Atlanta 2-0 4%	21.00	17.00
Toronto 3-2 3%	23.00	21.00
Atlanta 3-1 3%	29.00	26.00
Toronto 4-1 2%	29.00	23.00
Atlanta 3-2 2%	34.00	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	1.80	1.75
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	2.00	1.95
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.67	1.65
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.38	2.50
No 1st Goal 3%	12.00	10.00
BTTS - Yes 57%	1.70	1.70
BTTS - No 43%	2.05	2.05
BTTS - Home Win 25%	3.75	3.60
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50	4.40
BTTS - Away Win 14%	7.00	6.50
Home/draw 74%	1.25	1.25
Away/draw 50%	1.91	1.85
Home/away 76%	1.29	1.29
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1.25	1.25
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	3.75	3.70
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	3.00	2.88
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	1.36	1.36
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	6.00	5.25
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1.13	1.14
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	13.00	11.00
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1.04	1.04
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.04	1.04
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12.00	10.00
Home DNB 67%	1.40	1.40
Away DNB 43%	2.75	2.75
Toronto win to nil 25%	3.50	-
Atlanta win to nil 12%	7.00	-
Toronto / Toronto 28%	3.00	2.88
Toronto / Atlanta 3%	29.00	29.00
Toronto / Draw 6%	13.00	13.00
Draw / Toronto 16%	5.00	5.00
Draw / Atlanta 10%	8.50	8.50
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	5.25
Atlanta / Toronto 4%	21.00	21.00
Atlanta / Atlanta 13%	6.50	6.00
Atlanta / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win form

Atlanta have lost 6 consecutive away league games

Atlanta have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Atlanta have failed to score in 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
Toronto	3 - 2	Colorado
Toronto	2 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	4 - 2	Orlando
Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	Montreal
Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	Atlanta
Toronto	3 - 0	Portland
Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	0 - 2	Charlotte
Toronto	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Toronto	1 - 2	Nashville
Toronto	0 - 1	Cincinnati
Toronto	2 - 0	DC United
Toronto	0 - 2	New England
Toronto	0 - 1	NY City
Toronto	0 - 0	Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
H	Toronto	3 - 2	Colorado
H	Toronto	2 - 1	Columbus
H	Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Toronto	1 - 0	Cincinnati
A	Toronto	0 - 3	Vancouver
A	Toronto	2 - 3	Dallas
H	Toronto	4 - 2	Orlando
A	Toronto	0 - 2	LAFC
A	Toronto	2 - 2	Chicago
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
A	Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Toronto	1 - 1	New England
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Montreal
A	Toronto	0 - 0	Atlanta
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Toronto	1 - 1	Philadelphia
A	Toronto	0 - 2	Charlotte
A	Toronto	0 - 1	Nashville

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chicago	1 - 0	Atlanta
San Jose	2 - 0	Atlanta
Cincinnati	2 - 0	Atlanta
Miami	4 - 0	Atlanta
LAFC	1 - 0	Atlanta
New England	2 - 0	Atlanta
Nashville	0 - 1	Atlanta
Colorado	3 - 1	Atlanta
Montreal	1 - 1	Atlanta
Toronto	1 - 1	Atlanta
DC United	0 - 0	Atlanta
Columbus	3 - 1	Atlanta
NY City	4 - 0	Atlanta
NY Red Bulls	2 - 0	Atlanta
Austin	1 - 1	Atlanta
Chicago	2 - 1	Atlanta
Orlando	3 - 0	Atlanta
Philadelphia	3 - 0	Atlanta
Cincinnati	2 - 2	Atlanta
Charlotte	2 - 0	Atlanta

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Atlanta	0 - 2	Nashville
A	Atlanta	0 - 1	Chicago
H	Atlanta	1 - 3	Columbus
H	Atlanta	0 - 0	DC United
H	Atlanta	3 - 1	Philadelphia
H	Atlanta	2 - 3	Salt Lake
A	Atlanta	0 - 2	San Jose
A	Atlanta	0 - 2	Cincinnati
H	Atlanta	1 - 1	DC United
A	Atlanta	0 - 4	Miami
A	Atlanta	0 - 1	LAFC
A	Atlanta	0 - 2	New England
H	Atlanta	1 - 1	San Diego
H	Atlanta	4 - 5	Columbus
A	Atlanta	1 - 0	Nashville
H	Atlanta	0 - 0	Toronto
A	Atlanta	1 - 3	Colorado
A	Atlanta	1 - 1	Montreal
H	Atlanta	2 - 2	Seattle
H	Atlanta	2 - 3	Charlotte

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toronto

Atlanta

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

1 / 8

TOR

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toronto	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Toronto	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Atlanta
Toronto	1 - 0
Toronto	3 - 2
Toronto	4 - 1

Atlanta

Toronto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

1 / 9

TOR

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlanta
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Atlanta	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Atlanta	4 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Atlanta	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Toronto
Atlanta	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Toronto FC have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Major League Soccer matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Atlanta United on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Toronto 6th	Atlanta 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Toronto will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Atlanta will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Toronto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-60 Atlanta have scored 60% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.5 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

51%

better

TOR

ATL

view stats

Games scored	7		3
Failed to score	1		5
Scored first	3		1
Goals scored	13		6
Avg. goals scored	1.6		0.8
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		10
Conversion rate for	16		10
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+51%

TOR

ATL

better

view stats

Games conceded	7		7
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	5		6
Goals conceded	14		14
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		6
Conversion rate against	23%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.7
KickOff rating		+3%