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Philadelphia Union v New York RB : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Jul, 00:30 BST, Subaru Park, Chester

Philadelphia Union are in Major League Soccer action on Thursday morning, as Bradley Carnell aims to beat Michael Bradley and his New York RB side at the Subaru Park. Major League Soccer stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. There's so much to explore, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Philadelphia and NY Red Bulls will score at least 2 between them during 90 minutes. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 78%. Bookies have it at 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Philadelphia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.71.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Philadelphia
45%
1.71
6%
1.67
3%
Draw
25%
3.90
3%
3.90
NY Red Bulls
31%
3.90
10%
4.00
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
8.00
6%
8.00
Philadelphia 2-1
9%
8.508.00
7%
Philadelphia 1-0
9%
11.009.50
NY Red Bulls 2-1
7%
13.00
13%
13.00
NY Red Bulls 1-0
7%
17.00
11%
15.00
Philadelphia 2-0
7%
11.00
10%
10.00
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
12.0011.00
Draw 0-0
6%
21.00
11%
17.00
Philadelphia 3-1
5%
13.00
8%
11.00
10%
NY Red Bulls 2-0
5%
23.00
21%
21.00
9%
Philadelphia 3-0
4%
17.00
13%
13.00
NY Red Bulls 3-1
3%
26.00
10%
23.00
12%
Philadelphia 3-2
3%
19.0015.00
NY Red Bulls 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
23.00
NY Red Bulls 3-0
2%
41.00
20%
34.00
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.481.44
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.602.60
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.62
6%
1.53
2%
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.25
6%
2.60
1%
No 1st Goal
3%
21.00
11%
17.00
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.501.48
1%
BTTS - No
42%
2.502.45
2%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3.00
4%
2.80
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50
5%
4.50
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6.00
14%
6.00
8%
Home/draw
69%
1.25
4%
1.22
2%
Away/draw
55%
2.00
7%
2.10
2%
Home/away
75%
1.25
2%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.141.13
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
5.505.50
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2.102.10
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.671.65
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
3.753.60
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.251.25
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
7.006.50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.101.10
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.021.01
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
21.00
11%
17.00
Home DNB
62%
1.36
5%
1.30
1%
Away DNB
48%
3.00
14%
3.20
6%
Philadelphia win to nil
22%
3.75
7%
-
NY Red Bulls win to nil
15%
9.00
10%
-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia
31%
2.75
10%
2.50
4%
Philadelphia / NY Red Bulls
3%
26.00
10%
29.00
Philadelphia / Draw
7%
13.0012.00
Draw / Philadelphia
16%
5.50
10%
5.00
Draw / NY Red Bulls
9%
9.00
10%
10.00
9%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.007.00
NY Red Bulls / Philadelphia
5%
19.0017.00
NY Red Bulls / NY Red Bulls
13%
6.50
7%
6.50
NY Red Bulls / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win form
3
Philadelphia have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
8
Philadelphia have not won in 8 consecutive league games
Philadelphia 15TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Philadelphia1 - 1Columbus
Philadelphia0 - 0Nashville
Philadelphia0 - 0DC United
Philadelphia1 - 2Chicago
Philadelphia0 - 1San Jose
Philadelphia1 - 2NY City
Philadelphia0 - 1NY City
Philadelphia2 - 2Chicago
Philadelphia1 - 0NY City
Philadelphia1 - 0New England
Philadelphia4 - 0Chicago
Philadelphia1 - 1Toronto
Philadelphia3 - 1Colorado
Philadelphia2 - 1Montreal
Philadelphia2 - 0NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia2 - 1Charlotte
Philadelphia3 - 3Miami
Philadelphia3 - 2LA Galaxy
Philadelphia2 - 2Columbus
Philadelphia3 - 0DC United
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APhiladelphia4 - 6Miami
HPhiladelphia1 - 1Columbus
APhiladelphia3 - 4Orlando
APhiladelphia1 - 2New England
HPhiladelphia0 - 0Nashville
APhiladelphia0 - 2Columbus
APhiladelphia3 - 3Toronto
HPhiladelphia0 - 0DC United
APhiladelphia2 - 1Montreal
APhiladelphia1 - 2Charlotte
HPhiladelphia1 - 2Chicago
APhiladelphia1 - 3Atlanta
HPhiladelphia0 - 1San Jose
HPhiladelphia1 - 2NY City
APhiladelphia0 - 1DC United
HPhiladelphia0 - 1NY City
APhiladelphia3 - 0Chicago
HPhiladelphia2 - 2Chicago
APhiladelphia0 - 2Charlotte
HPhiladelphia1 - 0NY City
NY Red Bulls 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sporting KC1 - 2NY Red Bulls
Chicago1 - 3NY Red Bulls
Cincinnati2 - 0NY Red Bulls
Montreal4 - 1NY Red Bulls
Miami2 - 2NY Red Bulls
Charlotte6 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Orlando1 - 2NY Red Bulls
Columbus3 - 1NY Red Bulls
Montreal0 - 2NY Red Bulls
Portland2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Charlotte1 - 0NY Red Bulls
Chicago1 - 0NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia2 - 0NY Red Bulls
San Jose1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Austin2 - 1NY Red Bulls
DC United0 - 2NY Red Bulls
NY City2 - 0NY Red Bulls
Nashville2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANY Red Bulls2 - 1Sporting KC
HNY Red Bulls1 - 1NY City
HNY Red Bulls3 - 2Columbus
ANY Red Bulls3 - 1Chicago
HNY Red Bulls0 - 2Dallas
ANY Red Bulls0 - 2Cincinnati
HNY Red Bulls4 - 4DC United
ANY Red Bulls1 - 4Montreal
ANY Red Bulls2 - 2Miami
HNY Red Bulls4 - 2Cincinnati
ANY Red Bulls1 - 6Charlotte
ANY Red Bulls1 - 1Toronto
HNY Red Bulls0 - 3Montreal
HNY Red Bulls1 - 0New England
ANY Red Bulls2 - 1Orlando
ANY Red Bulls1 - 3Columbus
HNY Red Bulls0 - 1Cincinnati
HNY Red Bulls2 - 3NY City
ANY Red Bulls2 - 0Montreal
ANY Red Bulls1 - 2Portland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Philadelphia have not lost to NY Red Bulls in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Philadelphia since 2018
Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
7 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
3 / 10
PHI
5
D
4
NYR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Philadelphia
Philadelphia2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Philadelphia4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Philadelphia1 - 0
Philadelphia1 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Philadelphia3 - 2
0 - 1NY Red Bulls
League games at NY Red Bulls since 2018
NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
5
10
Games: Scored
4 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
5 / 9
PHI
4
D
3
NYR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls1 - 0
0 - 2Philadelphia
0 - 1Philadelphia
0 - 2Philadelphia
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Philadelphia Union's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday morning, not least because New York RB have conceded in each of their last 13 Major League Soccer matches. A PG of 1.6 for B. Carnell's side suggests that run should continue.

Philadelphia 15th NY Red Bulls 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Philadelphia will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that NY Red Bulls will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Philadelphia have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
NY Red Bulls’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Philadelphia
PG (predicted goals)
NY Red Bulls
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
PHI
NYR
29%
better
view stats
Games scored10
12
Failed to score5
3
Scored first4
9
Goals scored18
25
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for11
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
2%
better
PHI
NYR
view stats
Games conceded13
14
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first9
6
Goals conceded30
32
Avg. goals conceded2
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
5
Conversion rate against26%
21%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+2%

Philadelphia v NY Red Bulls Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15726
N HarrielM IloskiF. WestfieldO. Makhanya
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Harriel DEF1511
2
-
B Damiani FWD1511
2
-
M Iloski FWD1571
1
-
A Blake GLK14
-
D Jacques MID142
5
-
J Lukic MID141
4
-
I Vassilev FWD141
1
-
O. Makhanya DEF13
5
1
C. Sullivan MID1311
1
-
E. Alladoh FWD131
1
1
F. Westfield DEF112
1
-
J Larsen DEF101
4
1
A Anello FWD1011
1
-
J Bueno MID91
2
-
B Bender MID811
1
-
A Bedoya MID82
1
-
G. Martínez Turner DEF7
2
-
P. Ossibadjouo DEF6
1
-
J Rafanello MID4
1
-
M. Jakupovic FWD4
-
F. Sundstrom DEF2
-
A. Rick GLK1
1
-
S. Olivas FWD1
-
NY Red Bulls Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15944
E HorvathJ. HallR DonkorA. Mehmeti
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Horvath GLK15
-
A. Mehmeti MID1512
4
-
J. Hall FWD1593
-
J Ruvalcaba FWD157
4
-
J Marshall-Rutty DEF14
2
-
M. Dos Santos DEF14
1
-
R Donkor MID1414
4
-
E Forsberg FWD1413
-
C Cowell FWD1314
1
-
D Nealis DEF12
2
-
G Berggren MID101
1
E Choupo-Moting FWD102
-
R. Mosquera FWD10
2
-
O Arauz DEF9
3
-
J Che DEF8
2
-
R Voloder DEF8
2
-
M. Sofo FWD81
-
T Parker DEF7
1
-
J Mina DEF5
-
N Benedetti MID5
1
-
T. Rosborough FWD5
-
R Mitchell FWD3
-
A. Rojas Maroto FWD2
-
J Medina DEF1
-
C Harper FWD1
-