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New England Revolution v Toronto FC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Jul, 00:30 BST, Gillette Stadium, Foxborough

Robin Fraser pays counterpart Marko Mitrovic a visit on Thursday morning in the Major League Soccer, as their Toronto FC and New England Revolution charges face each other at the Gillette Stadium. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that New England and Toronto will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Marko Mitrovic or Robin Fraser has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.22 equating to about a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think New England are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
New England
59%
1.90
12%
1.91
14%
Draw
22%
3.50
5%
3.40
3%
Toronto
19%
3.75
17%
3.40
19%
New England 1-0
11%
9.00
13%
8.00
7%
Draw 1-1
10%
7.006.50
New England 2-0
10%
10.00
11%
9.50
12%
New England 2-1
10%
8.508.00
7%
New England 3-0
6%
17.00
13%
15.00
25%
New England 3-1
6%
15.00
15%
13.00
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
13.0012.00
Toronto 1-0
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
15%
Toronto 2-1
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
15%
Draw 2-2
5%
13.0012.00
New England 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
New England 4-0
3%
34.00
31%
26.00
24%
New England 4-1
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
Toronto 2-0
3%
21.00
9%
17.00
19%
Toronto 3-1
2%
29.00
15%
23.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.731.73
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.082.00
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.67
6%
1.67
9%
Away 1st Goal
41%
2.30
8%
2.38
12%
No 1st Goal
3%
13.0012.00
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.62
5%
1.65
3%
BTTS - No
47%
2.20
7%
2.10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.75
10%
3.60
9%
BTTS - Draw
16%
4.33
9%
4.33
4%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
6.50
19%
6.00
20%
Home/draw
81%
1.25
6%
1.29
8%
Away/draw
41%
1.80
12%
1.80
12%
Home/away
78%
1.291.29
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.221.22
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.003.90
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2.752.80
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.401.40
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.505.25
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.141.14
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11.0010.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.051.04
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.041.03
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.0012.00
Home DNB
74%
1.40
8%
1.44
11%
Away DNB
34%
2.75
19%
2.60
21%
New England win to nil
32%
3.75
15%
-
Toronto win to nil
9%
7.00
22%
-
New England / New England
27%
3.10
13%
2.90
16%
New England / Toronto
3%
29.00
15%
29.00
15%
New England / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
8%
Draw / New England
16%
5.00
5%
5.25
9%
Draw / Toronto
10%
8.00
16%
8.00
20%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.75
Toronto / New England
4%
21.0019.00
Toronto / Toronto
14%
6.00
20%
5.50
21%
Toronto / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
9
Toronto have not won in 9 consecutive league games
New England 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
New England2 - 1Minnesota
New England0 - 3Nashville
New England2 - 1Philadelphia
New England1 - 0Charlotte
New England2 - 1Columbus
New England1 - 0DC United
New England3 - 0Montreal
New England6 - 1Cincinnati
New England2 - 2Chicago
New England2 - 0Atlanta
New England1 - 1Toronto
New England1 - 2Charlotte
New England0 - 2LAFC
New England2 - 0DC United
New England1 - 3Montreal
New England1 - 2Orlando
New England1 - 2Miami
New England3 - 3Colorado
New England2 - 3Nashville
New England0 - 1Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANew England0 - 1Charlotte
HNew England2 - 1Minnesota
HNew England0 - 3Nashville
HNew England2 - 1Philadelphia
HNew England1 - 0Charlotte
ANew England1 - 1Miami
ANew England2 - 1Atlanta
HNew England2 - 1Columbus
HNew England1 - 0DC United
HNew England3 - 0Montreal
ANew England1 - 3Saint Louis City
HNew England6 - 1Cincinnati
ANew England0 - 1NY Red Bulls
ANew England1 - 4Nashville
HNew England2 - 2Chicago
ANew England1 - 4Miami
HNew England2 - 0Atlanta
ANew England0 - 1Philadelphia
HNew England1 - 1Toronto
ANew England2 - 3Chicago
Toronto 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montreal0 - 0Toronto
Chicago2 - 1Toronto
Charlotte3 - 1Toronto
Cincinnati0 - 1Toronto
Vancouver3 - 0Toronto
Dallas3 - 2Toronto
LAFC2 - 0Toronto
Chicago2 - 2Toronto
Columbus1 - 1Toronto
New England1 - 1Toronto
Atlanta0 - 0Toronto
Philadelphia1 - 1Toronto
Charlotte2 - 0Toronto
Nashville1 - 0Toronto
San Diego0 - 1Toronto
NY City3 - 1Toronto
Montreal1 - 6Toronto
Salt Lake0 - 1Toronto
Miami1 - 1Toronto
NY Red Bulls2 - 1Toronto
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToronto0 - 0Montreal
AToronto1 - 2Chicago
AToronto1 - 3Charlotte
HToronto2 - 4Miami
HToronto1 - 1San Jose
HToronto1 - 2Atlanta
HToronto3 - 3Philadelphia
HToronto3 - 3Austin
HToronto1 - 1Cincinnati
HToronto3 - 2Colorado
HToronto2 - 1Columbus
HToronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
AToronto1 - 0Cincinnati
AToronto0 - 3Vancouver
AToronto2 - 3Dallas
HToronto4 - 2Orlando
AToronto0 - 2LAFC
AToronto2 - 2Chicago
HToronto1 - 1Miami
AToronto1 - 1Columbus
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at New England since 2018
New England
Toronto
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
NER
2
D
3
TOR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT New England
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Toronto
New England2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Toronto
0 - 1Toronto
Draw1 - 1Draw
New England3 - 2
League games at Toronto since 2018
Toronto
New England
Goals: Scored
11
11
Games: Scored
5 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
3 / 8
NER
3
D
2
TOR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
0 - 2New England
Toronto1 - 0
0 - 2New England
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2New England
Draw0 - 0Draw
Toronto3 - 2
Toronto4 - 1
Goal Statistics
New England 4th Toronto 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that New England will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Toronto scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
New England’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Toronto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
New England
PG (predicted goals)
Toronto
1.9
1
Attack rating
1%
better
NER
TOR
view stats
Games scored11
13
Failed to score3
2
Scored first6
4
Goals scored22
22
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
17
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
26%
better
NER
TOR
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded18
29
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
4
Conversion rate against13%
24%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+26%

New England v Toronto Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

New England Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14565
M TurnerC GilL Langoni B Raines
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Turner GLK14
1
-
W Sands DEF141
2
-
A Yusuf  MID142
1
-
C Gil MID1453
3
-
D Turgeman FWD1425
1
-
M Fofana DEF131
3
-
B Raines MID13
5
-
G Yow FWD131
3
-
P. Miller DEF123
1
-
L Langoni  FWD1236
1
-
E. Kohler DEF10
1
-
I Feingold DEF91
-
M Polster MID9
1
-
D Fagúndez FWD9
-
B Ceballos DEF82
3
-
J Yueill MID7
-
T Beason DEF5
-
E. Klein DEF5
-
M. Zambrano-Delgado FWD2
-
L Campana FWD21
-
A Farrell DEF1
-
C. Oliveira MID1
-
Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15435
L GavranD SallóiAlonsoJ Osorio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Gavran GLK151
-
Alonso MID153
3
-
D Sallói FWD1543
2
-
J Osorio MID143
5
-
Z. Monlouis DEF13
1
-
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD133
1
-
K Franklin DEF1222
-
W Zimmerman DEF121
3
-
R Edwards DEF12
3
1
M. Henry MID12
3
-
D Junior FWD122
-
R Laryea DEF1021
2
-
J Sargent FWD931
-
D Kerr FWD7
-
B Kuscevic DEF6
2
-
L Stefanovic DEF6
1
-
Đorđe Mihailović MID612
-
J. Gilman DEF3
-
J Vilsaint FWD3
-
M Pereira DEF2
-
N Gomis DEF2
-
M Cimermancic MID2
-
T Corbeanu FWD2
1
-
H Wingo DEF1
-