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Cincinnati v New York RB : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

TQL Stadium, Ohio

Sunday morning sees Pat Noonan’s Cincinnati and Sandro Schwarz’s New York RB go head to head in a Major League Soccer clash at the TQL Stadium. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Cincinnati's next match is v Miami at 00:30 on Thursday 14th May
New York RB's next match is v Columbus at 00:30 on Thursday 14th May
The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Cincinnati and NY Red Bulls was on Sunday 26th April 2026
American Major League Soccer
April 26th 2026
Cincinnati 2
0 NY Red Bulls
 
A. Denkey 40'
A. Denkey 45'
 
CIN
NYR
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
7
10
Corners
4
7
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
9
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
CincinnatiNY Red Bulls
 
R. Celentano
E. da Silva Ferreira
S. Gidi
A. Denkeyfootball iconfootball icon (A. Jabbari 79')
K. Mboma Dem (T. Barlow 61')
P. Bucha (E. Echenique Peña 61')
K. Smith (G. Flores Melgarejo 89')
A. Chirila
G. Valenzuela
B. Anunga
B. Ramírez León (A. Denkey 79')
J. Marshall-Rutty
D. Nealis
(E. Forsberg 62') G. Berggren
A. Mehmeti
(R. Mosquera 73') C. Cowell
J. Choupo-Moting
E. Horvath
T. Parker
(M. Dos Santos 46') J. Masanka Bungi
(N. Benedetti 85') R. Donkor
(J. Ruvalcaba 62') M. Sofo

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Sunday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Cincinnati and NY Red Bulls to score 3 goals or more between them during the standard 90 minutes. 2 goals or fewer would mean the time doesn't win but, with stats below suggesting there are goals in both sides, we think it could well be a winner.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cincinnati are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cincinnati
58%
8/1313/20
Draw
19%
7/216/5
NY Red Bulls
24%
10/311/4
Cincinnati 2-1
8%
17/215/2
Cincinnati 3-1
7%
10/110/1
Draw 1-1
7%
9/18/1
Draw 2-2
7%
11/19/1
Cincinnati 3-2
5%
14/112/1
Cincinnati 2-0
5%
12/111/1
NY Red Bulls 2-1
5%
14/112/1
Cincinnati 3-0
4%
16/114/1
Cincinnati 1-0
4%
14/112/1
Cincinnati 4-1
4%
18/114/1
NY Red Bulls 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Cincinnati 4-2
3%
22/118/1
Draw 3-3
3%
25/122/1
NY Red Bulls 3-1
3%
28/120/1
NY Red Bulls 1-0
3%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
3/103/10
Under 2.5 Goals
23%
5/223/10
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/1511/20
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/87/5
No 1st Goal
1%
28/122/1
BTTS - Yes
73%
4/117/20
BTTS - No
27%
2/12/1
BTTS - Home Win
38%
6/46/4
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5/117/4
Home/draw
76%
1/51/4
Away/draw
42%
6/511/10
Home/away
81%
2/111/5
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
1/121/12
Under 1.5 Goals
9%
7/113/2
Over 3.5 Goals
58%
8/113/4
Under 3.5 Goals
42%
1/119/20
Over 4.5 Goals
38%
13/813/8
Under 4.5 Goals
62%
4/94/9
Over 5.5 Goals
22%
7/217/5
Under 5.5 Goals
78%
2/112/11
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/801/200
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
28/122/1
Home DNB
71%
3/101/3
Away DNB
37%
12/52/1
Cincinnati win to nil
19%
3/1-
NY Red Bulls win to nil
7%
12/1-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati
31%
6/47/5
Cincinnati / NY Red Bulls
4%
25/122/1
Cincinnati / Draw
7%
12/112/1
Draw / Cincinnati
15%
4/19/2
Draw / NY Red Bulls
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Draw
10%
15/27/1
NY Red Bulls / Cincinnati
5%
16/114/1
NY Red Bulls / NY Red Bulls
14%
6/15/1
NY Red Bulls / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Cincinnati 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cincinnati3 - 3Chicago
Cincinnati4 - 3Montreal
Cincinnati0 - 1Toronto
Cincinnati2 - 0Atlanta
Cincinnati0 - 4Miami
Cincinnati2 - 1Columbus
Cincinnati1 - 0Columbus
Cincinnati3 - 0Montreal
Cincinnati1 - 1Orlando
Cincinnati2 - 1Nashville
Cincinnati0 - 1Philadelphia
Cincinnati0 - 1NY City
Cincinnati0 - 1Charlotte
Cincinnati3 - 0Miami
Cincinnati2 - 4Columbus
Cincinnati2 - 1Chicago
Cincinnati1 - 2DC United
Cincinnati3 - 3Dallas
Cincinnati2 - 1Austin
Cincinnati2 - 1Sporting KC
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACincinnati4 - 4NY City
HCincinnati3 - 3Chicago
ACincinnati1 - 1Toronto
ACincinnati2 - 4NY Red Bulls
HCincinnati4 - 3Montreal
ACincinnati1 - 6New England
HCincinnati0 - 1Toronto
ACincinnati0 - 1Minnesota
HCincinnati2 - 0Atlanta
HCincinnati0 - 4Miami
HCincinnati2 - 1Columbus
ACincinnati0 - 4Columbus
HCincinnati1 - 0Columbus
HCincinnati3 - 0Montreal
ACincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
HCincinnati1 - 1Orlando
ACincinnati3 - 2LA Galaxy
HCincinnati2 - 1Nashville
HCincinnati0 - 1Philadelphia
HCincinnati0 - 1NY City
NY Red Bulls 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montreal4 - 1NY Red Bulls
Miami2 - 2NY Red Bulls
Charlotte6 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Orlando1 - 2NY Red Bulls
Columbus3 - 1NY Red Bulls
Montreal0 - 2NY Red Bulls
Portland2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Charlotte1 - 0NY Red Bulls
Chicago1 - 0NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia2 - 0NY Red Bulls
San Jose1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Austin2 - 1NY Red Bulls
DC United0 - 2NY Red Bulls
NY City2 - 0NY Red Bulls
Nashville2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Miami4 - 1NY Red Bulls
Orlando0 - 0NY Red Bulls
New England2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNY Red Bulls4 - 4DC United
ANY Red Bulls1 - 4Montreal
ANY Red Bulls2 - 2Miami
HNY Red Bulls4 - 2Cincinnati
ANY Red Bulls1 - 6Charlotte
ANY Red Bulls1 - 1Toronto
HNY Red Bulls0 - 3Montreal
HNY Red Bulls1 - 0New England
ANY Red Bulls2 - 1Orlando
ANY Red Bulls1 - 3Columbus
HNY Red Bulls0 - 1Cincinnati
HNY Red Bulls2 - 3NY City
ANY Red Bulls2 - 0Montreal
ANY Red Bulls1 - 2Portland
HNY Red Bulls0 - 0Columbus
ANY Red Bulls0 - 1Charlotte
HNY Red Bulls1 - 0Philadelphia
HNY Red Bulls2 - 1Salt Lake
ANY Red Bulls0 - 1Chicago
HNY Red Bulls1 - 5Miami
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Cincinnati since 2019
Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
6 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
2 / 8
CIN
3
D
1
NYR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
Cincinnati1 - 0
1 - 2NY Red Bulls
Cincinnati3 - 0
1 - 2NY Red Bulls
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1NY Red Bulls
Cincinnati2 - 0
0 - 2NY Red Bulls
League games at NY Red Bulls since 2019
NY Red Bulls
Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
15
13
Games: Scored
8 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
3 / 11
CIN
4
D
3
NYR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls4 - 2
0 - 1Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Cincinnati
1 - 2Cincinnati
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls3 - 2
NY Red Bulls1 - 0
Goal Statistics

New York RB have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive Major League Soccer games. This run could continue, with Cincinnati's PG an impressive 2.5.

New York RB have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Major League Soccer outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Cincinnati on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Cincinnati 6th NY Red Bulls 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 71% probability that Cincinnati will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that NY Red Bulls will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Cincinnati’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
NY Red Bulls have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Cincinnati
PG (predicted goals)
NY Red Bulls
2.5
1.6
Attack rating
CIN
NYR
19%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score2
1
Scored first2
5
Goals scored17
16
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
18
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
CIN
NYR
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
8
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first7
4
Goals conceded23
23
Avg. goals conceded2.6
2.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
4
Conversion rate against24%
24%
Avg. XG against1.6
2
KickOff rating
+6%

Cincinnati v NY Red Bulls Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10636
P BuchaK DenkeyE PeñaB Ramírez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Celentano GLK9
-
K Smith DEF81
1
1
A. Chirila DEF41
1
-
S. Gidi DEF10
1
-
P Bucha MID1012
1
-
G Valenzuela MID911
1
T Anunga MID6
1
-
B Ramírez MID101
6
-
Evander FWD1051
-
K. Mboma Dem FWD811
-
K Denkey FWD1061
3
1
Subs
E Louro GLK2
-
F. Mrozek GLK
-
G Melgarejo DEF7
1
-
S. Chirila MID
-
S Jimenez MID1
-
T Barlow FWD112
1
-
E Peña FWD1013
1
-
A Jabbari FWD1111
1
-
NY Red Bulls Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12644
E HorvathJ. HallR DonkorR Donkor
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Horvath GLK12
-
J Marshall-Rutty DEF11
-
D Nealis DEF9
1
-
T Parker DEF5
-
J. Masanka Bungi DEF2
1
-
R Donkor MID1114
4
-
A. Mehmeti MID1212
4
-
G Berggren MID7
1
C Cowell FWD1011
1
-
E Choupo-Moting FWD102
-
M. Sofo FWD81
-
Subs
J McCarthy GLK
-
J Mina DEF5
-
M. Dos Santos DEF12
1
-
R Voloder DEF8
2
-
E Forsberg MID1213
-
N Benedetti MID4
-
J Ruvalcaba FWD124
2
-
J. Hall FWD1262
-
R. Mosquera FWD7
1
-
American Major League Soccer match betting previews, predictions and odds
Minnesota v Austin
Mon 11th May, 00:00
LAFC v Houston
Mon 11th May, 02:00
Charlotte v NY City
Thu 14th May, 00:15
Cincinnati v Miami
Thu 14th May, 00:30
NY Red Bulls v Columbus
Thu 14th May, 00:30
Orlando v Philadelphia
Thu 14th May, 00:30
DC United v Chicago
Thu 14th May, 00:30
Montreal v Portland
Thu 14th May, 00:30
New England v Nashville
Thu 14th May, 00:30
Saint Louis City v LAFC
Thu 14th May, 01:30
Dallas v Vancouver
Thu 14th May, 01:30
Sporting KC v LA Galaxy
Thu 14th May, 01:30
Minnesota v Colorado
Thu 14th May, 01:30
Salt Lake v Houston
Thu 14th May, 02:30
Seattle v San Jose
Thu 14th May, 02:30
San Diego v Austin
Thu 14th May, 02:30
Montreal v Chicago
Sat 16th May, 21:30
New England v Minnesota
Sun 17th May, 00:30
Philadelphia v Columbus
Sun 17th May, 00:30
Charlotte v Toronto
Sun 17th May, 00:30
NY Red Bulls v NY City
Sun 17th May, 00:30
Orlando v Atlanta
Sun 17th May, 00:30
DC United v Saint Louis City
Sun 17th May, 00:30
Houston v Vancouver
Sun 17th May, 01:30
Austin v Sporting KC
Sun 17th May, 01:30
Seattle v LA Galaxy
Sun 17th May, 02:15
San Diego v Cincinnati
Sun 17th May, 02:30
Salt Lake v Colorado
Sun 17th May, 02:30
San Jose v Dallas
Sun 17th May, 03:30
Miami v Portland
Sun 17th May, 23:00
Nashville v LAFC
Mon 18th May, 01:00
Saint Louis City v Austin
Sat 23rd May, 19:30
Minnesota v Salt Lake
Sat 23rd May, 21:30
Cincinnati v Orlando
Sun 24th May, 00:30
Charlotte v New England
Sun 24th May, 00:30
DC United v Montreal
Sun 24th May, 00:30
Nashville v NY City
Sun 24th May, 01:30
Sporting KC v NY Red Bulls
Sun 24th May, 01:30
Chicago v Toronto
Sun 24th May, 01:30
San Diego v Vancouver
Sun 24th May, 02:30
Portland v San Jose
Sun 24th May, 02:30
Colorado v Dallas
Sun 24th May, 02:30
LA Galaxy v Houston
Sun 24th May, 03:30
Columbus v Atlanta
Sun 24th May, 22:00