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Toronto FC v Philadelphia Union : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Apr, 00:30 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union clash at the BMO Field on Thursday morning, with both Robin Fraser and Bradley Carnell aiming for victory in the Major League Soccer. Major League Soccer statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and the best odds available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Philadelphia and Toronto fans may have some reason for celebration ahead as their teams go head-to-head, with a match prediction of both teams to score looking a much better pick than any bet on the WDW market. The two clubs have goals in them, as is borne out by the stats and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookies odds are not finding real separation between the sides, with equal threat among their respective squads. Both teams to score is our top tip.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toronto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toronto 46%	2.75	2.70 2%
Draw 24%	3.40	3.20 3%
Philadelphia 30%	2.45	2.30
Draw 1-1 11%	6.50	6.00 8%
Toronto 2-1 9%	10.00	10.00
Toronto 1-0 8%	9.50	9.00 6%
Philadelphia 2-1 7%	10.00	8.50
Toronto 2-0 7%	13.00	13.00
Philadelphia 1-0 6%	9.00	8.00
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	12.00 8%
Toronto 3-1 5%	21.00	19.00 13%
Draw 0-0 5%	11.00	10.00
Philadelphia 2-0 4%	13.00	11.00
Toronto 3-0 4%	29.00	23.00
Toronto 3-2 4%	29.00	23.00
Philadelphia 3-1 3%	21.00	17.00
Philadelphia 3-2 3%	29.00	21.00
Toronto 4-1 2%	41.00	34.00
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	1.90	1.83
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	1.90	1.85
Home 1st Goal 51%	2.00	2.05
Away 1st Goal 46%	1.91	1.91
No 1st Goal 3%	11.00	10.00
BTTS - Yes 61%	1.70	1.67
BTTS - No 40%	2.05	2.05 2%
BTTS - Home Win 25%	5.00	5.25
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33	4.20 3%
BTTS - Away Win 17%	5.00	4.40
Home/draw 70%	1.50	1.55
Away/draw 54%	1.40	1.40 1%
Home/away 76%	1.30	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1.25	1.29
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	3.75	3.50
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	3.25	3.10
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	1.33	1.33
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	6.50	6.00 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1.11	1.11
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	13.00	12.00
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1.04	1.03
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.05	1.05 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	11.00	10.00
Home DNB 63%	1.91	2.00
Away DNB 47%	1.80	1.70
Toronto win to nil 21%	5.00	-
Philadelphia win to nil 13%	4.50	-
Toronto / Toronto 19%	4.33	4.40
Toronto / Philadelphia 3%	26.00	23.00 13%
Toronto / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Toronto 12%	6.50	7.00
Draw / Philadelphia 13%	6.00	6.00
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	5.00 5%
Philadelphia / Toronto 3%	26.00	26.00
Philadelphia / Philadelphia 20%	4.00	3.70
Philadelphia / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00

Win / draw / win form

Toronto have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
Toronto	3 - 2	Colorado
Toronto	2 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	4 - 2	Orlando
Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	Montreal
Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	Atlanta
Toronto	3 - 0	Portland
Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	0 - 2	Charlotte
Toronto	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Toronto	1 - 2	Nashville
Toronto	0 - 1	Cincinnati
Toronto	2 - 0	DC United
Toronto	0 - 2	New England
Toronto	0 - 1	NY City
Toronto	0 - 0	Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
H	Toronto	3 - 2	Colorado
H	Toronto	2 - 1	Columbus
H	Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Toronto	1 - 0	Cincinnati
A	Toronto	0 - 3	Vancouver
A	Toronto	2 - 3	Dallas
H	Toronto	4 - 2	Orlando
A	Toronto	0 - 2	LAFC
A	Toronto	2 - 2	Chicago
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
A	Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Toronto	1 - 1	New England
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Montreal
A	Toronto	0 - 0	Atlanta
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Toronto	1 - 1	Philadelphia
A	Toronto	0 - 2	Charlotte
A	Toronto	0 - 1	Nashville

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montreal	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Charlotte	2 - 1	Philadelphia
Atlanta	3 - 1	Philadelphia
DC United	1 - 0	Philadelphia
Chicago	0 - 3	Philadelphia
Charlotte	2 - 0	Philadelphia
DC United	0 - 6	Philadelphia
Vancouver	7 - 0	Philadelphia
Cincinnati	0 - 1	Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls	1 - 0	Philadelphia
Houston	1 - 1	Philadelphia
Nashville	1 - 0	Philadelphia
Columbus	1 - 0	Philadelphia
Chicago	0 - 1	Philadelphia
Dallas	0 - 0	Philadelphia
Toronto	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Atlanta	0 - 1	Philadelphia
Montreal	1 - 2	Philadelphia
NY City	1 - 0	Philadelphia
Miami	2 - 1	Philadelphia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Philadelphia	0 - 0	DC United
A	Philadelphia	2 - 1	Montreal
A	Philadelphia	1 - 2	Charlotte
H	Philadelphia	1 - 2	Chicago
A	Philadelphia	1 - 3	Atlanta
H	Philadelphia	0 - 1	San Jose
H	Philadelphia	1 - 2	NY City
A	Philadelphia	0 - 1	DC United
H	Philadelphia	0 - 1	NY City
A	Philadelphia	3 - 0	Chicago
H	Philadelphia	2 - 2	Chicago
A	Philadelphia	0 - 2	Charlotte
H	Philadelphia	1 - 0	NY City
A	Philadelphia	6 - 0	DC United
H	Philadelphia	1 - 0	New England
A	Philadelphia	0 - 7	Vancouver
A	Philadelphia	1 - 0	Cincinnati
H	Philadelphia	4 - 0	Chicago
A	Philadelphia	0 - 1	NY Red Bulls
H	Philadelphia	1 - 1	Toronto

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toronto

Philadelphia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

0 / 8

TOR

PHI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Toronto	2 - 1
Toronto	3 - 1
Toronto	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Toronto	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Toronto	3 - 0

Philadelphia

Toronto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

2 / 8

TOR

PHI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Philadelphia
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Philadelphia	4 - 2
Philadelphia	4 - 0
Philadelphia	3 - 0
Philadelphia	5 - 0
	1 - 3	Toronto
	0 - 2	Toronto

Goal Statistics

Toronto FC have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Major League Soccer outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Philadelphia Union on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Toronto 6th	Philadelphia 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Toronto will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 10% 4+ There is a 74% probability that Philadelphia will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Toronto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-18 Philadelphia have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

47%

better

TOR

PHI

view stats

Games scored	7		5
Failed to score	1		3
Scored first	3		1
Goals scored	13		6
Avg. goals scored	1.6		0.8
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		14
Conversion rate for	16		7
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.5
KickOff rating		+47%

TOR

PHI

better

view stats

Games conceded	7		7
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	5		6
Goals conceded	14		12
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		5
Conversion rate against	23%		20%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.6
KickOff rating		+6%

Toronto v Philadelphia Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	3	1	3
L Gavran	D Sallói	Alonso	J Cifuentes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Gavran GLK	8			-
K Franklin DEF	5	1		-
Alonso DEF	8		1	1 -
Z. Monlouis DEF	7			1 -
W Zimmerman DEF	6	1		2 -
R Laryea DEF	8	2	1	1 -
J Cifuentes MID	8	1		3 -
J Osorio MID	8		1	1 -
D Sallói MID	8	3	1	-
D Kerr FWD	4			-
J Sargent FWD	5	1	1	-
Subs
W Story GLK				-
R Edwards DEF	7			2 1
R. Fisher DEF				-
L Stefanovic DEF	3			1 -
M Cimermancic MID				-
M. Henry MID	5			1 -
D Junior FWD	6	1		-
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	8			1 -
J Vilsaint FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	10	1	2
D Sallói	D Sallói	Alonso	R Laryea

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Sallói MID	3	10	1	2
R Laryea DEF	2	3	1	2
K Franklin DEF	1	2
W Zimmerman DEF	1	1
J Cifuentes MID	1	3		1
J Sargent FWD	1	7	1	1
Subs
D Junior FWD	1	6
Alonso DEF		1	1	1
Z. Monlouis DEF		1
J Osorio MID			1	1
D Kerr FWD		2
Subs
R Edwards DEF		1		1
M. Henry MID		1
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD		3		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
412	28	64
J Osorio	R Edwards	R Laryea

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Osorio MID	412	14	31
Alonso DEF	331	10	24
R Laryea DEF	302	17	64
J Cifuentes MID	289	19	44
W Zimmerman DEF	226	7	34
L Gavran GLK	197		6
Subs
R Edwards DEF	190	28	48
Z. Monlouis DEF	184	10	18
D Sallói MID	175	4	22
K Franklin DEF	108	2	6
J Sargent FWD	71	2	20
Subs
D Junior FWD	63	5	8
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	46	2	14
D Kerr FWD	33	4	21
Subs
M. Henry MID	26	3	8
L Stefanovic DEF	22	2	6

Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	1	1	4
A Blake	J Larsen	F. Westfield	O. Makhanya

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Blake GLK	8			-
N Harriel DEF	8			2 -
J Larsen DEF	7	1		3 -
O. Makhanya DEF	7			3 1
F. Westfield DEF	7		1	1 -
D Jacques MID	7	1		1 -
J Bueno MID	7	1		1 -
J Lukic MID	7			2 -
I Vassilev MID	8	1		-
M Iloski FWD	8	1	1	-
B Damiani FWD	8			2 -
Subs
A. Rick GLK				-
G. Martínez Turner DEF	2			-
P. Ossibadjouo DEF	4			1 -
C. Sullivan MID	6		1	1 -
A Bedoya MID	5		1	-
J Rafanello MID	1			-
B Bender MID	4			-
E. Alladoh FWD	6		1	1 1
M. Jakupovic FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	7	1	2
J Larsen	M Iloski	F. Westfield	F. Westfield

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Larsen DEF	1	1
D Jacques MID	1	1		1
J Bueno MID	1	5
I Vassilev MID	1	4		2
M Iloski FWD	1	7	1	2
N Harriel DEF		3		1
F. Westfield DEF		1	1	2
J Lukic MID				1
B Damiani FWD		2
Subs
P. Ossibadjouo DEF		1		1
C. Sullivan MID			1	2
A Bedoya MID		1	1	1
E. Alladoh FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
410	19	74
O. Makhanya	J Lukic	N Harriel

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
O. Makhanya DEF	410	16	37
N Harriel DEF	329	14	74
J Lukic MID	317	19	30
J Larsen DEF	243	10	27
D Jacques MID	232	9	22
F. Westfield DEF	219	14	50
A Blake GLK	205	1	3
B Damiani FWD	193	13	61
J Bueno MID	179	11	27
M Iloski FWD	170	2	19
I Vassilev MID	165	7	23
Subs
E. Alladoh FWD	94	2	25
P. Ossibadjouo DEF	68	5	12
C. Sullivan MID	50	4	11
A Bedoya MID	49	3	11
B Bender MID	47	6	9
G. Martínez Turner DEF	33	2	2
J Rafanello MID	21		1
M. Jakupovic FWD	9	1	6