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Sporting KC v Minnesota United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Jul, 01:30 BST, Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City

Thursday morning sees Raphaël Wicky’s Sporting KC and Cameron Knowles’s Minnesota United go head to head in a Major League Soccer battle at the Children's Mercy Park. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of strong, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Raphaël Wicky or Cameron Knowles find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Latest form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, show that doesn't seem likely.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Minnesota coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Sporting KC 35%	12/5	23/10 3%
Draw 23%	14/5	13/5 3%
Minnesota 43%	10/11	17/20 3%
Draw 1-1 10%	7/1	6/1 7%
Minnesota 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Sporting KC 2-1 8%	11/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 7%	11/1	9/1
Minnesota 1-0 6%	10/1	17/2 5%
Minnesota 2-0 5%	11/1	10/1
Sporting KC 1-0 5%	14/1	12/1
Minnesota 3-1 5%	12/1	11/1
Sporting KC 2-0 4%	20/1	16/1
Minnesota 3-2 4%	18/1	16/1 13%
Sporting KC 3-1 4%	22/1	20/1 11%
Sporting KC 3-2 4%	25/1	22/1 10%
Draw 0-0 3%	18/1	16/1
Minnesota 3-0 3%	18/1	14/1
Minnesota 4-1 2%	25/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 66%	1/2	1/2 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%	6/4	11/8 3%
Home 1st Goal 48%	6/5	5/4
Away 1st Goal 50%	4/6	4/6
No 1st Goal 2%	18/1	16/1
BTTS - Yes 67%	1/2	10/21
BTTS - No 33%	6/4	29/20 2%
BTTS - Home Win 21%	9/2	9/2 5%
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 26%	9/4	11/5 3%
Home/draw 57%	4/5	5/6
Away/draw 65%	3/10	2/7 1%
Home/away 77%	1/4	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	1/7	2/13 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	9/2	4/1 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%	6/5	5/4 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 56%	8/13	4/7 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%	11/4	29/10 3%
Under 4.5 Goals 74%	1/4	2/9 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 13%	7/1	13/2 7%
Under 5.5 Goals 87%	1/12	1/12 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/50	1/66 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	18/1	16/1
Home DNB 50%	13/8	8/5 4%
Away DNB 59%	4/9	4/9 3%
Sporting KC win to nil 13%	7/1	-
Minnesota win to nil 17%	3/1	-
Sporting KC / Sporting KC 15%	9/2	17/4 5%
Sporting KC / Minnesota 4%	18/1	18/1
Sporting KC / Draw 7%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Sporting KC 10%	15/2	15/2
Draw / Minnesota 15%	9/2	9/2
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	11/2
Minnesota / Sporting KC 3%	25/1	25/1
Minnesota / Minnesota 28%	2/1	15/8
Minnesota / Draw 7%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sporting KC	1 - 2	NY Red Bulls
Sporting KC	3 - 1	LA Galaxy
Sporting KC	1 - 1	Seattle
Sporting KC	1 - 3	San Jose
Sporting KC	1 - 4	Colorado
Sporting KC	0 - 1	San Diego
Sporting KC	2 - 2	Columbus
Sporting KC	0 - 0	Houston
Sporting KC	0 - 2	Vancouver
Sporting KC	1 - 2	Austin
Sporting KC	4 - 2	Colorado
Sporting KC	0 - 2	San Diego
Sporting KC	1 - 1	NY City
Sporting KC	2 - 3	Seattle
Sporting KC	1 - 1	Salt Lake
Sporting KC	2 - 1	Charlotte
Sporting KC	2 - 4	Dallas
Sporting KC	3 - 3	New England
Sporting KC	1 - 0	LA Galaxy
Sporting KC	2 - 4	Portland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Sporting KC	2 - 3	Saint Louis City
H	Sporting KC	1 - 2	NY Red Bulls
A	Sporting KC	2 - 1	Austin
H	Sporting KC	3 - 1	LA Galaxy
A	Sporting KC	0 - 6	Portland
H	Sporting KC	1 - 1	Seattle
A	Sporting KC	0 - 5	Chicago
A	Sporting KC	0 - 3	Vancouver
H	Sporting KC	1 - 3	San Jose
A	Sporting KC	1 - 3	Salt Lake
H	Sporting KC	1 - 4	Colorado
A	Sporting KC	2 - 1	LA Galaxy
H	Sporting KC	0 - 1	San Diego
H	Sporting KC	2 - 2	Columbus
A	Sporting KC	0 - 3	San Jose
H	Sporting KC	0 - 0	Houston
A	Sporting KC	0 - 3	Minnesota
A	Sporting KC	1 - 4	LA Galaxy
H	Sporting KC	0 - 2	Vancouver
A	Sporting KC	1 - 2	Salt Lake

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
New England	2 - 1	Minnesota
Columbus	2 - 3	Minnesota
Dallas	0 - 1	Minnesota
San Diego	1 - 2	Minnesota
LA Galaxy	1 - 2	Minnesota
Vancouver	6 - 0	Minnesota
Nashville	3 - 1	Minnesota
Austin	2 - 2	Minnesota
San Diego	1 - 0	Minnesota
Seattle	4 - 2	Minnesota
LA Galaxy	2 - 1	Minnesota
Colorado	1 - 1	Minnesota
San Diego	1 - 3	Minnesota
Salt Lake	1 - 3	Minnesota
Saint Louis City	1 - 2	Minnesota
Portland	1 - 1	Minnesota
Dallas	1 - 2	Minnesota
NY Red Bulls	2 - 2	Minnesota
Seattle	2 - 3	Minnesota
Vancouver	0 - 0	Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Minnesota	1 - 1	Salt Lake
A	Minnesota	1 - 2	New England
H	Minnesota	0 - 1	Colorado
H	Minnesota	2 - 2	Austin
A	Minnesota	3 - 2	Columbus
H	Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
A	Minnesota	1 - 0	Dallas
H	Minnesota	2 - 0	Portland
A	Minnesota	2 - 1	San Diego
A	Minnesota	2 - 1	LA Galaxy
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
A	Minnesota	0 - 6	Vancouver
A	Minnesota	1 - 3	Nashville
H	Minnesota	1 - 0	Cincinnati
A	Minnesota	2 - 2	Austin
A	Minnesota	0 - 1	San Diego
H	Minnesota	3 - 3	Seattle
A	Minnesota	2 - 4	Seattle
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
A	Minnesota	1 - 2	LA Galaxy

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Minnesota have not lost to Sporting KC in 5 consecutive league meetings

Sporting KC

Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 12

7 / 12

Clean sheets

5 / 12

2 / 12

SKC

MIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sporting KC
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 2	Minnesota
Sporting KC	3 - 1
Sporting KC	3 - 0
Sporting KC	4 - 1
Sporting KC	4 - 0
	0 - 3	Minnesota
Sporting KC	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Minnesota
Sporting KC	1 - 0
Sporting KC	2 - 0
Sporting KC	4 - 1

Minnesota

Sporting KC

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

Clean sheets

2 / 10

SKC

MIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Minnesota
Minnesota	3 - 0
Minnesota	3 - 1
Minnesota	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Sporting KC
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Minnesota	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Sporting KC
Minnesota	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Sporting KC's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday morning, not least because Minnesota United have conceded in each of their last 6 Major League Soccer outings. A PG of 1.6 for R. Wicky's side suggests that run should continue.

	Sporting KC 15th	Minnesota 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Sporting KC will score 1 or more goals	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Minnesota will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Sporting KC have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	+24 Minnesota have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

SKC

MIN

better

view stats

Games scored	10		11
Failed to score	5		4
Scored first	3		4
Goals scored	16		18
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.2
Avg. shots per game	7		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	16		12
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+6%

SKC

MIN

36%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		11
Clean sheets	0		4
Conceded first	12		10
Goals conceded	39		22
Avg. goals conceded	2.6		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	22%		17%
Avg. XG against	2.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+36%

Sporting KC v Minnesota Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Sporting KC Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	7	4	3
D Joveljic	D Joveljic	M García	J Davis

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M García MID	15	1	4	2 -
C Harris FWD	15	2	3	1 -
D Joveljic FWD	15	7	1	-
J Davis DEF	14		1	3 -
S Afrifa FWD	13	1	1	-
M Suleymanov FWD	13	1	1	1 -
L Johnsen MID	12	1		2 -
J. Bartlett MID	12	1		2 -
J Reid DEF	11			1 -
E Bartlow DEF	11			1 -
I. James DEF	11			-
W. Meyer DEF	11			1 -
T. Calheira FWD	10			1 -
J Pulskamp GLK	9			1 -
J. Miller DEF	9			2 -
Capita FWD	9	2		3 -
J Reynolds DEF	8		1	-
K. Agyabeng MID	8			-
S Cleveland GLK	6			-
Z Bassong MID	6			2 -
D. Borges da Silva DEF	3			1 -
E Karic DEF	1			-
O Blorian DEF	1			-
M. Tschantret MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	4	10
D Joveljic	D Joveljic	M García	M García

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Joveljic FWD	7	17	1	5
C Harris FWD	2	10	3	3
Capita FWD	2	5
M García MID	1	2	4	10
S Afrifa FWD	1	3	1
M Suleymanov FWD	1	6	1	1
L Johnsen MID	1	2		3
J. Bartlett MID	1	1
J Davis DEF		1	1	2
J Reid DEF		3
E Bartlow DEF		1
I. James DEF		1
T. Calheira FWD		5
J. Miller DEF		1
J Reynolds DEF		1	1
Z Bassong MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
709	34	63
L Johnsen	J Davis	M García

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Johnsen MID	709	23	38
M García MID	547	16	63
J Davis DEF	508	34	57
W. Meyer DEF	463	20	46
E Bartlow DEF	450	6	27
I. James DEF	374	16	23
J. Bartlett MID	365	9	27
J Reid DEF	360	24	52
D Joveljic FWD	288	5	33
J Pulskamp GLK	277		4
M Suleymanov FWD	255	8	33
J. Miller DEF	225	6	25
C Harris FWD	211	12	58
Z Bassong MID	198	10	18
S Cleveland GLK	179		1
J Reynolds DEF	162	12	23
K. Agyabeng MID	142	13	31
Capita FWD	111	21	49
D. Borges da Silva DEF	105	2	6
T. Calheira FWD	87	7	20
S Afrifa FWD	84	9	27
O Blorian DEF	30	1	2
E Karic DEF	25	1	5
M. Tschantret MID	19

Minnesota Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	8	5	6
D Callender	K Yeboah	J Pereyra	J Díaz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Callender GLK	15			-
A Markanich DEF	15	4	2	2 -
M. Duggan DEF	15	1		4 -
N Triantis MID	15	1	1	2 -
J Pereyra MID	15	1	5	2 -
T Chancalay FWD	15	1	4	3 -
O Gene MID	14			1 -
W Trapp MID	14			2 -
K Yeboah FWD	14	8		2 -
J Díaz DEF	13		1	6 -
M. Dieng FWD	13			-
K Duncan DEF	12	1		2 -
D Padelford DEF	12		1	-
B Hlongwane FWD	10			-
N Romero DEF	9			2 -
M Boxall DEF	7			-
D Taylor DEF	4			1 -
C Harvey MID	4			1 -
J Gressel MID	3			1 -
K. Chandler DEF	1			-
D Fitz MID	1			-
M. González Villa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	13	5	11
K Yeboah	K Yeboah	J Pereyra	J Pereyra

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Yeboah FWD	8	13		1
A Markanich DEF	4	7	2	3
M. Duggan DEF	1	5
N Triantis MID	1	6	1	1
J Pereyra MID	1	5	5	11
T Chancalay FWD	1	10	4	7
K Duncan DEF	1	2		1
O Gene MID				1
W Trapp MID				1
J Díaz DEF		6	1	2
M. Dieng FWD		5
D Padelford DEF		2	1	1
N Romero DEF		1
M. González Villa FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
719	32	89
J Pereyra	A Markanich	A Markanich

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Pereyra MID	719	15	72
M. Duggan DEF	705	14	52
J Díaz DEF	688	25	69
N Triantis MID	560	27	55
T Chancalay FWD	483	20	58
A Markanich DEF	454	32	89
W Trapp MID	449	23	33
O Gene MID	440	19	32
D Callender GLK	334		4
K Duncan DEF	306	14	50
N Romero DEF	304	8	26
K Yeboah FWD	231	6	68
D Padelford DEF	193	12	41
M Boxall DEF	151	3	14
B Hlongwane FWD	121	5	12
M. Dieng FWD	60		23
C Harvey MID	55	2	3
D Taylor DEF	54	4	6
J Gressel MID	25		1
M. González Villa FWD	9		2
D Fitz MID	6
K. Chandler DEF	5