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Dallas v Minnesota United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Apr, 01:30 BST, Toyota Stadium, Frisco

Eric Ramsay pays counterpart Eric Quill a visit on Thursday morning in the Major League Soccer, as their Minnesota United and Dallas sides go head to head at the Toyota Stadium. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Major League Soccer clash will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dallas are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dallas
53%
1.961.95
Draw
20%
3.703.50
Minnesota
27%
3.503.10
Dallas 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Draw 1-1
8%
7.007.00
Draw 2-2
7%
12.0011.00
Dallas 3-1
7%
15.0013.00
Minnesota 2-1
6%
12.0011.00
Dallas 2-0
6%
11.0011.00
Dallas 1-0
5%
10.009.50
Dallas 3-2
5%
21.0017.00
Dallas 3-0
4%
19.0017.00
Minnesota 1-0
4%
15.0012.00
Dallas 4-1
4%
29.0023.00
Minnesota 3-2
3%
29.0023.00
Minnesota 3-1
3%
26.0019.00
Minnesota 2-0
3%
21.0017.00
Dallas 4-2
3%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
1.601.57
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
2.302.25
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.671.70
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.202.25
No 1st Goal
1%
15.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
69%
1.531.53
BTTS - No
31%
2.382.38
BTTS - Home Win
34%
3.503.40
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.334.20
BTTS - Away Win
18%
6.005.25
Home/draw
73%
1.291.33
Away/draw
47%
1.801.75
Home/away
80%
1.291.25
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1.171.18
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
5.004.50
Over 3.5 Goals
51%
2.502.40
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
1.501.50
Over 4.5 Goals
32%
4.334.20
Under 4.5 Goals
68%
1.201.20
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
9.008.00
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1.071.07
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
15.0013.00
Home DNB
67%
1.441.50
Away DNB
41%
2.632.40
Dallas win to nil
19%
4.00-
Minnesota win to nil
9%
7.00-
Dallas / Dallas
26%
3.203.10
Dallas / Minnesota
3%
26.0023.00
Dallas / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Dallas
15%
5.505.50
Draw / Minnesota
10%
8.008.00
Draw / Draw
14%
6.006.00
Minnesota / Dallas
4%
21.0019.00
Minnesota / Minnesota
15%
5.505.00
Minnesota / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win form
3
Minnesota have won 3 consecutive league games
12
Dallas have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games
Dallas 7TH
20 league games
Home
12
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dallas2 - 2LA Galaxy
Dallas1 - 1Saint Louis City
Dallas4 - 3Houston
Dallas3 - 3San Diego
Dallas0 - 0Nashville
Dallas3 - 2Toronto
Dallas1 - 1Vancouver
Dallas2 - 1LA Galaxy
Dallas3 - 1Colorado
Dallas2 - 0Austin
Dallas1 - 1LAFC
Dallas2 - 0Portland
Dallas3 - 4NY City
Dallas3 - 0Saint Louis City
Dallas1 - 2Minnesota
Dallas2 - 3San Diego
Dallas2 - 4San Jose
Dallas0 - 0Philadelphia
Dallas0 - 2Houston
Dallas1 - 1Salt Lake
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDallas2 - 2LA Galaxy
HDallas1 - 1Saint Louis City
ADallas4 - 0DC United
HDallas4 - 3Houston
HDallas3 - 3San Diego
ADallas0 - 1LAFC
HDallas0 - 0Nashville
HDallas3 - 2Toronto
HDallas1 - 1Vancouver
ADallas0 - 3Vancouver
ADallas2 - 1Vancouver
ADallas1 - 2LA Galaxy
HDallas2 - 1LA Galaxy
ADallas2 - 2Portland
HDallas3 - 1Colorado
HDallas2 - 0Austin
ADallas1 - 1Saint Louis City
HDallas1 - 1LAFC
ADallas1 - 1Austin
HDallas2 - 0Portland
Minnesota 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Diego1 - 2Minnesota
LA Galaxy1 - 2Minnesota
Vancouver6 - 0Minnesota
Nashville3 - 1Minnesota
Austin2 - 2Minnesota
San Diego1 - 0Minnesota
Seattle4 - 2Minnesota
LA Galaxy2 - 1Minnesota
Colorado1 - 1Minnesota
San Diego1 - 3Minnesota
Salt Lake1 - 3Minnesota
Saint Louis City1 - 2Minnesota
Portland1 - 1Minnesota
Dallas1 - 2Minnesota
NY Red Bulls2 - 2Minnesota
Seattle2 - 3Minnesota
Vancouver0 - 0Minnesota
Houston2 - 0Minnesota
Austin0 - 3Minnesota
Toronto0 - 0Minnesota
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMinnesota2 - 0Portland
AMinnesota2 - 1San Diego
AMinnesota2 - 1LA Galaxy
HMinnesota0 - 0Seattle
AMinnesota0 - 6Vancouver
AMinnesota1 - 3Nashville
HMinnesota1 - 0Cincinnati
AMinnesota2 - 2Austin
AMinnesota0 - 1San Diego
HMinnesota3 - 3Seattle
AMinnesota2 - 4Seattle
HMinnesota0 - 0Seattle
AMinnesota1 - 2LA Galaxy
HMinnesota3 - 0Sporting KC
AMinnesota1 - 1Colorado
HMinnesota0 - 3Chicago
AMinnesota3 - 1San Diego
HMinnesota1 - 1Portland
AMinnesota3 - 1Salt Lake
HMinnesota1 - 0Seattle
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Dallas since 2018
Dallas
Minnesota
Goals: Scored
19
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
DAL
4
D
3
MIN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dallas
1 - 2Minnesota
Dallas5 - 3
0 - 1Minnesota
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Minnesota
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Dallas3 - 1
Dallas5 - 3
Dallas2 - 0
League games at Minnesota since 2018
Minnesota
Dallas
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
5 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
4 / 9
DAL
2
D
3
MIN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Minnesota
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Dallas
Minnesota1 - 0
Minnesota3 - 0
Minnesota3 - 2
Minnesota1 - 0
0 - 1Dallas
Goal Statistics
Dallas 7th Minnesota 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Dallas will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Minnesota will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Dallas have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+15
Minnesota have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Dallas
PG (predicted goals)
Minnesota
2.2
1.5
Attack rating
25%
better
DAL
MIN
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score2
2
Scored first5
3
Goals scored17
10
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal4
8
Conversion rate for23
13
Avg. XG for1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
DAL
MIN
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first2
4
Goals conceded12
13
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
6
Conversion rate against23%
16%
Avg. XG against1
2
KickOff rating
+4%

Dallas v Minnesota Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Dallas Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Minnesota Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
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